Fr8monkey
Deity
Went from WWII to WWI... Figures. No one on this site can stay on track.
Austro-Hungary are also scum for demanding absolutely ridiculous things from the Serbs in an effort to force a war.
They forced the issue when it wasn't a certain thing. They also started the war in a way that was only to make them look like reprehensible monsters. Consequently, they lost almost all of there diplomatic room for manoeuvre.
What were they going to gain from a war?
The German plan was to sacrifice its whole fleet to try to make a blockade infeasible. It was ridiculously optimistic in the first instance and completely ignored the psychological impact of actually ordering you nice shiny fleet to commit suicide. The Kaiser wouldn't and couldn't let it happen. Consequently, blockade became inevitable and the German navy lost whatever tawdry strategic worth it had: Glorified floating tin cans.
Belgium is obvious but Austria-Hungary? Seriously? I would say of the major powers involved Russia had the best reason.
A terrorist government? I think it's a well accepted fact that Princip and his group were independent from the Serbian government. Austria knew this too, and still forced Serbia into war to gain some more land.The war is entirely Russia's fault, because they chose to pursue their folly policy of Pan-Slavism by aiding a terrorist government. This is what activated the web of alliances that resulted in the World War.
A terrorist government? I think it's a well accepted fact that Princip and his group were independent from the Serbian government. Austria knew this too, and still forced Serbia into war to gain some more land.
The Russians were defending someone, an otherwise practically defenseless nation I might add, against the clear aggressor.
The people who were pursuing confrontational diplomacy in 1914 were not the Central Powers, but rather the Entente. The Great Power system worked to preserve peace in large part because Great Powers didn't go to war with other Great Powers over small powers. In 1853, the British and French backed the Ottoman Empire against Russia and caused the most drastic series of wars and shifts in Continental political power since Napoleon. In 1859, the French backed Piedmont against Austria and continued the trend. In 1887, Austria-Hungary and Germany did not back Bulgaria against Russia and kept the peace. In 1909, Russia did not back Serbia against Germany and kept the peace. Russia's, and more specifically the Tsar's and Sazonov's, decision to treat Serbia's continuing prestige as a middle-rank power as a key Russian interest did more than any German or Habsburg initiative ever did to spark the July Crisis.
I'm not arguing that Russia wasn't the main cause of the war, anyways. Although it was bound to happen, at the very least France vs. Germany round 2 would have occurred soon.
LightSpectra said:Yeah, that's typically what happens when your government sponsors terrorism against another country. I think the A-H demands were perfectly reasonable.
LightSpectra said:No denial from me on this point. I never said the Schlieffen Plan was a good idea or a morally laudable one.
LightSpectra said:What is this in response to? I only said that an Anglo-German war would've been significantly less bloody than a land war with just France; and obviously, both are less bloody than what actually occurred.
LightSpectra said:The war is entirely Russia's fault, because they chose to pursue their folly policy of Pan-Slavism by aiding a terrorist government. This is what activated the web of alliances that resulted in the World War.
LightSpectra said:It might not have, which is why it's unfair to blame either nation for the beginning of WWI. It's either Serbia's, Austria-Hungary's or Russia's fault; every other nation's involvement was based on alliances with the former three.
That's rubbish. They wanted a war and gave an ultimatum calculated to cause one. And when that didn't work. They declared war anyway despite the obvious repercussions.
You said it was morally permissible to save lives yet it almost guaranteed British intervention and a longer war.
How was an Anglo-German war going to work?
No more than anyone else. It certainly wouldn't have happened if Russia wasn't willing to back up Serbia but likewise it wouldn't have happened in Austro-Hungary hadn't decided to punish Serbia whatever the case.
Contrast the bolded with this.
Besides, it wasn't like Germany's blank cheque or France's the same had anything to do with galvanising Austro-Hungarian and Russian belligerency respectively did it?
LightSpectra said:How did it "not work"? The fact that the Serbian government was subsidizing terrorist organizations seems like a reasonable justification for war to me. Serbia had already been de facto at war with Austria-Hungary if she was supporting organizations with the specific intention of disrupting Austria-Hungary.
