Middle East thread

his Excellencies the idiot who will become the next Saudi king Prince Mega Bull S... with his close friend Mega Big Zit of Abu Dhabi . Diplomatic talk is so tough , ı always forget the exact line up of the words . Quite necessary when Washington and London change the future masters of your country when it turns out you are not exactly going accept the Qataris as such .
 

Turkish strikes in Syria cut water to one million people​

Turkish air strikes in drought-struck north-east Syria have cut off access to electricity and water for more than a million people, in what experts say may be a violation of international law.
Turkey carried out more than 100 attacks between October 2019 and January 2024 on oil fields, gas facilities and power stations in the Kurdish-held Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), according to data collated by the BBC World Service.
The attacks have added to the humanitarian crisis in a region reeling from a years-long civil war and four years of extreme drought exacerbated by climate change.
Water had already been scarce, but attacks on electricity infrastructure in October last year shut off power to the region’s main water station, in Alouk, and it has not been working since. On two visits there, the BBC witnessed people struggling to get water.
Turkey said it had targeted the “sources of income and capabilities” of Kurdish separatist groups it regards as terrorists.
It said that it was well known there was a drought in the area, adding that poor water management and neglected infrastructure had made things worse.
The AANES has previously accused Turkey of seeking to “destroy our people’s existence”.

More than a million people in the Hassakeh province who once got their water from Alouk now rely on deliveries of water pumped from around 12 miles (20km) away.
Hundreds of deliveries are made by tanker each day, with the water board prioritising schools, orphanages, hospitals, and those most in need.
But the deliveries are not enough for everyone.
In Hassakeh city, the BBC saw people waiting for the tankers, pleading for the drivers to give them water. “Water is more precious than gold here,” said Ahmad al-Ahmed, a tanker driver. “People need more water. All they want is for you to give them water.”
Some people admitted they fought over it and one woman threatened: “If he [the tanker driver] doesn’t give me water, I’ll puncture his tyres.”
“Let me tell you frankly, north-east Syria is facing a humanitarian catastrophe,” said Yayha Ahmed, co-director of the city water board.

People living in the region have been caught up not only in Syria’s ongoing civil war but also in Turkey’s conflict with Kurdish-led forces, who established the AANES in 2018 after they - with support from the US-led coalition - drove the Islamic State (IS) group out of the region. Coalition forces are still stationed there to prevent a resurgence of IS.
Turkey’s President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has described the AANES - which is not officially recognised by the international community - as a “terror state” next to its border.
The Turkish government considers the Kurdish militia that dominates the main military force there to be an extension of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) rebel group, which has fought for Kurdish autonomy in Turkey for decades.
The PKK is designated as a terrorist organisation by Turkey, the EU, the UK and the US.
Between October 2023 and January 2024, electricity transfer stations in three areas of the AANES were struck: Amouda, Qamishli, and Darbasiyah, as well as the region’s main power plant, Swadiyah.
The BBC confirmed the damage by using satellite imagery, eyewitness videos, news reports, and visits to the sites.
Satellite imagery of night-time lights from before and after the January 2024 attacks indicated a widespread power outage. “On January 18th.... a significant power outage is evident in the region,” said Ranjay Shrestha, a scientist at Nasa who reviewed the imagery.

The UN says Turkish forces carried out the strikes in Swadiyah, Amuda and Qamishli, while humanitarian groups say Turkey was behind the attack in Darbasiyah.
Turkey said it had been targeting the PKK, the People's Protection Units (YPG) and the Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD).
The YPG is the biggest militia in the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces and is the military wing of the PYD, the main political party in the AANES.
“Civilians or civilian infrastructure were not among our targets and have never been,” Turkey said in a statement to the BBC.
But in October last year, the country’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said all “infrastructure, superstructure and energy facilities” that belong to the PKK and the YPG - especially in Iraq and Syria - were “legitimate targets” for its military, security forces and intelligence units.

The consequences of the conflict have been compounded by climate change.
Since 2020, an extreme and exceptional agricultural drought has gripped north-east Syria and parts of Iraq.
Over the past 70 years the average temperature in the Tigris-Euphrates basin has risen by 2C (36F), according to European climate data.
The Khabour river once supplied Hassakeh with water, but levels became too low and people were forced to turn to the Alouk water station.
But in 2019, Turkey took control of the Ras Al-Ain area, where Alouk is situated, saying it needed to establish a “safe zone” to protect the country from what it described as terrorist attacks.
Two years after this, the UN raised concerns about repeated disruption of the water supply from Alouk to north-east Syria, saying the water supply had been interrupted at least 19 times.
And in February 2024 a report published by an independent UN commission said the October 2023 attacks on electricity infrastructure could amount to war crimes because they deprived civilians of access to water.

