Little Raven
On Walkabout
You can't blame Iran for jumping for nukes. We've made it quite clear that they are on the short list of countries to be knocked over, and the handling of Iraq demonstrated that once we've decided a country is going down, nothing they say or do will stop us from dropping a load of shock and awe on their ass.
However, our treatment of North Korea also demonstrated that if you have nuclear weapons, you can say or do anything you like and we'll accommodate you however we can.
So Iran has no choice. Either they join the nuclear club now, while the US is tied down in Iraq, or their country gets bombed back into the stone age once we go looking for a new target. It's a dangerous game, but right now, its the only game in town.
I can't imagine any responsible Iranian leader doing anything other than pursuing nuclear weapons at this point. When we shock and awe a country, we kill a lot of people. No leader could contemplate allowing this to happen to his country without taking every means at his disposal to stop it. Even chasing nukes.
EDIT: I would be very surprised if Israel attempted any sort of military strike. Not because they lack the military means, but because I doubt they could get the political permission. We won't tolerate anyone rocking the boat right now. Our troops are bailing entirely too much as it is.
However, our treatment of North Korea also demonstrated that if you have nuclear weapons, you can say or do anything you like and we'll accommodate you however we can.
So Iran has no choice. Either they join the nuclear club now, while the US is tied down in Iraq, or their country gets bombed back into the stone age once we go looking for a new target. It's a dangerous game, but right now, its the only game in town.
I can't imagine any responsible Iranian leader doing anything other than pursuing nuclear weapons at this point. When we shock and awe a country, we kill a lot of people. No leader could contemplate allowing this to happen to his country without taking every means at his disposal to stop it. Even chasing nukes.
EDIT: I would be very surprised if Israel attempted any sort of military strike. Not because they lack the military means, but because I doubt they could get the political permission. We won't tolerate anyone rocking the boat right now. Our troops are bailing entirely too much as it is.