Silva elected in Brazil

Brazil is one of those countries in the world where economic growth and efficiency are actually not the greatest problem. Capitalism needs certain conditions to thrive, and the number of social problems currently consuming Brazilian politics can't be solved by investment or IMF loans.
With Brazil current wealth disparity it was foolish to think that a majority have-nots would sit on the sidelines indefinately.
I just hope Brazil has term-limits.

Originally posted by Henrique
As a side note, the election finished 16 hours ago and we have 99.9% of 90 million votes counted. Far better than U.S.
Counting the votes wasn't the problem.
What votes were not supposed to be counted was.

Cheap shot :nono:

Originally posted by JoeM
It's funny that rmsharpe is once again scared of other countries doing exactly the same things as the US
Joining the Sao Paulo Forum and supporting FARC? :confused:

Originally posted by MrPresident
I'm sorry but I don't know why this worries you so much. If you have the bomb then how can you possibly condemn others for building one.
The U.S. non-proliferation policy has been the most consistant policy for 57 years.

Where does the need to throw cheap shots at America come from when you know RMS opinions are some miles out of the mainstream. Don't muddle a discussion about Brazil so you can enjoy a few more sentances of Anti-American fun.
 
Originally posted by Greadius
Joining the Sao Paulo Forum and supporting FARC? :confused:

No, building nukes and overthrowing governments.

I would like to call this a cheap shot, but it was actually said in the first message. And USA admitedly have nukes and have overthrown democracies in it's history.

Originally posted by Greadius
The U.S. non-proliferatoin policy has been the most consistant policy for 57 years.

Where does the need to throw cheap shots at America come from when you know RMS opinions are some miles out of the mainstream. Don't muddle a discussion about Brazil so you can enjoy a few more sentances of Anti-American fun.

Now, you are wrong here, Greadius. And your view that every criticism to USA is a cheap shot at America is as delusional as the cheap shot themselves.

The non-proliferation policy may exist, but if the will was really strong, they could dismantle that bombs in a matter of months. However, that "strong policy" has almost 6 decades and there are still nukes to destroy half the world. it's really cute to call it "consistant".

I, for one, am not agressive towards USA, but arguing the way it was done is a very nice way to show him the inconsistency of his position. It was not an attack towards America (or better, USA), but an attack towards the views of an USA citzen, substanciated by examples of USA history.

I agree with you that cheap shots are ridiculous. Those, however, were not such thing.
 
Originally posted by nixon
Boy,

One doesn't regard Brazil as a current and future threat to world 'stability', but indeed those regimes, as so brightly illustrated in both the history of Brazil, but also in the South American history books, those regimes can become revolting infernos overnight, often arousing lucrative opportunities for the various Marxist factions et al, which always exist in those countries to seize power and ignite brutish genocidal waves which serves no purpose, but their own lust for blood and sick display of romanticized power. This is a worst-case scenario; it has happened, indeed several times, and to the northeast, in Colombia, people are heinously slaughtered each day.

America is the only problem for stability in the region. They have a fine history of interfering in South America when they don't get their way. Like in in 1973 when the CIA planned and organized the military 'coup d'etat' where the legitimately elected government of Salvador Allende was overthrown (because he would not implement economic policies designed in Washington to favor American corporations doing business in Chile) thus ushering in the age of that great man General Augusto Pinochet. This utopian regime abducted, tortured and killed thousands of Chilean citizens in an attempt to suppress opposition.

What about Nicaragua, the contra? Please don't get me started on that. Just how many people have to die so that communism does not appear on Americas back door?

Go ahead and find all the juicy information on public records. I am sure in a few more years you will find out what else the CIA have been upto down south.
 
Counting the votes wasn't the problem.
What votes were not supposed to be counted was.

Cheap shot
Sorry. It seems that i wasn´t very clear in my message. The point i was trying to make is (basically) that U.S. can learn some things (like a eletronic voting system that even a poor country like Brazil can handle) with other democracies (as they can with the u.s).

