Venezuela is unraveling

Ironic, considering how many people he has lifted out of illiteracy
Care to back that up? The former chief economist for the Venezuelan National Assembly, Francisco Rodriguez, said that there was "little evidence" of any "statistically distinguishable effect on Venezuelan illiteracy." (The Economist, 2/28/08)

Also, nearly $1,000 was spent per pupil in these literacy programs. Equally effective programs in neighboring countries cost less than one-fifteenth of that. Venezuela also boasted that it had "eliminated illiteracy" (even the government's own statistics still show nearly a 5% illiteracy rate) and had been awarded as such by UNESCO (UNESCO categorically denied such a claim.)
 
Ironic, considering how many people he has lifted out of illiteracy

Care to back that up? The former chief economist for the Venezuelan National Assembly, Francisco Rodriguez, said that there was "little evidence" of any "statistically distinguishable effect on Venezuelan illiteracy." (The Economist, 2/28/08)

Also, nearly $1,000 was spent per pupil in these literacy programs. Equally effective programs in neighboring countries cost less than one-fifteenth of that. Venezuela also boasted that it had "eliminated illiteracy" (even the government's own statistics still show nearly a 5% illiteracy rate) and had been awarded as such by UNESCO (UNESCO categorically denied such a claim.)

Oh snap!

I would like to see official Venezuelan statistics. However trustworthy they may be...

Bet it would be an interesting comparison.
 
Care to back that up? The former chief economist for the Venezuelan National Assembly, Francisco Rodriguez, said that there was "little evidence" of any "statistically distinguishable effect on Venezuelan illiteracy." (The Economist, 2/28/08)

Also, nearly $1,000 was spent per pupil in these literacy programs. Equally effective programs in neighboring countries cost less than one-fifteenth of that. Venezuela also boasted that it had "eliminated illiteracy" (even the government's own statistics still show nearly a 5% illiteracy rate) and had been awarded as such by UNESCO (UNESCO categorically denied such a claim.)

His arguments are rejoined by Mark Weisbrot.
 
What an absurd paper. Cherry-picking data, bad metrics, silly hypotheticals, and the ridiculous assumption that increasing spending in an area correlates to an increase in quality of those services of an equal or greater amount.

It directly debunks his claims.

I will respond to luiz when I have the energy.
 
GAH!!!

They are giving me two blackouts per day!!!!!

Chávez is re-distributing blackouts in accordance to the principles of Bolivarian Socialism (bolsoc). You should feel honored that you were deemed worthy of experiencing the wonders of bolsoc twice a day.
 
Chávez is re-distributing blackouts in accordance to the principles of Bolivarian Socialism (bolsoc). You should feel honored that you were deemed worthy of experiencing the wonders of bolsoc twice a day.

You misspelled "bolocs". :P
 
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Venezuela-devalues-currency-apf-1126974799.html?x=0&.v=3

Chavez screws the pouch once again. Since 2005 he's refused to let the country's currency float based on market demand and instead kept it completely pegged to an official exchange rate which had no connection to reality. Well, that can no longer be sustained as falling oil output combined with lower oil prices has left big holes in the budget so a currency devaluation has become completely unavoidable. Inflation in Venezuela was already running at 25% due to economic mismanagement but it is likely to more then double because of this.

This one clown is going to destroy his country's economy Mugabe style.
 
:):):):)!!!

We were doing so good exchanging Bolivars to dollars at a 6:1 ratio. We were making some money off that. That :):):):)ing sucks.
 
That sounds like an absolutely awful idea... I'm sure it will be implemented swiftly. :lol:
 
CARACAS, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Venezuelans rushed to the shops on Saturday, fearful of price rises after a currency devaluation that will let President Hugo Chavez boost government spending ahead of an election but feeds opposition charges of economic mismanagement.

In a bid to jump-start the recession-hit economy of South America's top oil exporter, Chavez on Friday announced a dual system for the fixed rate bolivar.

It devalues the currency to 4.3 and 2.6 against the dollar, from a rate of 2.15 per dollar in place since 2005, giving the better rate for basic goods in an attempt to limit the impact of the measure on consumer prices.

The opposition seized on fears that prices for imported goods will double as shoppers formed lines of more than a hundred people outside some stores in the capital Caracas.

"It was a Black Friday, tinted red," said sales executive Diana Sevillana in reference to the crimson color of Chavez's socialist party. She stood in a line of 30 people outside an electrical goods store in a middle class neighborhood.

The socialist Chavez believes the state should have a weighty role in managing the economy. During his 11 years in office he has nationalized most heavy industry, and business and finance are tightly regulated.

The devaluation is politically risky but means every dollar of oil revenue puts more bolivars in government coffers. That allows Chavez to lavish cash on social projects and fund salary increases ahead of parliamentary elections in September.

Opponents were quick to criticize the socialist, who a year ago promised the global financial crisis would not touch "a hair" of Venezuela's economy. He announced the devaluation on Friday night during an important baseball game.

