Yup. It's definitely Portugal. The scepter was the first clue, then the pics of the Sintra Palace posted by nonor confirmed it for me and I'm glad. Portugal deserves to be in and they were a personal favorite of mine in Civ4.
BTW to anyone who still thinks it's a turban, look more closely at the shadow, then take a look at this pic of Maria II:
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/fd/Retrato_D._Maria_II.jpg notice how the hair resembles the form of the 'head' of the shadow? The reason it looks like a turban at first glance is because the base of the column was warping it, making her head and hair look bigger than it is. As for the feather, it was a common fashionable accessory for noble ladies of the 19th century if I recall correctly.(Napoleon's wife Josephine was known to have worn them on occasion I believe.) EDIT: Here are some examples from google to show what I mean: