Round 10: 1472 AD to 1553 AD
A short round, but I have a few important decisions to make, so I thought it appropriate to stop here, share what's happened, and solicit advice.
(I also just wanna say that, based on the latest BtS previews,
Boudica looks awfully yummy.)
Anyway...
I had to wait a turn or so for a Hindu missionary to complete in Pasargadae, where I don't have a monastery. Then I was able to change civics to Free Religion, as suggested:
That did seem to help with research, and by the end of the round, it certainly improve relations with Ragnar and Isabella as well (along with a few other things, as you'll see).
As I kept track of what Huayna was up to, I noticed that he appeared to bee making a bee-line towards Rifling:
He appears to have bypassed Military Tradition and Cavalry for now. One of the decisions I have to make is whether or not to follow him down this particular tech path. More on that later.
A couple of turns later, Huayna declared war on Isabella again. He asked me to join in, but I turned him down, since he's my next target. In fact, I viewed his sudden DoW on Spain as an opportunity. I moved two stacks next to his nearest cities: Vitcos, just south of Beijing, and Zhou, just west of Tiflis. Then...
Even though I was a long way off from Steel yet, I figured I could take at least two cities from him and hurt him while most of his forces were focused on fighting Isabella to the west. If he grabbed a significant military tech lead, I could just make peace and play catch-up after having dealt him something of a hurtful blow.
I captured Vitcos on that very same turn:
Which gave me deer for health--very nice.
On the next turn, I removed most of the cultural defense at Zhou, down to 8%--the best I could do with the 2 Catapults and 2 Trebuchets I'd left behind up there. I decided not to wait one more turn to remove the defenses completely and use the Trebs for collateral damage. I had 2 Knights and 2 Musketmen to use for attack, and the city was only defended by a Longbowman and a Swordsman. My Knight had 73% odds against the Longbow--good enough, and he won, as did a Musket against the Swordsman.
I was very glad to capture this city, as it was a definite security concern--Huayna having a back door, as it were, to my empire. If I'd waited much longer, he probably would have been able to upgrade its city defenders to Riflemen, and they would have been much tougher to dislodge.
These battles earned me my next Great General, whom I sent to Shanghai to build a Military Academy:
Why there? Well, I'm anticipating making Shanghai my Ironworks city as soon as I have Steel--a military academy will boost its production of military units. My only regret is that I don't have a military city on the coast for naval units; I just don't have a developed coastal city with decent production that's close enough to the action.
I also decided to help out Isabella a little in return for some gold:
She's still not too happy with me because of some past events, but too bad. She's next after Huayna anyway, especially if he manages to make her a vassal. This seems likely; he managed to capture Santiago from her this round.
Finally, on the last turn of the round...
I was already building some Trebuchets in several cities; these switch production to Cannon as soon as Steel finished, so I have some hammers towards Cannon already, as you can see from the Domestic Advisor:
Nevertheless, most of those are several turns from completion, and then many of them will have a long trek to the front lines. Huayna is willing to talk again, and this is what he'd offer for a peace treaty:
No techs, but 440 gold ain't bad--it would allow me to upgrade a couple of units (Macemen to Grenadiers and/or Trebuchets to Cannon). So that is the first decision point I alluded to: should I take the peace treaty or keep fighting?
Vilcas, as you can see, is awfully close to Beijing, where the majority of my units are located, and the city is only defended by about 4 units from different eras. Many of Huayna's ships are there right now, too. So I was thinking of at least taking this city from him before making peace. Or should I take it and keep fighting? I haven't seen much counter-attack from him so far--just a couple of Knights. That could change if he makes peace with Isabella, though.
I managed to get Ragnar to Pleased thanks to Free Religion. (I've noticed Ragnar is rather touchy about religion; he's not a fanatic like Isabella, but like Shaka, he won't trade techs or much else with you if there are religious differences between you.) Also, I traded Paper to him for about 120 gold, gaining me a big diplomatic bonus with him there.
My techs compared to Huayna:
It's good to have Steel on him, but he's definitely more advanced and that's worrisome. I have Grenadiers and Cannon to counter Riflemen, should he proceed to that tech next. If he goes after Military Tradition, however, that would be more problematic--I don't have a decent counter other than throwing a lot of Cannon and Grens and veteran Pikemen at any Cavalry he might send my way. This is why I think following him down the same tech path, to Reliable Parts and Rifling, makes sense, so I have counters to whatever he throws at me. Nationalism and Reliable Parts will both take about 13 turns to research at my current rates.
Here's the power graph for the last 50 turns:
Huayna and I are very close at the moment, but that could change if and when he gets his next military tech. And he has a lot of gold stockpiled to upgrade units.
In terms of production, however, there's simply no contest:
So I could, theoretically, out-produce him--just keep pumping out Grenadiers and Cannon and overwhelm him with them. In the absence of counters, rely on numbers.
So--war or peace? Cavalry or Rifles?