At the Precipice: the United Kingdom and the Home Rule Crisis, 1912-1914

Dachs

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Introduction

In 1914, the United Kingdom was - probably - saved from civil war by jumping headfirst into the First World War. Classic example of "out of the frying pan, into the fire". Of all the things to fight a civil war over, though, the Brits decided to pick Ireland. The whole thing has an air of unreality for observers a century removed; even at the end, when it came down to it, two Irish counties, Tyrone and Fermanagh, held the balance for a whole state. This affected people from Dublin to Glasgow to Liverpool to, yes, London. It's one of the single weirdest crises in the political history of the British Isles.

So, why the hell did all these people pick Ireland to fight over?

Goodbye To You

At the turn of the century, a lot of Brit politicians were pretty worried about national security. Like it or not, the UK had been the cock of the industrial walk for the past century and loved shoving it down everybody else's throats. Now that didn't look true anymore. France, Germany, Russia, Japan, and the United States were all building large navies; Germany and the United States, and to a lesser extent Russia, were all threatening, even surpassing, British industry. In 1902 the "splendid isolation" ended for good when Lord Lansdowne negotiated an alliance with Japan; two years later the entente cordiale with France tidied up British colonial commitments.

The UK needed an industrial solution in addition to the foreign-policy offensive, and in 1903 Joe Chamberlain, the Colonial Secretary, decided to advocate one. Since the 1880s British "fair trade" societies had sprung up, supporting the end of free trade in order to erect protectionist barriers against American and German industry and keep British jobs safe. This had proven contentious in the extreme, but after the Boer War and the "Khaki Election" that followed it, Chamberlain's Tories were in the driver's seat by a large margin in the Commons. He figured that he'd be able to push through whatever he wanted.

What he proposed was labeled several things. Supporters euphemistically called it "empire free trade", "tariff reform", and "imperial preference". The Liberal Opposition called it the return of the hated Corn Laws. Basically, Chamberlain wanted to slap import duties on everything that didn't come from the Empire, and have the Dominions do the same. That way the preferential system would act as glue for the Empire and a solution to the industrial slowdown at the same time. Opponents pointed out that the program would increase food prices in the UK, since the British Isles were a net food importer by that point in time.

Chamberlain's plan immediately stalled. By 1906 the Tories were forced to call a general election, and suffered a tremendous defeat at the polls. The Liberals had an outright majority in the Commons and were back in the driver's seat for the next decade. That, of course, didn't mean anything. The Tories had control of the Lords, and the Lords could destroy any Liberal legislation they pleased. Which they proceeded to do, despite the histrionics of the Liberal President of the Board of Trade, David Lloyd George. In 1908, the Liberal PM Henry Campbell-Bannerman died and was replaced by Herbert Henry Asquith, a stereotypically English English lawyer.

Asquith's ascension brought David Lloyd George into the office of Chancellor of the Exchequer. He was in a singular position in late 1908. The naval arms race with Germany and the demands of old-age pensions meant that Lloyd George had a large deficit to rectify. Where to find new revenue sources, in the absence of a hated tariff? Where else but the pocketbooks of those unreconstructed enemies of Progress, the Lords themselves? Lloyd George proposed a tax on undeveloped land, of which the Lords had plenty. He planned an increase in the estate tax, a duty on coal and mineral royalties, an increased tax on liquor, and a tax on all incomes in excess of five thousand pounds annually.

It was a direct threat to the Lords, of course, and, as George Dangerfield wrote, "crying to be vetoed". But the Lords had never vetoed a budget before. In that weird British manner, it became part of the "constitutional tradition" that they could not veto a budget. What if they did? The government would be forced to dissolve, and a general election would be fought on the issue of this budget, and on the issue of the Lords' veto. And if the Liberals won that, well, the budget would reappear, this time accompanied by several hundred Liberal Lords to push it through. And that would be as bad as bad could be...so what did the Lords do? They threw out the budget. Asquith called for an election in January 1910. And the Tories lost. So did the Liberals. Neither of the two parties had an outright majority in the Commons, even with Labour on the side of the Liberals. So the Liberals were now driven to ask the help of the Irish Parliamentary Party, whose seventy-odd MPs held the key to avoiding a hung parliament. John Redmond, leader of the Parliamentary Party, had but one trifling request to ask of the Liberal Party in exchange for his help in pushing through the budget. A minor detail. Nothing more than Irish Home Rule.

Irish Home Rule was dead. Nobody in Great Britain cared for it; "Ulster will fight and Ulster will be right" had won out over Gladstone and killed the Liberal Party for two decades, it was best that those days were behind everybody, and that was that. Limited internal autonomy for Ireland was not a cause one could rally behind. Opposing "Rome Rule" was, and that was that. But the Irish Parliamentary Party had its demands, and the Irish Parliamentary Party was the key to the Commons, and to Lloyd George's budget, and to crushing the Lords. And so, after hearing Redmond say for the thousandth time how much of a sacrifice it was for Irishmen to vote for liquor duties and land taxes, Asquith was forced to go along. Even with the Irish at his back, initially he quailed before bringing the budget back before the Lords.

