Stocks and trades

I think it's an interesting piece about how some financial advisors wanted to talk to the media for a story about how they detest their clientele, but whether its a harbinger of a trend (unsafe bet) or whether it's just a media piece of some unusual financial advisors (safe bet) is unseen.
 
I think it's an interesting piece about how some financial advisors wanted to talk to the media for a story about how they detest their clientele, but whether its a harbinger of a trend (unsafe bet) or whether it's just a media piece of some unusual financial advisors (safe bet) is unseen.
A little sunshine on the investment industry can be cleansing. If it is a trend I suspect it will be a slow one that doesn't grow too large or too quickly. But it is a significant change in the culture.
 
Index-Tracking ETFs Were All the Rage, Until Now
BY JACK PITCHER

The titans of the ETF industry are facing competition in the battle for new money.

BlackRock , Vanguard Group and State Street have long had a chokehold on the market for exchange-traded funds, largely through the passive index-tracking funds that helped make ETF investing popular. The newer players like JP-Morgan Chase and Dimensional Fund Advisors are focusing instead on the much smaller, actively managed funds that are seeing a boom in investor interest. Those firms have climbed to third and fourth place, respectively, on the 2023 leaderboard for inflows, according to VettaFi. Five years ago, their ETF businesses were largely nonexistent.

Despite years of predictions about the death of active investing, interest in the funds is growing: Active funds have drawn 23% of total ETF inflows this year, despite holding just 4% of the industry’s assets in January, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
“For the first time, that group of leaders may be shaken up a little bit,” said Aniket Ullal, head of ETF data and analytics at CFRA Research. “You’re seeing players that are newer to the ETF space slowly now challenging to be in the top three or four in terms of flows. That’s a major change in the industry.” The combined market share of BlackRock, Vanguard and State Street has hovered around 75% to 80% for most of the past decade, according to CFRA.
With $ 2.5 trillion in assets under management, BlackRock is the undisputed leader in the space, yet the gap is narrowing.

JPMorgan’s funds have attracted more than $21 billion in fresh investor money this year, about half the sum of BlackRock. For years, ETFs have been gaining ground on mutual funds, with investors favoring their low fees, tax advantages and ease of trading. Analysts expect that trend to accelerate as more asset managers push active ETF offerings and compete on fees. Actively managed ETFs have an average expense ratio of 0.7%, according to Vetmostly taFi, compared with 0.16% for passive funds. JPMorgan’s asset management division has been one of the stars of 2023. A majority of its inflows have gone to two active ETFs, the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF , which is known by its ticker symbol JEPI, and the
JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF , or JEPQ. The funds stray from the vanilla, index-tracking strategies typically associated with an ETF. Both invest in equities and employ options strategies to generate income. The funds pay high dividends: roughly 10.2% over the past 12 months for JEPI and 12.8% for JEPQ.

They have become popular with financial advisers seeking income options for their clients and use what is known as a covered-call strategy that tends to perform better when markets are volatile or moving sideways than when stocks are trending up. Launched in 2020, JEPI is now the world’s largest actively managed ETF, taking the title earlier this year from another active JPMorgan fund focused on Treasury bonds. Its annual fee is 0.35%. JPMorgan operates a handful of index-based ETFs but is primarily looking to build its active business, said Bryon Lake, global head of ETF solutions for the bank’s asset-management arm.

“We may have been a little late to the ETF party, but we were early to the active ETF revolution,” said Lake. He expects total ETF assets to double to $15 trillion over the next five years, with active management growing to make up 10% to 20% of the market. “That’s a tremendous market opportunity, and our focus is mainly on active ETFs going from here,” he added.

JPMorgan’s success with covered-call strategies has inspired copycats. Goldman Sachs Group filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission in June to launch two new ETFs that will resemble the JPMorgan strategy: the Goldman Sachs U.S. Equity Premium Income ETF and U.S. Tech Index Equity Premium Income ETF.

Dimensional, a manager of popular systematic mutual funds, didn’t offer its first ETF until November 2020. In less than three years, it has been among the largest active ETF managers by assets. Dimensional funds combine concepts of active and passive investing. They typically stick to self-designed diversified indexes and don’t attempt to time markets. Between mutual-fund conversions and newly launched funds, Dimensional runs 31 ETFs with about $100 billion in total assets. Its average fee is 0.25%. In July, Dimensional applied with the Securities and Exchange Commission to offer an ETF share class of its existing mutual funds.

Vanguard pioneered the ETF-as-a-share-class structure for index funds in 2001 and locked it up with a patent that expired this year. The SEC hasn’t previously approved the structure for actively managed funds. Dimensional has had conversations with the SEC about its plan and is hopeful for approval, says co-Chief Executive Gerard O’Reilly.

“It’s important for Dimensional and a big deal for the industry,” said O’Reilly. “It would enable more choice for the financial professionals we work with, and we think it can bring cost savings to the end investors.”
Newer players focus on smaller managed funds seeing a boom.
 
A bit odd that people keep invest so much money given the trend have been that return of investment have slowed down atleast since like the 40s, although I guess that is not the goal of stock trading. Too be fair there is a significant amount of people, which including like me who could like invest $1000 or more each month on stocks which according to various compunding interest caculators would end up like over $1 million in 30 years or so.

Seems like it overtime gotten easier and easier to save money given real wages have gone up overtime, meaning probably less and less money go towards the necessary stuff, meaning people probably have more money to spend and drive up stock prices.
 
