Alternate History Thread III

Reno said:
That isn't really necessary, you can find the links in the Notice Board.

If this thread catches wind (People start posting AHTLs), then I'll ask for this to be added to the Notice Board. :)

The only people who write TLs on a regular basis... The only person who writes them on a regular basis has posted here, therefore, it is legitimate. :)
 
Does Anyone know the period; 622–651. I.e. The Sassanids Empires Collapse and the appearance of the Arabs and Islam as a force to be considered in the world.

Basically I was Considering if Khosrau II campaigns against the East Roman Empire, had been less succesfull, thus causing less overestreching. Keeping the Sassanid Empires Economy more stable, allowing it fight for a bit stronger, thus when the Arabs invaded, there would be enough time for the Asawaran (Azatan) knightly caste, to form up and defeat these invaders.

Or instead of less succesfull, the cival war in the East Roman Empire that Khosrau II took advantage of was averted, meaning that any resistance to a Sassanid invasion would be a lot more cohesive and stronger.

Basically I'm wondering if its more likly that the Arabs would continue to fight the Sassanids, or if they would turn ALL attention to that of the East Roman Empire, and the Mediteranian. This is all reasoned from Wiki btw :D

If the Arabs turned to the Byzantine Empire, say capturing Egypt, Jerusalem and Damascus, then continuing along africa. (the Byzantines probably managing to stabalise along Antioch, although this moments of weakness might have prompted the Sassanid Empire into attacking them Again, though the gains would not have been as great, methinks :/).

Anyway, would we then see the Arabs being another force in the destruction of Rome, although this time Both empires might fall? (and of course the spread of Islam into areas commonly considered Christian etc). Or do we have a timeline for this already :p.
 
Eh...I don't think that the Arabs will concentrate on Persia any less. After all, Cteiphon (sp) was just as crucial to their plan of expansion as Jerusalem.

If anything, a stronger Byzantium and Persia would perhaps limit the gains of the Arabs...they'd still capture Egypt and some of the Holy Land, but not as soon.
 
Eh...I don't think that the Arabs will concentrate on Persia any less. After all, Cteiphon (sp) was just as crucial to their plan of expansion as Jerusalem.

If anything, a stronger Byzantium and Persia would perhaps limit the gains of the Arabs...they'd still capture Egypt and some of the Holy Land, but not as soon.

conjecture a bit, what would happen from this point onwards?
 
Interesting potential for a resurgent Persia, and an unholy Perso-Roman alliance to fight the Arabs, perhaps? Given the styles of both armies, they won't have any crushing victories over the more mobile Arab armies, but the combined pressure will make the Holy Land and Iraq disputed for a long time.

Eventually Persia will collapse under the combined pressure of the Turk tribes moving in, along with continued Arab attacks, but Byzantium has a much greater chance to stay alive, if these ATL emperors know what they're doing.
 
If the Persians survive until they are crushed by the dual advance of Arabs and Turks, I wouldn't necessarily expect a Muslim Turkic nation, either...
 
Somehow I doubt that a Perso-Roman Alliance would come about.

The picture I was getting from the Wiki article was that the early Knight Caste of the Sassanid Empire was superior to the Arabs, and could beat them, they just needed stablity etc in the Empire to prepare and form a cohesive defence (and possible offensive).

Still play it out a bit :p
 
Zoroastrian Seljuks ftw?

That would kick ass :p

Additionally I was reading something else, apparantly the spread of the Knight caste was due to the arabs. (they defeated the Sassanids, took up the Knight caste idea, went and conquored a lot, lost at the battle of Tours, Franks take up Knight caste idea from conquored Arabs etc.

Thus we see a far slower Spread of The knight, possibly it might just remain in Persia (might actually expand with the Turks, they take over, take the Knight caste conquor a helluva of a lot etc). Not sure if this means a knight caste idea might spread into India :/ (would it?)
 
Kal'thzar said:
Thus we see a far slower Spread of The knight, possibly it might just remain in Persia (might actually expand with the Turks, they take over, take the Knight caste conquor a helluva of a lot etc). Not sure if this means a knight caste idea might spread into India :/ (would it?)

Unlikely, at best. The only real disruption in the political/social climates of India came with the invasion of the Muslims. Of course, there were changes, but for the most part, Hindu India retained the elements of dynasticism and such until the Muslims subdued most of the subcontinent... Not including the Rajputs, who were rather fuedal, but that's beside the point. :p
 
Well, I'm still working on my Catholic England timeline. That second part is really long. But I've been flirting with a new idea. What if Seize Mai had been successful?
 
Kal'thzar said:
Right so what we see is an India that doesn't change....

Uhmmm So what do you think is likly to happen in this absence of change by the muslims? Is there some other force that could potentially change things etc?

I can write something later on an India with no Muslims.
 
Just reposting the timeline for my NES, which is written by das, since people asked for it.

-----------------------------------

The year is 1598. The country is Russia. Fyodor, the last member of the Moscovitan Rurikovich Dynasty, an idiot to boot, dies, and power now belongs to Boris Godunov de facto as well as de jure. Godunov rules well, but like so many great people, he is disliked by those inferior to him. Seven years earlier, Fyodor's little brother died in tragic circumstances whilst playing with sharp objects. But not all people buy that explanation. Gregoriy Bogdanovich Otrepyev, a monk discontent with the expulsion of his trouble-making Romanov friends, declares himself Prince Dimitriy and needless to say gets the Shove Out Of The Country. He however finds help amongst the discontent and amongst the Poles, and invades Russia in 1604. He is defeated time and again, but through skilled intrigue finds cossack support, and gets lucky - Godunov dies of old age (yeah, right...) in 1605, his son is murdered, and the government army defects - Godunov made many enemies in his modernization and westernization schemes. "Dimitriy" soon enters Moscow triumphant...

That was but the beginning of the Time of Troubles. In 1606, Dimitriy was assassinated by the boyars, and Vasily Shuysky rises to power. Soon enough, however, peasant rebellions begun, and ANOTHER False Dimitry, also with Polish support, charged into the fray. Assisted by Romanovs as well as Poles and Cossacks, he soon conquered numerous chunks of Russia, forcing Shuysky to ally with the Swedes - Poland's enemies. The Poles, angered by this, marched to Moscow; along the way, they found out that Shuysky was killed by the boyars, who however still were menaced by Dimitriy and asked Poland to take full control. Dimitriy proceeded to be assassinated by his supporters, and unlimited chaos ensued. Sigismund of Poland helped stop it by demanding PERSONAL, UNLIMITED, PERPETUAL control of Russia.

The boyars didn't like that, but they have by then disintigrated into factions. Patriarch Hermogen forms the first anti-Polish coalition, which lingers on until 1611 (slight change from OTL, where they collapsed almost immediately), but it is succeeded by the movemment of Pozharkiy and Minin. The Polish armies by then were in Moscow, but they were weakened, and in an epic battle, Russian forces reclaimed Moscow. That was the turning point in Russo-Polish wars - before this, Poles always seemed to win, but now, at last, they faced defeat. Soon after, an assembly of the land is called, to elect a new Tsar. The Romanovs dominate the political scene, but they themselves had two candidates, Mikhail Romanov and Fyodor Romanov, also known as Philaret - the metropolitian of Rostov. Unlike in OTL, Philaret was not marred by collaboration with the Poles, and instead participated in forcing the first anti-Polish coalition and in keeping it together. As the elder of the two, and Mikhail's father in fact, it is decided that Philaret will be the new Tsar of all the Rus. Soon, however, problems appear - he is also elected as the Patriarch of Moscow, partially because of skill and partially because of lack of other notable candidates. This eventually begins the new Romanov tradition - the Patriarchate and the Monarchy, the Religion and the State, are combined. That is an unusual situation for an Orthodox country... but Russia already was in an unusual situation.

Tsar Fyodor III proved much more competent then his idiotic namesake. A capable politician, he reformed church administration, established many libraries and undertook social reforms, stabilizing peasant farmers, reforming the tax structure and finally reorganizing the army, learning the lessons gained in the war with Poland. Meanwhile, he also increased ties with Europe. The Thirty Years War raged, and Russia supplied grain and whatnot to the Protestants. However, it did so in lesser amounts then in OTL, and it did not start wars with Poland just yet. The Poles meanwhile were undergoing a political crisis, as the king querreled with the schlacht. Finally, Wladyslaw decided that he had had it. Seeking to undermine his Swedish relatives once and for all, in 1630 he shouted down the nobles and sided with the clergy. "You want trade after things settle down? Well, trade will be easier to gain when Germany is Catholic!" That wasn't all that persuasive, but the prospects of finally solidifying control over East Prussia were something worth some fighting for, at least. It also gave the cossacks something to do aside from rebelling. A fleet was assembled, and in 1632 Poland pledged to stand by the Habsburgs in the Thirty Years War. Polish navy engaged and defeated the Swedish one at Danzig. Polish armies invaded Livonia and Brandenburg. Gustavus Adolphus was not amused. Soon after, Philaret suggested that Russia could join into the war on the Protestant side if Sweden were to return Ingria, "borrowed" during the Time of Troubles, and to recognize any gains Russia would make against Poland outside of the Baltic Coast. Gustavus Adolphus considered his situation... and agreed. Ingria was next to useless to him anyway.

The game was on. Russia and Poland have entered the Thirty Years War...




(OOC: Note, I forgot to mention - many butterflies attacked Poland, with Sigismund III dying in 1629 - the stress of an even worse war with Russia, combined with his OTL humiliating experience with Sweden, killed him three years earlier. Also, the reason Wladyslaw IV managed to actually talk the nobles into starting the war was, though I thought that was fairly obvious, that Philaret/Fyodor's more cautious foreign policy involved him NOT attacking Poland at the first hint of an opportunity like Mikhail did in OTL (admittedly, as per the advice of Philaret - but this is a rather different Philaret with some more military sense, see previous post), and thus the nobles being less reluctant to alocate war funds - they still weren't happy, though.)

June 1632. The Thirty Years War rages. The Swedish armies, undefeated on the field, are facing another problem - increasing reluctance of the German protestant nobles. The Corpus Evangelicorum, Gustavus Adolphus' brainchild, an alliance of Protestant German princes is hardly paying off - albeit the southern Protestant duchies, still threatened by the Habsburgs and their allies, did join it, the north is reluctant. The north, in fact, hates and fears Sweden just as much as they did Habsburgs when Wallenstein was surpreme there. Neither Brandenburg nor Saxony, the strongest Protestant powers, joined the Corpus. They sensed no threat.

In that way, Poland's entry into the war was in many respects a GOOD thing for Sweden. Brandenburg was invaded, Saxony threatened - and now, the north once more turned its eyes towards Gustavus, asking him to save them. Gustavus rubs his arms. That's more like it. Corpus Evangelicorum, after painful negotiations led by cancellor Oxenstierna (Gustavus was too busy turning around his armies to face the Polish threat), actually became what it was intended to be. True, not all the Protestant princes agreed to it - the northwestern ones still proctrastinated - but at least Saxony and Brandenburg, and the northeast, were in it now as well. Now things were getting better, and Gustavus, not dismayed by the surprisingly-fast fall of Riga and Memel to the Poles, moved northeast. In a close-ran battle, Wladyslaw IV was defeated badly at Luckenwald in late 1632, dying from a Swedish cannon ball, and his brother Jan II was elected by the Sejm. The Polish nobles wanted him to end the war, but made a bad choice - Jan managed to persuade them that to end the war without accepting humiliating terms, Poland needed to have a good bargaining position.

