Did Hitler save the West?

Allow me to clarify. Stalin was informed of two things; that Germany was going to attack, including the date of the attack, and; that Germany was not adequately prepared to invade the USSR. Both were true. Stalin's mistake was in looking at the latter intelligence as correct and assuming that the former intelligence was false.

He was somewhat justified in doing this, however, since there had been claims from within the Soviet intelligence community that Germany was going to invade for months, and it simply hadn't happened. Several dates had been supplied by Soviet spies; all of these dates had been correct at the time Stalin was provided with them, but the Germans had altered their plans - due to weather, not the invasions of Yugoslavia, Greece and Crete as is often erroneously assumed - and when the dates passed without an invasion occurring, the assets who provided the intelligence were discredited.
All this is correct.
So? Stalin still is an stubborn idiot in that regard.

German troops summon at the border: O well, my pal Hitler said they are only there to prepare for an attack on the UK, which admittedly happens to be on the other side of the continent, but who cares. I believe him.
Intelligence from the German, Japanese and British front reach Stalin: Ha! They didn't attack on that date! It must be a British conspiracy!
And this book of Hitler talking about "Lebensraum" and such? Clearly only a trick to fool the silly French.

Stalin surely did think like the evil master-mind he was.


Especially when building up an "defensive line" which had been utterly stupid from an defensive viewpoint. He had good reason to be afraid of an arrest (by the way interesting remark of yours, didn't know that).
But oh yeah that is right: Precise dates of invasion proved to be not precise, so this all makes sense.
This is a myth, though it does have some basis in fact.
As already stated I was probably wrong here.
And those sources would be wrong. Mine, from historians like Richard Evans, are right.
Regarding what particular issue now?
You know, I was really going to beat you over the head with this, but after about four posts red_elk was finally able to point out to you how stupid this comment was.
What a lucky guy I am. I would have not survived to be dismantled by you. After all, I misunderstood a statement. No sin is more uncommon in the world of debate.
 
I think Hitler wrecked Europe. I'm skeptical that the Red Army would have taken Paris and London if Hitler hadn't struck.

What if Hitler had been content to build up his army, and take half of Poland? Would he be like Vlad the Impaler against the Muslims (replace Muslims with Stalin)?
 
I think Hitler wrecked Europe.
He most certainly did. The question is could it have been wrecked anyway or even worse without Hitler?
What if Hitler had been content to build up his army, and take half of Poland? Would he be like Vlad the Impaler against the Muslims (replace Muslims with Stalin)?
Assuming France and UK had let this happen? Anyway sure is this a preferable scenario then the interpretation of reality suggested by the OP. However this is has no relevance for the discussion of the op. Saying I did not ask if what Hitler did was the right thing to do (of freaking course it was not). But if what he did might have prevented an Soviet invasion which could have turned out even worse for Europe.

This is a mere hypothetical acrobatics and not a try to make Hitler or Germany look morally better. Not as far as I am concerned.
 
He most certainly did. The question is could it have been wrecked anyway or even worse without Hitler?

It's hard (but not impossible) to imagine how the communists could've possibly had it better than a blank check from the Western Allies to occupy Eastern Europe after Barbarossa. If Stalin were in any manner perceived as the aggressor at some point between 1919 and 1936, the Western Allies planned to revoke the Treaty of Versailles' restrictions on Germany in order to have them bear the bulk of the war.
 
Interesting, didn't know that.
However as I judge Stalin he wouldn't have made a move before he had felt ready military-wise if not given a good opportunity (like the pact with Germany). And as nobody apparently realized his plans of invasion (one just has to think of Roosevelt and his determination to "appease" Stalin by offering support since 1936) it seems like he could have continued the intensive and rapid military buildup without disturbance until having assembled the by far biggest military power ever seen in Europe.
At the same time Western Europe was war-weary (even Hitler continuously promised peace to the people and the war against France wasn't very popular in the population at first) and distracted by heavy social concerns (while Stalin basically enslaved the population in an effort for war preparation).
And the SU not being a buddy of Japan - would the US have intervened in case of an Soviet attack?
 
