Mark1031 said:
Yes, quite interesting question and I almost included it. Personal POV we are not alone. but I don't expect to be talking philosophy with a Valcan anytime soon.
Actually, the question is even more subtle. I was specifically talking about
Fermi Paradox. It is just not enough to state that life is rare or physics is impossible for interstellar travel etc. etc. By all reasonable assumptions we should have evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence by now. But we do not! Why? As has been repeatedly shown,
although the best of minds have taken a whack at it, we have yet to find a solution to the paradox that does not violate either Occam's razor or principle of mediocrity.
I'm not much of a physicist but wouldn't this arise out of an answer to question 1?
Not really. TOE should answer a lot more that just how the universe began. It should also answer why the universe is as it is and not anything else.
I actually think this and the formulation in the poll are answered, at least in broad strokes. The answer is both hardware and software. consciousness/the mind of arise out of (they are) the coordinated activity of specific groups of neurons that have been molded to respond that way through brain development and environmentally imposed plasticity (learning). How this all works at a detailed level is of course of great interest.
While this is a reasonable pov (and I tend to instinctively believe it) , no one has really proven that a
strong AI pov is false. Specifically, a lot of scientists at the forefront of research (Steven Pinker for example) believe in strong AI. If it is true, then a silicon based computer simulating the human brain should show the same consciousness. If it does then what?
Well, it may be that we have not created life from nonlife but I'm also quite comfortable with the broad strokes view based on the biochemistry that we do know. It's a little misleading to say that the only thing going for abiogenisis is Occam's Razor. This implies that the data are nearly equally supportive of intelligent design but that abiogenisis wins out by being slightly more parsimonious. We can make all the basic building blocks of life from the prebiotic ingredients, those can be put together to form peptides, RNA, lipid bilayers ie. the higher order chemistries of life. RNA itself can be self replicating. What exactly are the data that would lead one to even put forward or begin investigating the notion of intelligent design?
Maybe, I was being a bit glib. I should have also added (as you correctly pointed out) that ID is not really a testable hypothesis. So it is not really a scientific theory.
I am certain this is one area where you know far more than I do, so correct me if I am way off mark.
It is one thing to synthesize the basic ingredients of life in the laboratory. It is quite another to show that it happened in the environs of early earth. Also, it is one thing to create all the separate molecules required for life, but yet another to put them together to form a cell. IIRC, the simplest possible cell requires about 500 odd proteins. That is a huge amount of proteins. How do you come about this amount of complexity and put it all together. { An evolutionary approach does not really help, because the cell is your primary reproductive block. You could not have evolution (at least the way we know it) to get to this complexity. So there ought to be some other explanation. }
Without answering all these how can you say that abiogenesis is much more well established (granted it has the benfit of testability) than ID?