I tested all kinds of approaches, and got a lot of different response from the AI. Removing the WE with the mounted-promotion caused him to attack, just removing the promotion made him go around. Removing one or more other units made him go around (sometimes with only 2 knights) or stay put or attack if enough was removed.
So, we don't know what Ham will do. Aside from seperating his knights from the rest of his stack (as he did in the test), wouldn't the best thing for us be for him to attack our stack? If he doesn't use cats, then he's very likely to lose more units than we do. If he does use cats, then my testing showed we are still likely to get the better of it, plus he loses his cats and therefore we definitely gain a tactical advantage.
So at the moment I lean towards moving all in and putting the worker out there as a bait.
Concur with worker bait, but question going all in. If we leave in place our four wounded units (promoting the badly wounded WE) and move the supermedic to their tile, then they will all heal IBT (and the WEs won't be of great use until they do heal), thereby increasing the total strength of our forces without risking them while encouraging attack on our big stack. Also, their healed presence on that tile would make it easier to get the four trailing units into battle. Furthermore, it shouldn't be a problem moving them forward and eventually onto the hill as we bombard, since, once we are on the hill, only knights could attack them (which would likely be good). Only drawback is that this approach likely greatly reduces the probablility of foolish knight advances. If you think such an advance is reasonably likely, then all in may well be optimal.
Worst case is, as CP noted, if he advances his knights with the rest of his stack or attacks with cats first.
Do not think attack with cats first is worst case. That would be better for us than his doing nothing. If he advances knights with rest of stack, perhaps Z should pause for further analysis.
Even best case will be difficult, those fortified LBs on a hill, that's no joke!
They will cost us trebs.
I will leave only the axe in Opis!?
Might as well move the wounded HA into the city. Does the AI ever do a direct amphibious attack?
Concur with Htadus -- greatest threat is from the island. Probably need to take a risk. If things go well around Borsippa, then we can aford to be more defensive.
Also concur that HA should pillage wheat farm one turn and road the next, unless foolish AI play greatly reduces the risks.
Proposals:
Sell map to Cyrus for 90g
Concur.
Sell MC to Toku for 50g
What can he do with his money when everyone is at war with him? Are we not safe to wait for it to grow?
Build:
Delhi : We>Wealth>Units
Bombay : Treb>Wealth
Vij : Cat>Treb
Perhaps cat>wealth.
Pat : WE>WE>Treb (or maybe cats)
Varanasi : We>Treb
Osaka : Treb>Wealth
micro-manage to get treb in one turn
Kyoto : Wealth
Tokyo : Wealth
Little wealth to be produced here.
Memphis : Wealth
Same, so go ahead with HA.
Pi-R : CH>Wealth
Can grow city faster and still complete CH in 1 turn.
Thebes : CH>Wealth
Heliopolis : Wealth
Again, little wealth available here. Continue barracks.
Elephantine : Wealth
Alexandria : Wealth
Giza : CH
Suggest building wealth while maximizing city growth for five turns, then whipping CH.
Illinois : Wealth
Is this where missionary is headed?
Opis : Forge
Insufficient production to justify forge. Like caravel, lb, or cat better, but decision can wait.
I will try not to go into strike, it will be difficult, we need reinforcement.
Could argue that will will need more units if we start losing them to insufficient funds. Can we transfer some of our units in the east to the new front west?
I will attack Egypt asap.
Whipping has temporarily solved unhappiness problems in Egyptian cities, so can delay taking Sat and send units west, where they will first give some protection against naval invasion.
There's a vote coming up that we'll probably have to defy, we'll see, no doubt I'll stop and ask for advice before that.
I would like to play tomorrow morning, 16 hours from now,
(green light here) this Friday is not a workday in Denmark.