Playing counter-factual irritates me, but just for the sake of argument, would you care to explain to me how the Soviets do better in fantasyland where they're up against everybody else united instead of just being the Eastern Front against Germany?

Also keep in mind that Stalin doesn't get to benefit from the nuclear physics research he pilfered from Germany.
 
What exactly do you mean by "counter-factual"?

- No Germany which prepared heavily for war or is mobilized and no France as well as UK which prepared in return -->BIG advanage for the SU
- Better equipped and trained SU-forces and more SU-forces
- No surprise attack against the SU which lead to the easy capture of million of soldiers and vast amounts of equipment
- moment of surprise in favor of the SU
- the SU prepares for what actually will happen
 
Sill, your views about Stalin (or Hitler) being stubborn idiot are extremely naive.
You may consider him as aggressive imperialist or evil totalitarian dictator - this at least can be confirmed by some credible sources, but not stupid for sure.

I would recommend you to read this book
Stalin's missed chance
It confirms some of your ideas, but will give proper understanding of pre-war events in Europe.

Don't take offence, you obviously need to read some historical research works on that period, if you are interested in it.
 
What exactly do you mean by "counter-factual"?

Fictional scenario where some factor in history was altered, and its authors attempt to theorize how the world would change accordingly. I give leniency in this case because we're only arguing possibilities rather than theoretical outcomes.

- No Germany which prepared heavily for war or is mobilized and no France as well as UK which prepared in return -->BIG advanage for the SU

Why would the USSR freely be able to arm itself to the teeth while the Western Allies (of which Poland and the Weimar Republic would be a part of) do nothing?

- No surprise attack against the SU which lead to the easy capture of million of soldiers and vast amounts of equipment

Yes, but note how the Soviets won the Eastern Front: an extremely drawn out war of attrition over a great deal of land. Given that we're discussing going from Minsk to Paris, this advantage wouldn't be necessary.

- moment of surprise in favor of the SU

It's your own damn thesis that Stalin was woefully unprepared in his own stupidity; do you think the Western Allies would fall prey to the same thing?

- the SU prepares for what actually will happen

What does this sentence even mean?
 
All this is correct.
So? Stalin still is an stubborn idiot in that regard.
Yeah? I'm not arguing that Stalin wasn't a stubborn fool - I shy away from the term "idiot," as an idiot could never have accomplished all that he did - for disbelieving his own intelligence, I'm arguing against the idea that the man intended to invade Europe. Most plans the USSR had against the West were defensive in nature; they believed that the "capitalist-imperialists" would eventually attack them. They wanted an offensive war, but were mostly preparing to defend themselves. Ask Cheezy, he could tell you a lot more about this than I could.

German troops summon at the border: O well, my pal Hitler said they are only there to prepare for an attack on the UK, which admittedly happens to be on the other side of the continent, but who cares. I believe him.
Intelligence from the German, Japanese and British front reach Stalin: Ha! They didn't attack on that date! It must be a British conspiracy!
And this book of Hitler talking about "Lebensraum" and such? Clearly only a trick to fool the silly French.

Stalin surely did think like the evil master-mind he was.
I doubt Stalin believed anything like Hitler's claim that Mein Kampff was just to fool the French. But the Germans had been conducting war games - and two outright invasions of Eastern European countries - near the Soviet border before. There were compelling reasons to believe they may be telling the truth about that. Of course, he was wrong, but he was hardly the moron you are portraying him as. Believing your enemy won't attack - because logic dictates that they would be stupid to do so - is hardly the same as buying their outrageous lies. Stalin made a mistake. It was a big one, and cost him plenty in the short term. But he was too experienced in politics and intrigue to have bought the crap Hitler was selling.

