saamohod
Deity
Or for the arrival of the F-16. Just guessing.
[RD] Russia Invades Ukraine: Eight
- Thread starter Birdjaguar
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Diplomacy Russian Style:
Invade your neighbors, turn cities into rubble; kidnap children, blow up dams, and claim it is not your fault but Russia is the victim of Western aggression.
Snowygerry
Deity
Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
Alternatively: warn against repeated NATO provocation and win the proxy war against the US, with Ukraine left a landlocked economic basket case with no future. Early negotiations were a much better course.
The last objective is in sight. Could take a couple of years, but that will seal off the south.
Governor: Russia hits infrastructure in Odesa Oblast
Governor: Russia hits infrastructure in Odesa Oblast
Russian forces struck infrastructure in Odesa Oblast on the morning of April 17, Governor Oleh Kiper reported.
Yes, and?
Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
Loss of refining capacity increases oil prices (Biden warned about!), which benefits some countries more than others. Uncertainty over Iran adds to the problem for some too.
Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
An influential global body has forecast Russia's economy will grow faster than all of the world's advanced economies, including the US, this year.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Russia to grow 3.2% this year, significantly more than the UK, France and Germany.
Oil exports have "held steady" and government spending has "remained high" contributing to growth, the IMF said
www.bbc.com
US Congress is considering a vote this week. Might work, or more likely, lawyers will be the winners again.
Londongrad forever? Why the UK may never seize Russian assets
LONDON ― In politics, reality rarely matches rhetoric. And the reality is Britain will probably never seize Russia’s money.
Plenty of bold words have been bandied about since Russia launched its illegal invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In Britain’s capital — nicknamed “Londongrad” for its reputation as a playground for Russian oligarchs — Cabinet Minister Michael Gove called for the mansions of Russian magnates to be seized to house Ukrainian refugees.
Others suggested taking the Russian assets in Britain’s banks to help fund Ukraine’s defense, or to help rebuild Ukraine after the war.
But two years later, and despite much grandstanding, little has been done to seize Russian assets — whether those owned by the oligarchs or, more realistically, those of the central bank.
POLITICO spoke to multiple sanctions lawyers and policy experts, all of whom say that — regardless of political peacocking — there is and will never be any legal standing to take frozen Russian money, property or other assets.
www.politico.eu
Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
An influential global body has forecast Russia's economy will grow faster than all of the world's advanced economies, including the US, this year.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Russia to grow 3.2% this year, significantly more than the UK, France and Germany.
Oil exports have "held steady" and government spending has "remained high" contributing to growth, the IMF said
Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
The IMF estimates Russia's economy will grow faster than the likes of the US, UK and Germany this year.
www.bbc.com
US Congress is considering a vote this week. Might work, or more likely, lawyers will be the winners again.
Londongrad forever? Why the UK may never seize Russian assets
LONDON ― In politics, reality rarely matches rhetoric. And the reality is Britain will probably never seize Russia’s money.
Plenty of bold words have been bandied about since Russia launched its illegal invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In Britain’s capital — nicknamed “Londongrad” for its reputation as a playground for Russian oligarchs — Cabinet Minister Michael Gove called for the mansions of Russian magnates to be seized to house Ukrainian refugees.
Others suggested taking the Russian assets in Britain’s banks to help fund Ukraine’s defense, or to help rebuild Ukraine after the war.
But two years later, and despite much grandstanding, little has been done to seize Russian assets — whether those owned by the oligarchs or, more realistically, those of the central bank.
POLITICO spoke to multiple sanctions lawyers and policy experts, all of whom say that — regardless of political peacocking — there is and will never be any legal standing to take frozen Russian money, property or other assets.
Londongrad forever? Why the UK may never seize Russian assets
Pledges to take Russian money to help Ukraine face a litany of legal and tactical quandaries.
Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
No weapons, no troops, no will to risk their lives in a hopeless situation.
Ukraine is heading for defeat
Just ask a Ukrainian soldier if he still believes the West will stand by Kyiv “for as long as it takes.” That pledge rings hollow when it’s been four weeks since your artillery unit last had a shell to fire, as one serviceman complained from the front lines.
It’s not just that Ukraine’s forces are running out of ammunition. Western delays over sending aid mean the country is dangerously short of something even harder to supply than shells: the fighting spirit required to win.
Why Ukraine is losing the war with Russia
The West’s failure to send weapons to Kyiv is putting Putin on course for victory.
Another Caesar was hit apparently.
And that number of trucks lost by Russia is unusual. That and the Chinese golf carts, some wonders if they're either running out of BMP, or they're restocking them for a summer offensive, while keeping pressure on the front with slightly mechanized meat waves.
And that number of trucks lost by Russia is unusual. That and the Chinese golf carts, some wonders if they're either running out of BMP, or they're restocking them for a summer offensive, while keeping pressure on the front with slightly mechanized meat waves.
Russia continues to deliberately target civilians.
Not one, not two, but three missiles. On civilians.
