Close. But when the total modifier drops below 0%, a different formula is used. The exact calculation:
LK attacks mace:
6 vs. 8 base. Modifiers: 0% for LK. +50% - 100% = -50% for Mace.
So
6 vs 8 / (1 - (-0.5)) = 6 vs. 5.33.
Mace attacks LK:
8 vs. 6 base. Modifiers: 0% for Mace. +100% - 50% = +50% for LK.
8 vs. 6 * (1 + .5) = 8 vs. 9.
The LK wins on average, but it's a reasonably close match; a couple lucky rolls will tilt it the other way.
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