Mafia Game- The New Year

IceKommander doesn't have any clues to explain. I guess that falls to me...
Lightfang was sniped by a soldier while operating in a giant desert.
Soldier => NotW and giant desert => antartica, which is icy and our biggest desert.
 
Well played, ForestAuro. But also lucky. Lucky, lucky ForestAuro.

Electric926... why? Why'd you change your vote? I just can't fathom why on Earth you would do that! From your point of view (i.e. knowing that you are innocent) then since you knew that this was going to be the last round anyway, and since CC has already said that both players will die in a tie, you had a 2/3 chance of winning the game as an innocent, only losing if it turned out to be sirtommy. But by changing your vote, that probability went down to 1/3 - you halved your own chance of winning the game!

I mean... whaaaat? :dubious:
 
Variable change again... It appears so unnatural to most people.

Anyway, who killed me again ?

EDIT : No, that's not variable change. But yeah, probabilities sometimes seem to be illogical.
 
So you're saying there was a legitimate reason for electric to change his vote? 'Cause I honestly can't see it, or imagine what I'm missing here...

It doesn't fit Monty Hall if that's what you're saying. (Surely if Monty lets you choose two doors instead of one, then while my one-third-two-thirds rambling was probably wrong, you're better off choosing two doors, right?)
 
Variable change again... It appears so unnatural to most people.

Anyway, who killed me again ?

EDIT : No, that's not variable change. But yeah, probabilities sometimes seem to be illogical.
All the killings were done by TheForestAuro
 
I misinterperated my own logic.

facepalmrj8.png
 
I don't mind if tailless does it. I'm working on another interesting mafia game, but I haven't worked out all the details yet, so I'll wait until the next one's over.
 
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