That's also a misrepresentation of what actually happened. The Austrians gave a ultimatum calculated deliberately to cause a war. The Serbians gave in fully to the ultimatum with only one term rejected and a handful of written reservations. Austro-Hungary then knocked it back and declared war anyway with German complicity in the whole affair.LightSpectra said:A-H presented a final ultimatum to prevent an open war; Serbia refused; and thus the Austro-Serbian war was transformed from one of subterfuge to a conventional war.
LightSpectra said:I never said it was morally permissible. I said I have trouble unilaterally condemning the invasion of Belgium because of its good intentions, but the previous sentence of this was "I reject the utilitarian reasoning."
LightSpectra said:The Germans planned that the BEF would be mostly wiped out during the Schlieffen Plan, and if Britain chose to continue the war, it would've been primarily a naval one. From the reasoning of Alfred von Schlieffen and Helmuth Johann Ludwig von Moltke, this is preferable to a prolonged war with only France.
LightSpectra said:Why shouldn't A-H have invaded Serbia? If the Austrians had let it remain an espionage war, then they've given up their greatest advantage, which is their superior military status.
LightSpectra said:Secondary factors, if anything. The intent of Austria-Hungary was to pacify the belligerent Serbs, and the intent of Russia was to defend its regional ally. These intents are not altered by the attitude of their allies, only their practicality.
Not really, if he seriously attempted to declare war without the consent of congress, he likely would have been impeached.3. FDR would be impeached the same day if it was even attempted. (exaggeration, obviously)
I always thought I looked a lot like that Brad Pitt guy...It's actually a bit closer to Fight Club.
We? Britain or the US? Or both?We should have sided with the Germans against Russia and France in 1914.
It would have been very interesting indeed. No matter what Godwyn's answer is.That would of proven very interesting
I'm just wondering How come? Whats wrong with France/Britain/Germany.. etc..
To be fair, there was a chance that Britain might not get involved until it was too late to do anything. The Germans were counting on that, but, as you said, miscalculated.The Germans weren't lily-white in this. They miscalculated on a monumental scale and by there actions guaranteed a general European war with everyone involved.
Well this is inaccurate. Britain entered the war primarily due to domestic concerns, though they were legitimately worried about Germany's naval and colonial expansion. If Belgium's neutrality had not been violated, they would have been without a very welcome pretext for entering the war, but they'd have found one regardless.And in doing so it set the tenor of the war. German violation of Belgian neutrality bought the British into the war something the Germans had already considered a likely thing.
Considering the fact that Britain never actually stated that they'd defend Belgian neutrality in the led-up to the war, even when Germany carefully sounded them out on the matter, this isn't precisely accurate either.Which leads into this contorted piece of apologist logic. The Germans invaded Belgium knowing all that while that it would draw the British into the war with the likelihood of prolonging the war significantly.
They met most of the terms, hedged on several, only outright refusing one. It was a pretty fair compromise which they offered. To be honest, it was probably a lot more than they needed to offer in compromise.didn't Serbia meat their ultimatum?
Austro-Hungarian generals were scum for pushing for war. Not the country itself.Austro-Hungary are also scum for demanding absolutely ridiculous things from the Serbs in an effort to force a war. Which they did anyway.
Breathing room. France and Russia were very quickly pulling ahead of Germany. The Reich needed to remove the clear and immediate threat of the Franco-Russian alliance. I don't believe they even had any long-term plans at the time - though the September Plan, drawn up after the war broke out, has often been cited as such, incorrectly. They were simply trying to preserve their empire from what they saw as a huge threat.What were they going to gain from a war?
That's from the September Plan. It isn't an accurate representation of German thinking at the time. They came up with that later, when it became obvious that they were stuck fighting a prolonged war with Britain, and would have no choice but to cripple France long-term if they were to win.They couldn't cripple France unless they were willing to completely occupy it (hardly a feasible thing) and they couldn't hope to hold onto Belgium or the Channel Ports without incurring British wrath.
