Giaur
War Dancer
First factor is ratio strofattacker : strofdefender
There is one more factor that matters. You mentioned about that: how big is defender's bonus.
Is it 0 percent or 200 percent.
When defensive bonus is big, it's better to use Combat, I think f.e.
I would promote my maceman to combat when facing CG3,Guerilla2 archer.
And I would use CR promotion for my mace when facing CG2 longbow.
But you were right about one more thing. It's too late to think straight
I would not bet that I am saying true 
There is one more factor that matters. You mentioned about that: how big is defender's bonus.
Is it 0 percent or 200 percent.
When defensive bonus is big, it's better to use Combat, I think f.e.
I would promote my maceman to combat when facing CG3,Guerilla2 archer.
And I would use CR promotion for my mace when facing CG2 longbow.
But you were right about one more thing. It's too late to think straight