Mind it, Jan was no warmongerer. Most of the times. The thing about him was that he was a rather moody individual who often switched between wanting to be a soldier and being disgusted with war and wanting to be a Jesuit priest, for example. Still, for now at least, he was in the mood for war. And war there was - on many fronts. Whilst Talinn was still holding out against Polish forces and whilst the Poles were repulsed from Brandenburg, in the southeast a Cossack civil war begun and ended, with a pro-Russian faction triumphant. Said faction pledged loyalty to Tsar Fyodor, whilst the Crimean Tatars, sensing an opportunity, intensified raids into Ukraine. Russian forces, which undergone many reforms during the rule of Fyodor III (still rather sub-par, but marginally better then in OTL), besieged Smolensk and, being led by knyaz Mikhail personally, actually managed to - partially due to the help of the Russian population of the city, but mostly due to Polish distraction elsewhere - recapture the great fortress, restoring thusly all lands lost during the Time of Troubles to Russia. Polish forces inflicted many casualties on the Russian army and prevented further advance, but damage has been done.

Jan II quickly assessed the strategic situation, mused about becoming a Jesuit priest, mused about it again when he found out that the Austrians - in early 1633 - were utterly routed at Lutzen, and that Wallenstein himself was badly injured, dying a few days later. But he decided to give war a chance. On the sea, the Polish fleet continued winning skirmishes, but no decisive battle came. The Cossacks were besieging Kiev. Russians were marching to reinforce Talinn, whilst the larger Russian army slowly marched for Minsk. The Swedes were the largest threat, though. Already, their armies were threatening Poznan, and Gustavus Adolphus was sure to knock Poland out, now. Some Polish forces managed to defeat the Russians at Narva, and then also captured Talinn, but elsewhere, news were bad. All of Ukraine was up in flames, albeit in the west the Polish forces were holding out. A Russian army already reinforced the Cossacks, who in exchange for considerable autonomy agreed to give Fyodor entire Ukraine, and Kiev has fallen. But the decisive battle was fought elsewhere.

Leszno was a rather small city, but important in that a) it was an academic and textile production center and b) it was very close to Poznan, a great trade center and one of the most important Polish cities. It was only natural that Gustavus Adolphus would try to take Leszno and then Poznan - with the war at sea still stalemated, the only real way to knock Poland out fast was to striek for its very heartlands, an ambitious and daring plan but not much more ambitious and daring then Gustavus' little blitzkrieg in Germany. The problem was that Jan realized that Gustavus would not use Habsburg weakness to take Vienna but rather would try to crush Poland so that it, in turn, will not interrupt the final campaign against Austria. The campaign in Poland also involved some Brandenburgian troops under Swedish command, but the Saxons, again feeling themselves unthreatened, procrastinated. Oxenstierna's best efforts only barely kept the Corpus Evangelicorum together for now. Gustavus feared that soon, he might face betrayal. That, too, was an important consideration, and he wanted to destroy the Polish threat to disencourage that. Jan adopted some of Gustavus' combined arms ideas, but not all of them - there was no time for a full-scale reform. That was what doomed Poland. Still, Jan put up a good fight - or rather, Koniecpolski, perhaps the only man who ever defeated Gustavus in battle - in 1629, at Trzcianka. But Gustavus was too strong this time to suffer even a tactical defeat. His armies were battle-hardened and had high morale. At first, both sides waited out, and the artillery duel that ensued somehow favored the Swedes - realizing this, Koniecpolski started an offensive against the Swedish right flank, utilizing the superiority of Polish cavalry, and for a while it seemed, as another Polish attack engaged the Swedish center (preventing it from outflanking the Poles attacking the right flank) whilst Polish reinforcements arrived, that Poland would win. However, a furious counteroffensive on the Polish center-attacker flank, led by Gustavus personally, combined with Lennart Torstenson's skilled command of field artillery (it was quickly shifted to face the incoming Polish forces in the right, throwing a large part of the Poles attacking the right flank, including the famed Polish lancers, into disorder) resulted in a total rout of the attackers and in a vigorous attack taking the Polish artillery and defeating their reinforcements. Gustavus was wounded in the left leg during the battle, but survived, whilst Koniecpolski was captured whilst trying to rally the army. Jan managed to restore some semblance of order, however, and retreated to Poznan with some forces left, but that was hardly enough to compensate the disastrous defeat.

The Sejm already changed its mind about supporting the continued war, and so did Jan ("Jesuit? Why not?"), but as Swedish fleet came out victorious at Osel, Gustavus Adolphus and Fyodor felt confident enough to act arrogantly. Russians demanded cession of Smolensk and nearby lands as well as of a vast southeastern chunk of Poland, namely the Ukraine, including the great city of Kiev. Gustavus demanded that East Prussia is re-united with his good friends in Brandenburg who proved to be such splendid, dedicated cannon meat and strict limits on the Polish war fleet - oh, and return of all lands captured by Poland ofcourse. And an indemnity. And you know what? I think I'll take Danzig too. He had underestimated the Sejm's underestimation of him, not to mention that he overestimated their warweariness. The war went on, and the Poles actually defeated the Russo-Cossack armies at Chernobyl. But everything else went rather badly. Swedish armies - hard-pressed for time, as the Spaniards invaded Bavaria - assaulted and took Poznan, rapidly moved to Warsaw and soon enough were knocking at the doors of the Polish capital with cannon-balls. Finally, the Sejm had to accept all the peace terms ("The Treaty of Warsaw"), and Jan found it prudent to move somewhere safe while the nobles of the Republic (OOC: yes, Poland was called a Republic at the time. Yes, it was a monarchy. Yes, the king called it the republic too.) were looking for an obvious scapegoat. He tried becoming a Jesuit, but got bored and returned to Poland mostly because the Sejm didn't really find anybody else, and besides, apart from his radical changes of attitude, Jan wasn't all that bad a monarch. Meanwhile, the Russians sat content with their gains, Fyodor being hailed as the Tsar who reconquered Kiev, the ancient capital. Ofcourse, the PRESENT capital remained at Moscow. As a result of this war, Russia's new (1635) border with Poland lay between Russian Podolia and Polish Volhynia, a huge territorial loss for Poland, albeit admittedly it was a very, very, very troublesome territory that was lost.

The Swedes, meanwhile, were free to turn to fight the Habsburgs - Austro-Spanish forces retook much of Bavaria and again invaded poor, poor Saxony, prushing local forces. But as a counter-weight, France now fully entered the war on the Protestant side, occupying Lorraine and Franche Comte. Yet, for now at least, the Habsburg armies wanted combat with Sweden. Battle was given in... you guessed it. Saxony again. At Jena. The Swedish forces had an opportunity to crush the Austrians before their Spanish allies, who marched at some distance, could reinforce them, but foggy weather postponed the Swedish attack and the Austro-Spanish forces managed to prepare somewhat to face the Swedes. The bloody battle that ensued eventually did resulted in Habsburg retreat from Saxony - but the Swedish casualties were huge, and the Austrian diplomacy begun to bear fruit as the Corpus Evangelicorum begun to shake. Gustavus finally decided that certian measures had to be taken. Firstly, a reserve Swedish army under Baner was prepared to quickly defeat any prince who tries to betray him. Secondly, Oxenstierna was sent on a trip to France. Paris, to be precise. To talk with Richeleu.

The Treaty of Paris was signed soon after the strenghthened Habsburg forces defeated the French at Arras, giving said French some incentive for this as well. It was agreed that neither Sweden nor France will sign separate peace with the "Habsburg tyrants", and whilst France for its part obliged to support the Swedish policy in Germany (i.e. creation of a loose Protestant Confederation in alliance with Sweden and the crippling of Austrian Habsburgs), Sweden obliged to support the French policy, it being wrecking the Spanish Habsburgs to the best of their ability, on battlefield and at the peace table. Separate agreements were signed with the Dutch Republic, whose war aims were basically surviving, prefferably without any Spaniards nearby. It is unknown as to who exactly invited them, but Ottoman Turks, sensing Habsburg blood, begun amassing armies as well for some... unifying of Hungary. Under Turkish rule, ofcourse.

The said treaty also made the Protestant princes realize that they were hemmed in between France and Sweden, and the prospects of rebellion didn't seem extremelly bright. Resistance is futile, Gustavus Adolphus was quoted as saying by some upon hearing of the success of the negotiations. You will be confederated. And allied to Sweden.

Meanwhile, Fyodor III died, and Mikhail II came to power in Russia. But that's beside the point.
 
Back in Germany, not all was going well for the Parisian Powers. French forces were driven back at Luxembourg, the Habsburgs were on a rampage in the south, threatening Nuremburg, the Brandenburgians again begun to cause trouble, not wanting to cooperate now that the immediate threat - from the east - was over. French diplomats laboured day and night to start rebellions in Catalonia and Portugal, but progress was slow. Sweden needed a victory. And fast - the foraging was increasingly... upsetting for the German people. The jolly drunkard John George of Saxony, who wanted to drink his beer in peace, was also increasingly upset.

So Gustavus Adolphus decided that victory should be sought in Spanish Netherlands - there, Dutch, Swedish and French armies will be able to cooperate best, and by the liberation of Spanish Netherlands Spanish economy and prestige would be greately damaged. The Spaniards and their Austrian relatives were still distracted near Nuremburg, and Gustavus Adolphus decided to risk - he split away a part of his army under De la Gardie to attack the Spanish at Nuremburg, whilst his main army and that of Baner moved to Spanish Netherlands, along the way linking up with armies of Brunswick and other northwestern principalities - from there, Gustavus invaded Julich. Regroupped, French armies under Conde and Turenne, two of the greatest French 17th century commanders, struck towards Lille, whilst a smaller French force threatened Luxembourg again. And finally, the Dutch gathered their forces for the offensive against the hated Spaniards. Stadholder Frederik Hendrik Oranje previously agreed with France to partition Spanish Netherlands, and under the banner of liberating Ghent and Brussels he personally led a Dutch army to besiege and assault fortress by fortress. The Spanish were not completely unprepared for France and Netherlands - the quick redeployment of Swedish troops and the confused reports of Gustavus Adolphus' army marching south to Nuremburg however resulted in some element of surprise. 1637 was the decisive year. Whilst the Swedes were defeated at Nuremburg and the Austro-Spanish forces took the city with some loss, the main battle came in Spanish Netherlands. Long story cut short, the Spanish were routed at Rocroi and defeated again, though not as badly, at Lille, the Dutch took Breda and Hulst and besieged Ghent, the Swedes overran Julich and joined with French at Luxembourg, crushing the Spanish there. The 1637 campaign did not utterly destroy the Spanish forces in Belgium, but their position became very, very precarious and Habsburg forces had to abandon their plans to invade Saxony (again!), moving northwest instead, to save de Melo's armies. But Protestant princes and De la Gardie resisted ferociously, slowing Habsburgs down in Wurttemburg. Thus in early 1638, a desperate de Melo surrendered, and Brussels and Ghent were occupied by the victorious Parisian Powers; the Stadholder, grateful, promised to give the Swedes more money, the French forces re-commited to the Rhine Campaign and an invasion of Catalonia, and said Catalonia along with Portugal used the evident Spanish weakness (and the evil, evil, evil Spanish policies of making the Cataluns support their army that was defending Catalonia from France) to rebel. Gustavus Adolphus' gambit succeeded, sort of, but the main Habsburg armies still threatened Corpus Envagelicorum's unity, as the Saxons, frightened by the fall of Nuremburg (and now Stuttgart as well) already entered negotiations with Perfidious Osterreich in Prague.

