I'm telling the truth about my ability. Frozen has said this is a strange game, and maybe he would give me/rhawn the opportunity to kill you or Stuck in Pi if one of you had a super-powered mafia role, or perhaps you actually were playing even before you got here?
Now that medical kit discussion is over (its going to CivGeneral. Sorry Pizza

), here is my thoughts so far
So far, we've seen the existence of several characters.
Silent Ash, being our bad guys. They obviously wants to destroy us all.
Now on our side, we have... or we seems to have a several talented personnel each having a strong ability while the silent ash is on their own.
Sure, its the items which gives them powerful ability (like Med kit allowing to heal 1 injured player per night) and claimed Metal Cylinder which works as a recording device. And sure Silent Ash can get their hands on those items too. But overall, they're chance is bad. We have numerical advantage and we even have two commanders who we can organize the town efforts.
So unless Silent Ash still has 3 or 4 more members to back them up, they're pretty much done for.
But we havn't got their tail since night 1?
Heres few possible theories
1. Because who ever was leading the argument was the bad guy.
This is why we all want to lynch Diamond eye I believe.
He was the one who proposed Autolycus lynch on night 1. It was someone else (Nictel was it?) who suggested Autolycus to him in the first place, but if Diamondeye was indeed his team mate, would he be willing to do a mass campaign against him? Instead of saying something innocent like "I'll discuss it with the commanders" or "I need more proof" and having that informant night killed?
This is why I believe Diamond eye. Despite my early suspicions on him.
2. Silent Ash is someone who we could never guess.
Like in the novel I read sometimes ago, who ever organized the whole thing is the baddy. Like our missing commander Frozen in Ice him self. Yes and I have a reason to be paranoid, because some Italian guy namely our cook, who likes organizing stuff also likes doing this.
Sprig and Methos who is our acting commander atm is also a possibility. They are the ones who should be organizing the town effort. If one of them is Silent Ash, it would be hard to detect them.
3. ITS THE AGENTS!
Like Sprig (or was it Pizzaguy?) said, why else would rhawn/Choxorn have a ability to pick off a approaching figure? Especially if he is indeed innocent?
I say at least one of the agent is a bad egg. If not both of them are.
I'll vote for the quieter agent
Stuck in Pi