SGOTM 12 - One Short Straw

T155 Bahamas whips galley
T156 Fort is finished
GG on the galley on T156 and heading towards the mainland (his vacation will be cut as short as possible)
Excellent. WIth engineering, the GG will only need two turns from the banana tile to settling in Moscow on T160. SO we get two or three trebs without CRII. We're fine.

Onward!
 
China has 3 cities Beijing 651 sabotage, Nan 524 sabotage, Chengdu 741 sabotage

Rosey has 3 cities btwn 6-700 Washingotn, Boston, Atlanta

no other over 200
 
Time to reassess we lost another macemen at 80+ odds :(

Uploaded the save. We have a few 10 xp units but can't upgrade them. Still not a good plan to sacrifice chariots and swords against Orleans :(

Could whip a macemen out of Paris instead of a trireme? Mace in Moscow (would dealy HE even further)
Mace could be whipped in Fish

Sorry guys.

Spoiler :
Here is your Session Turn Log from 840 AD to 900 AD:

Turn 152, 840 AD: You have discovered Archery!
Turn 152, 840 AD: You have constructed National Epic in Pigs. Work has now begun on a Courthouse.

Turn 153, 860 AD: Tell Gandhi he is a punk
Turn 153, 860 AD: Moscow can hurry Maceman for 1? with 35? overflow and +1? for 10 turns.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Siberia has grown to size 7.
Turn 153, 860 AD: GP Farm has grown to size 6.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Bahamas will become unhappy on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Bahamas can hurry Courthouse for 3? with 15? overflow and +1? for 41 turns.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Rheims has grown to size 5.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Paris has been pacified.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Paris has become unhappy.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Paris can hurry Granary for 3? with 1? overflow and +1? for 10 turns.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Your Catapult 1 (Fish) has reduced the defenses of Orleans to 24%!
Turn 153, 860 AD: Your Catapult 2 (Fish) has reduced the defenses of Orleans to 8%!
Turn 153, 860 AD: Your Catapult 3 (Fish) has reduced the defenses of Orleans to 0%!
Turn 153, 860 AD: Clearing a Forest has created 30 ? for Rheims.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Confucianism has spread in Paris.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Pigs will grow to size 8 on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: GP Farm will grow to size 7 on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Bahamas will grow to size 4 on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Bermuda will grow to size 5 on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Kamchatka will grow to size 2 on the next turn.
Turn 153, 860 AD: Deal Canceled: Pig to Mao Zedong for Gold Per Turn (1)
Turn 153, 860 AD: Deal Canceled: Gold to Mao Zedong for Gold Per Turn (2)
Turn 153, 860 AD: You have constructed Oxford University in Moscow. Work has now begun on a Maceman.
Turn 153, 860 AD: GP Farm can no longer work on Oxford University. The lost ? is converted into 77?!