I doubt Britain would have stayed involved had France fallen quickly. What could they possibly do? They couldn't invade France if it capitulated, and there were no other friendly powers in the area. Supplying Russia would also have been virtually impossible. Had France fallen quickly, it is very likely that the Central Powers would have won the war. Even Russia couldn't hold out against them both,and would be forced to make peace. Austria-Hungary would gain ground in the Balkans wile Germany would temporarily cripple its two most pressing threats, buying it enough time to seek a rapprochement with Britain; that's what Germany really needed to survive as a great power.Even if they only demanded colonies that wouldn't have crippled France and it would still have pissed the British off not to mention it would have spread out the German military that little bit more. Furthermore, stripping peripheral territories from Russia was just going to piss the Russians off in perpetuity for little tangible gain and create its own problems: Polish Question. So what do we have? All three major powers arranged against Germany and Austro-Hungary while they both struggle to digest whatever gains minimal they've made. Even a quick German victory offered them nothing but problems in the long term with yet another Franco-Prussian war to be avenged with Britain and Russia firmly on side this time around regardless of what happens.
Oh, don't get me started on the stupidity of Germany's naval construction programme in the late 19th-early 20th centuries.The German plan was to sacrifice its whole fleet to try to make a blockade infeasible. It was ridiculously optimistic in the first instance and completely ignored the psychological impact of actually ordering you nice shiny fleet to commit suicide. The Kaiser wouldn't and couldn't let it happen. Consequently, blockade became inevitable and the German navy lost whatever tawdry strategic worth it had: Glorified floating tin cans.
Agreed.FWIW, This discussion on WWI is way more interesting than a "what if?" scenario on WWII.
Bull. The US was very pro-Entente - specifically pro-Britain - from the very beginning of the war. You'll notice that Woodrow Wilson vehemently protested German attacks on US shipping, but said very little about similar British and French attacks. Both sides mistreated the US in the first two years of the war, and with good reason; they needed to keep supplies from America reaching their enemies a hell of a lot more than they needed a friendly US. The US entered the war in 1917 due to the pretext of the Zimmerman Telegram; a telegram the authenticity of which is still argued to this day. It had nothing to do with attacks on merchant shipping, though the amount of money this cost the US doubtless annoyed American businesses.About the Entente, Germain U-Boats were attacking US ships. If they weren't, the US would've stayed out. In that case IIRC it wasn't any of the US Business.
Serbia did not sponsor the Black Hand. Certain members of the Serbian military and government did, including the head of Serbian Covert Intelligence. But the government itself not only had nothing to do with the BH, it actually denounced its actions. Austria-Hungary's demands went too far.Yeah, that's typically what happens when your government sponsors terrorism against another country. I think the A-H demands were perfectly reasonable.
Serbia was not a terrorist government, though it was certainly a bellicose one. And Russia aided Serbia more to keep Austria-Hungary from seizing the initiative in the Balkans than out of any purported "Pan-Slavic" policy.The war is entirely Russia's fault, because they chose to pursue their folly policy of Pan-Slavism by aiding a terrorist government. This is what activated the web of alliances that resulted in the World War.
It was more to curtail Russian influence in the region than to gain any influence themselves. It's an ironic truism of WWI that every major party believed they were acting defensively, and to a large extent, actually were.A terrorist government? I think it's a well accepted fact that Princip and his group were independent from the Serbian government. Austria knew this too, and still forced Serbia into war to gain some more land.
A Franco-Russian attack on Germany was the most likely war between great powers that could have occurred had WWI not happened, but the myth of the war's inevitability is just that; myth. The war could have been avoided had any of the sides legitimately wanted to avoid it; none of them did, as they all saw the war playing out to their benefit.I'm not arguing that Russia wasn't the main cause of the war, anyways. Although it was bound to happen, at the very least France vs. Germany round 2 would have occurred soon.
Firstly, "they" didn't provoke Austria-hungary; a terrorist group operating without their consent did so. Secondly, the terrorist group was actually pretty smart to do this; the BH realised that a general European war would likely cause the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire and leave Russia too weak to enforce its will on Serbia, enabling the creation of a "Greater Serbia," or "Kingdom of the Southern Slavs." This is exactly what happened. Provoking Austria-Hungary to war was the smartest thing a Pan-Slavist in Serbia could have done at the time.Maybe they shouldn't have provoked a much more powerful country if they were "practically defenseless." As for the point that Russia was simply defending a weak nation, Dachs has explained this:
It's pretty much everyone's fault. Austria-Hungary is the only nation that really could have stopped it, but they knew full-well that they needed to forestall both Russian and Serbian ambitions in the Balkans, and soon, if they were to keep their empire.It might not have, which is why it's unfair to blame either nation for the beginning of WWI. It's either Serbia's, Austria-Hungary's or Russia's fault; every other nation's involvement was based on alliances with the former three.
