sumthinelse
civ investigator
There was a science fiction (or something like that) story that I once read. There was a scientist who heard the conjecture that if you had 100 keyboards and 100 monkeys touching them in random (?) ways they would eventually write all the great books.
So the guy got 100 keyboards and 100 monkeys, let them play for a few minutes, and looked at monkey #1's output. Monkey #1 had written:
"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times...."
(Extra credit for identifying that literary work.)
Improbable phenomena have to occur at some time, so why not now?
Well, after seeing only 27 leaders appear in 418 times with the HE, and writing my last note, on the very next try with the HE I got a leader, and then another one 3 tries later. Today's results have brought the leader creation ratio with HE to 32/471, about 1/15. Still closer to 1/16 than 1/12, but maybe it will even out nearer to 1/12 eventually.
However, the new results without the HE are about the same, 33/361 or about 1/11.
So the guy got 100 keyboards and 100 monkeys, let them play for a few minutes, and looked at monkey #1's output. Monkey #1 had written:
"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times...."
(Extra credit for identifying that literary work.)
Improbable phenomena have to occur at some time, so why not now?
Well, after seeing only 27 leaders appear in 418 times with the HE, and writing my last note, on the very next try with the HE I got a leader, and then another one 3 tries later. Today's results have brought the leader creation ratio with HE to 32/471, about 1/15. Still closer to 1/16 than 1/12, but maybe it will even out nearer to 1/12 eventually.
However, the new results without the HE are about the same, 33/361 or about 1/11.