Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
Groups do not have to be as extreme as the examples given. The very fact that society is rapidly changing confuses many, many people, and to an extent angers them. If simple solutions to their problems are put forth, they most often agree with them to some extent.
But you're working on the premise that that these suggestions are automatically taken into consideration and implemented by the ruling elite in the political order, or are somehow force through. If they don't acually cause any change, then are they relevent
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
I am not saying the system will change, but rather that political groups will change to enter the system, and that the overall mood will move in a direction. Change of this manner is hard to forecast, yet who would have foreseen the policies of Thatcher in 1960. Likewise, there has been a change in the Labour Party towards the centre right, and this was not forecast in 1970, or even 1980.
You're confusing the issues of political adaption with political revolution.
Also, the issue as to where the Labour party now sits ideoloically is intresting, but to me they are still centre-left. Not as centre left as some people would like, hence they brand them as traitors, etc.
Also, quite contrary to what you say, a radical change in the Labour party was envisiged by many. perhaps not in the exact shape of it today, but certainly away from it's traditional positions and on to something new.
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
Change does not occur in one "sea change", but rather in salami tactics; a bit at a time. Slowly, previous extreme groups gain political legitimacy, and there is a reaction to them from the existing political establishment, which in the vast majority of cases is to try and take the ground out from under them.
You're overstating the importance of extremist groups in the political process. Show me one example, post war where previous political extremists have gained legitimace,
and played a singnificant part in the political process.
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
I am not saying that any of those groups in particular will gain anything approaching prominance, but rather the forces and feelings they represent will become a factor in future politics.
That's inevitable, though. "New" issues, such as enviromentalism, etc were pioneered by small groups, and have now become part of the political mainstream.
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
Haider is an interesting example, in his own class even, and I would not say we have heard the last of him. It was only him, not his party, who was forced out of the coalition, IIRC.
But, inevitably, these groups rely on personalities more than anything else.
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
Movements do rely upon opportunism, but the underlying factors are not short term ones. Instead, they are a conglomerate of large and confronting issues that continue to smolder and burn steadily. Not a wildfire, but it still spreads imperceptively and innexorably.
These groups inevitably set themselves around confronting an a issue or a set of issue that is of short term importance to the general population. They diliberately don't set themselves long term goals, therefore any discussion of them when the short term issue has gone is irrelevant.
They Re-emerge as different entities, however they need to re-establish themselves as something completely new, to tavckle the new short term issues, therefore they need to build themselves up once more, even to get to the paltry position of their predecesors.
Originally posted by Simon Darkshade
"It won't heppen overnight, but it will heppen," to quote Rachel Hunter
Not many things do happen overnight.
I'm begging to think whether you
want this to happen more than you
think it will happen.
I honestly don't believe that a Hitler-esque rise from nothngness to greatness is a realistic possiblity in the political climate of today.