Ask an Economist (Post #1005 and counting)

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Ok then, thanks guys. One more question though...

How does high interest rates or exchange rate influence investors to invest in a country's economy?

high real interest relative to other countries means that your country offers better returns, so rational folks put money in your country

And Mul, thanks! I really want us to get over the 50K hump soon!
 
high real interest relative to other countries means that your country offers better returns, so rational folks put money in your country

So a high interest rate implies a high return even on investments not based on interest payments?

(sorry, I thought I understood this, but apparently not :crazyeye: )
 
So a high interest rate implies a high return even on investments not based on interest payments?

(sorry, I thought I understood this, but apparently not :crazyeye: )

Let's say the interest rate in your country is 5%, and my country it's 10%. You could loan money to companies in my country at a much higher rate than you'd make in your own country.

EDIT: Misread your post - way, way too tired to post beyond that.

-- Ravensfire
 
What will the effect of the "Greying of Europe" have on the European economy? Will the population continue to decline, or will it eventually level out with 2.1 children per woman?

If you could please answer in both terms of Europe and World economy that would be spectacular!

Thanks ahead of time!
 
Well, in France its already found its way up to 2.1 about and it is increasing in several other countries. It appears it will eventually raise.
 
What will the effect of the "Greying of Europe" have on the European economy? Will the population continue to decline, or will it eventually level out with 2.1 children per woman?

If you could please answer in both terms of Europe and World economy that would be spectacular!

Thanks ahead of time!

Most developed world populations are expected to decline and stabilize. The greying of Europe's primary effect on the economy is to slow it down as more workers leave the work force than enter it. This is why the EU needs to figure out its immigration policy.

As the population of the western world greys, the eastern powers, and Australia, will see their economies rise in terms of prominence. It is doubtful that the EU / US / GB economics are not part of the top picture, however, because of their large amount of industrial and human capital
 
Always invest for the long term. The returns are greatest for N (number of years) than starting P (principal) or R (rate).

FV = P(1 + r)^n

The S&P 500 usually returns 9-10% a year adjusted for inflation. So plug in the principal and work some numbers. This formula is used for just the principal, and does not take into account additions, which will vastly increase your returns as well.

Adjusted for inflation? I didn´t think so, is that true.
 
After seeing on the news that Chinas one child policy will create much lower economic growth. I am asking how strong is the population - economic growth relationship? are countries with low population growth destined to get an economic slowdown?
 
Are you guys counting the dividends?

No, but the amount of dividends one gets with a traditional sp500 index is quite small. I know, I have one! I got 5 bucks last year!
 
No, but the amount of dividends one gets with a traditional sp500 index is quite small. I know, I have one! I got 5 bucks last year!

:lol:

What index did you choose!?

SPY has a 2% yield. So you invested, by math, $250!
 
After seeing on the news that Chinas one child policy will create much lower economic growth. I am asking how strong is the population - economic growth relationship? are countries with low population growth destined to get an economic slowdown?

Most of China's population isn't yet participating in the "modern" part of the economy, so they have 100s of millions of people who's productivity can still go up drastically before it would be a problem.
 
Most of China's population isn't yet participating in the "modern" part of the economy, so they have 100s of millions of people who's productivity can still go up drastically before it would be a problem.

yeah alright, but what about countries like Finland or Sweden or any other that have low population growth, will that lead to low economic growth to or is that relationship ( popgrowth-economicgrowth) weak?
 
yeah alright, but what about countries like Finland or Sweden or any other that have low population growth, will that lead to low economic growth to or is that relationship ( popgrowth-economicgrowth) weak?

Low or stagnant population growth, or worse, negative growth, does in fact substantially add to the difficulty of having economic growth. But by itself does not bring it to a halt. If a nation already has high labor productivity, for example Japan, then growing productivity is more difficult, and more costly, than taking a population with lower productivity and having it catch up to the more developed nations. That is because the technology for higher productivity already exists for the less developed nation and it has to be invented for the more developed nation.

The other problem is that having a large and growing share of the population retired and "graying" places a drain on the available capital, making it more difficult and/or costly to afford the investment necessary for rising productivity.
 
After seeing on the news that Chinas one child policy will create much lower economic growth. I am asking how strong is the population - economic growth relationship? are countries with low population growth destined to get an economic slowdown?

No. Population growth is not the key component of economic growth and maturation

There are many components. Labor, Capital, Tech, Alpha.

In order of importance : Tech, Alpha, Labor/Capital
 
Question: Can you learn this stuff without taking classes in college? As an Engineering student, I skipped econ and this stuff is turning out to be really really useful. (We had only 5 free electives out of 128 in our program, so I took second year Spanish and Astronomy.)

Spoiler :
@ JH. Wow, you're the getrichslowly guy? I love that blog. I have sigs disabled in civfanatics and had no clue. (slow network :( )

[OLDTIMERS]...hmm, I wonder if a post at civfanatics pointed me to the site way back when... maybe I did have a clue and just can't remember...[/OLDTIMERS]
 
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