Instead, he first brought forth a Parliament Bill, which, in sum: limited the duration of Parliament to five years; abolished the Lords' veto on money bills; restricted the Lords' veto on all bills, such that, if the Commons were to pass a bill in three consecutive sessions, it would become law, no matter how the Lords voted. Now the big guns were out; now, as April turned to May, Lloyd George's "People's Budget" could be safely passed, almost contemptuously, by a quorum of the Lords - clearing the decks for the real fight. That fight was interrupted by the death of King Edward VII on May 7. He was replaced by a man famously derided by H.G. Wells as "dull", George V.

So began the backroom negotiations between Tories and Liberals, which lasted to November. They foundered on that now-looming question of Irish Home Rule. Asquith was now forced to resort to yet another election. It would be fought as a referendum on the power of the Lords, on Asquith's Parliament Bill. It would be the last chance the Liberals had to escape John Redmond, the last chance the Tories had to escape the certain death descending upon the Lords, and hilariously, neither of the two parties was to receive a reprieve. In December 1910, after a month of electioneering, in came the returns: 272 Liberal, 272 Tory...42 Labour...84 Irish Parliamentary Party and All-for-Ireland League.

Still, the Lords would never go so far as to actually vote away the Parliament Bill that, with Liberal, Labour, and Irish MPs behind it, would be certain to pass the Commons yet again. They would never countenance the creation of hundreds of Liberal Lords...would they? Some of them clearly would; beginning in May, the Tory Lords split. The "Ditcher" Lords staunchly believed in fighting the Parliament Bill to the end; they refused to, as they put it, "die in the dark". The "Hedger" Lords were convinced that the Prime Minister would make good on his threats to advise the King to create hundreds of new peers, and preferred to die in the dark, honorably. In June 1911, the Ditchers mutilated the Parliament Bill in committee, returning it to the Commons in unrecognizable shape. Asquith responded by laying his cards on the table: the bill goes through in its original form or the House of Lords would be a lot more crowded. He had in his pocket a promise to follow through from King George himself. Even then, the Ditcher Lords kept up the fight until the very end. The final vote on the Parliament Bill was 131-114 in favor.

The path was clear - the Lords had been stripped of their greatest power once and for all. Now Ireland took center stage.

Empty Handed

Home Rule had never been the only option Asquith was contemplating for Ireland even with his IOU in Redmond's pocket. As far back as January 1910, when the Liberals lost their majority and were forced to court Mr. Redmond, both Liberal and Tory MPs had brought up the prospect of federalism. Federalism was a word untainted by the sloganeering of the 1880s, but more importantly it was a word blessed with ambiguity. From 1910 to the death of the federal solution in 1913-4, no two avowed federalists could agree on what federalism itself actually meant. Limited autonomy to Ireland, Scotland, Wales, and England each? Separate Parliaments, subject to Westminster, like Dominions? And what of that nagging problem in northern Ireland, Ulster?

Ah, Ulster. Even before Arthur Balfour was forced to abandon his headship of the Tories, Ulster was seen as the new bulwark of the party. After he left, they made it official. In 1912 the Tories finally formally unified with the Liberal Unionists, though to all intents and purposes they had been one party for two decades. They even put Unionism in the name - "Conservative and Unionist Party" - where it remains to this day. To go with their new name, since November 1911 the Tory Party had a new leader. The top two candidates for leadership in Balfour's absence had strong, nearly equal support. Austen Chamberlain, idiot scion of the famous Tory Chamberlain family, whose political abilities rated below even those of his oft-decried half-brother Neville, led the Imperial Preference wing of the Tory Party. Walter Long, his opponent, had a slight majority in the 1911 Tory leadership election, due to his harder line on Irish Unionism. To avoid splitting the party, neither was chosen. Instead, a Canadian Scotsman with the unfortunate name of Andrew Bonar Law ascended to party leadership.

Bonar Law's mission to keep the Tory Party together would define his tenure. His solution was to force the issue. He was disliked by both Longists and Chamberlainites. Classically, he went on the offensive immediately - by speaking. Andrew Bonar Law was an immensely better and more vigorous public-speaker than either Long or Chamberlain - so much so that he sometimes focused on style rather than substance, inflating claims or making wild accusations. What did it matter, though? What was important was that he spoke well. And so much the better, as far as Walter Long's supporters were concerned, was that Bonar Law was uncompromising. First, he spoke out against Liberal corruption and the blatant unconstitutionality of the Parliament Act 1911. He flatly refused to consider federalism, Home Rule, or anything but total union. Forget Peoria - the man played well in Ulster, and that was what mattered.

