Communism alive and kicking in Wales

I didn't look at the PDF, just the article (which commented on the whole of the UK, not just Wales). Your post was correct, then.

However, one thing to note is that the sample size of the poll was 2200, but only 114 of those polled were Welsh. The minimum sample size for this sort of thing is 1000, as the error is ~3%; the error in a sample size of 114 is ~9%, which is a huge error for a poll like this! It means that the Con vote is 38% +/- 9%, in other words, somewhere between 29% and 47%. I doubt you can draw any meaningful conclusions from the poll about what will happen next election.

If you can find a poll of Welsh voters (i.e. a poll where the sample size is > 1000), then I'd like to see it :) . I will not, however, be taking a Tory defeat in Wales for granted, this time round.


Hmm... I am sure you are right - This looks more to the norm from the Western Mail.

It still looks like the Tories are ‘alive and kicking in Wales’ but not above Labour . It looks like they will overtake PC and become the official opposition in Wales.
Opposition to a coalition that is.


This is dated 6/4/07
Western_Mail said:
LABOUR faces its worst election result in Wales in modern times, according to an opinion poll released last night.
The party would get only 36% of votes in constituency seats and 35% on regional lists - lower than in the first Assembly election in 1999 or in Margaret Thatcher's 1983 landslide.
The Conservatives are on 23% (24% in the regions), Plaid Cymru 20% (20%), Liberal Democrats 15% (15%), Others 6% (5%).

Once again this raises the prospect of a possible coalition between Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

ITV Wales' opinion poll, the first of the current election campaign, projects a new Assembly, based on current voting intentions, of 25 Labour AMs, 14 Conservative, 12 Plaid Cymru, seven Liberal Democrats and two Independents (Trish Law and John Marek). While some Labour diehards may entertain the notion of minority rule, in practice this would involve weekly impasses and votes of no confidence.
http://icwales.icnetwork.co.uk/0100...objectid=18866326&siteid=50082-name_page.html

More bad news for CD (re PR) from the above:
It had generally been thought that the Liberal Democrats' "bride price" would be insistence on the introduction of proportional representation for local government elections.
Following a robust rejection by Secretary of State Peter Hain that no such change would ever be sanctioned by Labour, this no longer seems to be an absolute condition for coalition. The Liberal Democrats, however, will still demand the enactment of some policies over which they can rightfully claim provenance.
 
If you've been to any gathering of leftists you would know that these guys sqabble all the time.

Yes, and if you've ever seen one group get in power, you know that the first thing they do is to kill all the other groups!

Oh right, Russia, Vietnam, China, Cuba, France, Hungary, North Korea, Cambodia, Laos, Mozambique, Angola, Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Grenada, and Nicaragua, have all had popular communist revolutions because they thought communism was a bad thing! :rolleyes:

Russia did not have a popular revolution in October 1917. It was a coup.

France and Afghanistan never had communist revolutions.

Communism was brought to Hungary and North Korea from outside.

Edit: And, as I mentioned in my first post, communism is now thought of as bad in some countries because they pretend that what happened in Russia, China etc. was actually communism. This is from people who have never read The Communist Manifesto :crazyeye:

What happened in China and Russia was all done by Communists, in the name of Communism, on the way to Communism, in the process of building Communism.

But, oh, right, it has absolutely nothing to do with Communism.

You guys are really living in your own little world.
 
What? When did Hungary or France ever have "popular communist revolutions" ?????
Russia did not have a popular revolution in October 1917. It was a coup.

France and Afghanistan never had communist revolutions.

Communism was brought to Hungary and North Korea from outside.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_Soviet_Republic
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_commune
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People's_Democratic_Party_of_Afghanistan

As for Russia, the way in which Lenin got into power has no bearing on the popularity of communism in Russia. The fact that communism was spread to Hungary and North Korea from outside of those countries has no bearing on whether or not the people inside those countries believed communism to be good.

What happened in China and Russia was all done by Communists...

This, said by someone who doesn't even know what a communist is.

in the name of Communism

So that they could do it without popular movements stopping them.

on the way to Communism, in the process of building Communism.

Again, said by someone who doesn't even know what communism is, and probably hasn't even read The Communist Manifesto, much less anything by Marx or Engels. I'll trust you to tell me who and what is communist when I trust a faith healer to treat cancer.
 
