Problem one. "-," is wrong since the "-" is already denoting the opening of a subordinate clause. One or other is redundant.
Problem two. There are three hyphens in the sentence so the subordinate clause doesnt work. The first two work. If we excise the subordinate clause "No-one will ... and therefore, everyone in NATO except bla bla" makes sense. The last two work. If we excise the subordinate clause created by the second and third hyphens "No-one will, and I should have specified myself clearly, but in a war that just involved these parties, with the EU ... throwing their hands in the air and saying "don't kill us" Russia would have no interest bla bla ".
Problem three. Not a problem in a forum context, but formally I dont think a subordinate clause can have a stop or question mark unless contained in a quote.