His general argument ran like this: the Parliament Act had destroyed the British constitution by eliminating the Lords' veto. Only a general election, he said, could restore government's legitimacy by giving it popular sanction for a Home Rule Bill. If the Liberals passed a Home Rule Bill against the Lords without first going to the country in an election, he said, the Tories were fully justified in employing any tactics - any means necessary - in resisting Home Rule's implementation.
Bonar Law said:
I say this with absolute deliberation: if the people of this country decide that they will make the experiment of Home Rule then...I should say to the loyalists of Ireland 'you have got to submit'. On the other hand, I say equally deliberately: if this or any other Government try to force through a measure on which there is good reason to believe that the people of this country are not agreed...I would never, if I were one of those Irish loyalists consent to have such a system forced on me as part of a corrupt Parliamentary bargain. I believe if this or any other Government attempts it they will find they have broken up the foundations of society in this country and they will not carry their bill.
Bonar Law said:
Asquith: Am I to understand that the Right Honorable gentleman repeats here, or is prepared to repeat on the floor of the House of Commons…
Bonar Law: Yes.
Asquith: Let us see exactly what it is…it is that I and my colleagues are selling our convictions.
Bonar Law: You have not got any.
Bonar Law said:
We do not acknowledge their [the Liberals'] right to carry such a revolution by such means. We do not recognize that any such action is the constitutional Government of a free people. We regard them as a revolutionary committee which has seized by fraud upon despotic power...We shall use whatever means seem to us likely to be most effective...

In my opinion if an attempt were made without the clearly expressed will of the people of this country...to deprive these men of their birthright, they would be justified in resisting by all means in their power, including force...and I say now, with a full sense of the responsibility which attaches to my position, that if the attempt be made under present conditions I can imagine no length of resistance to which Ulster will go in which I shall not be ready to support them and in which they will not be supported by the overwhelming majority of the British people.
The constitutional argument may not have made a whole lot of sense, when you got down to what the British "constitution" actually was and is. That didn't matter. It was a rallying cry, it solidified Bonar Law's leadership of the Tory Party, and it scared the bejeezus out of anybody who wasn't a Unionist. As a rallying cry, it worked just as brilliantly as talk of Secession did in the antebellum American South. To hell with legality - open season on attacks on the legal foundation of the state!

Some grass-roots sentiment existed, among the Ulster Orangemen especially, in full opposition to Home Rule. It had manifested itself as far back as 1910, when Home Rule first returned to the equation, in the formation of some militias. But it was a fringe movement at best - much like the American tea party groups of today. Even among the Orangemen, the notorious drumbeaters of Ulster, armed resistance to Home Rule did not initially find much appeal. Only when Bonar Law and the Tories threw their support behind total opposition to Home Rule did it gain wider support. The man perhaps best connected with the development of the opposition to Home Rule within Ireland itself is Sir Edward Carson. Sir Edward, originally best known for successfully defeating his childhood friend Oscar Wilde's libel suit against the Marquess of Queensberry, quickly adopted Ulster as his new home, insinuating himself among the Orangemen effectively despite their initial distrust of a Dubliner like himself. Even the most die-hard Ulster Unionist could not pretend that there was no Unionist sentiment elsewhere in Ireland. Some Unionist societies sprang up in Cork and Waterford during those heady days in 1912.

Carson’s threats became immeasurably clearer in September 1911 when he delivered a speech near Belfast to a crowd of Ulstermen, looking for their support as he ascended to the headship of the Ulster Unionist Council. His speechifying was just as bald as that of Bonar Law in proclaiming Ulster’s opposition to Home Rule:
Carson said:
We must be prepared…and time is precious in these things – the morning Home Rule is passed, ourselves to become responsible for the government of the Protestant Province of Ulster.

To round out our cast of Tory would-be revolutionaries (or counterrevolutionaries, depending on whose rhetoric you like better) we have James Craig, the later Viscount Craigavon, and F.E. Smith, eventually to become first Earl of Birkenhead. Craig, a veteran of the Boer War, was the Member of Parliament for East Down, and could be well liked to a Carson in miniature. He was one of the worthies on Carson’s panel for drawing up the Constitution for the Provincial Government of Ulster. Smith was more interesting – a longtime friend of the Liberal First Lord of the Admiralty, Winston Churchill, a man avowedly interested in the federalist solution, but also a man who would soon enough be known as “Galloper” for his horseback antics when reviewing Unionist militiamen as Carson’s ADC. He was a singularly slippery man, guaranteed to be found in the middle of any political firestorm; he had spent 1910 and 1911 rallying Ditcher sentiment, and kept the limelight with his actions in Ulster and on the Commons floor.

One of These Days

It was these men who, beginning in the summer and autumn of 1912, spearheaded one of the most vehement rhetorical attacks on the Government an Opposition has ever mounted. Some members of the Liberal Party and its allies responded in kind. Churchill and Lloyd George were perhaps the most vehement of these. Bluster and threat of armed rebellion met bluster and threat of mass arrests and what appeared to be resolute determination to carry the Home Rule Bill through.