1638 and 1639 went by with minor skirmishes on the Main Front - in Rhineland. Both sides were gathering strenght for the Showdown. Habsburgs were defeated by Dutch and French fleets on the sea, the French were defeated at Tortosa but triumphed at Lerida, approaching River Ebro, while Savoy made up its mind and sided with France, allowing the French to launch small, irritating incursions in the Habsburg Duchy of Milan.

In 1640, the Habsburg forces stopped the offensive in Rhineland and instead launched an invasion of Saxony to make them hurry up with that treaty. Gustavus Adolphus used the opportunity to retake Nuremburg and, while Dresden was under siege, to invade with French assistance Bohemia along River Ohre. The Habsburgs soon lost Prague, and their supply route to Saxony was badly threatened. The invasion of Saxony was ended, the Habsburg forces moved to Bohemia, and a new battle came at Mlada Boleslav. It was a hard one, the Habsburgs were fighting in their territory, but eventually the fact that Swedes (and the French) had a numerical advantage, not to mention still were the best army in Europe, allowed another victory for Gustavus Adolphus. That was the end of the beginning of the end of the Habsburg Empire. Now the middle of the end came. Ha, ha, ha. Very Churchillian of me.

How to explain the swiftness of the Habsburg downfall? Just overstretchment? Corruption, stagnation? Bad luck? No, the Habsburgs were simply doomed by then to either a quick and glorious collapse (for theirs was already an old, established empire that begun to lag behind in all ways when compared to the two rising powers of Sweden and France), either a slow disintegration. In OTL, it was the latter. Here, it is the former. The clay-footed Habsburg giant, which in OTL gradually collapsed, here will be routed more slowly. Oh, sure, the Habsburgs did survive this Thirty Years War, and still with a considerable empire. But they lost vast amounts of territory in Europe and elsewhere, and were crippled even worse then in OTL. But back to the war.

The Habsburg armies were still existant, but all chances of Corpus Evangelicorum collapsing were gone - the Habsburgs were not worth negotiating with, instead they will now collapse. Reformation once more was on the march, slowly winning back what was lost in South Germany to the Counter-Reformation; Bavaria and Austria once more gained considerable Protestant movements, admittedly partially it was the refugees fleeing the hardships of war from Saxony. In Bohemia, the local nobility cheered as soon as news of victory came - albeit their previous candidates for Bohemian king all died, the son of Frederick the Winter King, Charles Louis, was still available and in fact accompanied the Swedish army as a valuable propaganda tool. Charles Louis himself was rather unsure about taking Bohemia, but the Habsburgs were clearly defeated beyond recovery. So he agreed. Protestant branch of the Wittelsbachs already was certain to become a significant power in post-war Germany.

Swedish armies quickly occupied the remnants of Silesia and Bohemia; their French allies routed Catholic Wittelsbach-Austrian armies at Augsburg. The Habsburgs however were desperate. They decided to fight on until Sweden or France, or both prefferably, are exhausted into signing a comparatively-favorable peace treaty. So far, at least, the Swedes, enheartened by the victory, demanded... a lot. Holy Roman Empire would essentially cease to exist, replaced by the Swedish allies of Corpus Evangelicorum. Bohemia would be granted to the Protestant Wittelsbachs, and elevated to a kingdom, no less! And the French terms had to be granted as well, Sweden won't agree otherwise. The French wanted recognition of the partition of Spanish Netherlands, Franche Comte, Catalonia, independance of Portugal... and then some. That just wouldn't do. The Habsburgs resolved to fight on, and that prolonged the war significantly.

Meanwhile, the Turks used this splendid opportunity to occupy Pressburg and Zagreb...

The rest of the war consisted of Habsburgs being steadily beaten out of their core areas. The Dutch fleet wrecked havoc on the Spanish commerce, and Maarten Tromp made Drake seem like a painless nuisance. Portuguese rebels defeated a Spanish attempt to capture Lisbon. French forces finally took Tortosa, and the Great Conde was besieging Milan. In 1644, with the Emperor having already fled, the commandant of Vienna surrendered the city to Gustavus without a battle in exchange for keeping his place and for the city NOT being destroyed and looted. Officially there was also something about evil Turks, but frankly angry Swedes are much more fearsome.

Not to mention that there was more of them.

Habsburg armies faced defeat after defeat. Finally, having lost Austria and Milan as well, having been kicked out of half of the Kingdom of Naples, having received numerous rebellions and having lost Saragossa, the Habsburgs, temporarily headed by Maria Anna, the Queen of Spain due to the insanity of Philip IV (he had a good reason to be insane...) and by Ferdinand III. Well, Maria Anna proved to be the most important one due to Ferdinand III being... dispossesed. The peace treaty could basically be described as a complete capitulation of the Habsburgs. To begin with... The Holy Roman Empire ceased to exist. All German states (i.e. states north of Switzerland and Venice) were joined by a "German Confederation", with an elective nominal head (elected by... the electors). Needless to say, most of those states were also united into Corpus Evangelicorum. Austria was essentially the only Catholic state that remained, but it was firstly made to grant full freedom of religion (for Christians, ofcourse...) and also ceded lots of land. A few other Catholic states remained, but they were insignificant - most important of those was Lorraine, restored to independance but recognized secretly to be in the French sphere of influence. Bavarian Wittelsbachs were dispossesed - all of their lands (and Bohemia, for that matter) went to Protestant, Rhenish Wittelsbachs. HOWEVER, to make sure they don't become too strong, Silesia became independant under the Franconian Hohenzollerns. And then the matter of Spain. Spain was hurt just as, if not more, badly, and the only reason it agreed to this peace was the fact that otherwise it would simply have ceased to exist unde the strain of war and will collapse into anarchy. Portugal, with all colonies apart from north Brazil, was detached from Spain, perpetually and completely. North Brazil was bought by the Dutch Republic from Portugal - the Portuguese didn't like it, but they were already on debt, incidentally to the Dutch, and the Dutch promised to cancel their debt as a sweetener for they had lots of money left. Duchy of Luxembourg, Bavarian Wittelsbach Liege, Arras and Wallonia went to France, Julich and the rest of Spanish Netherlands went to the Dutch Republic. Franche Comte was annexed into France, Catalonia became a semi-autonomous part of France. Strategic duchy of Mantua was confirmed after the French-born Duke of Nevers, a good, grateful ally of the late Cardinal Richileu and his successors. Duchy of Milan and Kingdom of Two Sicilies (a combination of Spanish Sicily and Naples) were granted independance, under Bourbon cadet line rulers. Sniff, poor Habsburgs. Not to mention that the Reformation was already, as said, restoring its influence in Austria...

And ofcourse the Ottomans held on to all their gains, albeit that was not mentioned in any treaties apart from an obscure Austro-Turkish agreement.

And the Swedes got Pommerania.
 
The Little Ice Age was at its greatest, perhaps - the climate was detiriorating, and thus the harvests worsened, and all this... resulted in dissent. Growing dissent was felt even before - France was occasionally struck by rebellions during the late Thirty Years War (no Fronde, though - the situation is much better then in OTL), England was faring very bad indeed as well, much worse then any other part of Europe, for Scotland and Ireland broke off in rebellion, and the King querreled with the Parliament. In 1643, whilst the Habsburgs were losing the last of their strongholds in Italy, the crisis finally came to a head. Already for some time a "cold war" struck London and indeed all of England, as both sides were preparing for war ever since in mid-1642 Charles II finally rejected the Nineteen Propositions that demanded numerous concessions of royal power, instead suggesting a "less radical version thereof to be put forward". (due to butterflies - no Fronde just across the canal, it wasn't important in England but still I think it had some influence - the war started a year later, with a more prepared king, as he was not as desperate as to try to arrest MPs - at first). Now, however, the most ardent anti-royalists resorted to open provocation, threatening a revolt unless their proposals are accepted as they are. The king responded by arresting several Parliamentary leaders who supported this, most prominently John Pym - albeit two of the other "to-be-arrested" MPs have escaped, Pym's capture and eventual execution was both a large damage to the Parliament which lost one of its greatest leaders and a much-anticipated (by some) cause around which to rally the people. The English Civil War has begun.

The early fighting was of a most confused nature, but by May 1643 a more-or-less clear picture of the affairs has emerged from the chaos. Wales and Northumbria were with the king, as of now, and so was much of Cornwallis. The rest, including London, was under Parliamentary control. The course was clear - take London. Royalists had financial problems, and thus their best hope was to act fact, to win before the Parliamentaries can profit from their advantage. Time was against Charles I. He knew it all too well.

Prince Rupert, his nephew, was his best commander, and Charles appreciated that fact. Fresh from the battlefields of Germany where he fought on the Swedish side, from which he returned in 1641 partially out of nostalgia and partially out of boredom, Prince Rupert during late 1642/early 1643 did his best to apply the lessons of the Thirty Years War on the English Royalist army. It wasn't completely lagging behind, some of Gustavus' ideas were adopted here to keep up with France - but it really was backwards compared to what Rupert saw with the great Swedish king. Still, some good was done, and this proved the decisive factor for the two victories - at Edgehill and at Turnham Green (the offensive on London was three-pronged - the main one was met at Edgehill by Parliamentary militias which were defeated by Rupert's supreme military experience, whilst two smaller groups from Oxford and Yorkshire used the distraction to eventually rout the more organized (when compared to the previous militias) Parliamentary army at Turnham Green just outside of London, attacking it in the flanks). The MPs partially died/were captured during the ensuing assault on London after the rout at Turnham Green, partially escaped with Cromwell and his followers to the north, to undertake several reforms of their own. The best effort was done by Cromwell to find allies in Scotland, who were determined to keep England weak - and a total victory of a king of the Parliament there, meaning a swift resolution to many of England's troubles, was hardly weakening. Meanwhile, Rupert pushed other Parliamentary forces back in the south, as far as Portsmouth. A small Parliamentarian pocket remained, based at Dover, in the south, but elsewhere after the capture of London the Royalists ruled supreme. However, as Cromwell signed alliances with Scotland and Ireland, it became clear that this war will not be a short one. The Scottish-Parliamentarian forces in 1644 started an offensive, linking up and taking York. Cromwell's "New Model Army" was very much efficient, and allowed the capture of Liverpool. Nottingham was under Parliamentary siege. For his part, Charles used 1644 to root out the "Dover Parliament" and to consolidate his gains; also, Cambridge and Norwich were captured. Financially, he was frustrated by the evacuation of the treasury, but on the other hand now it was he who held the richest parts of England. The year 1645 saw the Parliamentary armies fare well against the Royalists, defeating even Rupert, but Cromwell's luck and leadership have been insufficient - Royalist armies retreated, with little exception, in good order, and eventually Charles managed to sign a peace treaty with Scotland, where the royalist Montrose was temporarily predominant - furthermore, the Scotts agreed to help Charles fight Cromwell. The Scottish state soon went into a civil war of its own, but...

