Reality Check Time: Romney has won.

[AlpsStranger]

Romney will be the next president. Anyone who is following the polling at this point and says otherwise is deluding themselves. Obama's reelection campaign has completely broken down at this point.

GG conservatives. Have fun keeping those gays, women, and infidels in their place.

Get any last minute abortions out of the way. If you're gay be sure to get one last few weeks of fun in with your partner before it's illegal. What kind of theist should I become now that it's obvious I'm required to be one?

 

[luiz]

Fivethirtyeight still gives Obama 2:1 odds. It used to be 4:1, but BO's advantage is stil formidable. At intrade Obama has a 60% chance.

It won't be as easy as evryone was expecting a few weeks ago, and the popular vote will almost certainly be a virtual tie. But Obama has a clear edge.

Why the desperation?
Also, Romney is no uber conservative and I really don't see him persecuting gays or whoever in the unlikely (but by no means impossible) event of his victory.

 

[AlpsStranger]

It's the Republican machine itself that wants the gays closeted, the women in the kitchen, and the Bible back in class. Presidents are nothing but the hood ornament for their political machinery.

So buckle up, it's that time again.

 

[downtown]

You hysterically overreact.

The EV fundamentals haven't changed. There are still two more debates, and nearly an entire month left of news. Yes, polling has tightened up the race, but to think this is a forgone conclusion, especially for Mitt, is completely stupid.

I still feel quite comfortable in my belief that Obama is going to win a close election.

 

[anandus]

There's no real choice in this election is there?
Does it matter if Obama or Romney will win? They're both right-wing conservatives?

 

[luiz]

There's no real choice in this election is there?
Does it matter if Obama or Romney will win? They're both right-wing conservatives?

Well the notion that there are no choices in the American elections because the two nominees can be politically somewhat close to each other is an illusion. You've got to remember that both the DNC and the GOP are very broad coallitions, and voters can choose who they want to nominate for the general. The dems could choose someone much further to the left if they wanted, like Kucinich, who is probably to the left of your average european social-democrat. The Republicans could choose a radical like Ron Paul, who would drastically cut American involvment abroad and reduce the government in an unprecedented matter.

And of course there are minor parties, from all political persuassions. If the two major contenders are how they are, that's because they represent the people who voted for them.

 

[JollyRoger]

I did hear that Obama was going to get Romney a job on Sesame Sterrt after the election. I thought it would be sweeping it, but evidently, he will be the new President of the bank of Sesame Street. Hopefully, we will get the Count to audit between money shipments to the Caymons.

 

[Crezth]

There's no real choice in this election is there?
Does it matter if Obama or Romney will win? They're both right-wing conservatives?

I never quite understand this objection typically, even though I perceive the intended point. There are actual, sometimes considerable differences between the candidates on a wide variety of policy points an they both cater to different special interest groups. What I see as the overarching constant between the two is a maintenance of the system of capitalism, which it would make sense to reject if you were someone like Traitorfish or Amadeus but for a run-of-the-mill anti-political moderate seems like a hollow platitude.

 

[AlpsStranger]

Yes, polling has tightened up the race, but to think this is a forgone conclusion, especially for Mitt, is completely stupid.

We'll see man.

Right now I gotta find out what it takes to put money on Intrade before Romney gets to 80%.

 

[Leoreth]

I'm reminded of Dachs' comparison to a sports fan whose team has just lost a few matches.

 

[AlpsStranger]

Additional prediction: Todd Akin will win his senate race.

I'm reminded of Dachs' comparison to a sports fan whose team has just lost a few matches.

You and Dachs both remember this thread in November, okay?

At intrade Obama has a 60% chance.

Barely, and only because some delusional liberal who can't read the writing on the wall keeps bidding him up.

Another prediction: Obama will be at ~25% on Intrade within two weeks.

It's over folks. Gimme that old time religion.

Spoiler :

EDIT: The crazy Intrade liberal must have run out of money. Obama is at 59% and falling fast now.

 

[AlpsStranger]

I still feel quite comfortable in my belief that Obama is going to win a close election.

And I feel very comfortable with my belief that Romney will win the 'Murican presidency.

So who will get it worse, women or gays? Taking bets now!

 

[ZeletDude]

I am still confident that Obama will win, this just makes things more interesting on election day. That is so terrible to say, but it's more interesting to watch it unfold rather then know how it will be

 

[ace99]

Get a grip man.

 

[AlpsStranger]

Get a grip man.

I'm absolutely lucid and I'm absolutely certain that Romney will win. Akin too. I'm already putting good odds on Romney getting a second term as well.

Of course there are murkier questions.

Will Akin be Santorum's VP when he is president from 2020-2028?
When abortion is outlawed will women who have had abortions be executed or just imprisoned for life?
Will they reinstate DADT or ban gay service altogether?
Will school prayers be Christian specifically or will they be more generic monotheist prayers?

 

[ace99]

I'm absolutely lucid and I'm absolutely certain that Romney will win. Akin too. I'm already putting good odds on Romney getting a second term as well.

 

[AlpsStranger]

Laugh at me while you still can.

 

[ace99]

The Alf Landon Presidency was a terrible thing.

 

[Skwink]

I think your fanaticism has pushed you over the deep end, Alps.

 

[AlpsStranger]

Yuck it up. Remember this thread in a decade.