Back to WWII I see. In early 1940, probably France as I suggested. At any other time, it would likely be played out as it was in OTL.Generally, if you're the aggressor, you're not seen as the one on the moral high ground. Everyone sympathizes for the defenders. Where would the US attack Germany if they entered the war?
The problem with that, though, is that it serves no-one's interests, other than Austria-Hungary's. That's why none of the other parties were happy with it, and began to act more and more precipitously and bellicosely as the Crisis deepened.Russia wouldn't have stepped in had France not supported it: it couldn't have won a war alone against Germany and Austro-Hungary. Likewise, Austro-Hungary wouldn't have stepped in so forcefully if Germany hadn't supported it: it couldn't have won a war against Russia on its own. If neither power had offered such open ended support nothing would have happened: Serbia would have accepted the Austro-Hungarian ultimatum with some caveats, like it did, and Austro-Hungary would have got what it wanted a reduction in Serb capacities to cause trouble.
Considering the fact that Britain never actually stated that they'd defend Belgian neutrality in the led-up to the war, even when Germany carefully sounded them out on the matter, this isn't precisely accurate either.
Lord Baal said:To be fair, there was a chance that Britain might not get involved until it was too late to do anything. The Germans were counting on that, but, as you said, miscalculated.
Lord Baal said:Well this is inaccurate. Britain entered the war primarily due to domestic concerns, though they were legitimately worried about Germany's naval and colonial expansion. If Belgium's neutrality had not been violated, they would have been without a very welcome pretext for entering the war, but they'd have found one regardless.
Lord Baal said:Considering the fact that Britain never actually stated that they'd defend Belgian neutrality in the led-up to the war, even when Germany carefully sounded them out on the matter, this isn't precisely accurate either.
Lord Baal said:They met most of the terms, hedged on several, only outright refusing one. It was a pretty fair compromise which they offered. To be honest, it was probably a lot more than they needed to offer in compromise.
Lord Baal said:Austro-Hungarian generals were scum for pushing for war. Not the country itself.
Lord Baal said:Breathing room. France and Russia were very quickly pulling ahead of Germany. The Reich needed to remove the clear and immediate threat of the Franco-Russian alliance. I don't believe they even had any long-term plans at the time - though the September Plan, drawn up after the war broke out, has often been cited as such, incorrectly. They were simply trying to preserve their empire from what they saw as a huge threat.
Lord Baal said:Oh, don't get me started on the stupidity of Germany's naval construction programme in the late 19th-early 20th centuries.
Lord Baal said:That's from the September Plan. It isn't an accurate representation of German thinking at the time. They came up with that later, when it became obvious that they were stuck fighting a prolonged war with Britain, and would have no choice but to cripple France long-term if they were to win.
Lord Baal said:I doubt Britain would have stayed involved had France fallen quickly. What could they possibly do? They couldn't invade France if it capitulated, and there were no other friendly powers in the area. Supplying Russia would also have been virtually impossible. Had France fallen quickly, it is very likely that the Central Powers would have won the war. Even Russia couldn't hold out against them both,and would be forced to make peace. Austria-Hungary would gain ground in the Balkans wile Germany would temporarily cripple its two most pressing threats, buying it enough time to seek a rapprochement with Britain; that's what Germany really needed to survive as a great power.
Lord Baal said:The problem with that, though, is that it serves no-one's interests, other than Austria-Hungary's. That's why none of the other parties were happy with it, and began to act more and more precipitously and bellicosely as the Crisis deepened.
Creator of thread here. Stay on topic. Feel free to start a WWI thread if you want to.
Yes but you can do what Bush did and send your troops wherever you feel like it. At times, I think it is justified, though if they want to take the time I could understand congress impeaching.
However, we never formally declared war in Iraq. Hell, WWII was the last time we've formally declared war. Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. were all "police actions". From the wording of the poll question, it explicitly mentions 'declaring war', not merely 'stick troops in another country'.
Creator of thread here. Stay on topic. Feel free to start a WWI thread if you want to.
I answered your question pages ago. This WWI discussion is far more interesting and without it your thread has essentially outlived its usefulness completely.Creator of thread here. Stay on topic. Feel free to start a WWI thread if you want to.