@Major Tom
Jelling 1S would have had crabs in second ring, not first. Other than that 1S would have been better. One more grassland that can be worked eventually, and it would be able to share rice.
But getting the food online sooner was much more valuable there I think.
You outline the difficulty pretty good too. It's very hard to get timings right and to know when it's ok to stop teching and just go for it isn't easy.
rifles+cannons does have a very long window of opportunity though, and if everything else prior to that has failed then that point is really a place to go all in.
It's almost impossible to fail completely with rifles+cannons and in almost all cases you can get some land and make some progress on at least one target.
To manage to do it fast enough, and recover/regroup afterwards and do a nice followup, or to kickstart teching again, that can be quite a challenge though.
Spoiler :
Jelling 1S would have had crabs in second ring, not first. Other than that 1S would have been better. One more grassland that can be worked eventually, and it would be able to share rice.
But getting the food online sooner was much more valuable there I think.
You outline the difficulty pretty good too. It's very hard to get timings right and to know when it's ok to stop teching and just go for it isn't easy.
rifles+cannons does have a very long window of opportunity though, and if everything else prior to that has failed then that point is really a place to go all in.
It's almost impossible to fail completely with rifles+cannons and in almost all cases you can get some land and make some progress on at least one target.
To manage to do it fast enough, and recover/regroup afterwards and do a nice followup, or to kickstart teching again, that can be quite a challenge though.