As for Russia, the way in which Lenin got into power has no bearing on the popularity of communism in Russia. The fact that communism was spread to Hungary and North Korea from outside of those countries has no bearing on whether or not the people inside those countries believed communism to be good.

But it does directly contradict your previous statements.

This, said by someone who doesn't even know what a communist is.

Trust me, boy, I know what a communist is. That's why I'm an anti-communist.

So that they could do it without popular movements stopping them.

But wait! I thought communism was so popular! I thought the people were behind it! If the people were behind it, then why was communism in danger from popular movements.

Again, said by someone who doesn't even know what communism is, and probably hasn't even read The Communist Manifesto, much less anything by Marx or Engels. I'll trust you to tell me who and what is communist when I trust a faith healer to treat cancer.

Listen well, boy: I've read the Manifesto more times than you have years in your age, and I've studied it in depth, done additional research, and written several papers on it and on related documents. I've also read most of Das Kapital as well as a good chunk of Comrade Lenin's writings. You can argue with me about a lot of things, but you cannot challenge my knowledge of communism. And besides, I haven't heard any definitions from your corner. If you're such a damn expert, then let's see the goods! Tell me what a communist is if you know better than me. Put up or shut up, smartass.
 
But it does directly contradict your previous statements.

WTH? Are you even reading the same forum?

"Notice I was quoting someone who said "The good name of communism?", we are discussing opinions of communism, not communism itself."

"As for Russia, the way in which Lenin got into power has no bearing on the popularity of communism in Russia. The fact that communism was spread to Hungary and North Korea from outside of those countries has no bearing on whether or not the people inside those countries believed communism to be good."

I will repeat: noting that communism was orginally spread to a country from an outside source says nothing about what the people inside that country thought about communism. If Hungary had a popular communist revolution, that indicates that during that revolution, popular opinion was in support of communism. In other words, during those revolutions, communism had a good enough name that people wanted to support it, and there wasn't sufficient opposition to it to stop the revolution.

Trust me, boy, I know what a communist is. That's why I'm an anti-communist.

Well, boy (hey that's kind of catchy, if somewhat degrading), you have done a very good job showing that you do not.

But wait! I thought communism was so popular! I thought the people were behind it! If the people were behind it, then why was communism in danger from popular movements.

Communism wasn't particularly in danger of popular movements. What was in danger of popular movements was what people like Stalin and Mao did. Calling it communism helped to protect it from popular movements until it became painfully obvious to the people of those countries that they had been given a bait and switch.

Listen well, boy: I've read the Manifesto more times than you have years in your age, and I've studied it in depth, done additional research, and written several papers on it and on related documents. I've also read most of Das Kapital as well as a good chunk of Comrade Lenin's writings. You can argue with me about a lot of things, but you cannot challenge my knowledge of communism. And besides, I haven't heard any definitions from your corner. If you're such a damn expert, then let's see the goods! Tell me what a communist is if you know better than me. Put up or shut up, smartass.

If you had read half of what you claim, you would already know that's it's pointless to argue that Russia and China had communist revolutions.

Perhaps you just never got around to the second chapter?

In what relation do the Communists stand to the proletarians as a whole? The Communists do not form a separate party opposed to the other working-class parties.

They have no interests separate and apart from those of the proletariat as a whole.

They do not set up any sectarian principles of their own, by which to shape and mold the proletarian movement.


The Communists are distinguished from the other working-class parties by this only:

(1) In the national struggles of the proletarians of the different countries, they point out and bring to the front the common interests of the entire proletariat, independently of all nationality.

(2) In the various stages of development which the struggle of the working class against the bourgeoisie has to pass through, they always and everywhere represent the interests of the movement as a whole.

The Communists, therefore, are on the one hand practically, the most advanced and resolute section of the working-class parties of every country, that section which pushes forward all others; on the other hand, theoretically, they have over the great mass of the proletariat the advantage of clearly understanding the lines of march, the conditions, and the ultimate general results of the proletarian movement.

The immediate aim of the Communists is the same as that of all other proletarian parties: Formation of the proletariat into a class, overthrow of the bourgeois supremacy, conquest of political power by the proletariat.