The BBC shared its findings with international lawyers.
“Turkey’s attacks on energy infrastructure have had a devastating impact on civilians,” said Aarif Abraham, a barrister at Doughty Street Chambers, adding: “This could constitute a severe violation of international law.”
Patrick Kroker, an international criminal lawyer at the European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights, said that “the indications that international law was violated here are so strong that they should be investigated by a prosecutorial authority”.
The Turkish government said it “fully respects international law”, adding that the UN’s February 2024 report provided “no substantiating evidence” for its “unfounded allegations”.
It blamed water shortages in the region on climate change and “long-neglected water infrastructure” maintenance there.

Hassakeh residents told the BBC they feel abandoned.

Osman Gaddo, head of water testing at the water board, said: “We have made so many sacrifices - so many of us died in battle. But nobody comes to rescue us. We are just asking for drinking water.”
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c79zj7rz3l4o
 

Russia's engagement with the Houthis as they lob missiles at ships is getting 'serious,' US official says​

Russia could decide to help the Houthis with their Red Sea attacks and is engaging with the Iran-backed rebels at a "serious level," a senior US State Department official said.

The Houthis have long received extensive support from Iran, including weapons and training, which the rebels have relied on over the past year to carry out attacks on military and civilian vessels transiting key Middle Eastern shipping lanes.

But the State Department has grown increasingly concerned in recent months that the Houthis could be receiving assistance from another country: Russia, US Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking told Business Insider in a recent interview.

"It does seem as though there is a fairly serious level of engagement happening," Lenderking said of the Houthis and Russia. "We are particularly concerned about the kind of equipment that would really enable the Houthis to be more accurate in their targeting of US and other ships in the region — that would enhance the Houthi capability to strike those targets."


Russian President Vladimir Putin exits his limousine as he arrives at Red Square in Moscow earlier this month.
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Russian President Vladimir Putin exits his limousine as he arrives at Red Square in Moscow earlier this month. Contributor/Getty Images
Lenderking said the US has discussed the situation at "high levels" with Saudi Arabia, a partner nation that fought the Houthis for years, and with Russia as well. The relationship between Washington and Moscow has been fraught with tension since the latter invaded Ukraine in February 2022.

The US has also made efforts to convey messages to the Houthis. Lenderking said that the Yemeni rebels appear to be determined to strike the American and European warships that have spent the past year defending merchant shipping from their relentless attacks.

"The fact that the Russians might assist in this effort is diabolical," Lenderking said. "It's a very strong concern."

The full scope of Russian support for the Houthis is unclear. Some Western media reports suggest that Moscow has already provided the rebels with targeting data and small arms and was considering supplying them with missiles — a development that could significantly escalate the conflict.

The Houthis are known to have received help from outside of Yemen. A recent United Nations report found that the rebels have been getting weapons, training, technical assistance, and financial support from Iran, Lebanese Hezbollah, and armed Iraqi groups.


Newly affiliated Houthi fighters shout slogans while attending a demonstration against Israel and in solidarity with Palestinians in Yemen in October.
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Newly affiliated Houthi fighters shout slogans while attending a demonstration against Israel and in solidarity with Palestinians in Yemen in October. Mohammed Hamoud/Getty Images
Russia and Iran have increased their military ties since the start of the Ukraine war. Tehran has provided Moscow with lethal aid, including missiles and drones similar to what it has given the Houthis in previous years. Both countries have been isolated on the world stage over their malign actions and involvement in Ukraine.

The Houthis have used their arsenal of missiles and drones over the past year to tirelessly carry out attacks on military and civilian vessels in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, a campaign that the rebels claim is connected to the Israel-Hamas war.

American forces operating in the region in defense of the merchant shipping lanes are frequently tasked with intercepting Houthi threats. Just last week, for instance, two US Navy destroyers had to fend off a complex missile and drone attack.

The US also routinely carries out airstrikes in Yemen, targeting rebel missile systems, weapons storage facilities, and other sensitive sites in an effort to curb their ability to carry out the attacks.

