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New nuclear-weapons push invites a dangerous backlash
Thoughts?
New nuclear-weapons push invites a dangerous backlash
Last week, the Bush administration's top nuclear experts gathered at Omaha's Offutt Air Force Base to review the nation's nuclear arsenal.
Some of those experts believe the U.S. needs a new weapon with a Dr. Strangelove name the Robust Nuclear Earth Penetrator. That's the Pentagon (news - web sites)'s formal name for the bunker-buster, a nuclear version of the conventional weapon U.S. forces used in Afghanistan (news - web sites) and in Iraq (news - web sites) to burrow into caves and underground bunkers. The nuclear warhead would pack a relatively small punch, just enough to destroy reinforced steel-and-concrete command centers and vaporize stocks of biological and chemical weapons deep beneath the earth's surface.
In spite of the ominous sound of the weapon, the military has strong arguments for developing it. Unlike most of the Cold War-era nuclear arsenal designed to wipe out large chunks of the former Soviet Union, the nuclear bunker-buster could target today's threats, such as buried weapons of mass destruction.
But while the military utility of the bunker-buster is undeniable, the logic behind building it is flawed. It would set the U.S. on an unnecessary course that could trigger a new nuclear arms race.
Unlike the rest of the U.S. nuclear arsenal, which was built to deter an attack, the nuclear bunker-buster would be a first-use weapon. Its development would put new nuclear muscle behind the administration's new policy of waging pre-emptive war. Considering the promise of conventional weapons to handle that same bunker-busting mission, building such a nuclear device would send the wrong message to fledgling nuclear powers with itchy trigger fingers.
Among the problems with nuclear-tipped bunker-busters, they could:
- Require a resumption oftesting Building a new warhead would probably require a resumption of underground testing, several nuclear experts outside the government say. The U.S. has not conducted a nuclear test since 1992. And four years later, in 1996, it signed the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, which ended most nuclear testing.
The Bush administration already has signaled interest in setting aside the moratorium which was never ratified by Congress so the Pentagon could test its aging arsenal, as well as develop the bunker-buster. But nuclear powers such as China and wannabe nuclear states such as Iran could interpret resumed U.S. testing as a green light to accelerate their own programs.
- Provoke enemies The current U.S. arsenal of 7,000 operational warheads deters an enemy from striking first, since the retaliation would be overwhelming. The argument for nuclear bunker-busters is that the principle of deterrence is not effective for hostile nations with unstable leaders, such as North Korea (news - web sites), so the U.S. needs a limited, first-strike nuclear weapon.
The problem with that logic is that the mere development of a weapon designed for war fighting rather than deterrence could tempt fledgling nuclear powers to use their arsenals to fight regional wars.
- Contaminate battlefields. Some nuclear experts say a bunker-buster warhead probably could not penetrate deep enough into a bunker to contain the radioactive debris that would come from the blast. The target might be destroyed, but the release of deadly radioactivity could threaten friendly forces and civilians.
The Pentagon says conventional firepower can't match the target-destroying capabilities of a nuclear bunker-buster. From a war-fighting perspective, the Pentagon is right. Conventional warheads will never carry the same destructive force. But the negatives that would result from encouraging new and less-stable nuclear powers to use their weapons offset any advantages.
The Pentagon also says resuming nuclear testing might not be necessary. That's possible, considering that the Defense Department already has an older, less-effective nuclear device for penetrating earth. But a new nuclear weapon that could burrow deeply into a bunker or cave probably would require some testing, setting a precedent for the rest of the world that's unthinkable.
The military has a more realistic and safer solution for destroying an enemy's underground bunkers. Recent breakthroughs make conventional weapons promising candidates for such a mission. For instance, precision targeting now allows the military to make repeated strikes against the same underground hole.
With continued improvements, conventional weapons could prove to be nearly as effective, without the Dr. Strangelove-like consequences.
Thoughts?