3rd Party Win %?

How well will 3rd parties do?


  • Total voters
    39
watched an interesting article on PBS Newshour last night...

Voters who identify as independent now are a larger percentage of voters than those who identify as either Rep or Dem
Yes, a number of them lean Democrat and Republican and consistently vote -- they have become independents for a variety of reasons. But Pew surveys, a variety of exit polls, I think it's very fair to say half of all the independent voters -- so that would be about 20 percent of all registered voters, if 38 percent are independents -- are truly swing independent voters.

And you can see that from 2008 to 2010 and what happened with the way independent voters voted.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/politics/jan-june12/polarization_06-06.html

so while Rep/Dem voters are growing more intense a large 3rd party dissatisfaction is growing leading to swing voters that owe allegiance to neither party

18% of voters that voted for Scot Walker said they intended to vote for Obama
its like they are vegetarians and the major parties are offering steak and chicken
 
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