Turn 154, 880 AD: Moscow can hurry Maceman for 1? with 35? overflow and +1? for 10 turns.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Pigs has grown to size 8.
Turn 154, 880 AD: GP Farm has grown to size 7.
Turn 154, 880 AD: GP Farm can hurry Spy for 2? with 32? overflow, 1? added to the treasury, and +1? for 45 turns.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Bermuda has grown to size 5.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Paris has become happy.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Kamchatka has grown to size 2.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Kamchatka can hurry Work Boat for 1? with 7? overflow and +1? for 10 turns.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Gandhi has 50 gold available for trade.
Turn 154, 880 AD: The borders of Bahamas are about to expand.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) (5.00) vs De Gaulle's Swordsman (6.90)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 31.2%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Catapult 3 (Fish) has caused collateral damage! (6 Units)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) is hit for 23 (77/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) is hit for 23 (54/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) is hit for 23 (31/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) is hit for 23 (8/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish) is hit for 23 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman has defeated Catherine's Catapult 3 (Fish)!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Catapult 3 (Fish) has died trying to attack a Swordsman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Archer (5.70)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 84.9%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Fortify: +15%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Defense: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Hills Defense: +45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (84/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (68/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (52/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 23 (77/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (36/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 23 (54/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (20/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (4/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish) is hit for 16 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer has defeated Catherine's Maceman 4 (Fish)!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 4 (Fish) has died trying to attack a Archer!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Axeman (5.75)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 87.7%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (77/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (54/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (31/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (8/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) has defeated De Gaulle's Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 7 (Fish) has destroyed a Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Axeman (5.75)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 87.7%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (77/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (54/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (31/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (8/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 23 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) has defeated De Gaulle's Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 6 (Moscow) has destroyed a Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Axeman (5.17)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 95.1%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Combat: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 24 (66/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 24 (42/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 24 (18/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 24 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) has defeated De Gaulle's Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 5 (Moscow) has destroyed a Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Archer (4.09)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 98.4%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Defense: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Hills Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) is hit for 14 (86/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 26 (62/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 26 (36/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 26 (10/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 26 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) has defeated De Gaulle's Archer!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Heinz Guderian (Great General) has been born in Bermuda (Catherine)!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 3 (Fish) has destroyed a Archer!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Archer (4.75)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 94.2%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Defense: +50%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Hills Defense: +25%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (City Attack: -20%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (85/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (70/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (55/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (40/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (25/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (63/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (38/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (13/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) is hit for 15 (10/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Maceman 1 (Pigs) has defeated De Gaulle's Archer!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Your Maceman 1 (Pigs) has destroyed a Archer!
Turn 154, 880 AD: You have plundered 11? from the Hamlet!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Moscow will grow to size 16 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Fish will grow to size 7 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Siberia will grow to size 6 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Pigs will grow to size 9 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: GP Farm will grow to size 8 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Cuba will grow to size 4 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Bahamas will grow to size 5 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Bermuda will grow to size 6 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Rheims will grow to size 5 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: Bananas will grow to size 3 on the next turn.
Turn 154, 880 AD: The borders of Bahamas have expanded!
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman (5.50) vs Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) (4.40)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Combat Odds: 75.1%
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: -10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) is hit for 22 (78/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) is hit for 22 (56/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 17 (83/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) is hit for 22 (34/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) is hit for 22 (12/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 17 (66/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 17 (49/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 17 (32/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow) is hit for 22 (0/100HP)
Turn 154, 880 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman has defeated Catherine's Chariot 2 (Moscow)!
Turn 154, 880 AD: While defending, your Chariot 2 (Moscow) was destroyed by a French Axeman!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Gandhi adopts Slavery!
Turn 154, 880 AD: Gandhi adopts Theocracy!

Turn 155, 900 AD: The enemy has been spotted near Paris!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Moscow has grown to size 16.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Fish has grown to size 7.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Fish can hurry Maceman for 2? with 25? overflow and +1? for 43 turns.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Siberia has grown to size 6.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Pigs has grown to size 9.
Turn 155, 900 AD: GP Farm has grown to size 8.
Turn 155, 900 AD: GP Farm can hurry Confucian Missionary for 2? with 32? overflow, 2? added to the treasury, and +1? for 44 turns.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Cuba has grown to size 4.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Bahamas has grown to size 5.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Bahamas can hurry Galley for 1? with 12? overflow and +1? for 49 turns.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Bermuda has grown to size 6.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Rheims has grown to size 5.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Rheims can hurry Courthouse for 2? with 12? overflow and +1? for 18 turns.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Bananas has grown to size 3.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Churchill has 100 gold available for trade.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Roosevelt has 110 gold available for trade.
Turn 155, 900 AD: The borders of Pigs are about to expand.
Turn 155, 900 AD: The borders of Paris are about to expand.
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Archer (5.92)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Combat Odds: 83.4%
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Plot Defense: +27%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Fortify: +20%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Defense: +50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Hills Defense: +75%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 22 (65/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (83/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 22 (43/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (66/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 22 (21/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (49/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (32/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (15/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow) is hit for 17 (0/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer has defeated Catherine's Maceman 6 (Moscow)!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Maceman 6 (Moscow) has died trying to attack a Archer!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Archer (5.01)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Combat Odds: 94.1%
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Plot Defense: +27%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Defense: +50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Hills Defense: +25%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) is hit for 15 (85/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (75/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) is hit for 15 (70/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (50/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (25/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Archer is hit for 25 (0/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 5 (Moscow) has defeated De Gaulle's Archer!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Maceman 5 (Moscow) has destroyed a Archer!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) (8.00) vs De Gaulle's Swordsman (4.87)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Combat Odds: 96.0%
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Extra Combat: +20%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Plot Defense: +27%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) is hit for 15 (85/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) is hit for 15 (70/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) is hit for 15 (55/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) is hit for 15 (40/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (75/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (50/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (25/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (0/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 7 (Fish) has defeated De Gaulle's Swordsman!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Maceman 7 (Fish) has destroyed a Swordsman!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) (6.88) vs De Gaulle's Swordsman (4.51)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Combat Odds: 90.6%
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Plot Defense: +27%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Fortify: +25%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (City Attack: -45%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) is hit for 15 (71/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (75/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (50/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (25/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Swordsman is hit for 25 (0/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 3 (Fish) has defeated De Gaulle's Swordsman!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Maceman 3 (Fish) has destroyed a Swordsman!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Catapult 1 (Fish) has reduced the defenses of Orleans to 0%!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 2 (Fish) (8.80) vs De Gaulle's Axeman (2.16)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Combat Odds: 100.0%
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Extra Combat: -10%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Extra Combat: +10%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Plot Defense: +25%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Combat: -50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: (Combat: +50%)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 27 (5/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 2 (Fish) is hit for 14 (86/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: De Gaulle's Axeman is hit for 27 (0/100HP)
Turn 155, 900 AD: Catherine's Maceman 2 (Fish) has defeated De Gaulle's Axeman!
Turn 155, 900 AD: Your Maceman 2 (Fish) has destroyed a Axeman!
 
I don't see any problem, bcool. No more attacking this turn, but just keep on. I'd unload the cat in Paris and move it to the SW hill. Move the medic to Orleans NE. Finish everything else for your turn and check how much the archer heals himself. He might have gotten enough XP for another promotion, or not. If not, evaluate the situation and see if you can take Orleans. You can consider suiciding another cat if you need to. We've gone too far to turn back now. It's not going to get any easier. But of course we don't have to be stupid either. We have two cats to suicide next turn or three the following. Maybe no suicides will be necessary. Wait till next turn to decide.
 
Move our axes back to the gems tile. Maybe they'll join the battle.

Oh, but otherwise, I wouldn't start freaking out and changing our MM. Just continue as planned. Paris-trireme, etc.
 
Ok, is there a way to assess the odds stack vs stack?

I'll finish this turn and see what it is like.

The axes need to protect Rheims no? Maybe just move one?
 
Reviewing your progress, all he currently has left is an archer and an unpromoted axe. YOu've got a bunch of units and CHurchill has also arrived with a CI axe... :lol:

Churchill will play his turn before dG, unfortunately, so if he attacks he'll have ~25% odds against the sword. Then that sword can heal. Hopefully won't get a promotion.

I think you have a good chance of taking Orleans next turn.
 
Both axes can go to the gems. They prtect Rheims better there and still threaten Marseilles. Then we'll see. THey're probably too far from Orleans to help anyway.

Nto sure about odds stack versus stack. Just have to do it unit by unit. He doens't have much left, but could draft a unit. If you want, play till <enter> then we'll look at the odds beforeyou commit yourself to a suicide or whatever.
 
Build wealth in Moscow to preserve the overflow. Then we'll get HE in 2t. (although in SG10 we got screwed out of our OF once, but I never figured out why)
 
Boston didn't have any forest to chop. It was at pop10 in your last save. Poprush? Edit: Actually pop9 in the last save. No poprush. Possibly that's an old build that he switched back to. Can't explain it otherwise.

Edit2: Yes, he chopped one forest for 30h. Plus a max of 12hpt + forge + OrgRel. 42hpt * 2.5 if stone wonder = 105 h * 13.6 = 1428. Does that cover the difference?

Build the cat in MOscow, then. :)
 
Well DeG whipped an archer, he has 7 units on defense his hillx2 archer is at 1.2. We have 7 somewhat reasonable attackers 3 macemen 6.8 CRIII, 5.6 CRIII, 5.6 CRII, 2 Swordsmen CRI, 2 chariots one with CI and Melee bonus, 1 Macemen at 1.2 CRI

Chariots would die against spearmen unless we hit a spearmen with a catapult for the last 2 attacks

odds against healthy newly produced archer with macemen CR III 6.8 health is 96.15% but the CI axe will pose a challenge this turn.

looks like we wait until next turn or sacrifice both cataults this turn one at the beginning and once when we have just a spearman and archer left so chariots can finish.

I think the odds of winning are low this turn

He most likely will not produce another unit next turn we will have 1 turn of healing and another mace for the attack, but the new archer is promoted and fortifies 1 turn.
Maybe just kill the new archer this turn? with 6.8 CRIII mace
 
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