It all raises a familiar and vital question about Trump’s 2024 campaign — about people’s memories.
How much have people simply forgotten what they didn’t like about him? And how much will being reminded about that — and being more deeply informed about potentially criminal actions in cases like the Manhattan one — affect the presidential race?
What’s clear is that Trump supporters and independents are at a significant deficit when it comes to understanding these cases:
Polling has shown huge numbers of Republicans believe things that simply aren’t true about the cases. For instance, a majority of Republicans have said
Trump didn’t even try to overturn the election. Half have said he
didn’t take top-secret and classified documents from the White House. (He objectively did both.)
- A Marquette University Law School poll last summer showed a majority of independents said they had heard only “a little” (40 percent) or “nothing at all” (16 percent) about his classified documents case.
- A Reuters/Ipsos poll last month showed nearly half of independents and Republicans said they were following Trump’s election subversion cases “not so closely” or “not closely at all.” Just 3 in 10 Democrats said the same.
- An Economist/YouGov poll last month showed just 18 percent of Republicans said they had heard “a lot” about the hush money case, and 39 percent said they had heard “nothing at all” about it. Those numbers were basically reversed among Democrats, 39 percent of whom had heard “a lot” and just 20 percent of whom had heard “nothing at all.”
The total picture suggests that lots of Americans and even Republicans could soon learn — or relearn — plenty about a situation they regard as unsavory or even illegal.
It might not be as much of a deal breaker for voters as Trump’s other cases, and there is a real threat for prosecutors and Democrats in having Americans regard this process as overzealous.
That doesn’t mean it will be a proud moment for Trump.