Well, since my suggestion has not been discussed, I repeat: we do have the option of changing our granary to warrior, without wasting the chop shields. The warrior would be produced with 2 shields wasted though. Had we discussed it earlier like I meant to, we would have produced it next turn without waste, if we had 'emphasize production' turned on.
I am leaning more towards upping the lux and let our warrior in the capitol scout the perimeter. Getting IW a turn or so later is not that important compared to city placement. Getting the granary up is asap is also very important.
If the hut doesn't pop after cultural expansion, I like kickbooti's suggestion for our second city.