Long story cut short, Charles eventually (in 1649) won in England, but in Scotland, remnants of Cromwell's armies allowed Argyll to win. Ireland outside of Scottish Ulster was eventually reconquered by England, but the British Isles were now firmly divided once more; the best efforts of James VI were undone. Republic of Scotland and Kingdom of England prepared for the next round of the fighting...

Oh, and a few years later a new anti-Royalist rebellion was put down. Charles eventually allowed a much weaker Parliament, or rather a House of Lords, to be assembled, but the real power was in the hands of the king. English Absolutism was upheld.




1649-1700. The Colonies, the sea and the Far East.

Dissent, as said, was growing in Europe. But more on the precise dissent later - it is now more important that we note that, the way it was, many people were unhappy in Europe - out of social problems, disease, overpopulation, political grievances, many other reasons. That was why during the late 17th century especially, many Europeans moved out. It was easier, to some extent, for the Russians, who had vast eastern lands to colonize. In Central Europe, locked in as it was, things were the hardest, albeit during the Thirty Years War many Germans fled for other European colonies in America. The five prime colonial powers in the Americas were England, France, Holland, Spain and Portugal - those were the ones who emerged victorious in the early colonial wars. But needless to say, the Spanish were now the weakest, which had certain reprecussions.

But for now, we will have to examine a certain important naval and colonial struggle. Spurred by commercial interests and by geography, Netherlands and England were increasingly hostile. Trade and colonies were the primary matters. Charles I, until his death in 1657, did not want to risk a war - his situation at home was too precarious to risk it. Charles II, however, was young and restless, and felt that he could decrease dissent by a strong foreign policy. Thus the antagonization of Holland, which resulted in the Second Act of Navigation, which unlike the 14th century one was earnest. It greatly limited foreign trade, in hopes to strengthen England's own commerce, and to provoke the Dutch into agression. First Anglo-Dutch War, an ill-planned, ill-executed war, was a great debacle; the English only won the very first battle, at Texel. All other battles were grand victories of Maarten Tromp, and France, which generally was pro-English, nonetheless refused to intervenne. The defeat persuaded Charles to make reforms and to prepare for another war; he managed to skillfully use the growing tensions between France and Sweden to ally with France against the Swedish allies in Holland in 1666. The Second Anglo-Dutch War was rather better known as the Eight Years War, the first big European war since the Thirty Years one, but for now we should study the naval and colonial sides of the war. Tromp was already dead by then, but he had a worthy successor - Michiel Ruyter. Against him fought a worthy man, however - Admiral Gerard (OOC: ATL person who might have existed in OTL for all I know and care. All English admirals of the time I found so far were Parliamentaries in the ECW, and that makes them... unacceptable for such an important role). Two admirals could hardly gain an upper hand - their initial battles were all indecisive apart from Ruyter's minor defeat at Penzance. The decisive battle came in 1668 - at Cape Finisterre, where Ruyter moved to intercept the English forces sent to reinforce the militias in North America. Gerard commanded the escort fleet. In the tight battle, Ruyter won largely due to luck - the weather was rotten, and albeit this caused him much hardship it also damaged the French fleet sent to help the English and delayed its arrival. The superior disciplinne of the Dutch sailors was also important, but either way, Gerard died in battle, the English transports were mostly destroyed and the English fleet scattered. The French arrived too late to save anything, and - here, Ruyter's skill and the disciplinne of his men became especially important, for the French resolve broke due to seeming "unshakability" of the Dutch - too were defeated. The Swedish fleet then joined the Dutch one back in Holland and in 1671 defeated an Anglo-French attempt of a maritime invasion of Netherlands at Waddenzee.

In North America, New Holland was a rather insignificant colony until it begun to receive much immigration in 1640s - especially Huguenot and English (mostly radical Parliamentarist - many Parliamentarists fled to Scotland, but some chose Holland instead, or rather its colonies). This brought more attention to it, and it extended along the Hudson River towards Fort Oranje, an important fur trade outpost. Furthermore, in 1665, the Dutch, after a series of colonial border conflicts with the English to the north, have sent a small amount of troops - those troops would prove crucial while Ruyter first delayed and later destroyed the English reinforcements. The early English attacks on Fort Oranje and New Amsterdam were repulsed, and in 1673 Newport was captured. It was returned by the Treaty of Westphalia the next year, but the same treaty confirmed River Connecticut as the border between New Holland and New England; needless to say most of those colonies were, in the 17th century at least, under native control. Further south, the Dutch and the Spanish, well, mostly the Dutch ofcourse, succesfully defended the Dutch and Spanish possessions from Anglo-French forces, and captured several important possessions, including Barbados - all those were "ransomed" back at Westphalia. And further south was one of the greatest Dutch colonies - Dutch, or North, Brazil with the capital in Mauritsstad (OTL Recife). Often threatened by Portuguese rebellions, it was somehow pacified by the capable administration of Johan Maurits, but as in 1666 Portugal stood on the English side, a new wave of uprisings begun. Some sort of control was maintained in the crucial cities, whilst maritime landings secured English Essequibo and French Cayenne in Guinea. These territories remained Dutch after the war, and Maurits managed, after the rebellion was put down in 1673, to persuade the stadholder in the need of better government "if we are to retain this rich land" - basically, what was meant that the Calvinist ministers are restrained in their vigour and that the rights of the Portuguese plantation owners are guaranteed. Revolt risk was not eliminated, but after some reforms took place, combined with increasing Huguenot immigration, well, things got better. Meanwhile, in a land far, far away, this war was also fought. That land was called "India". The Dutch fleet there scored several victories over the Portuguese one and its English allies, and captured several of their trade posts, but the only significant territorial change at Westphalia was the annexation of East Timor and Portuguese holdings in Ceylon by Netherlands; most other gains were abandoned, albeit Dutch primacy in Indonesia was acknowledged.

Another European war - the First Rhenish War - also involved some fighting in the colonies, but no changes came apart from the confirmed independance of Virginia - in the years preceding the war, in 1681 to be exact, a rebellion begun in Virginia over policy towards Amerinds; the governor, William Berkley, wanted greater trade and good relations with the natives, namely Powhatans. A charismatic local colonist, one of the Parliamentarian supporters who nonetheless like those French Huguenots who moved to Quebec decided to settle in Virginia, by the name of Thomas Braydon, wanted further expansion instead, to win lands for Virginia's growing population. He assembled a reasonably-large force of volunteers, and when Berkley declared this to be rebellion, Braydon... rebelled. (OOC: in OTL, a rather similar incident took place earlier, the rebellion actually succeeded but fell apart just after that, because its leader was promptly assassinated by the penguins. Here, we have a different leader, a different time and the penguins distracted elsewhere.) In a ferocious bloodbath that followed, drunken (according to some accounts) colonists overran Berkley's mostly-unenthusiastic followers and then also beat up some Amerinds. After sobering up, proverbially and perhaps literally, the colonists realized that they just killed their governor and defeated the local garrisons. Braydon, as already said a Parliamentarian, nonetheless knew quite well that the English wouldn't stand for this, and also knew that they won't really ask questions at all. Some of the more Royalist colonists refused, but Braydon's fellow Parliamentarians grouped up with local opportunists and those who wanted greater self-government - a fairly large percentage of the colonists was persuaded by Braydon's rhetoric. The Virginian Republic was declared independant, and Braydon begun to prepare for a battle, hoping that the English underestimate him and that the Dutch, to whom he sent his son and some others for negotiations, agree to help. The first English attempt to reclaim the colony was defeated in a close-ran battle at Jamestown, mostly because Virginians knew the land much better and because Braydon turned out to be a pretty decent commander, not to mention charismatic. But the second expedition would have probably beaten Virginia into submission, especially as the Indians Struck Back, and only barely were defeated. Luckily, the Dutch, in the face of first the kapiten-generaal Ruseveldt of New Holland and then staholder William III proved only too happy to cause some troubles for the English, albeit they were concerned with the possible bad precedent, and as it was increasingly obvious that a new war would come very soon they agreed to lend assistance to Virginia, first in the form of funds and arms. And then the war came, the Dutch fleet fared not as well as previously but nonetheless, Virginia survived its early years and the English grudgingly agreed to abandon the colony.

But even before that, the English gave priority to New England, developing this colony greatly. But as it became increasingly boxed-in, strife begun to rise with France... To avoid this, the English king Charles III decided to create a colony in the Carolinas, hoping to distract some of the immigration from New England. Said colony (in OTL South Carolina), set up in 1678, was lost to the Dutch during the Rhenish War, but later returned. By 1700, that colony greatly expanded north and south, but this caused even more problems with Virginia, which also was very much expansionist.

The French were, however, the greatest colonial power of the time. Their vast colonial empire was rather underpopulated, but nonetheless prospering - New France, Pays d'en Haut, Radissonia (OTL Prince Rupert's Land - here, the English colonialism is weaker, not to mention that Prince Rupert himself continued to be a military commander, whilst Pierre Esprit Radisson, the mastermind behind the creation of the colony, for butterfly reasons, was not antagonized by French colonial authorities and instead created the French Hudson Bay Company), Louisiana, countless Carribean islands and Indian trade posts including the jewel in the French crown - Madras. But what was alarming was the small amount of immigration - mostly some Catholic Belgians and the rare Irishman, with a small percentage of Frenchmen - due to which the majority of the population was local-born and thus had a lower sense of loyalty...

Portuguese empire was definitely in decline, as was the Spanish one, albeit Spaniards did not lose much more territory during this time, even expanded against the natives. However, close to the end of the century, a very irritating incident happens some silly Scottish colonists built, well, a colony in Darien (different from OTL - the "culprit" ITTL is the Scottish West Indies Company, directed by David Bruce). There were many hardships, yadda yadda yadda, but eventually with a bit of Dutch help (Holland being a Scottish ally) the colony begun to prosper somehwat due to trade, and beat back a Spanish expedition sent to claim it. Eventually, the Treaty of Panama settled the conflict - Darien and a nearby area east of Maje Mountains and north of Sapo Mountains was purchased by the Scottish Republic, but Spain got trade priveleges and right of passage. This was exemplary of the weakness of Spanish government at the time...

