Free Enterprise said:
The infinite regress of events would contradict itself so the probability would seem to be lower than the alternatives.
Contradict itself, what is your reasoning for this? Where is the contradiction?
The main alternative that so far seems useful is that there is an uncaused cause.
???? How so? What makes it "more useful?" There is no logic to this. You are spouting a bunch of nonsense, you do realize this don't you? You sound like a magician quoting metaphysical text. If I didn't know better I would think you were joking.
One you start talking about an uncaused cause the there would be a good canidate for the source of the laws and the origin of the casual chain be set up as a rule. It is not contradictory. I would not say have to say that it always has been. The casual link would have to have been a result of some type of initial process. So it does not seem that there is any catch 22 present. To explain how the uncaused cause would be able to act without the casual link existing at that period in time would one have to examine the properties of the uncaused cause.
This whole thing is chicken and egg re-worded, and filled with strings of circular logic and logical fallacies. It has no merit, it sets parameters, wanders around aimlessly in metaphysical mumbo jumbo, and then later breaks it's own parameters, and thinks it has discovered something.
And I have never seen an "uncaused cause" have you? So once again this breaks these basic premises of universal laws. For there to be a first cause, something had to come from nothing. This is against all observed "nature" so far, and your first premise that cause and effect are undeniable rules. So are you going to make an exception to the foundation of the absoluteness of cause and effect, to allow in an "uncaused cause"? As soon as you do that, the argument falls apart, because cause and effect are no longer the sacred beacon form which all other logic in this argument flows.
So supposedly, there have been 600 quadrillion hundred septillion effects, 600 quadrillion hundred septillion causes, and one uncaused cause.
When ever talking cause and effect, a piece of time is pulled out for the observation, and then put in. The cause is observed first, but that cause was actually just the effect of the pevious cause. We just happen to make a cut-off point, and name the first step cause in our set of parameters "original cause." Then after the last effect we observe, we take our string of events, and put it back in the timeline.
Every cause is merely the effect of the previous cause.