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The latest crash an burn initiated by Trumpowski erased a lot of value from world markets. In particular, Nasdaq Composite fell 26.8% from the peak in December 2024 to the latest bottom on the 7th of April 2025. Whether we passed the rock bottom is unknowable, what is clear to me - the time has come to start looking for new trades.

March 2024 I closed, with a heavy heart, my Nvidia position, because I believed at the time the AI revolution was almost done.

My area of interest during past 8 months was Space. Last year I started using Twitter for the first time - now I am subscribed to 10 largest space agencies and 10 largest space companies across the world. My daily feed is peaceful, hopeful and irrationally exuberant. September last year I’ve initiated position in Rocketlab (a USA-New Zealand company), which specialises in space launch and satellite assembly. I’ve been adding small peanuts to that position roughly every month since then.

The plan is to continue doing it for several years going forward.

I know some of you are into that sort of thing.

Any trading ideas or economic feels you don’t mind sharing, I and several others will be happy to read!
 
The latest crash an burn initiated by Trumpowski erased a lot of value from world markets. In particular, Nasdaq Composite fell 26.8% from the peak in December 2024 to the latest bottom on the 7th of April 2025. Whether we passed the rock bottom is unknowable, what is clear to me - the time has come to start looking for new trades.

March 2024 I closed, with a heavy heart, my Nvidia position, because I believed at the time the AI revolution was almost done.

My area of interest during past 8 months was Space. Last year I started using Twitter for the first time - now I am subscribed to 10 largest space agencies and 10 largest space companies across the world. My daily feed is peaceful, hopeful and irrationally exuberant. September last year I’ve initiated position in Rocketlab (a USA-New Zealand company), which specialises in space launch and satellite assembly. I’ve been adding small peanuts to that position roughly every month since then.

The plan is to continue doing it for several years going forward.

I know some of you are into that sort of thing.

Any trading ideas or economic feels you don’t mind sharing, I and several others will be happy to read!
Buy and hold: total stock market and S&P 500 index funds (Vanguard!) Low cost, tax efficient, cheap now. Reinvest earnings. No single stock risk. Ride them down and then ride them up collecting returns all the while.
 
My current allocation of what I put towards my nest egg is:

100% - age = % I use to speculate in individual stocks

Age = % into EFTs

EFT Allocation

50% VOO (Vanguard S&P 500)
20% QQQM (Invesco NASDAQ 100)
15% VT (Vanguard Total world Stock)
15% SCHG (Schwab US Large Cap Growth)
 
I use to have about the 70 % of my savings invested in bonds, fixed terms deposits and other zero risk products, the other 30% is mostly generic ETFs, both European and USA, but also some speculation. My most recent good move was to buy Rheinmetall in January, when Trump began with his horse hockey about NATO, EU and such. It has more than duplicated. I should have bought more it was a pretty evident move.
 
good move was to buy Rheinmetall

Good move so far, no question.

Do you think Rheinmetall will have demand rising through the next 12-24 months? I have this perception that the landscape changed with US backing out of Eastern war and attempting to drag the whole merry band into the area of Taiwan and Iran. If that is to happen, and Eastern European conflict is to reduce in significance - would RM still see it’s orders rise, supplying allies in aforementioned new theaters of war?
 
Eastern European conflict wilI remain the same for said Eastern European countries, not matter what Trump say or think, also Rheinmetall is getting many orders from Western Europe and the rest of the world after seeing as unreliable USA is as a partner. Trump stupid claims about export versions being 10% less capable were pure gold for the ones like RM and a knife in the back for American weapons industry. So US image is going to be difficult to repair and Rheinmetall and the German government know it so they are making long term investments to expand its production. Otoh after several setbacks due to his big mouth I think we will see less idiotic -bombastic announcements from the orange clown.

So I don't think Rheinmetall will rise much more, but I don't think it will fall either. I plan to keep it there for about three more months to see what Trump comes up with when the supposed postponement of tariffs ends, maybe he will come with something specially stooopid and Rheinmetall rises again, but I doubt it.
 
The +30% increase and close to doubling in market cap value in very short time of Rheinmetall, Thales, BAE Systems, SAAB, Leonardo and others, reflect market expectations and a completely renewed European/EU defense policy. A reset of sorts in the light of a new defense doctrine.

They are likely to keep rising in value in coming months/years, because there are actual funds, demand and increasing production capacity for what they produce. But the 'Eldorado gold rush' phase has likely passed. That is normal. Who I think will come out on top in the end, depends on who of the candidates gets the upper hand in drone technology, anti-air solutions, satellites, affordable mass-produced missiles, anti-sabotage measures, cyber warfare and implementation of AI into their weapons systems. You will see a convergence of what kinds of systems the Ukrainians use with the best results and what the industry and policy makers will pursue.

There are platforms where the US is still a generation ahead of Europe and European nations will still buy US tech and weapons.
 
Good buying opportunity if you don't need short term liquidity. Someone's going to blink at some point. In the interim, some companies will look to produce more in the US and some countries will make deals.

Amazon and Tesla are still overpriced but some others like Apache are good buys again.
 
In the grand tradition of Marx and Engels I own stocks, but quite literally 99% of my portfolio is just long term mutual funds I will hold until retirement. I don’t want to day trade like Marx did.

I do have a small collection of “fun” stocks (the other 1% of my portfolio) that are mostly video game companies. My Nintendo and Sony stocks have done great the last calendar year. I have a few hundred shares of Atari that have done pretty well. I bought into Apple when it got down to like $170.

I use my shares to vote for militant DEI and worker ownership in all shareholder meetings.
 
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