Russian expansion during this era has reached the Pacific Ocean and fur trade, combined with the Troubles in Russia Proper, drew many settlers, as numerous cities were built. A limited border war with China was fought for over a decade, during which the Russians won a victory, using the unpreparedness of Qing Chinese forces for a war in the region combined with the good use of Cossacks; more experienced Russian forces secured Amur and Ussuri regions, and defeated the outdated Qing armies. However, Manchuria was succesfully defended, and albeit the Treaty of Ninguta did acknowledge the Russian gains, the Qing dreamed of revenge - if only because this defeat was immediately followed up by rebellions - it seemed to their enemies as if the Qing already lost the Heavenly Mandate. Emperor Kangxi put the rebellions down, however, and used the defeat to persuade the conservatives in the need for reform. Closer contact was established with the foreigners, especially the Dutch, numerous military reforms were undertaken... Kangxi's China quickly caught up and prepared for the next war. In the meantime, its newly-reformed, modernized army armed with new weapons, with some foreign military advisors - never prominent but still useful - begun testing its strenght in wars with the western Turkic tribes, extending the Qing realm west against the Dzungars, gaining Tibet and Qinghai.

The Mauryan Empire increasingly threatened to fall apart under the strain of rebellions, but not much change from OTL yet...

In Southeast Asia, not much changed from OTL - apart from in Siam and Myanmar. During the three "Anglo-Dutch Wars", England and France did their best to win over Siam to their side, and King Narai for his part, in spite of some hostility at the court, did HIS best to improve relations with France, encouraging modernization of Siam (OOC: as the French are much more concerned with counter-balancing Dutch power here then with extending their own, they don't act as arrogantly as in OTL and thus do not provoke the rise of a large anti-Westerner movement in Siam). Albeit the Dutch remain influential in Siam, the Siamese increasingly begin to trade with France and England - but this, as of yet, is not enough to break the Dutch economic strenght in the region. Militarily, the Siamese fare very well against their traditional enemies, routing and eventually conquering Myanmar.


1649-1700. Europe.

Before we move to the military and diplomatic matters, it is important to see the internal and cultural developments within significant countries.

Scotland, a radical republic, still was the archenemy of the absolutist England. Now it was not just a battle of nationalities and dynasties, but rather of religions and ideologies. England underwent something of a counter-reformation - albeit the Anglican church remained strong, Catholics were increasingly influential during the reign of Charles II (himself a badly-hidden, and not at all hidden in his last years in fact, Catholic), and this, along with financial troubles caused by the Anglo-Dutch Wars, resulted in numerous rebellions that were put down with much bloodshed. Perhaps reforms would have been more profitable, but Charles II remembered the troubles that came the last time Parliament was granted some powers. So, "no thanks." Scottish radicalism eventually resulted in a purge of aristocracy in 1652, albeit those aristocrats who no longer claimed to be such were left alive, rich and powerful, so not much harm done. Scotland was feared by the monarchs of Europe (not Scotland itself, but rather the example it set), at least until the more moderate faction triumphed in 1662... just in time to ally with Sweden. Oh, and Ireland rebelled against England and Scotland alike.

In France, the power of the nobility slowly declined, whilst that of the intendants rose. Still, the Parlement remained influential, rather more then that of England. And needless to say, France remained the cultural center of Europe, as the Enlightenment took its roots. French army was also undeniably the best of its time, albeit its navy, though large, often suffered badly in wars with Holland. The revocation of the Edict of Nantes in 1667 caused some religious strife (OOC: note that for the lack of a Fronde, Louis XIV doesn't hate Paris, nobles or the people all that much, so the Parlement is more powerful then in OTL, nobles aren't completely removed from power yet and Versailles isn't built).

To the south was Habsburg Spain. After the Eight Years War the only Habsburg power in existance, Spain somehow struggled along, and actually the rule of Philip V saw a minor resurgence - numerous reforms were undertaken, many colonial grievances were reviewed, generally Spain seemed as if it stood a chance at becoming a power once more. But the First Rhenish War exposed its numerous weaknesses once more, and the Habsburg rule only barely survived. To its west, Braganca Portugal wasn't much better, still a declining power - the Spanish rule was used by the Dutch to grab many Portuguese colonies, and that did not stop under the Bragancas.

Holland underwent a political and a religious crisis, with the conflict between House Oranje and the States Generale and occasional Catholic rebellions. Albeit Holland was a mercantile republic in name, it was by the end of the century more of a parliamentary monarchy - the stadholder's powers were rather limited by the States Generale, but not enough for him to become insignificant. Also, House Oranje actually formed dynastic ties with Nassau, eventually using instability in Germany to, with Sweden's blessing, annex some troublesome northwestern regions (most significantly a half of Munster and Cologne, with an enclave in Nassau) as "associated territories". Still, the focus remained on Holland and on mercantilism.

Gustavus Adolphus III (his famous father died in 1661) and his Sweden was one of the most powerful European nations, but it constantly was in conflict with France, with Poland and with its German "allies" - the latter eventually turned into little more then... client states. Gustavus himself was the adherent of the idea of "mixed rule" within Sweden, basically dividing the power between himself and the Riksdag... de jure. Albeit this did help solve numerous problems, de facto the king was ofcourse predominant because he was able to dismiss the Riksdag. Similar was the political situation in Denmark, which in spite of all managed to prosper economically when compared with Sweden, which had to expend greatly to put down rebellions, especially in Germany, and to fight the French.
 
German Confederation and Corpus Evangelicorum with time evolved to be one and the same, whilst the "ceremonial" head of it all gradually became the same person as the "Duke of Pommerania". The Duke of Pommerania being also the King of Sweden. As said before, the wars with France and Poland and the rebellions forced Sweden to increase its ties with the German states, and albeit the final step - that of uniting the two - would not be taken until well into 18th century after Europe was shaken by certain immense political and military events. Within the Confederation, kingdoms of Brandenburg and Bohemia were the strongest, whilst Austria and Saxony were definitely in decline. But even those two kingdoms didn't dare move against Sweden.

Italy was, for the most part, aligned with France, apart from the neutral, declining Venice and Genoa. The Pope was also moving between neutral and pro-French, but it were Savoy, Milan and Naples, the three most significant Italian countries, that were on French side. All smaller states thus had no choice, at best they could maintain a pro-French neutrality.

Poland was undergoing a brief resurgence, rather undone by the ravages of the First Rhenish War. Jan III Sobieski was crucial to both the rise and the fall, being an energetic and popular ruler, and managing to manipulate the divided Sejm. Absolute monarchy never was restored to Poland, but in this time it was as strong as ever during the Royal Republic.

Ottoman Empire was in its zenith. Hungary was subdued, and albeit rare rebellions and haiduk risings threatened the Ottomans there and in Romania, the Ottomans managed to consolidate their gains and to entrench in them. The Koprulu Viziers undertook capable reforms that made the administration of the Ottoman Empire more possible, and wisely stayed out of major European wars for the most part, apart from a minor border war with Poland using the First Rhenish War. The wars with Russia were largely inconclusive, with the fortress of Azov changing hands several times. The Turkish power during this period was rather concentrated on expanding in Africa (conquest of Morocco) and wars with Persia, eventually resulting in the conquest of Aizerbadjan (OOC: meaning the Greater Aizerbadjan, including a large northwestern part of Persia) and Abadan, as well as confirmation of Turkish sovereignity over Transcaucasia. But already, Ottoman Empire was beginning to suffer from weakening commerce and overstretchment... This will result in great damage to Turkey, but much later.

And on the fringes of Europe, there was Russia. Here, Absolutism was unchallenged, and indeed Russia was hardly "European". It did modernize and adopt many European ideas, but Westerner influence in culture was restricted (i.e. Modernization without Westernization - think Meiji Japan). Powerful tsars kept their alliance with Sweden, instead concentrating on wars with Poland and Turkey, and China in the Far East, but tensions steadily increased between the Swedes and the Russians. Also, there was religious and political strife (not nearly as much as in OTL, though - remember, Patriarchate and Tsardom are united, not too unsimilarily from OTL England's arrangement with the king being the head of church). Reformists threatened Church integrity when Tsar-Patriarch Fyodor IV bitterly resisted calls to revise the church books (written in Church Slavic, literally translated from Greek and thus, combined with occasional scribe mistakes, "imperfect"), whislt cossacks and peasants occasionally rebelled to resist further enserfment (different people in charge - no Morozov - enserfment still increases, but not as much as in OTL, de jure at least). But all rebels were put down, if only because of their internal disagreements.

So, the pieces are in place, the game begins anew. In late 17th century, there were two more major European wars - the Eight Years War and the First Rhenish War. Albeit alliances were not completely static, the general idea remained the same - France, Portugal, England, Denmark-Norway, Savoy, Milan, Two Sicilies and Poland were opposing Sweden, Holland, Scotland, most German states, Spain and Russia. In the Eight Years War, however, the French also found an... unlikely ally - Habsburg Austria.

Eight Years War started in 1666, but its hard to say whether it started on May 9th, when Admiral Gerard's English fleet refused to salute before the Dutch fleet, and instead started a battle where the English lost three ships while the Dutch, losing only one ship, nonetheless retreated after it became clear that their luck has ran out, or if it instead started on June 1st, when the French government, claiming that Lorrainean "troops" (Lorraine hardly had something that can be called an army, albeit a small force was kept) commited incursions into French enclave around Metz, declared war on Lorraine. German Confederation and Sweden declared war on France, and the rest you can guess.

Anglo-French troops tried to invade Scotland, but faced surprisingly determined and capable resistance led by Douglas Inveraray, who defended Edinburgh succesfully for seven months until the Swedish reinforcements arrived. With Swedish help, Scotts, albeit losing Ulster to the Engish forces, suceeded in capturing Carslisle and Newcastle, though further advance was prevented by Warrington's Anglo-French troops at Humber in 1668. The war here degenerated into minor skirmishes afterwards, albeit in 1671 there was an attempted Swedish landing in Belfast. The eventual Treaty of Westphalia restored status quo here, albeit the English were obliged to limit presence of their troops in Ireland.

Spain fought with France mostly to avenge its defeat and to regain Catalonia. There was much irony in the situation - this time, France was posing to be the "protector of Catholics" and fought with Protestant Sweden, and Spain in spite of its religion was on the Swedish side, whilst in the Thirty Years War it was the other way around. Reformed Spanish armies did surprisingly well, defeating the French at Sabadell in Catalonia. But the expected pro-Spanish risings never came, the invasion of Portugal was defeated at Elvas, and eventually the French forces, triumphant in the Mediterranean, forced Spain out of the war with the 1672 capture of the Balearics and Valencia; Spain didn't lose territory aside from Sardinia, which was annexed into the Kingdom of Two Sicilies, but it also had to pay an indemnity.

Denmark-Norway was handed several decisive defeats very fast, albeit the Swedes failed in their assault on Copenhagen in 1667. Eventually, Denmark-Norway had to cede Skane and Bremen-Verden in 1671, unable to fight on under the great pressure, intensified by the Dutch commerce raiding.

