lovett
Deity
- Joined
- Sep 21, 2007
- Messages
- 2,570
I think given that the USSR would likely have been defeated by Nazi Germany had Trotsky been in power, and given that the allies wouldnt have been able to defeat a Nazi empire that stretached fomr the Urals to the Atlantic, yeah I think overall the good did outwegh the bad. I just dont buy it that being a Soviet satellite was as bad for Eastern and Central Europe as being under the Nazis was. Dont get me wrong; he was responsible for some absolutely unforgivable crimes, horrific ones.
I think you underestimate the damage Stalin did to the Soviet ability to wage war, and perhaps overestimate the importance of the five year plans. First and foremost, the purges completely crippled the Red Army. Every general had been 'removed' and almost 40,000 officers executed. The result was an army completely stymied and unfit for purpose. Every level of command was pervaded by incompetence and despite the example of Blitzkrieg in France commissars stuck to repetitive failed tactics for months into the war. Hell, the Red Army couldn't even defeat Finland!
Tactically, Stalin was a pretty big burden. It's his fault that the Soviet lines were so woefully unprepared for Operation Barbarossa, especially since he had intelligence regarding the incoming German attack. It was he who refused to let Soviet forces retreat in the face of German advance. It was he who repeatedly hashed up tactical decisions and refused to modernise the Red army. The result as I'm sure you know, was the complete and utter decimation of Soviet forces by the Wehrmacht.
In contrast, Trotsky was a keen moderniser and possessed a decent tactical mind. It is very unlikely he would have destroyed the Red Army's operational capacity like Stalin did. Indeed, his past actions suggest that he would have worked to vastly increase said capacity. It was his influence which had originally transformed the Red Army from a band of loosely connected rebels into an organized, disciplined and modern military machine. A Red Army under his command would not have been made to look completely incompetent first by the Finns then by the Germans.
As for industrialisation, I think it's very hard to say how a Trotsky led program would have compared with that of Stalin. But modern estimates don't actually rate industrial growth under Stalin amazingly highly. I.e, about 6% per annum. That's impressive. But to say it's unattainable by any leader but Stalin seem like a bit of an exaggeration.
You know that Stalin sold the grain to buy the machinery for the plans, right?
Actually, IIRC, grain sales never constituted a significant source of foreign currency. Although he planned to do this, collectivisation turned into such a mess that it never really worked out.