As for the other points i agree with everything FredLC said.
 
Congrats to Silva and to the people of Brazil. It is reassuring to see a leftist elected every once in a while. At the least his presidency will be an interesting one to watch. I dont know if he can solve the economic problems of Brazil, but he seems to have the trust and confidence of the people.
 
I'm reserving my congratulations until I know more about Lula's actual policies. At first glance a left wing government for Brazil would be a good thing, considering the wealth divide, at second glance with investors pouring out of the country because of it, it looks a bad thing. I guess we'll have to wait and see...

To address Greadius, no I wasn't throwing cheap shots against America, I was responding to rmsharpe's hypocritical comments on Brazil. I hope we have put away the hatchet now ;)

Brazil has a lot of problems, let's hope Lula starts to address them. Remember "Ordem e Progresso"! :)
 
Originally posted by Gerard
But if sharpe and nixon are worried, this means: Lula is good for Brazil!. :D

All it really means is that Sharpe and Nixon are paranoid.

I tend to think this will actually be bad for Brazil, but then I'm opposed to extreme views of any stripe. Brazil has a lot of problems that only level-headed leadership can address, and frankly I don't think this man is level-headed. On the other hand, it's no business of the United States, as there is no threat to the stability of the region here. Brazil is fundamentally stable, and it's definitely not a third-world pest-hole, so I don't see any reason to get a head of steam going about this. It's important to Brazilians, but pretty much a non-issue to the rest of us.
 
Where does the need to throw cheap shots at America come from when you know RMS opinions are some miles out of the mainstream. Don't muddle a discussion about Brazil so you can enjoy a few more sentances of Anti-American fun.
It wasn't an anti-american comment, it wasn't an anti-anything comment. All I said was how can you be worried about someone where building a bomb when you have already built one. It just seems a little strange to me, that's all.
 
I lived for a year in Rio de Janeiro. Straight up capitalism wasn't working very well for them. Sao Paolo at the moment is a "Time Machine" like city of Eloi who live in barricaded highrises and street dwelling "Morlocks" who will gladly kill you for a half a sandwhich.

Lula winning in Brazil means two or three things: 1. It means that they democratically elected a leader despite immense pressure from the "world market" not to - good for them, they could teach America a lesson or two in democracy. 2. It means that capitalism as it was wasn't working for Brazil. There was no sense that the rich were going to solve the problems of the poor. It is something to remember in every country that actually allows "one man one vote"- don't let the poor get so many and you won't lose power.

As for the atomic bomb/columbian terrorist accusations, that is total garbage. The rich of Brazil, and foreign investors, may need to quake a bit. Luckily the former is a very small quantity of people, and the latter have plenty other markets to plop their dough down in if they don't like it.

There is no sense in countries that don't feed all their people getting to ignore that problem indefinately.

And Lula's not going to be great for the environment, Napolean - I think he is in favor of more rainforest development. You have to live in the rain forest or in a comfy apartment in the USA to be against that...
 
Originally posted by bmStrosstrupp
America is the only problem for stability in the region. They have a fine history of interfering in South America when they don't get their way. Like in in 1973 when the CIA planned and organized the military 'coup d'etat' where the legitimately elected government of Salvador Allende was overthrown (because he would not implement economic policies designed in Washington to favor American corporations doing business in Chile) thus ushering in the age of that great man General Augusto Pinochet. This utopian regime abducted, tortured and killed thousands of Chilean citizens in an attempt to suppress opposition.

I think nixon has joined the fashionable Thatcherite 'Pinochet was such a nice man and he never killed or had anyone tortured and we never destroyed democracy in Chile for several decades because we got spooked by a democratically elected Marxist who was definetley going to seize power at some point, really!' set, so you may be wasting your time.
 
