Meatbuster
formerly Robo Kai
Well I've played 2-3 player small/duel maps with no new leader... I don't know how "rigged" the random leader selection system is (if it is rigged) but, assuming it isn't rigged, I've tried computing it in excel with the formula...
(OLDLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS)! / (OLDLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS-COMPUTERPLAYERS*)!
divided by
(OLDLEADERS+NEWLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS)! / (OLDLEADERS+NEWLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS-COMPUTERPLAYERS*)!
In a 6-computers game, the chance of not encountering a new leader is around 10.19%.
* - this should actually be more complex based on if the computers pick a country with multiple leaders...
(OLDLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS)! / (OLDLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS-COMPUTERPLAYERS*)!
divided by
(OLDLEADERS+NEWLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS)! / (OLDLEADERS+NEWLEADERS-HUMANPLAYERSUSIGNOLDLEADERS-COMPUTERPLAYERS*)!
In a 6-computers game, the chance of not encountering a new leader is around 10.19%.
* - this should actually be more complex based on if the computers pick a country with multiple leaders...