The First Reading of the Home Rule Bill was on 15 April 1912. It was, to put it lightly, the most weaksauce Home Rule Bill possible. An Irish Parliament was to be created, with the Westminster Imperial Parliament still to receive 42 Irish MPs. It could only deal with “purely Irish matters”, all others to be referred to Westminster. It could not “establish and endow” any religion, or restrict one. It could not raise new taxes, and could only increase existing ones by ten percent over the rates set by the Imperial Parliament. The Royal Irish Constabulary was to remain under the Imperial Parliament for the next six years. And financial wizardry was worked such that Ireland would become a net beneficiary of English tax monies. On 9 May 1912 the Bill passed through its Second Reading with a majority of 101 MPs. And this is where it stalled. The next few months are a litany of trap and counter-trap prepared by the Liberals and Tories; inevitably, the Tories, especially the quick-witted Carson, danced out of the way.

Once again, negotiation entered the forefront. Bonar Law’s plan was obvious; its mechanics less so. It is clear that he was not interested in opposing Home Rule for its own sake. His chief goal was to hold the Tory Party and its disparate interests together around the Home Rule wedge issue. Threatening civil war, he believed, could force the Liberal government to call a general election, and so permit the Tories to return to power. All well and good. The problem was that any appearance of a willingness to negotiate on Home Rule would help to split the Tories and crush his plan. Federalists were one such nefarious group, who gained significant support because they never actually had to enumerate any principles or program. Devolutionists were another similar, if slightly distinct group. They had a concrete plan, mostly: the reversion of authority to regional or local councils within Ireland itself, and perhaps Scotland, Wales, and England as well. The problem was that devolutionists were increasingly isolated by both sides. Asquith’s government showed no real willingness to implement a devolutionary scheme as a part of a compromise, and Bonar Law, Carson, and the other die-hards continued to shift the Tories towards the other extreme. Left out in the cold, most of them ended up supporting the Tory program.

By 1913, that Tory program had evolved (ha) into hardline exclusion. Home Rule was acceptable, declared “Galloper” Smith to a crowd of Ulstermen that winter – but only if it applied to the southern Irish counties. This essentially shaped the debate for the rest of the crisis. Redmond and the Irish Parliamentarians had to be brought around to accepting exclusion gradually, ever gradually, until they could agree with it in principle. But how to implement it?

Not all of Ulster was wholly Protestant, after all. County Donegal was more Catholic than County Antrim was Protestant. County Cavan and County Monaghan were similarly proportioned. And it was clear that County Antrim and County Down would be within any excluded Ulster. Counties Armagh and Londonderry probably would, too. The sticking points were, as already acknowledged in 1913, County Tyrone and County Fermanagh. Both were narrowly – oh, so narrowly – Catholic-majority. Both were non-negotiable demands, as far as Bonar Law and Carson were concerned. This view was successfully transmitted to most of the Tory Party by 1913, partly due to Redmond and his cohorts’ inability to agree to the principle of exclusion at all.

Other moves were made, serving both as showboating and as practical politics. The most famous of these was probably the creation and signing of the Ulster Covenant beginning on 28 September 1912. The Covenant, which was directly modeled on the Scottish “Solemn League and Covenant” of the Civil Wars, ran as follows:
Being convinced in our consciences that Home Rule would be disastrous to the material well-being of Ulster as well as the whole of Ireland, subversive of our civil and religious freedom, destructive of our citizenship, and perilous to the Unity of the Empire, we, whose names are underwritten, men of Ulster, loyal subjects of His Gracious Majesty King George V., humbly relying on the God whom our fathers in days of stress and trial confidently trusted, do hereby pledge ourselves in Solemn Covenant, through this our time of threatened calamity to stand by one another in defending for ourselves and our children our cherished position of equal citizenship in the United Kingdom, and in using all means which may be found necessary to defeat the present conspiracy to set up a Home Rule Parliament in Ireland. And in the event of such a Parliament being forced upon us we further solemnly and mutually pledge ourselves to refuse to recognize its authority. In sure confidence that God will defend the Right we hereto subscribe our names. And further, we individually declare that we have not already signed this Covenant. God Save the King.
Sir Edward Carson was the first signatory; Craig was the second. Signatory ceremonies were carried on at Ulster Hall in Belfast; Covenant-signers could be found in the south of Ireland too. For all its pomp and circumstance, though, the Covenant did not derail the First Circuit of the Home Rule Bill. The Third Reading passed the Commons in January 1913. Within three days of its arrival in the Lords the Bill was summarily defeated. So began the Second Circuit. It proceeded in the same fashion as the first one did. By July it was in the Lords, having passed the Commons with flying colors and no amendments; this time, the Lords took two days to vote it down.