Lenderking said that the Houthis still "maintain the ability to launch pretty aggressively at passing ships," but the US is committed to keeping shipping lanes open in the Red Sea.
 
Nothing concrete beyond the US claiming there are "strong concerns", eh? Almost like they want to link the Houthis support of causes in the Middle East with Russia.

But at the same time, this is what happens with the US selectively engages with issues in geopolitics. Inevitably the "enemies" in both conflicts will team up even if their causes aren't ideologically-aligned.
 
Are you not concerned with merchant ships being attacked by Iran/Russia backed militias?
 
Are you not concerned with merchant ships being attacked by Iran/Russia backed militias?
I'm concerned with an escalation in US foreign policy based on vibes instead of concrete evidence.

I'm concerned with a lot of things. Two of them have other threads.
 
From what I gather there is no lack of concrete evidence on the merchants ships being targeted by those militias...and that's enough for me to warrant a muscled response in which your country is doing no small part. Thank you!
 
From what I gather there is no lack of concrete evidence on the merchants ships being targeted by those militias...and that's enough for me to warrant a muscled response in which your country is doing no small part. Thank you!
That's not the concrete evidence I was talking about. I was talking about concrete evidence of Russian involvement, for which we have the US saying "trust us". I think that's enough for anyone to warrant a moderate amount of skepticism nomatter how much Russia is in the wrong in Ukraine (which we have a dedicated thread for).
 
Russia and Iran have been sharing the same bed for ages..would it be that unbelievable that they are backing those militias together!?
 
Russia and Iran have been sharing the same bed for ages..would it be that unbelievable that they are backing those militias together!?
Why now then, if that's the case?

Are you saying that you're willing to take things on hearsay? I trust the US to be truthful about these things as much as I do Russia. This isn't to say I think they're the same, but I certainly think the US are motivated by their own interests first and foremost.
 
while trying to say off the radar , before this over-the-shoulder-toss pattern or something , ı really fail to see the problem here . Everybody really knows Iran provides weapons and stuff . Plus if Norwegians provide targeting data , because banging the chest happily about the P-8 patrols and even drones of New Turkey about the sinking of Moskva , why on earth Russians can not identify and track for the Husi ? Oh yeah , to build up pressure on the White House to keep funding the war somewhere !

like who can ever forget the Husi most succesfully hitting illicit Russian trade ? Like Americans firing and acting like the Yemeni ?
 

Syria rebels launch major offensive in north-west and gain territory​

Rebel forces have launched a major offensive in north-western Syria, capturing territory from President Bashar al-Assad’s forces for the first time in years.
The Islamist militant group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and allied factions said they had seized control of a number of towns and villages in Aleppo and Idlib provinces since Wednesday.
The Syrian military said its forces were confronting a “large-scale” attack by “terrorists” and inflicting heavy losses on them.
A UK-based monitoring group said more than 180 combatants on both sides had been killed in the fighting. At least 19 civilians had also been killed in Syrian and Russian air strikes on opposition-held areas, it added.
More than half a million people have been killed in the civil war that erupted after the government cracked down violently on peaceful pro-democracy protests in 2011.
Idlib is the last remaining opposition stronghold and is home to more than 4 million people, many of whom have been displaced during the conflict and are living in dire conditions.
The enclave is mostly controlled by HTS, but Turkish-backed rebel factions operating under the banner of the Syrian National Army (SNA) and Turkish forces are also based there.
In 2020, Turkey and Russia - a staunch ally of Assad - brokered a ceasefire to halt a push by the government to retake Idlib. That led to an extended lull in violence, but sporadic clashes, air strikes and shelling continued.
Last month, the UN special envoy for Syria warned that the wars in Gaza and Lebanon appeared to be “catalysing conflict in north-west Syria in a dangerous manner”.
Geir Pedersen said HTS had carried out a significant raid into government-held areas, Russia had resumed air strikes for the first time in months, and pro-government forces had significantly accelerated drone strikes and shelling.

