Agriculture then BW, agreed.
I would farm the sugar before working the mines. Building a Worker first is going to stunt your early growth, so you need to catch up as fast as possible.
The Oracle: wow, tough choice. Normally Code of Laws is preferred. Although it's worth less beakers than Metal Casting, it's really a more valuable tech: it founds a religion, gives you Courthouses, and opens up the Caste System option. Since you aren't founding an early religion, normally this would be a no-brainer.
But! You are playing an Industrious leader. That means _cheap forges_. Metal Casting lets you build those forges fast, giving you an extra 25% production in your cities forever. This is very tempting.
In the early game you don't need religion, but by the midgame you really do -- for the happiness bonus, for the buildings, and for the civics. So, founding Confucianism would be very helpful...
... but cheap forges! You can run Engineers early, and get a shot at Great Engineers!
Yeah, tough choice.
Here's my $.02: explore and see if you have a neighbor who's founded a religion. If yes, go to Open Borders as soon as possible and hope the religion spreads. If not, make that neighbor target #1. If the neighbor is not a good target -- too far away, or has an early UU -- then get Code of Laws. Otherwise, live large and take Metal Casting.
Of course, first you have to build your Oracle!
Waldo