Poop - you guys cross-posted on me. Here's a link to my followup thinking:
http://forums.civfanatics.com/showpost.php?p=3350070&postcount=14
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I haven't loaded the save, yet (at work), but I'm guessing our inventory is 1 size 3 city, 2 scouts, archer in the build queue, no warriors, and 1 worker? See my linked notes about building expansion units... I'm not sure if the DP's math or my math is off (probably me since I don't have the game up right now).
I'm leaning towards western expansion as a buffer against Arabia/Egypt expansion and because I see a nice mix of workable hill/grassland tiles. Northwest is also a possibility due to the lake and river up that way.
Expanding to the east towards the marble/coast is problematic because of the jungle (need Ironworking) and probably premature since we don't need that resource, yet.
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Going forward...
A settler is our next priority. We have to build a town next to whatever resource we choose to exploit.
Animal Husbandry is probably correct. We're basically speculating we can find the horses and then at least chariots are available (I assume we have The Wheel?).
I'd like to toss out these options, though:
1) Writing - if we produce a settler/worker, what's our next build? Barracks or more military? There's definitely a saturation point at which additional units do nothing other than stand around. I'd like to get some culture out there, particularly in our start up city (which will probably start with a defending unit anyway).
It also opens up Alphabet which would allow us to trade and backfill techs we skipped. Lastly, it makes possible a rush for Literature/Music which provides Great Library and a free artist for a culture bomb as part of our expansion. ~2500 culture can cripple an expanding neighbor and quickly flip a fledgling city. Even the Artist Super Specialist can provide this benefit over time.
2) Mysticism - obelisks might be a good early expansion tool and if we pursue Alphabet, we'll need to know it in order to get value on tech trading, since we already know our neighbors are focusing upon religious techs.
3) Fishing/Sailing. We're seeing enough water that we should consider working water tiles for growth/commerce. Growing in three directions (2 apparently unopposed so far), this will be a valuable growth tool.