Originally posted by FredLC
No, building nukes and overthrowing governments.
He didn't say overthrowing governments, he said supporting FARC. Generalizing and breaking down the equivilances so you can say "Well... YOU TOO" as your explanation of Silvas (alleged) policy positions isn't much of a defense.
And the U.S. developed nukes 50 some-odd years ago. Its hardly rational to think FDRs policy position under the threat of WW2 and the impending Cold War can be equivical to Brazil's situation in 2002. The policies weren't identical; Brazil isn't fighting a world war.

Originally posted by FredLC
The non-proliferation policy may exist, but if the will was really strong, they could dismantle that bombs in a matter of months. However, that "strong policy" has almost 4 decades and there are still nukes to destroy half the world. it's really cute to call it "strong policy".
:confused:

Definition of Proliferate:
To grow or multiply by rapidly producing new tissue, parts, cells, or offspring.
To increase or spread at a rapid rate: fears that nuclear weapons might proliferate.

Now, you understand that the policy of non-proliferation means between countries, not within.
So, can you explain at all how the U.S. dismanteling its nuclear arsenal would help stop other countries from developing nuclear weapons?

Originally posted by MrPresident
All I said was how can you be worried about someone where building a bomb when you have already built one. It just seems a little strange to me, that's all.
:hmm: I don't believe you can't understand this, its really much too simple.
There is a difference between being afraid because of the existance of the bomb (your assertation), and being afraid because other people might get it.
I don't think the U.S. nuclear arsenal poses any realistic threat to me, so it is very difficult for me to be afraid of it. Contrary, my lack of fear of my own countries nuclear arsenal doesn't mean I would feel just as safe if every other country in the world had the same capability.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
I lived for a year in Rio de Janeiro. Straight up capitalism wasn't working very well for them.
:hmm: I'm not sure if straight up capitalism is the problem. I think the problem lies in the fact that one facet of Brazilian economic culture has remaind the same from Colonialism to dictatorships, and every manifest inbetween.
Wealth Disparity (1997):
lowest 10%: 1% (of wealth)
highest 10%: 46.7%
:eek:
I don't think there is any way for modern capitalism to function under those conditions. That is the type of wealth differential we saw during the height of the guilded age and 'robber barons' type capitalism here in the U.S. It didn't do much for wealth creation either.
The problem with previous Brazilian governments was that attempt to do this shock therapy of becoming a developed capitalist nation. The model was simple: do whatever international investors want to get as much outside money into Brazil as possible. They tried so hard to please the IMF they failed to keep their own citizens happy enough.
The capital flight we're seeing now is the gittery investors that only put money on Brazil because they were lapdogs to IMF policies. There has been an 'overinvestment' in Brazil for a while now, and it was failing to produce either enough jobs for impoverished Brazilians or enough consumer goods to compete in the export market with other cheap labor nations (Brazil has a marginal export surplus). That problems just baffles me, but I'm guessing it has more do with domestic culture than systematic failures (or Brazil can't become Japan or South Korea because it is NOT Japan or South Korea).


Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
It means that they democratically elected a leader despite immense pressure from the "world market" not to - good for them, they could teach America a lesson or two in democracy.
You mean elect leaders the rest of the world hates? I thought we already did that...
 
Good response Greadius and that last bit was funny.

Wealth disparity is indeed the big problem in Brazil, and one it is not culturally equipped to face:

1. Brazil is still predominantly hardcore Catholic, so birth control, abortion, the sex education required for intellegent decision making are all still on the taboo side, especially for the poor, who reproduce alarmingly.

2. In the absence of accomodating the poor the poor have long ago "helped themselves" to the hillsides and mountain tops of cities like Rio which were not at first accessible to advanced construction equipment. These favelas or shanty towns have grown massively (and actually are some times quite sophisticated with hijacked electricity and plumbing, etc.) and the only occasional response by the government has been to shoot the poor and bulldoze their shanty towns. Not conducive to class relations.

