Okay, here are some thoughts first:
1) We can make peace with Rag at no cost - he will give us 5 gold. It's possible that we might get to trade with him for a bit, as there is no -10 past history deal. With HR bonus and a brief switch to Christianity, we might be able to trade with him almost immediately. Pick up Engineering.
2) Conversely, I think OR has more benefit for us in the short term to get up much needed infra like grans, stables, and barracks. Plus, gold multipliers in shrine cities. So staying Islam would benefit in that regard. Need to spread more Islam and should eventually dedicated a city to the purpose. Maybe Mecca.
In OR we can basically whip units to complete buildings so serving the dual purposes of getting out an army and getting up infra. We can also get a quick mish out to Mansa.
3) I like using the GG now to upgrade a Scout medic or Super Camel Archer to unlock HE now. I prefer the medic but will go with the team decision.
4) However, this leads to the question of what city is best for HE. There is no obvious answer to this question as many of our cities are food and production poor. Some have hammer potential but little food to actually grow on those hammers. There are cities possible in the east with potential but that is kind of far from the arena we will focus on I think.
My idea is to use either Cairo or Baghdad. I lean to Cairo as the choice with Baghdad being our future Bureau Cap with cottages. In Cairo, we could watermill/workshop all the floodplains, to add to the hammers from quarries, hills, horses. I think it would be strong and also have the food to whip stuff in to ready the city. (By the way, I'm perplexed that we are improving the horse tile first over the wheat tile and flood plains).
Regardless, Cairo and Baghdad are our juggernaut cities and need immediate attention.
5) We obviously need workers bad, so I plan on whipping them in any city with 4 or more pop immediately. We just have to have them.
6) It would be nice to get a trade route going with Mansa as well for obvious reasons. Land route is best I think. We could get sea access around southern Africa, but that will take ages.
7) I'd like to finish India off pronto. I have no idea what they have in their last city. I think we should pull 2 or 3 CAs off Jerusalem now to help out in the East and then re-enforce Jerusalem later.
8) Let's not forget that we have Spiral so we should get up Islamic buildings as well.
9) Other than India, I see no real military action at present other than defending. However, we could go for various Barb cities like in the East. Depending on what survives against the remnants of India, we could use it on the barbs in southeast Asia or send them into Africa.
10) There's a fairly strong production city we can settle between Baghdad an Ghazni
Overall, we have a lot of cities and some nice shrine and wonders. However, we have very little infra and virtually no Army. I think the next TS or two should try to remedy that pronto.
edit: Looks like Rolo already started on watermills in Baghdad, so maybe the idea is to make that the HE city. The difference in that regard between Cairo and Baghdad is probably marginal, although I think Bag makes a better bureau cap and is more centrally located for the Palace. Still, I'm fine either way. (and with the forests we could chop out the HE quickly)