But the three main theatres were in Germany, more or less. The Rhenish Theatre was also extending into Holland, whilst the Baltic Theatre extended into Swedish Livonia and Poland; Danubean Theatre was solely in Germany, however.

French forces quickly crushed Lorraine overcoming what little resistance there was, and succesfully conspired with the Trier and several other anti-Swedish princes, starting a rebellion in Germany. The rebellion failed to gain momentum in most of Germany, but in the west and the south (in the latter it was less of a princely and more of a popular Catholic rebellion) it scored several victories, helping the French. Conde's forces defeated the Bohemians at Cologne (Bohemian Wittelsbachs still did control Cologne and the Palatinate; after the war, they agreed to cede Cologne to the Dutch to deal with their overstretch) and before Sweden could respond properly outflanked the Dutch army, which already was hard-pressed by Anglo-French forces in Flanders, losing Ghent. Stadholder William III rallied the Dutch in a defense and opened the dikes, flooding the Dutch lowlands in order to stave off the French invaders. This worked, and the Dutch, reinforced by Sveldssen's Swedish troops, pushed the French back into Cologne. Brussels and Ghent, however, fell before they could be relieved, and by 1669 both armies settled in a stalemate in Flanders; thus the main war here took place in Rhine, where the Swedish forces reestablished control and threatened the flank of the French forces in Cologne. The French won the Battle at Koblenz, but their war effort eventually declined when Swedish-Bohemian forces succesfully, in 1671, captured Trier. The French still managed to regain the initiative in 1673, but as their plans for a maritime invasion of Holland were upset back in 1671 by Ruyter, they could only attack effectively in Trier and the Palatinate, making some headway and getting favorable peace in 1674 in Westphalia, where France was confirmed in its gain of Lorraine, Alsace and Trier, but withdrew from elsewhere, leaving Holland intact. The Swedes, however, were recognized in their domination of Germany, allowing them to further consolidate their power there - leaving garrisons in several major German cities and limiting the freedom of the foreign policy of the confederate states.

When in 1667 it became clear that the knockout victory against Holland was no longer feasable, the French decided to open another front, allying with Austria and sending troops through Italy to the Danubean Theatre. Combined with rebels in Bavaria, the Austro-French forces, commanded by Turenne (he died in the fighting and was replaced by Davout) and Hardenberg, achieved many initial successes, but their attempt to link up with the French forces on the Rhine was defeated in 1669 at Heilbronn. Further defeats followed, Bohemian-Swedish forces captured Vienna and a Protestant rebellion ousted Habsburgs. Eventually, the French in 1673 had to completely retreat out of Austria. After the war, Austria was never returned to the Habsburgs, instead going to the heretofore extremelly insignificant (well, more like since 14th century, but even then they held only a puny county) Zahringen Dynasty. With the loss of Lorraine, Trier and Alsace to France and the forceful reformation of Austria, there were no Catholic principalities left within the German Confederation.



The "Baltic Theatre", where the war with Poland was waged, immediately saw some Polish victories - albeit at sea, their small navy was grounded, on the land they took Konigsberg, Memel and Riga. An offensive into Pommerania was beaten back, though, and Danzig held out during the siege; still, the well-trained Polish armies, adjusted to the lessons of the previous war, managed to hold their ground against Sweden most of the times - not counting 1672, when the Swedes captured Cracow, but they were in the same year repulsed by rebellions and Polish troops. Thus, the Poles preserved the status quo here in spite of the fact that they were threatened from all directions at once.

Also, Poland fought this war with Russia, making much headway due to instability in the latter and the superior Polish training. The peace treaty would see Podolia returned to Poland, albeit Kiev and Smolensk remained Russian.

The main consequence of the war, apart from the strenghthening of Sweden's grasp on Germany and the continued rise of Holland as a naval power, was that the French and their allies, having gained much territory, still remained hungry for more. Thus 1683 brought the First Rhenish War, so-called because Louis XIV felt that the natural border of France should go along the Rhine and, evidently due to this provoked a Catholic revolt in Flanders and supported it. But this time, the Swedes were prepared, the Catholic rebellions in Germany failed, and the Anglo-French armade was annihilated at Dover in a daring attack. On the land, the French made some gains in Rhineland, but were stopped at Brussels by the Dutch-Swedish armies (who greatly fortified Belgium since the last war), whilst the Scottish armies held strong against the English, even attacking in Ireland. In Spain, though, the French did very well at first, very nearly in spite of all the modernization efforts taking Madrid and generally wrecking havoc - but eventually, they were stopped short of victory here. The Poles fared very badly as well - albeit they did well at first, eventually the Russian army, much improved since the last war, combined with the Swedish one to push the Poles out of Courland and Greater Lithuania, and in the west the Swedes pillaged the vital core areas of Poland on the Vistula. Venice, in Italy, eventually sided with the Swedes, being promised Mantua (and getting it eventually), and here too the French faced defeat. They fought on until 1687, but it became clear that Louis overestimated his kingdom's power - the Swedish armies were stronger then before, reinforced by well-disciplinned armies of Brandenburg and Bohemia, and won the great battle at Zell. France could have fought on for longer if not for the major revolts that filled the country and the bad financial situation, and eventually France agreed to a peace treaty, conceding Trier to a local dynasty and granting independance to Catalonia (under the Claris dynasty). Disillusioned and depressed, Louis died in 1692, to be succeeeded by... Louis. Only this one was Louis XV, who swore revenge and begun to greatly reform the French army and fleet, and who had Vauban construct numerous forts. Poland, meanwhile, signed peace, ceding Podolia and eastern parts of Greater Lithuania (OOC: meaning the eastern half of OTL Belarus, with Minsk a Polish border city) to Russia and Courland to Sweden... England ceded a northwestern chunk of Ireland to Scotland, whilst the Swedes, apart from getting confirmed in their predominance of Germany, also grabbed Holstein-Gottorp, Trondheim (they did try to take it in OTL) and all Norwegian lands further north and east.

Thus the 18th century begun with another war in preparation...

1700-1728. Planet Earth.

18th century, a time of enlightenment, war, and many other things besides, old and new alike, a time of suffering in some regards greater and in some regards lesser then before (technologic progress raised life standards, though slowly, but it also enabled even more brutal wars then before), but also a time of trade, of commerce. Slave trade, spice trade, sugar trade, tea trade (the latter being especially prominent for the Dutch)... the great Age of Mercantilism was over on paper, but de facto the trade was now even more profitable then before. Also a time of less patient, more quick and more risky ways to prosper - though to some extent piracy, in the Carribean and in the Yellow seas was declining as the naval power of the empires grew, it still existed, whilst on a more legal side, gold and other strikes drew population and caused development of such previously backwater, sparsely-populated regions as Portuguese Brazil and Russian Chukotka (more specifically, Mato Grosso and Kolyma).

Colonial expansion was perhaps at its greatest. The Portuguese, after a victorious colonial war with Spain in 1711, extended their reign all the way to River Plate (i.e. the Portuguese succesfully captured Uruguay ITTL, to compensate for the loss of north Brazil). The Dutch meanwhile, competed with Portugal in the Amazon Basin, fearful of a possible Portuguese outflanking. Spain, for its part, vigorously extended its rule further inland in Latin America, especially in the north, where it increasingly came into conflict with France - French expeditions to Rio Grande being looked upon as at a most alarming development, causing the expansion into Tejas. Russia and China still strifed during the time, fighting in the Ussuri basin (the Chinese won, and the Treaty of Nerchinsk confirmed Sakhalin and Ussuri Region as Chinese, though Amur Region remained Russian), whilst using the power vacuum in Central Asia to expand there (OOC: from what I could discern, there was no real reason apart from other preoccupations that prevented Russia from extending its rule into Central Asia much earlier then in OTL - and here, it is driven by conflict with China). The process, as of 1728, was not yet finished, but Russia and China alike during this Scramble for Central Asia eventually grabbed huge lands, China taking Sinkiang and the vast Bukhara Sultanate whilst Russia took Kazakhstan, Khiva and the rest. Many tribes fled from Russian and Chinese armies, and caused even more havoc in the already unstable lands of Persia and India - those tribes were collectively known as the Afghans, albeit in reality the Afghans were only the most prominent of those.

But these were only the most spectacular examples of colonial expansion. Perhaps less spectacular, but just as significant was the consolidation of Dutch rule over the East Indies and Sudafrika (OOC: Insane Panda, by the time you read this, I do hope you regain your fear of the word "Sudafrika". No reason for me saying this in particular), slow, steady carrot-and-stick colonization. In North America, France, England, Holland and Virginia extended their reach as well. Border between New England and New Holland remained on the Connecticut, but the border of New France and New England solidified on the Appalachians. New Holland's borders with French colonies were far from clear, but the border with Virginia was along the Potomac and Kanasaha, with a more-or-less straight line between two rivers. Virginian-Carolinian border was yet undefined, and a source of many border clashes, but eventually the PRIMARY - eastern part of the - border was declared to be Cape Fear river. West of it was a land still being settled and claimed - Virginia was the most energetic in those efforts, and this caused English Carolina to speed up its own expansion. But as the expanding state and colony both extended west, they came into some conflict with France, with the frontier stabilizing on the Appalachians, though not indefinitely. France itself ruled in name a vast area, though its real holdings weren't small neither - only sparsely-populated, as most colonists joined the profitable fur trade rather then the dull life of colonial cities. Which is not to say that said cities didn't rise - Nouvelle-Orleans, Sent-Luis, Niagara, Montreal and Quebec were slowly, but surely gaining size. But it was hardly comparable with the staggering population growth of English, Dutch and Virginian possessions.

Culture advanced back in Europe (and in the Far East), as Enlightenment spred. But not only the harmless ideas, encouraged by the monarchs, became widespread - a political ideology of republican radicalism, inspired in part by the late 17th century philosophy of the English refugee (living in Swiss Confederation) John Locke (OOC: basically the same as in OTL, but a more embittered and radical version) and in part by the existance of the Scottish Republic (and to a lesser extent of Virginia), which, albeit not exactly an utopia, saw a greater level of social mobility then most absolutist powers, became dangerously widespread, with significant republican factions rising in much of Europe outside of culturally-foreign Russia and Turkey. Repression of the said factions gave short-term benefits to the absolutism at best and in most cases produced dangerous martyrs. Still, even in 1728 it seemed to the majority of the people that the republican movement is unlikely to gain power in any of the great powers, any time soon at least...

Scientifically, the Enlightenment was also important, as the scientific method was furthered, as academies were founded and as progress became considerably faster then before. The development of technology both assisted in and was sped up by the neccesities of War.

