A couple of thoughts to convince myself:
1. If we opt to go straight to Chivalry and it turns up in the GL the turn before we research it, how much of a mistake would that be?
2. The real key behind our decision is how long til domination?
3. If we go straight to Chivalry would we need any other techs?
4. And what if Engineering shows up within 7 turns?
So, for 1. The only difference I see would be the ability throughout the rest of the game to have uninhibited movement, not a huge advantage for us, but it must speed up our campaign somewhat.
For 2. Does anyone have an estimate? If it takes a while, then the GL will still deliver until Education. We should be able to get Engineering, anyway, without any research partly because the civs with Theology will be done, or very weak to research Education.
And 3. It sure seems that we can win with knights. If we shut off research entirely, there aren't that many techs that can hurt our campaign until maybe gunpowder. A chance we should be able to live with. The civs talking to us now have no money - and it seems America and Vikes are broke, too, so even if they got Leo's it wouldn't help them much.
4. Wouldn't our getting Engineering lower the research speed for the AI to get gunpowder? Assume that we are the only ones researching it and it will take 7 turns, Education takes 8, Printing Press, 7 at 100%. According to Renata's analysis Chivalry takes 6 - then going for Chivalry still should be worth it.
I think I've answered any doubts I have and am prepared to make the decision to go for Chivalry unanimous.
tao said:
What we really need is a Golden Age.
Agreed! Go get us a GL Furiey!