Especially when building up an "defensive line" which had been utterly stupid from an defensive viewpoint. He had good reason to be afraid of an arrest (by the way interesting remark of yours, didn't know that).
From what I know of the Molotov Line - admittedly not that much - it would have been a decent defensive line if completed. It never was, of course, and was designed only to combat Germany - and maybe Hungary - not the entirety of Eastern Europe as well.

To be honest, I'm a little surprised Stalin wasn't overthrown shortly after Barbarossa. I suspect it is largely because he'd eliminated all possible successors. None of the generals had the political experience or acumen to run the nation, and they knew it. Molotov was really the only possible choice from within the Party, and he didn't want the job. Stalin seemed to avoid being disposed of simply because there were no alternatives to him at the time.

But oh yeah that is right: Precise dates of invasion proved to be not precise, so this all makes sense.
You need to stop being a little smart arse right now. I'm attempting to have a conversation with you. That you disagree with what I'm saying does not give you an excuse to be a troll. If you do so again, I will report you.

I am not saying that Stalin was smart for doing these things, but it's become obvious that you are either willfully misinterpreting my statements or just being foolish, so I will re-iterate; these are the reasons why Stalin did these things. That is all. I am not making any judgements about whether the man was right or not - he clearly wasn't - I am merely elucidating his reasons for doing so, and explaining why they made a certain amount of sense from his viewpoint.

As already stated I was probably wrong here.
I'm just expanding upon the point.

Regarding what particular issue now?
Most of what you've said, actually. But that particular statement was directed against your belief in the myth above. I can find tonnes of sources supporting it too. It doesn't change the fact that those sources are wrong, much like the common claims that Stalin would have attacked Germany as early as 1942. 1944 was a more likely date, and then only because that's when Stalin's intelligence said Germany would be prepared to attack him.

What a lucky guy I am. I would have not survived to be dismantled by you. After all, I misunderstood a statement. No sin is more uncommon in the world of debate.
Misunderstanding a statement isn't that bad. It's annoying for the person being misunderstood, but can be corrected. The fact that you continued to misunderstand it through at least four attempts by both myself and red_elk to explain what I actually said there is more than annoying though. It makes one doubt that you are even worth talking to, because such repeated misunderstanding can lead to only several conclusions; you understand English well but are an idiot; you don't understand English very well; you are deliberately misinterpreting my comments as part of some agenda of your own. Regardless of which of the three is the case, it makes you worthless as a conversational partner.

Now, you finally realised that you were mistaken. That's good. Hopefully, we can continue this conversation in an intelligent and rational manner. But your descent into sarcasm and trolling makes that unlikely. You are behaving like a child who has lost an argument and so decides to just be insulting in the hope that he will get his way. If you are so threatened by someone having a different opinion to you that you feel the need to act like a tool, you shouldn't be on these boards. I ignore many threads (and posters) I initially attempt to converse in (and with) because they prove themselves to be unworthy of the hassle. This thread (and you) heading in the direction of being one of them. I know you will likely simply respond to this paragraph with more smart arse remarks or a statement that you really don't care if I stop conversing with you. That's your choice. But I felt you deserved a warning because, up until now, I've found you to be a decent person to converse with.
 
Stalin made a mistake. It was a big one, and cost him plenty in the short term.

Hmmm. Stalin's mistakes - which went on well into 1942, militarily speaking - were costly to the Soviet Union, i.e. the people. But eventually this dictator, unlike Hitler, actually learned to trust his generals - the few that were left after the 1930s purges - and after mid 1942 (when the expected renewed offensive against Moscow did not materialize) events gradually began to turn against the Germans.
 
Yeah? I'm not arguing that Stalin wasn't a stubborn fool - I shy away from the term "idiot," as an idiot could never have accomplished all that he did - for disbelieving his own intelligence, I'm arguing against the idea that the man intended to invade Europe. Most plans the USSR had against the West were defensive in nature; they believed that the "capitalist-imperialists" would eventually attack them. They wanted an offensive war, but were mostly preparing to defend themselves. Ask Cheezy, he could tell you a lot more about this than I could.

bolding by me

I'd be interested on what you base your conclusion that the USSR's plans were predominantly defensive?