First seventeen years and two months of the century saw minor colonial wars, some insignificant rebellions (the most important of those was a two-year rebellion in Hungary, brutally put down) and some obscure wars in Italy and the Balkans, the latter being mostly a disastrous Venetian attempt to conquer Morea. A few minor wars between Russia and Turkey confirmed the former in the possession of Azov and in the right to build a fleet there. Outside of Europe, the Afghan Empire in East Persia and Northwest India (mostly OTL Pakistan, but also some regions of northern OTL India, not including Delhi) rose to prominence during this time, albiet its instability would result in a collapse... later. In what remained of a Persia hemmed in between Turkey and the Afghans, chaos raged, with warlords and pretenders on the rampage. The Turks expanded into Arabia, taking over Hejjaz and al-Hasa. Mughals fell apart in India, with Afghans, Sikhs, Marthas and Mysorians the four new dominant powers on the subcontinent, whilst the European influence extended across the coast, with England, France and Portugal blocking the Dutch expansionism... for now. Siamese armies of King Maha brought order to the three warring states of Laos - Siamese order, ofcourse.

First seventeen years and two months of the century saw a gradual buildup, as Jan IV (or rather the powerful Konrad Poniatowski, the strongman of the Sejm) and Louis XV prepared for the grand revanche, as were their lesser allies. King Charles X of Sweden and Bohemia (litteraly a fruit of years of careful intrigue - a son of a Bohemian queen and a Swedish king who united Sweden and all of Bohemian Wittelsbach scattered possessions), Stadholder William V of Holland, Prime Consul Arnesby of Scotland and Tsar Fyodor V of Russia, the four leaders of the anti-French coalition, were preparing as well. On March 1st 1718, as something of a tradition already, the Second Rhenish War begun with a rebellion in South Holland, where the Catholics still were present in large amounts, and another Catholic rebellion in Bavaria and Austria. An assembly of nobles in rebel-held Ghent proclaimed Louis XV king of the new Kingdom of Flanders. After "hesitation", Louis, "outraged by mistreatment of his co-religionists that were driven to rebellion by their rulers", accepted the new crown. The anti-French coalition - the usual one, but joined by Venice and Catalonia - declared war on "the usurper". But they underestimated the French military strenght...

The Anglo-French armade soon inflicted a painful defeat on the Dutch-Swedish fleet at Walcheren Island, albeit in 1719 it was avenged in the Battle of Three Days. Marshall Bartas energetically led the French and rebel armies, and succesfully assaulted and captured Maastricht within the first two weeks of the war. The coalition forces anticipated the main blow to come against Holland, especially after its naval defeat, but Louis XV knew that this was what they expected. Instead, he ordered Bartas to secured Cologne and press on east, into the heart of Germany. Another French army, based in Alsace and led by Duc d'Strasbourg struck out for Stuttgart, defeating Morner's Swedish-German armies with surprising ease at Karlsruhe. A third army, that of Chatelaux, bogged down in Venetian territory, and thus failed to link up with the Austro-Bavarian rebels. Albeit eventually only Venice itself held strong against Chatleaux, his incompetence, combined with the well-prepared state of Venice, cost Louis XV his "victory in four months".

But even so, Swedish situation looked very grim, especially as Poniatowski routed Swedish-Brandenburgian army at Schwiebus, utilizing once more the superior quality of Polish cavalry. Louis XV managed to start another German rebellion, inciting most local princes, discontent with Swedish domination as they were, to overthrow the Swedes and create a Kingdom of Germany east of the Rhine, with a Bourbon king greatly limited by a feudal Diet. Bohemia (ruled by the Swedish king, so its no surprise), Austria, Brandenburg and Brunswick were the only four major German states that supported Sweden completely; a fairly large amount of the princes basically sat on the fence waiting for the events to fold out and the rest were pro-Bourbon.

On the other fronts, news were also uninspiring. Sir Oxford took Edinburgh and Glasgow with rather low casualties, and though the Highlanders bravely defended the Republic whilst the Lowlanders also started occasional rebellions, the outlook was unpromising for Scotland. The Catalans and the Spaniards pathetically failed at forming a single front, and thus Barcelona fell in a swift attack by Marshall D'Evreux, who exploited this victory with an offensive towards Madrid. Spain, riddled with corruption, populated by unloyal peasants, soon enough was faced with rebellions in the face of the government's weakness and the defeat of the army. King Phillip VI surrendered himself to the French in panic, fleeing from an angry mob in Madrid. Admittedly, same rebels later caused lots of problems for the French army which captured Madrid, forcing it to eventually - in 1721 - withdraw to the Ebro, leaving Spain in turmoil. Phillip VI was by then "rescued" and forced to abdicate in favor of the weak-willed Carlos III, who accepted a liberal constitution (sparking off a civil war) and signed a separate peace treaty with France, withdrawing from the anti-French coalition. Russo-Swedish forces in Lithuania fared well at first, taking Vilnius, but at Juozapine the Poles forces fought them into a stalemate, whilst Poniatowski managed to win over the Left Bank Cossacks to his side, promising greater autonomy under Polish rule. The Cossack rebellion came in an inconvenient moment - a moment of another Cossack rebellion in the east, in alliance with Orthodox Church Reformists and serfs. The Danish forces in Norway were routed - but the siege of Copenhagen drained Sweden's resources badly. German rebels were defeated time and again, most notably Saxony was occupied and thoroughly looted, but in the western parts of Germany, the rebels are still strong. In the colonies, the war goes rather better, but even there defeats happen. The English offensive in New Holland was broken on the Hudson, but the French captured the Virginian city of Morgan (OTL Greensboro, North Carolina), linking up with Carolina English and threatening Virginia Proper. Another French force used Spanish weakness to establish control of Brazos River (after the war, it became the new colonial border). English forces land in Cuba, and though they suffer badly from disease there and fail to take Havanna they DO manage to capture Florida, joining it to Carolina after the war (the Spanish, who as already said were busy rebelling against Habsburgs and the French alike and afterwards fighting each other, were not in position to protest). Good news came in Lesser Antilles and in Brazil, where the Dutch were winning on the land and the sea, however - not only were the Portuguese attacks fought back by the brilliant Rudolf Cronje, but a counteroffensive forced the Portuguese to pursue a separate peace treaty returning Brazil to status quo - and conceding several African and Indian possessions to Holland, most of which the Dutch conquered by force anyway, most importantly Mozambique and Calicut, whilst the Chinese, who for some time now were at good terms with the Dutch and at bad terms with the Portuguese, retook Macao (and kept it) in an effort to centralize trade and reportedly because the Emperor disliked the presence of a foreign colony within China itself - he saw it as something of an insult and something of a bad precedent.

And on the main front, the French, boosted by various German princes, advanced as far as Kassel, Frankfurt-en-Main and Ulm by 1720, the slow pace owing to the capable leadership of the Swedish general Siegbahn, who, bolstered by Bohemians, also defeated the French at Regensburg, pushing them from Bavaria. Chatleaux was by then replaced by d'Arles, who nonetheless failed to take Venice, coming under Austro-Swedish pressure. Luckily, by then, the Polish luck (no pun intended) begun to run out - Turkey allied with Sweden, the eastern Cossack-Reformist-serf rebellion of Taras Glenka was crushed (albeit the western one lingered on) and Poniatowski perished at Riga. Silesia also firmly decided to support Sweden now, and Poznan was captured by Charles X. On the French front, in 1722, the restoration of maritime supremacy, regionally at least, allowed a Swedish army to seize Ghent, where it all begun. East of French-held lands in Germany, the rebellion finally begun to decline.

Still, the French forces DID continue to attack. In 1723, they once more besieged Venice, and a concentrated effort of d'Strasbourg and d'Arles, combined with a local Catholic insurgency, allowed the two to link up in the mountainous Tyrolia. Elsewhere, the French armies were checked at Eichsfeld, but only checked, nothing more. The Scotts managed to hold Aberdeen against Sir Oxford. By then, however, a new factor set in - warweariness. The trade was suffering, the finances of all nations, especially Poland, France and Sweden went to supplying the armies. Finally, as the French were defeated at Bolzano and at Waldeck in 1724, their king, rather then risk an open rebellion of his subjects, agreed to negotiate. In the Treaty of Prague, all sides had to make concessions.
 
Apart from colonial re-adjustments, which I already outlined (everything not mentioned returned to status quo apart from Trinidad and Grenada which were taken as spoils of war by Holland), most changes were in Europe. All Scottish lands in Ireland were annexed by England. France regained Trier and Catalonia, and gained Saar. Venice ceded its enclave within Milanese Duchy to Milan and separately agreed to cede Cerigo and Cephalonia to Turkey in exchange for Turkish-occupied Ragusa. Poland regained much of the lost lands in Greater Lithuania but on the other hand renounced its treaty with the rebel Cossacks and paid an indemnity to Russia, not to mention ceded a considerable corridor to link East Prussia with Brandenburg. Holland is to pay France an indemnity - "ransom" for Flanders. All of Norway and Bornholm, and Holstein-Gottorp are annexed by Sweden, leaving Denmark with... Denmark, but independant, as contrasted by the further devastation of Denmark by freed up Swedish forces if Denmark refuses to cooperate. Spain is left for the dead, practically - all signatories agree not to intervenne there because they do, after all, fear each other. Swedish hegemony in Germany is acknowledged, as are the measures taken during the war to strenghthen it - basically, the confiscation of lands of rebel princes; those lands are then given (well, promised - they can't use them until the war is over, ofcourse) to Swedish soldiers to raise the morale.

And for a while, it really seemed as if this arrangement could work. But soon enough, as rebellions in Germany intensified, as the Polish government sunk into bankruptcy and was forced to raise taxes and as the standoff between the (increasingly-powerful owing to concessions made during the war) Parlement and the king continued in France, as Spain was being torn aside by a civil war, a new disturbance of peace occured.

Revolution.

1728-1732. Random spots all over Europe.

Warsaw, Poland. For over a century (and a half!) now Poland was a "Royal Republic", ruled by the Vasa dynasty but governed by the Sejm, the assembly of nobles and magnates. So it was in name, of course - in deed, the balance of power alternated depending on circumstances and personality - if a king really did want to govern, he most probably managed to play a part in it at least. The problem was that only a skilled king, like Jan III, could have succesfully played on Sejm's weaknesses as to become a near-absolute ruler. Even such kings as short-reigning Wladyslaw IV, for all of their skill, could not do that. Ofcourse, Sejm itself was bitterly divided on all issues possible, making things even more confusing. Needless to say, this system caused lots of problems, and whimsical Jan IV was determined that, if he couldn't be the king that reconquered Podolia, then he could at least be the king who finally settled the problem of the Sejm once and for all.

Jan IV's idea of settlement was "beating some sense into the Sejm" to make it agree to certain centralization reforms. He made his move on June 5th. Citing several examples where the decentralization, feudalism and, though he never explicitly stated that, the powers of the Sejm have greatly damaged Poland, most vocally condemning liberum veto (the legal right of any member of the Sejm to, practically, veto ANY decision by his vote alone) which sometimes nullified even the greatest victories on the battlefield by paralyzing the government. Jan IV actually did have a few supporters in the Sejm, a few men of good conscience and Polish patriotism who agreed to limit liberum veto, but the rest disagreed bitterly. And then Jan IV commited an act of desperation. He had, with the help of some of the aforementioned supporters, raised a medium-sized private army to combat the professional army which was under the Sejm's control. And so he set out to strike first, to arrest the Sejm. But the Sejm wasn't unprepared, and blood was shed in the streets of Warsaw; the professional Sejmite army defeated Jan IV's guard, and captured the king. He was imprisoned, officially it was stated that "the many unfortunate developments in the Polish realm drove the king in-sane, and thus he has been detained."