Parliamentary tactics were clearly not working for the Tories, and the Bill was beginning its third and final circuit without any sign of a general election call from Asquith. Bonar Law and Carson put in more chips when the Ulster Volunteer Force was formed in January 1913. This was not as top-down an organization as has been commonly stressed in the literature of the period. Far from being the creature of the old Orange Order and Belfast financiers, the UVF was initially formed because of popular pressure. As already mentioned, beginning in 1910 (but arguably traceable even as far back as the Gladstonian Home Rule debates of the 1880s) small militia units and clubs began to drill across Ulster, show up at Ulster Unionist rallies, and generally make themselves visible. The UVF formed chiefly as a response to these organizations’ grassroots pressure.

Bonar Law himself went to the King to try an end run around the Liberals. Starting in the spring of 1913 he tried to suggest that King George dissolve the Liberal government and appoint a new one led by the Leader of the Opposition (himself), a more straightforward avenue to power than the general election he craved. He also suggested that the King simply use his royal veto – the royal veto that hadn’t been employed since gouty Queen Anne was still alive – to crush the Home Rule proposal, which naturally enough would throw the government into…an election. But Bonar Law could no longer be sure of winning such an election. Some elements of the Tory Party were beginning to shy away from his extremist tactics and their lack of success as 1913 began to turn into 1914. Irish Unionists in particular, led by Lord Lansdowne, were keeping up a more or less constant stream of communications with the Liberals. Yet the Liberals, behind the stern façade they kept up while pushing the Bill relentlessly through the Commons, were beginning to crack too.

Asquith may have been behind the push, by Lord Loreburn and the King, to get the Liberal and Tory leaderships into a round-table talk in the autumn of 1913. Whether it was the Prime Minister’s initiative or others’, Bonar Law and Carson found themselves compelled by party opinion to sit down and negotiate by October 1913. Neither Bonar Law nor Carson really wanted a compromise, as that would destroy the prospects of returning to power. But they had to step carefully, to avoid appearing to obstruct the settlement. Public opinion in the general election they craved would not look kindly upon the party that prolonged this crisis. In this, they were immeasurably aided by Redmond, who took infinitely long to even think about exclusion as a viable basis for a settlement. Bonar Law managed to hit the balance and appear moderate and willing to compromise, while in fact prevented from ever having to do so by Irish Parliamentarians’ intransigence. By December, the talks broke down.
 
All You Wanted

The Second Reading of Third Circuit of the Home Rule Bill was due to open on 9 March 1914. Asquith and the Liberals prepared an opening salvo they had not been able to manage in the previous autumn: Redmond had finally, imperceptibly, come around. He agreed, in principle, to Ulster exclusion…but only temporary exclusion. Lloyd George modified his scheme somewhat, to which Redmond ended up agreeing, by altering the plan to “county option by plebiscite” – each county could opt out of exclusion for a period of three years, then have a plebiscite to decide on whether to remain excluded or not. This had the chief drawback of being pretty complicated, and the three-year period was too short. When the plan was leaked four days early by the Daily News, Tories immediately cried out in opposition – and even the King thought that more than three years was necessary.

Come 9 March, Asquith extended the exclusion period to six years to open the debate, encompassing the exclusion proposal in an Amending Bill. The Tories fired back immediately. On the floor of the Commons, Carson angrily declared that “Ulster [did] not want a stay of execution for six years”. Bonar Law put new clothes on his general election demands by suggesting that the new Home Rule Bill be subject to a nationwide referendum – obviously rejected by the Liberals. Within a week, the Tories grew exasperated at Asquith’s refusal to alter the compromise Amending Bill and tabled a no-confidence motion. After another memorable debate in the Commons, Carson fired a shot across the government’s bow: talking about Ulster, he claimed it would be impossible to enforce a Home Rule Bill there anyway, for “your army is welcome there, as is your fleet…Ulster is on the best of terms with the Army.” When the no-confidence vote was defeated, he left the Commons, with the parting shot that he was going back to his “own people”.

What of the Army indeed? With no compromise in sight, the Liberals were increasingly forced to come to terms with the possibility that they might indeed have to carry the Home Rule Bill by force in Ulster. Would the Army carry out orders in that eventuality? After all, this would be far from a cakewalk. The UVF, as mentioned, was a growing force. As 1914 wore on, its membership rose above 100,000, though concrete numbers are impossible to verify. Bolstered by the vigorous gun culture of the early twentieth century United Kingdom and by gun-running, which Carson first acknowledged in January 1914 but which had been going on since much earlier, the UVF could make very real trouble for even the British Army. British Army officers even served in the UVF; General George Richardson was its commander (since autumn 1913) and Earl Roberts, hero of the Boer War, lent his considerable prestige to Ulster Unionism and the UVF within Army circles. Within Great Britain, the UVF gained a counterpart with the formation of Lord Willoughby de Broke’s British Loyalist Society for Ulster Unionism (BLSUU), counting 10,000 members nationwide already by March 1914, the month that the British counterpart to the Ulster Covenant was launched.

