Fred is correct. I think CP, and us as a team, need to know whether tech trading will, in fact, lead to peace? If the odds, or the SDK, show that we have a good chance of getting peace by trading, there will be less need to build an Army. Should a test show that tech trading will have a small chance of success in getting a peace deal, then we had better start chopping and whipping or we will end up on the dustbin of history!
Yes, all of the above.
edit - perhaps zamint or hawk have some experience with this in their test games? If not, is the latest test game for the road to CS sling available to run some tests?