Now came the truly decisive moment. The Sejm has made up its mind - the Vasas had to go. Orators denounced "foreign tyrants", blamed them for all defeats and called for Poland to become a true Republic, citing examples of Holland, "the affairs of which greatly prosper". Ofcourse, some just suggested that they find another Vasa, namely Jan's younger brother Casimir, whilst others suggested just continuing like usual, but under a different dynasty from one of the noble houses represented in the Sejm - but the idea of a Holland-like aristocratic republic, rather casually dropped by an insignificant noble called Ignacy Koschiuszko, proved surprisingly popular - calling the king (not a Vasa one, ofcourse) "prawjitel" or "president" rather then "king" would definitely make him less arrogant, not to mention that the fact that it would be "our own" Polish noble would naturally mean that he doesn't try to grab power from the Sejm. Ironically, no decision was taken at first due to the use of the very liberum veto the Sejm protected - out of the few supporters of Jan, just one was found who in spite of all remained loyal to his king and blocked any decisions that might have replaced said king with somebody or something else.

As passions rose, an assassination attempt was arranged for by the more radical parts of the Sejm, and the problem was ended easily. The Royal Republic was abolished, the Polish Commonwealth was declared instead, based on a combination of the Royal Republic and of the Dutch model. What the nobles didn't count on, however, was that by removing a person who, legally, was their superior, they set a very bad precedent...

Meanwhile, elsewhere, the June Revolution caused some unrest in Germany, but pretty much any political disturbance anywhere in Europe seemed to do so. In England, the Parliament realized that if the Poles could do it, so can it, and as the royal politics were only getting LESS popular with every day, it managed to start the Second English Civil War. In France, the king realized that the parlement really is a dangerous thing if given power, and dismissed it (the parlement, ofcourse). This did not sit well with the bourgoise and the aristocracy alike, both of which felt the parlement to be their voice. In Spain, Phillip VII battled it out with Carlos III, both sides taking little note of the Polish developments...

But by then, other developments took place in Poland. The Commonwealth lasted for slightly over a year - and the situation only got worse, as taxes grew and living standards detiriorated. All that was needed was an ideology, provided by Scotland, and a leader - of the latter, several were found, most notable of which were Konrad Zachawski and Eduard Sikorsky. The two marched with the red banner of Freedom to the palace, overthrew the Sejm and proclaimed the People's Republic of Poland (OOC: populist - only socialist in Robespierre's kind of way, and not as radical at that). A civil war soon begun in the countryside, but led to not much thanks to swift actions of Sikorsky. A reign of terror (tm) begun in Poland, as enemies of the people, mostly aristocrats, were hunted down and killed, their property confiscated. The Sejm was abolished; instead, Zgromadzenie Ludowe ("People's Assembly") was... assembled. But by then, the Russo-Swedish intervention was being prepared; they wanted to back the losing side to make sure Poland is ravaged, because a competently-led Poland was too much of a risk.

Ofcourse, Russia and Sweden themselves were feeling some instability. Russia's problems were Polish-inspired, though - it was the same old Cossack separatism. Sweden had more and more problems with Germany, but ofcourse abandoning it NOW was out of question - if only because Charles X was half-German and the personal union between Bohemia and Sweden left large amounts of German land under direct Swedish control. Meanwhile, Parliamentarists were winning in England, Liberals were winning in Spain. Riots and revolts begun in France, though not to the point of Revolution yet. In Italy, a heretofore unnotable Corsican lawyer, Paolo Buonoparte (OOC: the damn family has good genes...), was riding out on the tide waves of Italian nationalism and republicanism; in fact, without him there was no way it could rise to any such prominence as it did. Denmark, too, was grasped with ideas of republicanism, but court intrigue prevented a coup attempt. Even in Holland, this "red scare" (a term coined by Royalist England's foreign minister, Sir Cardiff) spread, as the stadholder barely survived an assassination attempt.

But for now (as of 1730) anyway the decisive battle would be fought in Poland. Zachawski died, amongst conspiracy theories, and the beheaded People's Assembly soon received other bad news - Swedish and Russian support for the Sejmists, defeats at Poznan and at Polotsk... The Polish people needed a hero - and they found one in Teodor Sikorsky, one of the greatest military minds of his time. Having routed the Swedes at Sieradz, Sikorsky was strong and confident - just what the people needed. It was in that year that he was declared First Consul; in two more years, he would become the Dictator of the Republic, but that would be simply the de jure confirmation of his de facto status. Quickly, the French-educated Sikorsky declared what he called a "levee en masse", using the rising tide of Polish nationalism combined with a harsh economic policy to support it, he introduced many other military reforms supporting the huge conscript army with a small elite well-drilled force, the Republican Guard. Many other innovations were introduced, such as the Oblique Order (mostly used by the Guard, as it was much better disciplinned and thus fit for it) and Sikorsky's clear "Initiative Above All" doctrine, combined with the good use of light cavalry in harassing supply routes and advancing armies.

In 1731 and 1732, Sikorsky won a string of great victories - at Kalisz, at Radom, at Rivne, at Zhodino. The Sejmists abandoned their cause for amnesty (and even then, that only meant that they kept life and freedom - lots of property stayed confiscated) after Radom. Russia faced a series of rebellions. The Swedes had to retreat from Poznan. And meanwhile, another civil war begun in France just as the Polish civil war has ended - the bourgoise and the aristocrats have, thanks to Duc d'Arles, formed a common front against "tyranny". Ended, for now Sikorsky was ready to export the revolution, to bring the battle to his enemies. The Polish Civil War was over... the (First? Great?) Revolutionary War has only begun, however.


1732-1745. First Revolutionary War and Immediate Consequences.

June 18th 1732. General Golitsyn is dead, his army is in shambles, and Sikorsky stands triumphant on the field of Zhodino. The great conscript army, supported by the Republican Guard and by the light cavalry raiders, has destroyed its enemies, has wrested the initiative from them. However, Poland still has to fight a three-front war - Sweden in the west and the north (for the Swedes, alas, rule the Baltic Sea) and Russia in the east. Luckily, the Turks are too busy fighting Moroccan and Egyptian rebels to attack as well, but Sikorsky really doubts they can do anything.

So? What will he do? To ensure the safety of the Republic, the Swedes needed to be brought to the negotiating table. To do that, a significant military victory in Germany was needed, perhaps even several victories. But to allow that... The Eastern theatre-of-actions should be closed first. Luckily, Russia was the weakest link in Sweden's anti-Polish coalition - revolt-struck and ruled by an unpopular and weak-willed Tsar, Mikhail II, or rather by Berdanov, the fat old boyar chief minister who pulled all the strings behind the Russian throne. Already in 1731, aware of the recent defeats, the peasants and cossacks used the opportunity to rise up. Sikorsky has an idea...

In cooperation with the local cossack Hetman, Stepan Bulba, Polish forces in late 1732 press into Podolia. What little resistance there is, is crushed. A Swedish force tries to threaten Thorn from East Prussia, but is then faced by General Wladislaw Shmigly and his Armia Krajowa and forced to retreat in shame after several skirmishes proved Polish preparidness. In Ukraine, Polish forces stop only at Kiev; the city is besieged and a peace treaty is offered to Berdanov - secretly, ofcourse. With an even more secret protocol attached...

Russia is to withdraw from the war with Poland, to withdraw all support from anti-republican groups, to recognize the People's Republic. Russia is to cede Podolia and all other territories west of Dnieper, though as a sweetener it is allowed to keep Kiev. What does Poland do? Poland withdraws support from all rebels in Russia. Poland gives Russia monetary support and a small expeditionary corps. And within two months after the defeat of the rebels, Russia is to... declare war on Sweden. In exchange, it will get Estonia, Livonia and West Karelia. And maybe Finland.

Berdanov shakes his head. He would agree to the peace, but a war with Sweden? At least he should get logistical assisstance and two more months. Sikorsky promises to help him with supplies, and one more month.

Berdanov is hesitating, and less then a week later a (Polish-incited, probably) rebellion in Moscow takes place, it is only barely put down. Another Polish army threatens Smolensk... Berdanov agrees. Sikorsky doesn't completely trust him ofcourse, and leaves a few divisions at Minsk, under General Mieszko, to guard the region.

By the time they agree, 1733 is already on. It is a year of turmoil, and not just here in Poland. Far, far away, across the Atlantic Ocean, there are numerous revolts against the unstable Spanish rule, revolts that are eventually put down by local forces... just barely. Back in Spain, Phillip VI died and the Conservatives were on the retreat, their new leader - Phillip "VII", though not crowned formally yet - is very desperate whilst another Spanish Habsburg decides that this place is doomed and flees... somewhere. In England, things aren't better - the Scotts are on a rampage in Ireland and Wales, England itself (and most of Wales - the Scottish filibusters failed to capture much of it, only some coastal areas) is torn apart between Parliamentarists and Royalists, and the former are winning this time, led by the enigmatic Robert Blake. And in France... Louis XV continues to wage a desperate war against the Orleanists (OOC: who represent "parliamentary monarchy" and were forced by d'Arles into an uneasy coalition with the Republicans) and Republicans, but is being very uncooperative, i.e. doesn't ask his sworn enemies to save him now. In Italy, Paolo Buonoparte organizes a revolution that was declared by Louis XV to be the "worst kind of sacrilige" - he declares the Roman Republic and leads an angry mob to Vatican, forcing the Pope to flee first for Florence and then for Lisbon. The Roman Republic spreads like a disease, and the short Corsican lawyer suddenly turns out to be a very capable commander - though he had not much of a military education, he seemed to have some sort of an instinctive grasp on tactics and strategy, not to mention politics where he manages to repeat Sikorsky's Polish feat by mobilizing the population in practically all provinces he came across, destroying all princely Italian armies with great masses of peasants and citizens driven to fanaticism (OOC: basically, he's doing a form of what Fouche did in 1809 when he beat back a British invasion force with a swiftly-assembled "army" of conscripts). On April 3rd, when the Roman Revolution just begun, he holds Rome; by April 11th, the Corsican Lawyer holds all of Latium (a.k.a. western half of the Papal States); by the end of April, he is the undisputed ruler (sure, there are some national assemblies there, but that's just for the looks) of not just the former Papal States but also Tuscany and parts of Naples. Rebellions in his native Corsica and Sardinia follow soon after. Neapolitan army is routed at Caserta; San Marino surrendered without a fight, as did Lucca; Venice is paralyzed; by the end of the year, Roman Republic holds nearly a half of Italy, slightly slowing down near Milan and Venetian Padua... Denmark is filled with disorder as well, with a revolutionary government rising to power by the end of the year and pushing rather too far, not to mention being too close to Sweden.
 
Back
Top Bottom