In the 30s the USSR built up very large numbers of offensive weapons. For one thing, they built literally thousands of fast 'cavalry' BT-tanks. These were lightly armed and armored but very fast - and had the unique feature of being capable of even higher speed on good roads after removing their tracks. Note that there were no such roads in the western USSR, but plenty in the countries on the USSRs western border. So this feature was useless in defense, but would have been very useful in an attack.
Another telling feature was that the USSR built up many divisions of paratroopers, far more in proportion than any other country, including Germany. Lightly armed paratroopers are useless in defense, but very useful in an attack.
Also, the Germans captured many maps when they overran the Soviet armies near the borders - and those were almost exclusively maps of the territory beyond the USSRs western borders, almost none of their own territory; and so were the operational plans that were captured as well. Not very logical if you are thinking defensively.

Whatever Stalin's concrete plans as to whether and when he would have attacked the West, he had most certainly built up the potential to do so - so calling the USSRs plans 'defensive in nature' is to ignore realities. There were indeed concerns that the capitalists of the West would invade - but those were mostly in the 20s, by the end of the 30s I very much doubt Stalin was still concerned about that.

Let's also not forget that attacking Finland and annexing the Baltic states didn't exactly show a defensive mindset, either...
 
Fictional scenario where some factor in history was altered, and its authors attempt to theorize how the world would change accordingly. I give leniency in this case because we're only arguing possibilities rather than theoretical outcomes.
How gracious of you.
Why would the USSR freely be able to arm itself to the teeth while the Western Allies (of which Poland and the Weimar Republic would be a part of) do nothing?
Because the fact that in our time line nobody realized a crap about their intensive armament indicates that in this alternate time line nobody had realized a crap about their intensive armament.
Yes, but note how the Soviets won the Eastern Front: an extremely drawn out war of attrition over a great deal of land. Given that we're discussing going from Minsk to Paris, this advantage wouldn't be necessary.
On the other hand the Soviets are not almost instantly cut off of a good portion of their main land which is full of potential soldiers, food and potential production facilities.
It's your own damn thesis that Stalin was woefully unprepared in his own stupidity;
What has this to do with the momentum of surprise?
And by the way, it is a fact that Stalin's defensive line was a horrible defensive line form an defensive view of point.
Stalin’s forward deployment of his military forces—did not make sense from a purely defensive viewpoint.
Source: CIA
I.e. Having fighters so close to the border that they don't even get a chance to take off before captured is very very stupid if someone expects an attack.
do you think the Western Allies would fall prey to the same thing?
Yes.
What does this sentence even mean?
It means that Stalin does not get a chance to misjudge the situation this time because he actually is the initiator of the situation. I.e. he will not get the chance to waste resources for supply lines through Poland suited for offense but not defense as done in the real time-line.
He will have the strategy and the logistics at hand suited for the situation right from the start etc.
 
Because the fact that in our time line nobody realized a crap about their intensive armament

Sorry? If we're talking about our universe, i.e., the original timeline, then this is completely false.

On the other hand the Soviets are not almost instantly cut off of a good portion of their main land which is full of potential soldiers, food and potential production facilities.

If we're imaging a theoretical Soviet invasion of the West, then look at it as if the Soviets are the Germans. How well Stalin fared in Barbarossa is irrelevant because he's the invader in this instance. To make my point clearer, the Germans had to advance this far:

OperationBarbarossa.PNG


They failed. Now, the Soviets would have to advance even further (Minsk to Paris; what is that, something like seven times the distance?), without surprise, without massive technological superiority, through far more densely populated territory, against more experienced and motivated enemies, without supplies coming from Britain or the U.S., without Germany facing a second front and being blockaded by sea, etc.
 
Sill, your views about Stalin (or Hitler) being stubborn idiot are extremely naive.
You may consider him as aggressive imperialist or evil totalitarian dictator - this at least can be confirmed by some credible sources, but not stupid for sure.

I would recommend you to read this book
Stalin's missed chance
It confirms some of your ideas, but will give proper understanding of pre-war events in Europe.

Don't take offence, you obviously need to read some historical research works on that period, if you are interested in it.
None taken and thanks for the book recommendation.
Yeah? I'm not arguing that Stalin wasn't a stubborn fool - I shy away from the term "idiot," as an idiot could never have accomplished all that he did
I said "in that regard". "In that regard" and "in general" are very different things. I agree that Stalin wouldn't have achieved what he has being stupid per se.
- for disbelieving his own intelligence, I'm arguing against the idea that the man intended to invade Europe. Most plans the USSR had against the West were defensive in nature; they believed that the "capitalist-imperialists" would eventually attack them. They wanted an offensive war, but were mostly preparing to defend themselves. Ask Cheezy, he could tell you a lot more about this than I could.
Sorry but this is just false. As Dragenlord said Stalin had some fear of an attack by the "capitalist-imperialist", but most of all he thought that they would attack each other, being blinded by ideology he was convinced that this was an unavoidable result of their ideological nature. And this was supposed to lead the way for an Soviet invasion.
As a matter of fact Stalin thought that the Great Depression would already cause a war between the Capitalists and was quit disappointed when this did not happen. You can imagine his glee when Hitler seemed to take over the job of the depression.

Dragonlord already stated nice examples for Stalin's offensive mind-set. I like to add that guides were printed for the Soviet soldiers containing German phrases like "drop your weapon" an such beforehand of the war.
I doubt Stalin believed anything like Hitler's claim that Mein Kampff was just to fool the French.
To my knowledge Hitler never had claimed something phony like that to lull Stalin. Stalin himself thought of that idea.
Believing your enemy won't attack - because logic dictates that they would be stupid to do so - is hardly the same as buying their outrageous lies. Stalin made a mistake. It was a big one, and cost him plenty in the short term.
I would say that intelligence reports outweigh personal future predictions of Hitlers rationalizing.
But he was too experienced in politics and intrigue to have bought the crap Hitler was selling.
Historians disagree with you as I proved before.
On December 31, 1940, the German chief of state, Adolf Hitler, wrote a letter to his counterpart in the Kremlin, sending him “cordial New Year’s greetings and my wishes for success and prosperity to you and the people of Soviet Russia”. The main purpose of this letter, however, wrote the Führer, was to reassure Stalin that Germany had no untoward designs on Russia, that its single and unalterable desire was to bring the British Empire to its knees. In a letter some months later (like the first, reprinted for the first time in What Stalin Knew: The enigma of Barbarossa by David E. Murphy), Hitler goes even further. He pleads with Stalin not to be misled by rumours deliberately spread by the British, or indeed by some German generals itching in seek a conflict with the Soviet Union — something which he, the Führer, decisively opposes. Russia and Germany must have peace, he declares, so if Stalin learns of some suspicious German deployments, or troop movements towards the Soviet border — all justified by the Germans’ desire to keep the British in suspense — he must immediately inform the Führer, who will take steps to defuse the potentially explosive situation.

As Alexander Solzhenitsyn once said, “Stalin did not trust anyone, but he did trust Adolf Hitler’. Indeed, on June 21, 1941, he issued a remarkable order to his troops cautioning them not to respond to German provocations (massive reconnaissance flights, a daily occurrence since May) without first checking with their commanding officers.