3. Brazil pretends to first world independance but is really still a colonial sattelite of the only truly realized economies - USA, EU, and Japan. It is impossible for them to act in their own best interest by concentrating on feeding and housing people when their wealth is extracted to service foreign debt and cater to a small in-house elite. Grotesque to see starving people in rags in front of an armed guarded jewelry store but there you have it.
There is no country outside of the USA, Europe, and Japan that have been allowed to fully serve themselves because the trilateral nations depend on their grip on the wealth of others. When socialists like Nyerere in Tanzania try to make sure their people are fed and literate, agitators dangle the more advanced forms of wealth in front of the people on top to corrupt this path.
BTW this is what those people protesting the WTO and World Bank are upset about, in case you believed the reports that they were just insane rabble rousers.

4. Brazil is the legendary over-bureacratized nation, full of red-tape, endless redundancy of agencies and agents, and the inevitable corruption that comes to balance that problem. Hopefully a "sea-change" government like Lula's can counteract this a bit but Brazil has had many such twists and turns and it seems to get mired deeper in certain kinds of trouble no matter what. This may not be the best course but it is still better than a military dictatorship which they suffered under for decades.

Everybody I know who has worked in Brazil and really loves the Brazilian people are cheering Lula's election. Cardozo was not getting the job done. One thing about Lula - he will put Brazil's interests above those of the USA or any other nation, something every sane citizen of every country would demand of their leader.
 
Originally posted by Hamlet


I think nixon has joined the fashionable Thatcherite 'Pinochet was such a nice man and he never killed or had anyone tortured and we never destroyed democracy in Chile for several decades because we got spooked by a democratically elected Marxist who was definetley going to seize power at some point, really!' set, so you may be wasting your time.


One has persistently debated the Allende issue, but one will reinforce the major shortcomings, and general lacks of proper economic coordination. When Allende seized power, the first thing he did was to nationalize the enormous income sources of the country, notably mines, foreign banks, massive land reforms and made huge 'redistributions' of wages.

In addition, he made sure that the country was converted to the creeds of socialism, thus implementing government control of everything controllable. What he didn't realize was that the economy couldn't generate the economic foundations needed in order to restructuralize the economy in the extemporaneous manner he did. The only thing there was to gain from this little adventure was a soaring inflation.

It literally skyrocketed. In the hundreds of percents, the economy moved on a cataclysmic path toward the abyss of total misery. Social conditions worsened, arousing massive, paralyzing strikes across the country. The people of Chile suffering during these times of severe national crisis; food shortages being one of the most palpable results of the outright scandalous structuring of the economy. Then, on a special day in September, Allende is kicked and smoldered in the heat of battle as the visionary right-winger Augusto Pinochet, backed by a supportive, but careful, U.S. government assumes power.

When assuming office, Pinochet immediately saw the direction, in which the nation was heading. Dissolving Congress, banning all political parties, imposing a strict censorship on everything, which might destabilize the country, was an essential and mandatory move in turning the country back into the right path of economic prosperity. The people, suffering under the severe social misery and the civil polarization, the economic failures brought with it, they began supporting actions against parties, such as the socialist and communist parties, formerly directing the country into Pandemonium. Pinochet then commenced huge economic reformation, leading the country's economy towards a stable path, finally with a decreasing inflation, encouraging foreign investment, giving the land back to its rightful owners. Overall causing the economy to fluctuate at the beginning, but later it would lay to foundations for a stable economy, which would never again experience such huge recessions and inflation, up to this day.

What caused the economic recession was instead the global recessionist wave, causing the less stable economies of the world to destabilize even further; naturally it would hit Chile too. The declining copper prices played a major part in this temporary economic downturn. Eventually, the recession and pessimist mood of the world economy turned in the mid and latter part of the 80s, leading once again, the Chilean economy towards renewed growth.

Another thing people tend to be rather fond of arguing with me is the ‘oppressionist’ behavior of General Pinochet and his subordinates. What you don’t understand is that in a country like Chile, recovering from the biggest economic failure in its history was a country in civil chaos, needed essential and basic economic reformation which went beyond the average Chilean’s apprehension. Pinochet had had enough of miserable lives seen everywhere under Allende, with his ambitious socialist plans for the country, but which failed dismally, causing further suffering of the people.

