The Franklin Expedition Mafia - Mafia Win

[Timsup2nothin]

indeed you clearly don't follow directions.

Consult my most recent thread in OT for confirmation.

 

[TheCleanerDragon]

Not if your purpose is to pull a prank on someone.

 

[Timsup2nothin]

The old "roll a two, I dare you" trick!

 

[Montmorency]

If you toss a coin 500 times and it flips heads every time, what is the probability of the coin landing heads the 501st time?

 

[Visorslash]

If you toss a coin 500 times and it flips heads every time, what is the probability of the coin landing heads the 501st time?

3/13

 

[Timsup2nothin]

If you toss a coin 500 times and it flips heads every time, what is the probability of the coin landing heads the 501st time?

Extremely good, since the coin is obviously imbalanced.

 

[RRRaskolnikov]

^^ this is turning into the "Probability for dummies" thread!

 

[RRRaskolnikov]

lol Visor. So how do you win the game tmr?

 

[Montmorency]

Extremely good, since the coin is obviously imbalanced.

Close. It's a rigged coin.

 

[Timsup2nothin]

Close. It's a rigged coin.

Imbalanced...rigged...po-tay-to...po-tah-to...

 

[Dolbster]

Night One has ended. Results are pending

 

[Dolbster]

Day Two​

With the death of John Diggle the crew went to rest quite quickly. The Arctic night at this time of year occurred irregularly and didn't last long, and everyone wanted to get a wink of sleep while the sun was down, knowing full well the dangers of doing so. Each Crewmember went to sleep with the silent fear of never waking up again, without even a body to bury.

To their great shock and elation, this fate happened to none that night.

No one died last night.

You have 48 hours to vote. Day Two ends at 7 PM PST on February 2nd.

 

[Visorslash]

hyyyyyype

 

[Visorslash]

great success

looks like cold war so far eh

 

[LordArgon]

So there might be a doctor after all. Vote: Montmorency

 

[Timsup2nothin]

Check over the side, they must have eaten Takhisis.

 

[Montmorency]

D1: 340
N1: 150

I was forged in a more ancient mold but I've come around, Visor.


Anyway, I think the doctor/RB/JK successfully targeted Visor because I pointed out that Visor, as a powerful lynch-manipulating townie, would be the cannibals' priority N1. Hooray for me.

Whoever the hero was, you may want to breadcrumb your action late N2. For example, if a doctor protected Visor then logically Visor would be mechanically cleared. Awesome to know that for sure before the information goes to the grave. But only starting late N2, and subtly.

Vote: Rask

 

[Timsup2nothin]

So there might be a doctor after all. Vote: Montmorency

A luckier one than you, apparently.

Vote: Montmorency

 

[Montmorency]

great success

looks like cold war so far eh

Like Cold War, lynching me loses Town the game.

 

[topsecret]

Whatever the reason, let's be thankful we didn't lose anyone. Going good for us!

Like Cold War, lynching me loses Town the game.

OK...? Got a real defense?

A luckier one than you, apparently.

Vote: Montmorency

OK... Why?

D1: 340
N1: 150

I was forged in a more ancient mold but I've come around, Visor.


Anyway, I think the doctor/RB/JK successfully targeted Visor because I pointed out that Visor, as a powerful lynch-manipulating townie, would be the cannibals' priority N1. Hooray for me.

Whoever the hero was, you may want to breadcrumb your action late N2. For example, if a doctor protected Visor then logically Visor would be mechanically cleared. Awesome to know that for sure before the information goes to the grave. But only starting late N2, and subtly.

Vote: Rask

Interesting vote. Why?

I think I know the answer to both but let's get it in writing.