Tories had already been working on Army opinion before March 1914, and the Government could only be expected to strike back. In December 1913, for the first time in history, the Government forbade the importation of arms or ammunition into Ireland save for the purposes of “sport” (Martini-Henry and Mauser rifles did not fit this criterion). And on 11 March 1914, two days after the Second Reading of the Third Circuit of the Home Rule Bill, the Cabinet formed a special subcommittee to deal with the military side of the Irish problem. This was not a secret cabal, as has been alleged in some earlier works; it did not develop a plot to provoke recalcitrant members of the Army out into open resistance, where they could be safely quashed. Instead, this committee, whose most important members were Churchill, as First Lord of the Admiralty, and Sir John Seely, as Secretary of State for War, decided to have the Army develop plans for the possible protection of Army arms depots in Ulster. After all, since arms importation was forbidden, the depots would be the first logical target.

Churchill ordered the Third Battle Squadron to “exercise” menacingly off the Scottish coast, just miles from Belfast. For his part, Seely informed the commander of British Army forces in Ireland, Sir Arthur Paget, that he needed to have a workable plan for protecting arms depots in Ulster within the week. Paget duly presented this plan and was then informed that it was to be executed at once. For some unknown reason, Paget was worried about the prospect of violence; apparently he equated “occupying British Army arms depots with British Army troops” with “suppression of violent revolt in Ulster”. Apparently he managed to get oral instructions from Seely to the effect that any officers who actually lived in Ulster could “disappear” without consequences.

What followed was the celebrated “Curragh incident”, often improperly labeled a mutiny, on 20 March 1914. Paget outlined the plan for occupying the depots, but when talking to General Hubert Gough, commander of the 3rd Cavalry Brigade (stationed at the Curragh camp outside Dublin, parts of which can still be seen today), he somehow managed to give the impression that the operation could end up facing violent opposition, and that all officers were forced to either do their duty and slaughter Orangemen or be discharged from the Army. Gough, an Ulsterman, somewhat understandably worried by that particular way of presenting the situation, went to poll his subordinates and returned a list of men to Paget, informing him that most of his brigade’s officers would rather resign than attack Ulster…but if the operation were an innocent affair to maintain law and order and protect property, they’d have no problems with it. This handy codicil was ignored by Paget when he reported to the War Office, which instructed him to have Gough and his subordinates recalled to London to explain their actions. And off they went, reaching London on 21 March.

Between Gough’s arrival in London and the War Office interviews of 22-23 March, several things happened. First, the War Office realized the depths of Paget’s snafu and hurriedly told Gough that he wasn’t in any trouble, but that he should probably come down and talk to them anyway. Paget probably should’ve lost his job over this, but didn’t. (Instead, he was denied permission to go to Europe during the First World War and kept his Irish job until 1915. If this was a punishment, it was a pisspoor one.)

Second, Gough made some…visits. The most important of these was to the General Sir Henry Wilson, Director of Operations on the Imperial General Staff. Wilson, an Ulsterman, had already heard about the depot-occupying operation before it happened. Before Carson left London on 19 March, he had dinner with Wilson and Lord Milner, another key Unionist diehard. Wilson, who was already feeding Bonar Law information on Army sympathies, “let it slip” that the Army was going to occupy these posts. The next day, he heard from Gough’s brother John, a general at Aldershot, that the occupation operation had hit a snag and that Gough and many of his officers were refusing to march on Ulster. And then on 21 March, he talked with Gough himself.

The object of Wilson’s conversation with Gough became clear when, during the War Office interview of 22-23 March, Gough demanded a written promise that the Army not be called upon to enforce Home Rule in Ireland. Wilson “coincidentally” asked Seely for the same pledge on 22 March. Four days later, Carson would mention in a letter that Wilson had consistently impressed upon Gough the need to “get it in writing”. On the 23rd, Seely and the Chief of the Imperial General Staff, General Sir John French, agreed and signed the pledge.

Asquith’s government almost fell in the week following the Curragh incident, which originally went down in history as a mutiny. The Tories attempted to press the attack, but Churchill defended the government’s actions in the Commons and threw doubt on the Tories’ motives in attempting to suborn the Army. Asquith went back on Seely’s pledge in a White Paper of 25 March, whereupon Seely and French both resigned. To restore confidence in the government, Asquith himself assumed the War Office, a post he would not give up until the outbreak of war – a move rendered possible by his overall popularity within the Army.

It’s clear that the Curragh incident wasn’t a mutiny – it did not involve troops disobeying an order correctly given. All that happened was that Paget screwed up and gave Gough a choice that didn’t exist. What made this whole affair disgusting was Gough’s and the Tories’ immediate use of it for (mostly ephemeral) political gain. And in the short term, the incident did not force Asquith into an election, but what it did do was help to reunify Tory opinion after the somewhat divisive effect of the conferences with Asquith.