The people didn’t revolt against him until well into his rule, but as soon as they got out on the streets they were essentially dealt with in the proper manner, though one must regret some of the methods incorporated by junta. However, as long as no viable proofs have helped shed further light on how the ordinary civilian was dealt with under Pinochet, one refuses to state further about it. One feels that indeed some measures taken by Pinochet were needed in order to stabilize the country and to assure that the country remained stable and resistant against any foreign/communist subversion.

In addition, I believe that both Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, and the rest of the U.S. parties involved were full in their right to intervene in Chile. While, one firmly believes that intervening in another country’s political and/or economic situation must be refrained from. Nevertheless, exceptions shall, and must be made in order to avoid a crisis on the same scale as seen in Chile during the 1970s, but only if you have the immediate means to aid to respective government and that you play within the legislative rules of government. I continue to be convinced that Henry Kissinger and foremost Richard Nixon did play within the legislative framework when they chose to do something about Chile. Assassination is not an unusual phenomenon, and often people don’t pay attention to it when the CIA nails a leader somewhere in Africa, but as soon as they resort to this kind of unusual and extraordinary activity in a seemingly remote place a Chile, the government is suddenly overwhelmed by a huge public outcry. The media is to blame on the left-wing focus they’ve been publishing their news in; demanding people to feel sorry for Allende and his family, making people forget the massive and pervading family tragedies across Chile during his monstrous rule.

One has brought forth numbers and statistics regarding the economic situation in Chile, pre- and post-Allende, illuminating very clearly the economic balance. Do feel free to counterproof, argue, debate or whatever ye may, feel necessary to indicate how the economy was doing. Do consider what one has said, and do remain conscious about which national disaster Pinochet pulled Chile out of.
 
Originally posted by Greadius
He didn't say overthrowing governments, he said supporting FARC. Generalizing and breaking down the equivilances so you can say "Well... YOU TOO" as your explanation of Silvas (alleged) policy positions isn't much of a defense.
And the U.S. developed nukes 50 some-odd years ago. Its hardly rational to think FDRs policy position under the threat of WW2 and the impending Cold War can be equivical to Brazil's situation in 2002. The policies weren't identical; Brazil isn't fighting a world war.

(…)

Definition of Proliferate:
To grow or multiply by rapidly producing new tissue, parts, cells, or offspring.
To increase or spread at a rapid rate: fears that nuclear weapons might proliferate.

Now, you understand that the policy of non-proliferation means between countries, not within.
So, can you explain at all how the U.S. dismanteling its nuclear arsenal would help stop other countries from developing nuclear weapons?

He said, and I quote:

This isn't some pee-poor country of Angola. This is Brazil, easily capable of building a bomb, overthrowing governments and installing leftist dictators. This is bad news for free people
.

Nonetheless, if building nukes after WWII and under the threat of cold war was justifiable, keeping them after those threats are gone are just as revolting as building new ones.

But worst of all is your explanation of proliferation. I know what proliferation is, and I assumed that it referred to prevention of the proliferation of the very warheads, not the proliferation of countries possessing them.

If it is, as you believe, the second case, than that policy is even more hypocritical; Hey we have the most powerful tactical weapons of the world. We are keeping them, and we are good guys. But hey guys, you cannot have them too, or you will be mean and ugly.

Now, Nukes are too powerful. I agree that none should be build. And I agree in not building them in Brazil. But a nation that has a huge arsenal of them does not have moral grounds to criticize anyone who wishes to build them. Excuses that are 50 years old are not enough to justify the fact that those terrible weapons are being conserved.

USA is also not fighting a world war those last years.

Originally posted by Greadius
I don't believe you can't understand this, its really much too simple.
There is a difference between being afraid because of the existance of the bomb (your assertation), and being afraid because other people might get it.
I don't think the U.S. nuclear arsenal poses any realistic threat to me, so it is very difficult for me to be afraid of it. Contrary, my lack of fear of my own countries nuclear arsenal doesn't mean I would feel just as safe if every other country in the world had the same capability.

