We are now at 41% territory, so Paul gained us 11% in last 10 turns. With a further 34% required it may be only 30 turns (3 turnsets) till this game is over.
We have a lot of money in the bank eady for upgades - do we want to speed the horse builds with some short rushes? We would need to pillage 5 salts - 2 on northern desert peninsula, 2 in Ex-Egypt and 1 east of Hangchow. We could then shortrush impis in our 10spt towns to produce horses following turn.
Zimb is doing 2 turn horses, Ibab, Ulundi, Mpondo, Bapedi,Ngome can all do 10spt, hence 2 turn horses with the short rush. This will cost 5*40g every 2 turns, then 6*60g o upgrade = 560g every 2 turns. Currently making 174gpt so this will gradually erode our savings. A quick MM of corrupt towns moving citizens working 1 or 0 fpt tiles (eg Damascus, Najran, Nara etc) to taxmen plus all taxmen in flp risk towns (eg Pyongang) will give us 225gpt, I'm sure we can squeeze more out.
Japan is only civ wth sig gold - perhaps a false peace treaty - they will give peace plus all 256g for 19gpt, 18gpt if throw in rop. Gives us a turn to heal up the damaged units and reposition for assault on China - just be aware AI will break the treaty if it sees a juicy target. I would suggest we need 1 of the armies on our home continent in the Hangchow region to advance there.
I dont like the look of thngs near Hastings - that stack of 5 zerks threatens our redlined 5th knights army. I would suggest peace with France getting 37g whlst giving 2gpt (it wont last 20 turns), would take the heat off here having only to deal with England and America. Again allowing our units to heal up then push through England and America (perhaps even ally Vikes v America?) before turning on French and Germans again. To do this it woud be important not to leave open cities tempting Joan to break the treaty.
AI cities left
Korea 0 (boat N,NE of Pi-Ramesses)
China 8
India 5
Japan 6
Germany 2
France 10
England 5
America 8
Vikings 15 (inc 4 on 2 small islands)
edit - flip risks
Only France and America still have stronger culture than us so this is decreasing significantly
Current biggest risks are Nottingham 3.2% to French, Pyong 2.6, Hastings 2.3 and Nampo 2.1 - all others are 0.1. We have very low risk with Chinese and English who have lower culture than us.
Reminder re Thebes - it hasnt been rejigged this turn yet for growth in 2 - it is still needed as a 4 turn SF