Everything old is new again - in Ethiopia.

Little Raven

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Those of us that are old enough to buy booze without being carded remember the good old days of starving Ethiopian children paraded on prime-time TV while earnest-looking rock stars begged for donations.

Well, bell bottoms came back. I suppose the rest was inevitable.
A year of drought and soaring food prices has threatened the lives of tens of thousands of Ethiopian children.

"We have nothing to feed our children," said Egu's village elder. "We are losing our children day by day."

...

The small rains that normally allow Ethiopian farmers to plant a second crop each year did not come this year, adding to an already critical food shortage.

...

UNICEF estimates six million Ethiopian children under the age of five are at risk and more than 120,000 have only about a month to live.
(emphasis mine)

You'd think that after the 80s, Ethiopian leaders would have paid more attention to food security. Of course, that's easier said than done.

What can the West do to help? Perhaps more importantly, what should the West do to help?
 
Damnation, just a couple years ago I had friends touting how awesome Ethiopia was to visit as a tourist.

TED talks has an entire conference devoted to Africa, by the way.
 
Aww.. I was hoping this was about recycled clothing and ethiopians in hippy clothes!
 
You'd think that after the 80s, Ethiopian leaders would have paid more attention to food security. Of course, that's easier said than done.

What can the West do to help? Perhaps more importantly, what should the West do to help?

Wow, someone managed to write an opinion piece about how the "free market" failed to prevent famine in Ethiopia, and have it published in the Wall Street Journal?

To improve production for a population of about 67 million, including five million chronically in need of food aid, Ethiopia expanded its rural extension service to teach farmers new tilling techniques and to distribute high-quality seeds and fertilizer. Yields soared: Grain harvests in the latter half of the 1990s averaged 11 million tons annually, about four million tons more than in the 1980s. In the bumper years of 2000 and 2001, harvests hit more than 13 million tons. The early-warning network was working well, too. Weather failures were predicted throughout the 1990s, and appeals for food aid rallied international support in a timely fashion. But the early-warning system had also picked up an ominous trend: falling grain prices. Grain supplies accumulating in the bigger markets were "driving prices below farmers' expectations and may discourage farmers for the next production season," said a monthly report of the Ethiopia Network on Food Security, a coalition of groups that do forecasting in the country. It was February 2001.

The problem was that the government, at the same time it was pushing to boost production, was also dismantling its system of state aid to farmers and intervention in the agriculture sector. In its place came a private-sector system that was inexperienced and woefully underfunded. It couldn't absorb or distribute the bountiful harvests that came. Storage facilities were inadequate. Traders still relied on donkeys for transport. Export markets were nonexistent. There was no money to support prices or help farmers get through losses.

Food security requires government support, it's as simple as that. European governments (and that of the USA) do not provide subsidies to agriculture because of votes or lobbies from the small part of the population that still makes a living from it (well, they do, but it's not the main reason). If votes and money were the main reason behind those subsidies politicians could "invest" the money cultivating better, larger and wealthier constituencies.
Agriculture is supported because it's important. People need it to live. We take food for granted, but the fact is that all those nations where people have that luxury have had governments which continuously supported and managed agricultural production with incentives, quotas, etc. That support effectively prevents big changes in production and price, benefiting consumers and reducing waste.
And agriculture is important for reasons that go well beyond simple food production. To start with, supporting small scale agriculture (and subsidies to it) is sometimes the only way to keep a resident population in marginal lands. Abandoning them altogether, perhaps creating natural preserves, might be an alternative, but one that I've often seen go up in flames (literally) or create all kinds of costly problems - in densely populated regions such as most of Western Europe these can be areas changed by centuries of human occupation, they might not revert to some natural form we'd appreciate. Anyway, I'm getting off-topic.

As for solution to food security problems in poor countries, rich countries government's and organizations could start by not telling them what to do, especially when that advice is the opposite of what they (those rich countries) have done and still do. In fact the technical solutions should be obvious to the local governments in the first place.
 
Wow, someone managed to write an opinion piece about how the "free market" failed to prevent famine in Ethiopia, and have it published in the Wall Street Journal?
Yes. Unlike your Pravda, the Wall Street Journal doesn't mind sincere debate. I don't know why you immediately assume that all media in the United States is somehow a champion of free markets...
 
Yes. Unlike your Pravda,

My what?

the Wall Street Journal doesn't mind sincere debate. I don't know why you immediately assume that all media in the United States is somehow a champion of free markets...

Why, because I read it. :lol:
 
Yes. Unlike your Pravda, the Wall Street Journal doesn't mind sincere debate. I don't know why you immediately assume that all media in the United States is somehow a champion of free markets...
Kinda funny considering ethiopia was communist.
 
Kinda funny considering ethiopia was communist.

Ethiopia is communist? Since when? According to my noggin its a Federal State with an elected president...
 