Ok, you brought this to individual level. What you said about your arsenal is the same about Brazil’s arsenal (that happens to be fictional at this moment). I am that much more afraid of each USA nuke than all nukes that Brazil can possibly build.

So, let’s make a deal. You guys finishes your arsenal – destroy/dismantle all the bombs – and we don’t build any. How does that sound?

Originally posted by Greadius
I'm not sure if straight up capitalism is the problem. I think the problem lies in the fact that one facet of Brazilian economic culture has remaind the same from Colonialism to dictatorships, and every manifest inbetween.
Wealth Disparity (1997):
lowest 10%: 1% (of wealth)
highest 10%: 46.7%

I don't think there is any way for modern capitalism to function under those conditions. That is the type of wealth differential we saw during the height of the guilded age and 'robber barons' type capitalism here in the U.S. It didn't do much for wealth creation either.
The problem with previous Brazilian governments was that attempt to do this shock therapy of becoming a developed capitalist nation. The model was simple: do whatever international investors want to get as much outside money into Brazil as possible. They tried so hard to please the IMF they failed to keep their own citizens happy enough.
The capital flight we're seeing now is the gittery investors that only put money on Brazil because they were lapdogs to IMF policies. There has been an 'overinvestment' in Brazil for a while now, and it was failing to produce either enough jobs for impoverished Brazilians or enough consumer goods to compete in the export market with other cheap labor nations (Brazil has a marginal export surplus). That problems just baffles me, but I'm guessing it has more do with domestic culture than systematic failures (or Brazil can't become Japan or South Korea because it is NOT Japan or South Korea).

Here you have some points. I won’t dig in the historical detail as to many of the differences between Brazil and USA historical conditions, that goes as far as the models of colonization adopted in those two nations, and that created those deep differences in our systems of wealthy distribution.

But Yes, wealthy distribution is a BIG problem here. We are at top ten economies in the world, and still, we have many regions where people live with less than a dollar a day.

Originally posted by Greadius
You mean elect leaders the rest of the world hates? I thought we already did that...

It will only be the same when Lula at least gives the world an actual reason to dislike him. Maybe pass on one environmental protocol or two…

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
1. Brazil is still predominantly hardcore Catholic, so birth control, abortion, the sex education required for intellegent decision making are all still on the taboo side, especially for the poor, who reproduce alarmingly.

Almost that. I agree that a large chunk of our population is religious in the bad sense of it; meaning that they follow blindly outdated church positions. However, the governmental policy is actually controlling the births, and the numbers are beginning to get stable.

Most younger familes, even the poor, are settling with 2 to 3 kids now. It’s getting harder and harder to find those families with 8 children as a decade ago, at least in the urban centers.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
2. In the absence of accomodating the poor the poor have long ago "helped themselves" to the hillsides and mountain tops of cities like Rio which were not at first accessible to advanced construction equipment. These favelas or shanty towns have grown massively (and actually are some times quite sophisticated with hijacked electricity and plumbing, etc.) and the only occasional response by the government has been to shoot the poor and bulldoze their shanty towns. Not conducive to class relations.

Yes, the “favelas” are a huge problem. They have two basic reasons:

1 – A wrong conception of organization. A “suburb” here is considered a “bad neighborhood”. People all want to live near the centers. This called for an agglomeration in the industrial areas, and that is why we have such a huge cities as São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.

2 – The policy of industrialization adopted by Getúlio Vargas in the 30’s. It turned Brazil from an agricultural to industrial nation in a single decade. Well, there were people migrating by millions to the urban centers to get jobs in the new industries, and all the money that could be used to settle them was being invested in building even MORE industries.

