oh man, this is gonna cost time....
Urederra said:
Well, that is completely false, and typing it in caps or bold does not help. The data hasnt been retracted in the very journal it was published in. (later on this post I will show you a paper that has a corrigendum in the very journal it was published, very related to Ruddiman, BTW.

) So, Who is the one that hasnt understood what it is written in the thread?
your opinion and my interpretation of your posts - if I misunderstood you initially, then we agree - all fine.....
btw, the retraction of the paper I referred to was in Science, too, IIRC.
As tricky says in his post (the element 115 stuff), there is a lot of trash in the web. You can try to fool us and try to prove whatever you want using statistics, but, sooner or later, you will be caught.
exactly my point - statistics (as employed by Mr. Humburg, erhm, Lomberg, need to be examined extremely carefully. So again we agree
What you posted about Dr. (not Mr. as you said)
Does a degree mean he is now castrated?
Lomborg I have seen it many times in many papers. They go after the person, instead of attacking his results. Thats an attack ad hominem. Why Dr. Lomborg is attacked in that way? Because they cannot have anything against the argument the person in question is presenting the argument.
nope, because I can't have a go at his theory as he never published it in ana ccepted form - news articles and a book - great! here are his peer reviewed (and thus easily and free of charge accessible for me) articles?????
I have read his book and he does not pretend to have first-hand research results. He is a professor of statistics, very important issue in science. He says in his book was born when he read an inerview with Julian Simon, from the University of Maryland, where he stated that much of our traditional knowledge about the environment is simply based on preconceptions and poor statistics and our doomsday conceptions of the environment are not correct Lomborg, at that time a Greenpeace member and professor of statistics got provoked and tried to prove that Simon was lying. He couldnt, He used the official statistics and he found that Simon was right. After that, he left Greenpeace. The green mafia.
See, you have fallen into the trap: you call Greenpeace a 'mafia' - do you call GM a mafia, too? Because THEY have been proven to break the law a lot of times. Greenepace doesn't have the cleanest record, but the 'other' side has a far worse one....
and the other thing: a professor of economics tries to use data about which he has no clue (what resolution is attempted and displayed, what resolution is needed to gain emaningfull results and interpretations, do various sources stick to the same standards etc - we'll get to that, later again, with the hockey stock curve and Ruddiman), now he uses this data, which was if I understand correctly published not as a conscises set (and thus prepared properly to fit the same resolutions etc) but as seperate parts, he takes this and finds it is not a concise set - what surprise!!!!!
Now, funny thing - why didn't he publish his findings properly, if they stand up to scruntity????
What Lomborg proves is not difficult to understand. In air pollution, for example, he collected all that official data he found and he put in in graphics. The tables go from lead emissions to SO2, CO or lead concentration in air in countries like UK and USA. Results: Air is less polluted today than in 1950 in those countries. It is not rocket science, you look at the SO2 concentrations nowadays and every year back to 1950 and youll see that the concentration of the pollutant was higher 50 years ago.
So?
And it does the same with water pollution, global temperatures, acid rain, life expectancy, food production, etc. All are statistics from official sources, (circa 2900) It is so good that his detractors cannot attack the facts written in the book, so they attack him instead.
erhm, wait one - even your short description already shows his flaw! As is quite common, he drops a very important thing in climate studies - TIME!
How long does it take for a heating trend due to more CO2 to take hold? let's, for the sake of argument, pick a number - any number in a sensible magnitude - let's say 100 years, OK? May be a bit more or less, but that's a good ballpark figure.
If you take a 100 year graph and check the levels at the beginning and end, you'll actually MISS a 100 year trend if the graph looks like this:
but the LINK to GW takes place like this:
so you see: CO2 goes DOWN but temp goes UP - clearly, not linked, right?
But there's time - the 100 year lag! you'd need to extend this period over which you compare to see if there will be a temp drop (nad that assumes a monocausality, too, btw, while in reality quite easily feedback mechanisms can lkick that out the window) 100 years after the down trend in CO2 started.
OR, better, see if the two curves correlate if you slide one in time (i.e., are they similar). You'll find that this is true.
So, this Mr. Lomberg (in climate research, he has no degree, so I'll stick to Mr.) makes a typical fundamental mistake that he, as a specialist in statistics, should know about - he uses statistics to disprove something that this test isn't applicable for! he oversimplifies massively, then finds it doesn't work - who's surprised????
Well, that's why I said in my first post that the argument "corporation propaganda" looks to me like Greenpeace propaganda. Where did you prove that the links that Basket Case posted went to companies or institutes with direct funding by industries who have an interest in GW not being man's fault?
In the thread he poisted them in! I followed all links to their 'about us' or so page and found they were interest groups.
And even if that is true, Why did you keep attacking ad hominem instead of attacking the arguments?
read above...... Why should I bother to repeat that GW1 thread?
( I have just made a quick check for the Basket Case links and where you prove that ALL of them are funded by industries but I could find them

)
I addressed, in that thread, all links - IIRC (off the top of my head), all were NOT proper proof of GW not happening. Most were interest groups, one or two linked to very outdated research, and one was incomprehensible gibberish by a group that also claimed UFOs are real
and BTW, as I said in my first post, I am skeptical about the existence of a global warming period and even more skeptical about that global warming could be caused almost entirely by human factors. I am the skeptical one, you are the one who is sure about that, you are the one who has to prove that there is global warming and it is human driven, not me.
erhm, no - you cna remain skeptical because you are dumb, because you have financial interests, because you can't read - how do I know (not that I think any of this applies, or I wouldn't try to argue the issue properly and nicely)?
the proof is there to find, and the last few threads had enough links and citations for anyone willing to go and find the research data. The scientific consensus is GW exists. YOU make the odd claim, YOU bring proof.
And the Ruddiman paper (it is a mini-review more than a paper) Does not explain what caused the Medieval Warm Period nor the following mini Ice Age. So, more papers please... more proves....
no, it doesn't - who ever claimed it did? If you want to know what caused the two I can ask a colleague upstairs for papers or textbooks on this. I expected her tio be in yesterday, but she wasn't - holiday time. Please excuse that I do not waste my working hours doing literature research on this when waiting a few days will make it a case of getting the PDFs or a paper title a matter of minutes.
Do you have access to online databases or a good library , btw?