Note that this says nothing about some elite bastards like Stalin or Mao falsely acting in the name of the proletariat, but literally, the proletariat. Literally, the proletariat taking the country for themselves, ruling it by themselves, and organizing it for their own benefit. The moment you throw a state in there, ruled by guys with suits and nice haircuts, you know it's not communism anymore.

The Communists are further reproached with desiring to abolish countries and nationality.

The working men have no country. We cannot take from them what they have not got. Since the proletariat must first of all acquire political supremacy, must rise to be the leading class of the nation, must constitute itself the nation, it is, so far, itself national, though not in the bourgeois sense of the word.

National differences and antagonism between peoples are daily more and more vanishing, owing to the development of the bourgeoisie, to freedom of commerce, to the world market, to uniformity in the mode of production and in the conditions of life corresponding thereto.

The supremacy of the proletariat will cause them to vanish still faster. United action of the leading civilized countries at least is one of the first conditions for the emancipation of the proletariat.

In proportion as the exploitation of one individual by another will also be put an end to, the exploitation of one nation by another will also be put an end to. In proportion as the antagonism between classes within the nation vanishes, the hostility of one nation to another will come to an end.

Hmm, that kind of sticks a thorn in the "socialism in one country", doesn't it?

When, in the course of development, class distinctions have disappeared, and all production has been concentrated in the hands of a vast association of the whole nation, the public power will lose its political character. Political power, properly so called, is merely the organized power of one class for oppressing another. If the proletariat during its contest with the bourgeoisie is compelled, by the force of circumstances, to organize itself as a class; if, by means of a revolution, it makes itself the ruling class, and, as such, sweeps away by force the old conditions of production, then it will, along with these conditions, have swept away the conditions for the existence of class antagonisms and of classes generally, and will thereby have abolished its own supremacy as a class.

In place of the old bourgeois society, with its classes and class antagonisms, we shall have an association in which the free development of each is the condition for the free development of all.

Communism: No class distinctions (i.e. rulers, and the ruled, property owners and their slaves, kings and serfs, etc.), ergo no state which is distinguishable from the people themselves. If you can name a communist ruler, he wasn't a communist. The state itself is abolished, because the needs of the poor and the wage laborers transcend borders. If you can name a communist country, it wasn't communist.
 
Communism: No class distinctions (i.e. rulers, and the ruled, property owners and their slaves, kings and serfs, etc.), ergo no state which is distinguishable from the people themselves. If you can name a communist ruler, he wasn't a communist. The state itself is abolished, because the needs of the poor and the wage laborers transcend borders. If you can name a communist country, it wasn't communist.

Sounds like Communism: Impractical Nonsense... no matter how ideaistic you might think it is. (like Utilitarianism)
 
I think you may have confused Wales with Ireland on the potato famine. Also, the Communist Party is advertising itself as an alternative to Plaid Cymru, which appears to be the seperatist party.

In any event, if they can hold their act together and truly practice peace and co-operation, it should make for interesting politics.


No, I know the potato famine was in Ireland, I was using it as an example of the harm British Union used to cause to the non-British members...anyway, won't a true Communist party view Plaid Cymru as too "reactionary" to get along with for very long?
 
WTH? Are you even reading the same forum?

"Notice I was quoting someone who said "The good name of communism?", we are discussing opinions of communism, not communism itself."

"As for Russia, the way in which Lenin got into power has no bearing on the popularity of communism in Russia. The fact that communism was spread to Hungary and North Korea from outside of those countries has no bearing on whether or not the people inside those countries believed communism to be good."

I will repeat: noting that communism was orginally spread to a country from an outside source says nothing about what the people inside that country thought about communism. If Hungary had a popular communist revolution, that indicates that during that revolution, popular opinion was in support of communism. In other words, during those revolutions, communism had a good enough name that people wanted to support it, and there wasn't sufficient opposition to it to stop the revolution.

Here's what you said:

Oh right, Russia, Vietnam, China, Cuba, France, Hungary, North Korea, Cambodia, Laos, Mozambique, Angola, Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Grenada, and Nicaragua, have all had popular communist revolutions because they thought communism was a bad thing!