Well, in the last debate in the day before the elections, Lula said that his project is to turn these favelas in actual neighborhoods. Instead of moving people to other places (what was tried and failed), actually making them good places. It was tried and succeeded in a number of cities lately (mine included) with an encouraging rate of success.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
3. Brazil pretends to first world independance but is really still a colonial sattelite of the only truly realized economies - USA, EU, and Japan. It is impossible for them to act in their own best interest by concentrating on feeding and housing people when their wealth is extracted to service foreign debt and cater to a small in-house elite. Grotesque to see starving people in rags in front of an armed guarded jewelry store but there you have it.
There is no country outside of the USA, Europe, and Japan that have been allowed to fully serve themselves because the trilateral nations depend on their grip on the wealth of others. When socialists like Nyerere in Tanzania try to make sure their people are fed and literate, agitators dangle the more advanced forms of wealth in front of the people on top to corrupt this path.
BTW this is what those people protesting the WTO and World Bank are upset about, in case you believed the reports that they were just insane rabble rousers.

What is the reason I refute any attempt to diminish Brazil due to it’s backwardness. We never were able to enjoy time of development based in our actual needs.

We became independent without war (Portugal was actually too weak at that time to wage one), but Our King was the Heir to Portugal’s throne. Also, there were pressure from England, the top dog at that time, to reverse the situation unless Brazil assumed all debts of Portugal (because Brazil was the only real hope of paying them anyway).

Well, since it was not smart to try and face England (we had too weak of an army, and it was our most important economical partner), we were born in debt already.

It took us long to pay, only to see it grows again in the policy of industrialization. But this one was useful and necessary to make brazil a modern nation, and we managed to pay it quickly, thanks to exportations to the allied nations in the WWII;

Thus in the 50’s and 60’s, life here was very nice. Probably better than in Europe at that time, as we have to this day many cities of European emigrants (Specially Italian and German).

But them came the military government, and it was disastrous in economy, creating the huge debt we endure up until this days.

Maybe when we manage to live without debt for at least two generations, we can finally turn into a modern nation.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
4. Brazil is the legendary over-bureacratized nation, full of red-tape, endless redundancy of agencies and agents, and the inevitable corruption that comes to balance that problem. Hopefully a "sea-change" government like Lula's can counteract this a bit but Brazil has had many such twists and turns and it seems to get mired deeper in certain kinds of trouble no matter what. This may not be the best course but it is still better than a military dictatorship which they suffered under for decades.

Military government is to blame again. It’s them that developed this culture of ultra bureaucracy. It’s beginning to get better now, but we still have plenty to work on that.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
Everybody I know who has worked in Brazil and really loves the Brazilian people are cheering Lula's election. Cardozo was not getting the job done. One thing about Lula - he will put Brazil's interests above those of the USA or any other nation, something every sane citizen of every country would demand of their leader.

This is not necessarily true. There are a few groups on the labor party that didn’t follow Lula’s lead into tempering the rhetoric to the middle. They were quiet during the elections, as they knew that their unreasonableness would hurt his chances.

No one doubts that Lula’s intentions are the better for our nation, and few doubts that he is honest. But many fears that his lack of formal education and the pressure from his radical bases will turn him into a president that is more corporative than actually effective in a general and national sense.

If this turns to be true, His government will fall in inefficiency. We just hope that he achieved enough sophistication to know the difference between what is really good for Brazil and what is good just under an out-dated perspective of communism inspiration.

Anyway, I just hopes that, in the next four years, he can convince me to re-elect him and be proud about it.
 
Thanks FredLC. The nice thing about this forum is that we aren't just talking around Brazil but that Brazilians like yourself (and lets hope Gugalpm) can weigh in with a more informed view.

I hope the other posters who really care (and not just want to spew line item garbage) will take the time to read your comments and adress any future discussion with reference to those.

And being a Brazilian with internet access I know you have a bit more to worry about with Lula! I hope he does you a service. To my way of thinking when I lived there, anything that made people on the streets a little less desperate was worth whatever it cost to Brazil's international image or relations - nothing is less pleasan than being robbed by a child with a bit of broken glass or robbed at gunpoint on an onibus as I was in 98.
 
