I think you can run it
My machine is a similar Lenovo (i7 3517; intel hd 4000; 8GB ram; ssd). Currently turn 131, graphics as low as possible. Small map, standard speed. Turn time is a bit slow but otherwise the game is running. It's not significantly slower than CiV.
So I took a leap of faith and try it anyway.
It does works, but I need to be in a cold room with external fan switched on. Even with that, the internal fan still spinning non-stop really loudly
I'm now on turn 100s, Tiny map, quick and also all low settings - I tried to switch on the animated leader but looks like mine can't handle it.
Benchmarking crash my game.