Then later, after I challenged your statement, you said:

As for Russia, the way in which Lenin got into power has no bearing on the popularity of communism in Russia. The fact that communism was spread to Hungary and North Korea from outside of those countries has no bearing on whether or not the people inside those countries believed communism to be good.

So, in short, you argued that people in those countries must have supported Communism, since they had a popular Communist revolution. When I pointed out that that wasn't true, you said that the fact that they didn't have a popular Communist revolution doesn't prove anything. Do I need to spell out anymore how you're contradicting yourself?

If you had read half of what you claim, you would already know that's it's pointless to argue that Russia and China had communist revolutions.

Perhaps you just never got around to the second chapter?

You just read it for the first time last week, eh?

I'd agree that Russia did not experience a Communist revolution in the classical sense of the term. However, the people who got into power were communists, and what they did was prescribed by Communism.

Note that this says nothing about some elite bastards like Stalin or Mao falsely acting in the name of the proletariat, but literally, the proletariat. Literally, the proletariat taking the country for themselves, ruling it by themselves, and organizing it for their own benefit. The moment you throw a state in there, ruled by guys with suits and nice haircuts, you know it's not communism anymore.

But Marx himself posited the need for a transitional period during which the dictatorship of the proletariat would hold power and make "despotic inroads" into private property and the bourgeoisie. After a Marxist revolution, a country MUST have a state for a time, and this state MUST be authoritarian. This is straight from the horse's mouth, my friend. True, Marx claimed that when "Communism" was reached, the state would wither away. But before that could happen, Marx himself insisted that a powerful state must exist, in order to disarm the reactionary forces. This was the source of his disagreement with Bakunin, who desired the immediate and permanent abolition of the state above all. Marx disagreed, saying a temporary (strong) state was necessary. In reply to Marx, Bakunin made the following prophetic statement:

Bakunin said:
No dictatorship can have any other aim than to perpetuate itself.

As far as concerns this idea that Marx wanted to unite all the leftists, and that the inter-left fighting that went on among the Bolsheviks and others was against his ideas: history contradicts you. Marx was never the leader of a country, so we don't know if he would have instituted Stalin-esque purges or not. But he was the leader of the First International, and we can examine his tactics as the leader of that organization. And if you know much about the Hague Conference of 1872 and the events leading up to it, you'll know that he strongarmed, often through deceptive means, Bakunin and other anarchists out of the party because of ideological disagreements. Remember that the anarchists shared Marx's eventual goal (stateless, classless society) and his immediate goal (destruction of capitalism). They differed only in some of the intermediate steps (specifically, they were against setting up any kind of temporary state, whereas Marx felt that it was necessary). But Marx used strongarm tactics to expel them from the organization. Despite what Marx wrote in the Manifesto, his actions were in direct contradiction to his idealistic pronouncements.

Hmm, that kind of sticks a thorn in the "socialism in one country", doesn't it?

But Marx wasn't the end-all and be-all of Communism. Lenin's writings, in most cases, logically follow from Marx's, and many of Stalin's logically follow from Leninism.

Communism: No class distinctions (i.e. rulers, and the ruled, property owners and their slaves, kings and serfs, etc.), ergo no state which is distinguishable from the people themselves. If you can name a communist ruler, he wasn't a communist. The state itself is abolished, because the needs of the poor and the wage laborers transcend borders. If you can name a communist country, it wasn't communist.

But as I've shown, even Marx felt that a temporary state was necessary. Therefore, rulers of such a state are correct in calling themselves "Communists," because they are (supposedly) striving for Communism, even though they are still in the transitional "socialist" period.

And your last sentence is a great way that deluded modern-day Communists try to distance themselves from the various atrocities committed by the practitioners of their ideology. But if people are building, or trying to build, a Communist society, then they are Communists. A country that they rule "temporarily" can correctly be called a "Communist" country, despite their being in an intermediate stage, because Communism is the goal. The Soviet Union and Communist China (among others) can be correctly called Communist states, because they were attempting to build Communism. And thus, Communism must take reponsibility for the atrocities committed under those regimes.
 
Name one atrocity committed in the name of capitalism.
Well, given that the world is apparantly split between communism and capitalism, every atrocity that wasn't commited by communism was thus commited by capitalism;)

That is the black and white approach anyhow;)
 
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