One thing I forgot to mention about Lula. He wants to default on Brazil's foreign debt. Could you imagine if the United States would try to do this?
 
Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
Brazil pretends to first world independance but is really still a colonial sattelite of the only truly realized economies - USA, EU, and Japan. It is impossible for them to act in their own best interest by concentrating on feeding and housing people when their wealth is extracted to service foreign debt and cater to a small in-house elite.
I know what you mean by colonial satellite (that economic colonialism crap), but is Brazil really one of those cases? Brazil has a minor export surplus, but most of the wealth created in Brazil stays in Brazil, with one (relatively minor) exception:
Loaned funds by international agency were squabbled on social projects or disapeared into the coffers of bureaucracy. Blaming international loaners for expecting to get their debts repaid is nonsense; as an individual or nation one doesn't take out loans one can't hope to repay.
International debt is the red herring of solving troubled nations. Destroying future credit will make it more difficult for Brazil to become a fully actualized economy in the future, after the temporary downslide halts. The funds freed up from cancelling now are a fraction compared to the amount they would give up in the long run.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
There is no country outside of the USA, Europe, and Japan that have been allowed to fully serve themselves because the trilateral nations depend on their grip on the wealth of others.
No, they don't. That is a zero-sum arguement designed to blame the rich for the poor. It is not based in economic or political reality.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
Brazil is the legendary over-bureacratized nation, full of red-tape, endless redundancy of agencies and agents, and the inevitable corruption that comes to balance that problem.
Somehow I doubt the Silva government will be any help in this regards.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
One thing about Lula - he will put Brazil's interests above those of the USA or any other nation, something every sane citizen of every country would demand of their leader.
Get when we do, we get chastized by the international hate-America assocation.
I agree completely with that concept: national leaders are elected to represent and defend national interests.

Originally posted by FredLC
He said, and I quote
'eh, I was refering to the #'d line-up. I tend to skim his posts and missed it.

Originally posted by FredLC
Nonetheless, if building nukes after WWII and under the threat of cold war was justifiable, keeping them after those threats are gone are just as revolting as building new ones.
I think the use of nuclear weapons is revolting, not their existance.
The current nuclear stalemate is what keeps the weapons in check. Do you honestly believe the U.S. unilaterally abandoning its arsenal would make nuclear war less likely?

Originally posted by FredLC
I know what proliferation is, and I assumed that it referred to prevention of the proliferation of the very warheads, not the proliferation of countries possessing them.
Once a country has them they get a completely different treatment.

Originally posted by FredLC
If it is, as you believe, the second case, than that policy is even more hypocritical; Hey we have the most powerful tactical weapons of the world. We are keeping them, and we are good guys. But hey guys, you cannot have them too, or you will be mean and ugly.
That would assume all national governments are equally as rational, constrained by domestic forces, and in position of risk incurment.
All countries are not equal. Personally, I wouldn't feel in any more danger if Germany, Iceland, Japan, South Korea, and a few others developed nuclear weapons. I know they wouldn't (mis)use them (under current circumstances).

Originally posted by FredLC
Ok, you brought this to individual level. What you said about your arsenal is the same about Brazil’s arsenal (that happens to be fictional at this moment). I am that much more afraid of each USA nuke than all nukes that Brazil can possibly build.
As I would expect you to be.

Originally posted by FredLC
So, let’s make a deal. You guys finishes your arsenal – destroy/dismantle all the bombs – and we don’t build any. How does that sound?
Resembles treaties of disarmament made with the former Soviet Union, but the problems of those treaties became painfully apparent when we realized more nations were joining, or preparing to join, the nuclear club.
The main problem would be, of course, the good faith agreement it would be based upon. The U.S. was continiously suckered by such agreements during the Cold War, and inspectors have proven useless than and in other circumstances (Iraq, North Korea).
Simply, the nations that truly need to abide to such a pact can't be trusted to maintain it. Its flawed because the enforcement of the treaty relies upon the one thing the treaty was designed to avoid.
 
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