It all reads like a piece of flummery now, but when Stalin received Hitler’s letter on May 14, four weeks before the German panzer divisions rolled into Soviet territory, did he actually believe it? The answer is, astonishingly, yes
Source
From what I know of the Molotov Line - admittedly not that much - it would have been a decent defensive line if completed. It never was, of course, and was designed only to combat Germany - and maybe Hungary - not the entirety of Eastern Europe as well.
Stalin’s forward deployment of his military forces—did not make sense from a purely defensive viewpoint.
Source: CIA
I.e. Having fighters so close to the border that they don't even get a chance to take off before captured is very very stupid if someone expects an attack.
To be honest, I'm a little surprised Stalin wasn't overthrown shortly after Barbarossa. I suspect it is largely because he'd eliminated all possible successors. None of the generals had the political experience or acumen to run the nation, and they knew it. Molotov was really the only possible choice from within the Party, and he didn't want the job. Stalin seemed to avoid being disposed of simply because there were no alternatives to him at the time.
I agree on that.
You need to stop being a little smart arse right now. I'm attempting to have a conversation with you. That you disagree with what I'm saying does not give you an excuse to be a troll. If you do so again, I will report you.
I did not intend this to be personal as I did not criticize you but Stalin. If Stalin were here and reported me, I understood.
I am not saying that Stalin was smart for doing these things, but it's become obvious that you are either willfully misinterpreting my statements or just being foolish, so I will re-iterate; these are the reasons why Stalin did these things. That is all. I am not making any judgements about whether the man was right or not - he clearly wasn't - I am merely elucidating his reasons for doing so, and explaining why they made a certain amount of sense from his viewpoint.
And I can understand you doing so. It is just that I don't agree.
But that particular statement was directed against your belief in the myth above. I can find tonnes of sources supporting it too. It doesn't change the fact that those sources are wrong, much like the common claims that Stalin would have attacked Germany as early as 1942. 1944 was a more likely date, and then only because that's when Stalin's intelligence said Germany would be prepared to attack him.
Didn't Stalin think that if Germany would attack then not before 1942? I imagine this to be the base for that claim.
Misunderstanding a statement isn't that bad. [...] But I felt you deserved a warning because, up until now, I've found you to be a decent person to converse with.
Well, I have to appreciate your honesty and your effort to explain your thoughts on me. Maybe I acted a little too rough in hindsight. I am not sure what else to say right now. This opinion of yours really caught me by surprise.
Sorry? If we're talking about our universe, i.e., the original timeline, then this is completely false.
It is?
Didn't Germany gravely underestimate Soviet military strength as Goebbels admitted?
And wouldn't that mean that Roosevelt actually wanted the Soviets to assemble the biggest military force in Europe?

Got any source?

They failed. Now, the Soviets would have to advance even further (Minsk to Paris; what is that, something like seven times the distance?), without surprise, without massive technological superiority, through far more densely populated territory, against more experienced and motivated enemies, without supplies coming from Britain or the U.S., without Germany facing a second front and being blockaded by sea, etc.
Assuming the USSR had no surprise moment they certainly wouldn't have stood a chance. I can agree on that.
Though the analogy with Barbarossa isn't a fair one as Germany had never been really prepared for a large-scale war throughout WWII.
 
I can't see this thread title imagining how good Hitler is at fanning a Smith & Wesson taking out all the varmints in town.

I'm sorry to interupt your considered historical debate, but I felt it needed to be said.
 
It is?
Didn't Germany gravely underestimate Soviet military strength as Goebbels admitted?
And wouldn't that mean that Roosevelt actually wanted the Soviets to assemble the biggest military force in Europe?

It was not the military potential of the Soviets that was misunderstood -- one only has to observe industry versus population -- but rather how long the Soviet Union could survive under the strain of war that was grossly miscalculated. At the height of the blitz, the Soviet Union's GDP fell to half of its pre-war level; Hitler was expecting it to be somewhere in the range of 10 to 15%.

Nevertheless, everybody was well aware of the USSR's military escalation.

Though the analogy with Barbarossa isn't a fair one as Germany had never been really prepared for a large-scale war throughout WWII.

You're missing the point. Your contention is that the Soviets could've traveled seven times the distance that Barbarossa did, without all of the enormous benefits the Germans had, simply by steamrolling with their huge population. (Worked really well in WWI, didn't it?)

Now, even given that the Soviets would've been immaculately prepared for such an incursion, do you honestly think this is feasible? And also remember that they're not getting nuclear weapons, which would certainly have been finished by the time the USSR is allegedly ready to expand.
 
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