Not one, not two, but three missiles. On civilians.
saamohod
Deity
I've been seeing UA soldiers feedback about Caesars for some time now. The consensus seems to be that this one is the solid best of all the self-propelled artillery types we're currently having.
Refineries are not the only targets for Ukrainian long range drones.
Bomber Plant in Tatarstan (500km)
www.kyivpost.com
Radio Communication Center in Kovylkino, Mordovia (800km)
www.kyivpost.com
Bomber Plant in Tatarstan (500km)
Kyiv Strikes Kremlin’s Bomber Plant in Tatarstan, Intel Sources Say
Kyiv Post’s HUR sources confirm that on Wednesday morning its drones hit a Russian factory in Kazan where Tu-22M and Tu-160M bombers are built and repaired.
www.kyivpost.com
Radio Communication Center in Kovylkino, Mordovia (800km)
Ukrainian Drones Destroy Radio Communication Center 680 km Inside Russia
Kyiv Post sources confirmed the attack on the 590th separate radio technical unit of the military unit 84680, located in Kovylkino, Mordovia, Russia.
www.kyivpost.com
Hopefully 78 more should be sent during this year.
Thorgalaeg
Deity
Or for both things, and use F-16 to attack the bridge with some guided bombs. Would be risky but I don't see other way for Ukraine to destroy it if they don't get the proper weapons for doing so.
Btw how many months since last time Ukraine got substantial aid from US and Russia not making substantial advances anyway?
Loss of refining capacity increases oil prices (Biden warned about!), which benefits some countries more than others. Uncertainty over Iran adds to the problem for some too.
Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
An influential global body has forecast Russia's economy will grow faster than all of the world's advanced economies, including the US, this year.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Russia to grow 3.2% this year, significantly more than the UK, France and Germany.
Oil exports have "held steady" and government spending has "remained high" contributing to growth, the IMF said
Russia to grow faster than all advanced economies says IMF
The IMF estimates Russia's economy will grow faster than the likes of the US, UK and Germany this year.
Growth fueled by a war economy...
and
Roughly half of Russia's operational army as it stood in February 2022 is now gone. Troops, tanks, BMPs, trucks. Some of those losses are recouped by the Russian defense industry working overtime, but they are losing material faster than they can produce replacements or pull out mothballed Cold War era stuff made in the 1950s and 60s. The Russian armed forces are being depleted daily, which is good news if you want to contain Putin's ambition for conquest and landgrab.
And?
What are you trying to say? How does it relate to the mobilisation bill?
Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
Not me - it's a report from yesterday by an American in Kyiv. And yes it also relates to mobilisation.
From the same article in Politico...
Morale among troops is grim, ground down by relentless bombardment, a lack of advanced weapons, and losses on the battlefield. In cities hundreds of miles away from the front, the crowds of young men who lined up to join the army in the war’s early months have disappeared. Nowadays, eligible would-be recruits dodge the draft and spend their afternoons in nightclubs instead. Many have left the country altogether.
As I discovered while reporting from Ukraine over the past month, the picture that emerged from dozens of interviews with political leaders, military officers, and ordinary citizens was one of a country slipping towards disaster.
Even as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says Ukraine is trying to find a way not to retreat, military officers privately accept that more losses are inevitable this summer. The only question is how bad they will be. Vladimir Putin has arguably never been closer to his goal.
Young Ukrainians are dodging the military draft
Admittedly, Ukraine is no different from its neighboring European countries where recent opinion polls suggest large numbers would refuse to be conscripted even if their nations were under attack. But Ukraine is the country at war. An existential fight like this can’t be won without mobilizing the entire nation.
And yet, as the conflict continues, Ukrainians living in Kyiv and the center and west of the country — away from the front lines — appear in some ways to be ready to put up with war raging in the east, as long as they can get back to their normal lives.
Hence, there is draft-dodging: eligible young recruits find other things to do with their time, packing into hipster bars and techno clubs in the late afternoons.
Snowygerry
Deity
Sounds like the Ukrainian army is the victim of its own success, by stopping the Russians so far east they removed some of the sense of urgency in Kiev (and further west), is that what you’re saying ?
It’s not even unusual I think, you could probably write a similar report from Moscow, you’d hardly know there’s a war on.
It's often said that even in the midst of a great war, in most places absolutely nothing happens.
Reports from Charkov and Donetsk for example give a different impression.
It’s not even unusual I think, you could probably write a similar report from Moscow, you’d hardly know there’s a war on.
It's often said that even in the midst of a great war, in most places absolutely nothing happens.
Reports from Charkov and Donetsk for example give a different impression.
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Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
I'm not surprised that the estimates are very rubbery. It's difficult to assess them when we don't know the exact basis they used.
I wonder if they include the territory Ukraine has lost and will be hard pressed to regain.
Or if they include the Russian territorial gain (which they might find difficult to keep) in their estimates.
Comrade Ceasefire
Simmer slowly
Not me. It was from yesterday by Politico's Kyiv correspondent.
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