Ethiopia is communist? Since when? According to my noggin its a Federal State with an elected president...

Since 1975 until 1991. The Cold War history of the Horn of Africa is quite interesting, actually. Originally, Ethiopia was a US ally and Somalia a Soviet ally. When Eritrea was about to become independent the US backed Ethiopia annexing it. But then in 1975 Haile Selassie was overthrown and Ethiopia became a Soviet ally, and Somalia a US ally.
 
I miss that crazy Emperor-King
 
Well, I was in Addis Ababa just last week. I am not far from Ethiopia now. And I am extremely up to speed on what is going on.

Here is why this is happening:

- First, batting the word Ethiopian around is stupid. These are mostly SOMALI people that are on the brink of famine and some Oromo people who live in the Ogaden.

- Second, the Ogaden region of Ethiopia has been in a prolonged drought. It is running on its third or fourth year. The place is devastated by drought.

- Third, there is a war going on. It is between Somali rebels in Somalia, and the Ethiopian government.

- Fourth, his has spilled over into the Ogaden.

- Fifth, there is a lot of oil and natural gas in the Ogaden region.

- Sixth, Somali rebel groups and the Oromo Liberation Front have targeted foreign oil workers for years.

You add all this up, and you have massive famine. Zenawi does not give two sh--s about Somali people. He wants oil flowing out of Ethiopia. He wants the threats from within Somalia and the Ogaden eliminated from his Coptic state. And he will do anything to achieve his goals. While the SNNP region; Oromo, Amhara, and Tigreyan regions are experiencing bumper crop yeilds, Zenawi is seeing to it that he is still exporting food to Saudi Arabia in order to build up foriegn currency reserves as opposed to feeding the Somali people. He is brutally repressing the people of the Ogaden. Hes slaughtered hundreds trying to track down oil sabateours, he has shut down roads, kicked out aid workers, you name it, he has done it.

This is not a failure of free markets, this is a failure of leadership. The UN doesnt really care about brown people, so they are not doing anything in Ethiopia except chillin at the Addis Sheraton. America will not bat an eye because Ethiopia is our vassal state doing our dirty work in Somalia. And Europe? Europeans are an amusing bunch.
 
Maybe America should invade. Did you say they have oil? Or are they already selling it to the US on the cheap? But then, there's still the white man's burden an all.
 
Those of us that are old enough to buy booze without being carded remember the good old days of starving Ethiopian children paraded on prime-time TV while earnest-looking rock stars begged for donations.

Well, bell bottoms came back. I suppose the rest was inevitable. (emphasis mine)

You'd think that after the 80s, Ethiopian leaders would have paid more attention to food security. Of course, that's easier said than done.

What can the West do to help? Perhaps more importantly, what should the West do to help?

Their big problem is the current dictatorship doesn't care much for the people. It's the same problem they had in the 80's.
 
Are there material assets tying people down? I mean, if there's nothing but anarchy, then shouldn't they wander away?

Or is there some type economic incentive for the Somalis to remain near the oil?
 
Are there material assets tying people down? I mean, if there's nothing but anarchy, then shouldn't they wander away?

Or is there some type economic incentive for the Somalis to remain near the oil?

And go where?

To Addis where they are discriminated against? To Somalia, where there is war? Can you fathom the distances we are talking about? We are talking about a location the size of France, with somoe of the most brutal conditions on earth. Even escaing is a tall order. The lucky ones make it to Dire Dawa, Djibouti, or Yemen. How do you even get from point A to point B?

The Somalis, I am convinced, do not care about the oil. They would rather it stay in the ground. Or at least stay there until THEY can extract it and sell it themsemves. They don not want Petronas, China, and Zenawi to reap the wealth of their land.
 
Truly I cannot fathom the distance. I've hiked many miles in my day, but with a massive amount more infrastructure (and cooler & hospitable climes) than anyone in that region. I just can't imagine, which is why I ask.

Still, with that much drought, the only way to be livable (I think) is because supplies are getting shipped in, no? Or are people just slowly starving to death because the land is producing some return? I just can't figure out how (after years of poverty) anybody is even remaining in the area, unless something is getting shipped in. And then I wonder what economic activity is causing that food to be shipped in.
 
There is no free market in Ethiopia. There are highly regulated price ceilings, rationings, and the government owns all the land. Yes, that's right. The "land to the tiller" slogans mean nothing - even the peasants aren't allowed to own land, which is all owned by the state. They are only allowed to lease it, and the longest time allowed is 99 years. So they can't even sell their land to more efficient farmers/farming companies to change professions. That's why there's no mechanization, no progress. Ethiopia is very much still a socialist state, and when capitalism does exist, it's ridden with cronyism (the cadres of the TPLF all own the major companies, not always directly, but at least through their friends).
 
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