The coda to the Curragh incident was the UVF’s continuing search for weapons. Even before Paget’s colossal cockup, UVF gunrunner Major Fred Crawford had already chartered a Continental arms supplier to deliver some 20,000 rifles and millions of rounds of ammunition. On the night of 24-25 April, Crawford’s ship, the Fanny, unloaded this cargo on the docks at Larne. With precisely zero interference from the Government, the Army, or the Royal Irish Constabulary (which in Ulster was riddled with Unionists anyway), the guns and ammunition were dispersed throughout the Six Counties and the ship disappeared into the night. Asquith’s government’s belated response to the Larne gun-running was described as “of the headless chicken variety” by two recent historians of the Home Rule crisis – the imminent prosecution of Carson and several other Ulster Unionists was announced, and within a week the Government went back on that pledge.

You Set Me Free

Immediately after the Larne gun-running, the Third Reading debate began. Unionists in the Commons tried to shout it down – hooliganism which was a far cry from politics these days, nicht wahr? The Home Rule Bill itself, the object of so much vitriol, was now almost irrelevant, though. Asquith had made it clear that he would introduce an Amending Bill immediately thereafter, in late June 1914. So, in late May, the third Irish Home Rule Bill passed its final stage and was promptly ignored by all. The Amending Bill would be the key.

Asquith’s Amending Bill, it was quickly made clear, would consist of the proposals from March: six-year exclusion by counties and determined by plebiscites, an option that was already known to be unacceptable to the Tories. It was introduced on 23 June by Lord Crewe. It passed two readings before the Lords managed to amend the bill – Lansdowne introduced two clauses simply stating that the “Government of Ireland Act”, as it was now known, would not apply to the “excluded area”, defined as the entire province of Ulster. Asquith was now in a bit of a pickle: if he pushed the amended bill through the Commons, Redmond and his Irish would immediately vote against it, defeat the government, and force the election that Bonar Law salivated over. Instead, he struck sideways and appealed to the King on 16 July for a conference over the Irish dispute to be convened in five days at Buckingham Palace.

The eleventh-hour Buckingham Palace Conference, of which much has been made, need not be discussed in too much detail. It broke down over the same thing that had dogged exclusion since 1913: County Fermanagh and especially County Tyrone. Carson in particular led the opposition to Tyrone’s inclusion in Home Rule; to the point that Tyrone’s Catholics outnumbered the Protestants by some ten thousand, he replied that in Tyrone, the Protestants paid three-quarters of the taxes. It was the apotheosis of Bonar Law’s policy of intransigence to force an election. As the Conference broke up on 24 July, the Government was in a very tight spot. A general election of some kind, or civil war, seemed imminent.

Two days after the breakup of the Buckingham Palace Conference, what might have been the first shots in that civil war were fired. The UVF was not the only private army floating about in Ireland; the Home Rule supporters of southern Ireland had one of their own, the Irish Volunteers. They had been feverishly attempting to arm and match the UVF, and to that end Erskine Childers, who would later become well known for his part in the Irish Civil War, ran a thousand rifles to Howth in County Dublin. As the Volunteers started bringing the weapons out of the harbor, they encountered Dublin police and British Army regulars at Bachelors Walk. In the shootout that ensued, three people died and 38 were injured.

Asquith was forced to postpone his solution to the Amending Bill deadlock once again. This time, it was not dead Irishmen who interrupted, but dead Austrians. The July Crisis had broken out; Austria-Hungary had issued her ultimatum to Serbia, and declared war on 28 July. In Churchill’s memorable turn of phrase,
Churchill said:
The parishes of Fermanagh and Tyrone faded back into the mists and squalls of Ireland, and a strange light began immediately, but by perceptible gradations, to fall and grow upon the map of Europe.
Irish Home Rule would be postponed yet again. This time it would be for four years. Asquith got the Royal Assent to his Home Rule Act 1914, but it would remain a toothless Act, to not be implemented or fleshed out until the war were to be concluded. By that time, the world would look very different. The Tories would be in the government; there would be no possibility of avoiding exclusion at all. The Easter Rising would have intervened, the IRA would have become a real force while the Ulster Volunteers dwindled to nothing fighting for King and Country on the cratered wastelands of the Somme, and Henry Wilson would have met a well-deserved death at the door to his London house at the hands of IRA assassins.

Accounts of the Home Rule Crisis that stress the likelihood of a peaceful solution to the Crisis, either in the form of Asquith calling for a general election or the Tories being forced to back down, ignore just how volatile things actually were in Ireland. Asquith and Redmond did not control the Irish Volunteers by any stretch of the imagination. Carson and Richardson exercised some control over the UVF, but the organization was highly decentralized and virtually independent from Belfast capital and arms, especially after Larne. Even if a peaceful solution to the crisis were reached, these private armies might not respond to any dicta from the top if their members felt sufficiently aggrieved. In Ireland, beginning in 1919, that was very graphically demonstrated; with the Ulster Volunteers at full strength, having not been bled to death on the German guns at the Somme, there were a quarter of a million armed men in Ireland in the summer of 1914, hopped up on the fiery rhetoric of leaders from both sides and in a decidedly fighting mood. That’s a recipe for pure disaster if there ever was one.