"By establishing the exchange rate at 4.3 bolivars per dollar, the quality of life for Venezuelans is automatically devalued since we now have half the money we had before," said Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma, a Chavez opponent.

BLACKOUTS, WATER SHORTAGES

Opposition parties, emboldened by public dissatisfaction at frequent blackouts and water shortages and a 2.9 percent economic contraction in 2009, hope to strip Chavez of his legislative majority in September.

The devaluation is embarrassing for Chavez, who resisted calls from economists and many government allies to make the move last year when oil prices were at their lowest and elections a long way off.

"Venezuela's decision to devalue the Bolivar culminates an event that the market has been anticipating for a long time," said Walter Molano, an analyst at BCP Securities. "It helps alleviate the country's fiscal woes and puts it on a sounder macroeconomic footing."

The measure is a relief for state oil company PDVSA, which has struggled to pay service providers and meet requirements to fund social projects since crude prices dropped sharply last year. It also makes Venezuelan businesses more competitive.

Holders of Venezuela's foreign debt are also pleased, since the devaluation improves government finances and lessens the need to issue more bonds.

However, Chavez risks taking a blow to his popularity ratings, which are about 50 percent, as prices for many products inevitably will rise in the country of 28 million people, which relies on imports for much of its consumption.

Finance Minister Ali Rodriguez said the devaluation will add 3 percent to 5 percent to inflation, already the highest in the Americas at 25 percent last year.

"The popularity of the government is obviously going to be sharply and negatively affected," said economist Pedro Palma. "The inflationary impact of the measure diminishes the real income of people. People can consume less."

The new two-tiered exchange system offers the 2.6/dollar rate for goods deemed essential including food, medicine and industrial machinery. Other products, including cars and telephones, will be imported at the higher 4.3 rate.

Last month, BMO Capital Markets cut ratings on Colgate-Palmolive Co (CL.N), Avon Products Inc (AVP.N) and Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB.N) to "market perform" saying a possible devaluation in Venezuela could hurt the U.S. consumer goods makers' profits.

Economist Pavel Gomez of the IESA economic school said the new system will increase opportunities for graft in a country that already is corruption-ridden.

"Multiple exchange schemes are incentives for corruption, more so if they are applied in the Venezuela way," he said. "Those who have good contacts can buy at 2.6 and sell at 4.3."

Chavez, whose popularity usually rises in correlation with public spending, also said on Friday that the Central Bank had transferred $7 billion of foreign reserves to a development fund used to finance investment projects.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN096521320100109


50% devaluation in currency. Wow.

Imagine if the dollar lost half its value vs the Euro in one day.

We might be moving out of "unraveling" and into "collapsing".
 
Venezuela is doing better than ever. This brilliant move by Chavez will result in greatly renewed prosperity for the great Venezuelan people.

I would not be surprised if Venezuela became a new superpower dominating much of Central America, South America and Mexico.
 
50% devaluation in currency. Wow.

Imagine if the dollar lost half its value vs the Euro in one day.

We might be moving out of "unraveling" and into "collapsing".

Damned if he does, damned if he doesn't, isn't it? First the peg is criticized (and with good reasons), then the devaluation which had been claimed as necessary is... criticized? WTH? :confused:

"By establishing the exchange rate at 4.3 bolivars per dollar, the quality of life for Venezuelans is automatically devalued since we now have half the money we had before," said Caracas Mayor Antonio Ledezma, a Chavez opponent.

How come they lose half the money when the national currency was only devalued against foreign currencies? Only those who consume imported products or want to convert money to dollars will be negatively impacted. Those complaining now are the same opposition which demanded a devaluation previously!

This is a sad day for Venezuelans involved in the tourism buisness.

Why? This makes Venezuela a cheaper destination to tourists, should boost tourism. It should only be bad for those businessman who either intend to export the profits from tourism, or who run tourism businesses which are heavily dependent on imported products (and that would be odd).

Still, a peg was a stupid idea from the beginning. And two different exchange rates are also proven to be a stupid idea.
 
Why? This makes Venezuela a cheaper destination to tourists, should boost tourism. It should only be bad for those businessman who either intend to export the profits from tourism, or who run tourism businesses which are heavily dependent on imported products (and that would be odd).

Still, a peg was a stupid idea from the beginning. And two different exchange rates are also proven to be a stupid idea.

I actually am so confused I don't know what the freak is happening.
 
Let's face the reality, the hard unavoidable reality, shall we? Most daily consumer goods from tooth paste, to items used in home construction, to just about any form of manufactured good right down to the shirt on their backs, is imported. No sane person is going to invest money in a country where the ruling autocrat expropriates property on whims so that really only leaves the government. The same government which already can't pay its bills and has to devalue the currency to prevent national bankruptcy. You know, the one who has so screwed the economy up inflation is running at 25% (and rising) despite the fact that both the country and the world are in a massive recession.
 
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