CFC betting game - Survivor S8G5

[Fippy]

..and we are finally back, with double Egypt & Brennus being stuck in a peacemonger game
I say we need more this time, the generous casino gives out 10.000.

Ranking:
Kaitzilla the Rich: 160k * Nick723: 72.5k * Eauxps: 40k
NickGabben: 25k * Plains-cow: 22.5k * Saxo: 21.1k * My: 19k * Sittindown: 14.4k * Lymo: 13k

Which AI will win?
Darius +300
Hatty +500
Ramsy +550
Asoka +600
Pacal +800
Brennus +1000

Who comes in second?
Hatty +450
Ramsy +500
Asoka +550
Darius +600
Brennus +800
Pacal +900

First to die?
Brennus +400
Hatty +500
Pacal +550
Darius +600
Asoka +700
Ramsy +800
Everyone survives +15000

Victory condition?
Culture +200
Space +200
Domi +400
Diplo +4000

Specials:
Barbs capture (or raze) an AI city: +1200
Facepalm is back! Pyras builder adopts US first: +550
Hatty and Ramsy get into a war with each other, somehow: +650
Liberalism pick will not be Astro or Nationalism: +750
We see Nukes again, after a long time: +1300
Darius wins the Physics Scientist: +250

Have fun

 

[Eauxps I. Fourgott]

Depending on how these turn out, I might be ready to reset the ledgers after this week

10,000 gold on each of the following:
Pacal win
Brennus second place
Nobody dies
Diplo victory

 

[Fippy]

Hmm isn't 10k on Nobody dies overkill, with such high odds?

 

[Eauxps I. Fourgott]

Hmm isn't 10k on Nobody dies overkill, with such high odds?

Is this a hint that I should give everybody else a chance?

OK, 1K gold on this would get me 150K if it hit, right? About enough to catch Kaitzilla. So I suppose I can go with that one. Subject to change if Kaitzilla bets on this outcome too

I'll put the rest on Ramesses second place.

 

[ManiaMuse89]

10,000g on Brennus first to die please.

 

[lymond]

1st
Brennus - 3000
Pacal - 3000

2nd

Pacal - 2000
Rambo - 1000

FTD

Everyone Lives - 1000

VC

Diplo - 1000

Crazy My bets :

Lib pick - 1000
Rammy v. Hatty - 1000

 

[elitetroops]

Pacal 2nd - 4000
Egyptian civil war - 4000

Nobody dies - 1000
Diplo - 1000

 

[Fippy]

Elite checking in is always a personal highlight

 

[elitetroops]

Elite checking in is always a personal highlight

Because you know it's free donation to the bank?

 

[Kaitzilla]

5000 on Everyone Lives
5000 on Nukes!
150000 Fippybucks on HATSHEPSUT DIES FIRST

Spoiler :

AI seem to love to settle double food resources within 4.5 to 6 tiles from the capital that their Scouts reveal.
The scouts only have to unfog the tile to enable it for settling, not the nearby resources in that tile's Big Fat Cross section.
Undiscovered resources that need a tech like horses don't count.

Brennus has that wet corn and pig 5 tiles away 1N of the Iron.
If Brennus settles there, the holy city will push all the way to Hatty's capital, and the invasion stack will be in the Big Fat Cross of Thebes.
I can't lose!

Unless Brennus fights 1v3 vs. Asoka, Darius, and Hatty
I'll cry!

 

[Fippy]

Here we go..Kai puts his wealth into Hatty's hands

 

[Eauxps I. Fourgott]

Depending on how these turn out, I might be ready to reset the ledgers after this week

10,000 gold on each of the following:
Pacal win
Brennus second place
Nobody dies
Diplo victory

In light of Kaitzilla's bids, I would like to ignore your peer pressure and revert to this original bid

 

[Plains-Cow]

10k on barbs razing an AI city

The rest of my pot goes to Darius winning the Physics Scientist.

 

[SittinDown]

14.4k - I'm like a 1994 modem!

1000 on Darius getting the Physics Scientist
1000 on Asoka to win
2000 on Hatty FTD
1000 on Pacal in 2nd
2000 on Darius to win

 

[Fippy]

I have to ask @SittinDown
Are you intentionally not betting everything, or is there some confusion about how my odds system works?

 

[NickGabben]

Darius to win: 4000
Pacal to win: 3000
Brennus to win: 1000
Hatshepsut FTD: 4000 (Can I please get way better odds than Kait?)
Space: 7000
Nobody dies: 1000
Scientist for Darius: 3000
Nukes!: 2000

 

[Keler]

10k Hatty and Ramsy gets in fight sometime in game.

 

[Fippy]

Brennus wins 5k
Asoka FTD 4k
Diplo win 1k
Barbs get a city 2k
Facepalm 3k
Lib pick 2k
Nukes 2k

 

[Chalybion]

Brennus Second: 2000
Brennus First: 2000
Nukes!: 2000
Liberalism: 2000
Everyone Survives: 2000

 

[Saxo Grammaticus]

3,900 Darius first

4,100 Brennus first-to-die
6,100 No one dies

3,300 Diplomatic
3,700 Darius wins the Physics race