Ultimately, though, the question of civil war in 1914 is academic, subjective, and unknowable, for better or worse.

Sources:

Asquith, H.H. (various eds.) – Letters to Venetia Stanley: Primary sources should be avoided by nonspecialists. This is an excellent example. I personally would hate to try to reconstruct my inner thoughts from the content of my emails, forum posts, IRC logs, and instant message records. On the other hand, if you do need primary sources for the July Crisis, Home Rule Crisis, or World War I Britain in general, this is Stop Number One.
Beckett, Ian – The Army and the Curragh Incident 1914: The most recent and most even-handed of the various treatments of the Curragh affair, and definitely the go-to book if you want to learn about that. Sadly, it was somewhat difficult for me to locate; perhaps others will undergo fewer trials and tribulations than I.
Bowman, Timothy – Carson’s army – The Ulster Volunteer Force 1910-1922: Definitely a book for specialists and those with interest in the UVF’s role in the Home Rule Crisis and/or the Irish independence struggle, but as far as that goes it’s the most modern and accessible treatment. Was very happy to find this.
Dangerfield, George – The Strange Death of Liberal England: One of the best-written history books I have ever had occasion to read. It’s old, yes, and that is indeed a drawback; on the other hand, you will never be as entertained by any other treatment of the last years of Liberal peace in the United Kingdom. Highly recommended even for non-specialists.
Jalland, Patricia – The Liberals and Ireland: The Ulster Question in British Politics to 1914: Along with the below-mentioned Smith book, this is one of the most modern specialist books on the Home Rule Crisis, and is widely cited. Makes a good combination with the Smith book in order to get a good view from each party. With all that said, it is three decades old by now and starting to show its age.
O’Leary, Cornelius and Patrick Maume – Controversial Issues in Anglo-Irish Relations, 1910-1921: More of a synthesis work than anything else, this book has the virtue of being recent and offering good criticisms of many of the other books mentioned in this bibliography. Good introductory book for nonspecialists.
Smith, Jeremy – The Tories and Ireland 1910-1914: Conservative Party Politics and the Home Rule Crisis: Excellent recent work from the other side of the aisle, was heavily used in the creation of this article, even if I end up disagreeing with a large chunk of his analysis as regards the crisis as a whole. Useful counterpoint to earlier works emphasizing Tory intransigence and other factors. Still, it’s definitely better not to dive into this without already having a grounding in the subject.
 
I'm hoping you didn't actually submit it like this.
 
Nah, it's heavily modified from a Curragh incident paper that I did submit. Like, I took out the footnotes, most of the Curragh stuff, and about half the sources, and added the first 3/4 and last 1/6 of the paper and more entertaining language.
 
I laughed (hard) at the some of the idioms that you were using. Good read nevertheless.
 
I will read this when I get a chance.

Was this a dissertation or something? Seems somewhat informal, which I have no problems with, just doesn't seem like "academic" language.
 
The cock of the walk! I'm gonna try to use that in a conversation at some point this weekend.
:D
Was this a dissertation or something? Seems somewhat informal, which I have no problems with, just doesn't seem like "academic" language.
Nah, it's heavily modified from a Curragh incident paper that I did submit. Like, I took out the footnotes, most of the Curragh stuff, and about half the sources, and added the first 3/4 and last 1/6 of the paper and more entertaining language.
I can't write for too long in formal language or the dark cold tendrils of self-hate wrap themselves around me...after several papers, it's nice to get a chance to cool off a bit
 
Why is it that the liberals were only prepared to allow for six-year exclusions? Not an expert on this era of British politics, but it would seem like a bit of a non-issue and they simply let the Tories pressure them on this point.
 
A very good read Dachs. You're an althist man, ever written one bout civil war actually breaking out in the British Isles at this time? I think it would make a good read, much like this.
 
The only thing I would be able to say about a 1914 civil war would be that it would be messy to an ungodly degree. Add in the labor problems the UK was having around this time (the unions' "Triple Alliance" and call for a September general strike, Connolly's quasi-nationalist workers' militia in Dublin - arguably a third private army on Irish soil) and I wouldn't feel comfortable doing anything more than guessing.
Why is it that the liberals were only prepared to allow for six-year exclusions? Not an expert on this era of British politics, but it would seem like a bit of a non-issue and they simply let the Tories pressure them on this point.
I assume that after the March-June sessions, in which Tory leadership argued against the exclusionary principle in general, not on the grounds of length, it was dropped in favor of something more productive. But that's a good question, and I'm not sure about the exact answer.
 
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