On Wednesday, HTS and its allies said they had launched their offensive to “deter aggression” and “thwart the enemy’s plans”, accusing the government and allied Iran-backed militias of escalation and aggression in north-west.
But it came as the Syrian government and its allies were preoccupied with other conflicts.
In neighbouring Lebanon, an Israeli military campaign has devastated the Iran-backed Hezbollah movement, whose fighters helped turned the tide of the Syrian civil war.
Israel has also stepped up its air strikes inside Syria on targets linked to Iran, Hezbollah and other Iran-backed militia groups, while Russian forces are focused on the war in Ukraine.
By the end of the first day of the offensive, the rebels had advanced into the western Aleppo countryside, taking them within 10km (6 miles) from the outskirts of Aleppo city, according to the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR).
It reported that they had seized the Syrian army 46th Regiment’s base and at least eight villages.
On Thursday, the monitoring group said the rebels had cut the M5 highway between Aleppo and the capital Damascus near Zarbah, 15km south-west of Aleppo city, and taken control of the interchange between the M5 and the M4 highway further south, near Saraqeb.
The SOHR said 121 rebels, most of them members of HTS, and 40 government troops and 21 militiamen had been killed over the past two days.
The rebels said in a Telegram statement that they had seized the town of Khan al-Assal, which is 5km west of Aleppo city, and had killed more than 200 members of pro-government forces.
A Syrian military statement put out on Thursday said its forces had “confronted the terrorist attack that is still ongoing with various weapons and in co-operation with friendly forces, leaving heavy losses in equipment and causalities among terrorists”.
It did mention any losses among its forces, but Iranian news agencies said a senior commander in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards serving as a “military adviser” in Syria, Brig Gen Kioumars Pourhashemi, had been killed in Aleppo province.

Meanwhile, the Syria Civil Defence, whose first responders are known as the White Helmets, said on Thursday that Syrian and Russian warplanes had struck residential neighbourhoods and shops in the opposition-controlled town of Atareb, 20km west of Aleppo, killing 14 civilians, including three children and two women.
It also reported that four civilians had been killed Darat Izza, north of Atareb.
Another civilian was by a rocket attack on a camp for displaced people near the Bab al-Hawa crossing on the Turkish border on Wednesday, it said.
The UN’s Deputy Regional Humanitarian Co-ordinator for Syria, David Carden, said he was deeply alarmed by the impact of the escalating hostilities on civilians.
The International Rescue Committee said almost 7,000 families had been displaced and that some health facilities and schools had been forced to suspend services.
It appealed for an "immediate de-escalation" and called on all parties to ensure the protection of civilians, civilian infrastructure and humanitarian operations.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn5w0ype0vlo
 
Seems that the offensive is going strong, with little to no resistance in Aleppo and reaching the city center.
Seems that Israel offensive against Hezbollah-Iran and Russia having to bring back its gear into Ukraine is creating a power vacuum in Syria.
 
the offensive is by El Kaide , hard PR work is going on that their drone brigade was not trained and equipped by New Turkey and it was Israel and OMG , OMG , oh my God , El Kaide banned the use of suicide bombers but hey they were still those who really wanted to blow themselves up ! The timing and stuff of course match , with Israel carrying out strikes in North Syria , right after ceasefire in Lebanon and whatnot . Will see how it will save the enterprise in Ukraine .
 
Halep was abandoned by Iran to jihadists and seperatists . So that New Turkey's attempted understanding for joint rule with seperatists falls on its backside . Again . USAF has managed to bomb New Turkey's own proxies , unless it was USN so that they would be able to march into the city . Either seperatists and jihadists fight it out . Or New Turkey tries capturing the city and ends up on the wrong side of BSSS , Trump for those who haven't heard it yet .

the narrative that the enemy was caught with pants down does not belong in this thread , it might very turn out to be yet another disaster for the West .
 
The Syrian regime has been propped up by Russia and Iran for a long time.

I wonder if Russia is suffering from overstretch while Iran has been
distracted by internal domestic dissent and an aggressive Israel.
 
oh-kay . "Explanations" are behinning to come in . Russians say Syrians were using the very same pagers from Lebanon . On Monday his brother or uncle might have staged a coup against Beşar Esad . Or this is a post defeat fight over scraps . Esad might have taken his family out on Wednesday . Qatar supports and owns El Kaide , ı have seen a strongly worded claim that they had all extremist leaders violently killed in the interim . More Gulf oil money might have flowed in . Either Beşar's side or the coup side is allowing the not-El-Kaide advance forward as fast as possible . It is going to be a Damascus fight again , reportedly far violent that faced the not-jihadists . Really strong propaganda that the seperatists can not hold Halep . While equally strong seperatist propaganda that they should take a bit on the coast . Preferably Lazkiye to save the civilians from hordes of jihadists . USAF will decide , right ?
 
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