JerichoHill
Bedrock of Knowledge
Somehow, I don't think that the hunter/gatherer lifestyle of tribes was as idyllic and ideal as you seem to present Narz. Now I am not going to claim that Africa's better off, but I think some parts definitely are, and other are on the way up.
We're not going to stop importing stuff from long-distances. Before combustion engines, we had ships, horses, etc. Now have have combustion. Later on we'll have fuel cells. The absolute trend in transportional costs is downward, throughout history. I will not bet on that trend to not continue.
World population is expected to plateau at 8-12 billion (love estimates). It is the poorer countries that are driving any continued growth, as developed countries pretty much have negative birth rates amongst their native population. This is because labor is the method of production in poorer countries, and machinery is the same in richer countries. Thus, in the poorer countries, there is an economic incentive to have large families (and also their death/disease rates).
If anyone wants to here me prattle and list alot of examples of the market shifting from using one resource to another in a short time frame (oh 5-10 years for a complete change), I'd be happy to go into it, as there are numerous examples in the past 5-10 years (how funny).
Everyone here will grow old and find that 1) the world sure has changed, and 2) that the world still has problems, and 3) All the problems that existed 20 years prior are no longer talked about. There is always some new calamity threatening to wipe us out coming along right before we stop discussing the previous ones.
We're not going to stop importing stuff from long-distances. Before combustion engines, we had ships, horses, etc. Now have have combustion. Later on we'll have fuel cells. The absolute trend in transportional costs is downward, throughout history. I will not bet on that trend to not continue.
World population is expected to plateau at 8-12 billion (love estimates). It is the poorer countries that are driving any continued growth, as developed countries pretty much have negative birth rates amongst their native population. This is because labor is the method of production in poorer countries, and machinery is the same in richer countries. Thus, in the poorer countries, there is an economic incentive to have large families (and also their death/disease rates).
If anyone wants to here me prattle and list alot of examples of the market shifting from using one resource to another in a short time frame (oh 5-10 years for a complete change), I'd be happy to go into it, as there are numerous examples in the past 5-10 years (how funny).
Everyone here will grow old and find that 1) the world sure has changed, and 2) that the world still has problems, and 3) All the problems that existed 20 years prior are no longer talked about. There is always some new calamity threatening to wipe us out coming along right before we stop discussing the previous ones.