Silva elected in Brazil

Originally posted by Akka


I've always been an optimistic with the human nature.
I can't help but hope that one day, some of the extremists here will just understand how they contradict themselves.

You should be optimistic, Akka. I was a militaristic, industrial capitalist Republican when I was a teenager (it was the "Just Say No", Alex Keaton, Ronbo Reagan era), and I really believed the party lines because I had never seen with my own eyes things like racism, poverty, etc. Kind of living like the Buddha while he was merely a sheltered prince.

And then I went to college, and I learned that horrible things like racism, pollution, injustice, etc. really existed. I stayed republican though till after the Gulf War (I've repeated that story endless).

I learned, but not enough. I became an extremist on the other end of the spectrum, something which these threads have only recently weaned me away from. Neither side is telling the whole truth (and don't think the middle is either!). It is nice to come to these forums and see individuals being actualized.

Greadius- I know you want me to compile massive projects in my defense but instead I recommend you of all people (and the rest of you) read David Korten's "When Corporations Rule the World", an excellent analysis of the World Bank/IMF/third world poverty cycle problem by an insider. I saw first hand all over east africa the many failed IMF projects. You can blame the leaders who mishandle the loans but that doesn't excoriate the loaners who expect repayment at the expense of whole peoples.
 
Originally posted by Greadius
In a perfect world.

(…)

I would ask what nuclear threat is posed on Brazil, but I have the feeling you'd just blame us.
I would suggest, however, that the U.S. has provided a consistant blanket of nuclear protection to states like Japan & Germany that ensure they're equivical nuclear protection without the need to develop these arms yourself.
The lack of an impending invasion or attack involving nuclear weapons on Brazil means there is a lack of the same kind of policy, but I would suggest if a beligerant, nuclear armed (Communist, just for good measure :D) Argentina (Just for example) were to arise, the need for domestic nuclear protection could be forgone in exchange for guaranteed blanket protection.

Hehehehe... as we are all so interested in cheap shots, I can’t resist to quote the character Dr. Eleanor Arroway in Carl Sagan’s book “Contact”: “I always thought the world were what we made of it”.

Seriously, Greadius, you are kind of sensitive to criticism of USA. I have lost count of how many times you saw people “seizing opportunities to blame the US”. I am not aggressive towards your nation, I mentioned this already.

In fact, if I were discussing this with another person, I really might have used US for merely exemplificative purposes. That was, in fact, why I was so careful in saying “potential enemies”, and avoided mentioning any in particular. The fact is that I never intended to consider US a nuclear threat to Brazil, except perhaps in a very hypothetical manner.

Of course, equally you wouldn’t feel threatened by Brazil having nukes, would you? There is no historical reason for that. But it would be equally valid our desire to build as would be your desire that we don’t build. Prevention for prevention, we are as legitimate as you guys.

Just for curiosity, what are the many nuclear threats to USA? Iraq?

Originally posted by Greadius
You lost me on that one.
So you agree that since multilateral simultaneous disarmament isn't going to happen, its safer that there are reciprical consequences for its use.
You agree that the more countries that get nuclear weapons, the higher the chance of their use is.

Yet you put those both together and come up with a hypocritical policy.
What is the more 'consistent' alternative that still addresses both of those problems?

Pay attention to my remarks. I was not saying that USA should change its policy about nukes, at least not unilaterally. What I said is that it’s hypocritical to demand that no one builds nukes while possessing the biggest arsenal ever build.

Want a consistent policy? Fine, here’s one: “Possess and let possess”.

Originally posted by Greadius
Nobody does. It is a completely subjective criteria placed before the scrutiny of the individual examiner.
What creates a mandate in the real world is subjectivity + power.

This is probably the most perfect definition of imperialism I ever heard.

Originally posted by Greadius
I don't see what is imperialistic about it.
I'd definately put it more into the naive catagory. The types of agreements we've made in regards to nuclear weapons over the past few decades have had one sided results against our benefits.
But use your own judgement: Was N. Korea's 'promise' not to develop in exchange for the amount of wealth we bribed them with to keep the promise imperialistic or naive?

When it’s based on trust, it’s naivety. When based on military or economical strength, it’s imperialism. I refer back to your own words: it’s an imposition of your subjective decision about who may have nukes, granted by your power to accomplish it.

Originally posted by Greadius
However, the appeal of nuclear weapons is directly proportional to the potentail benefits the trump card could be place. Brazil and North Korea are in very different strategic situations.

This is naive. Nukes have enormous strategic importance, and as long as some have it, the ones who don’t will always be intimidated. Would you piss off anyone with the unilateral power of making unstoppable fire rain in your homeland?

Whatever is the difference between Brazil and N. Korea, we Brazilians are legitimated to desire the strength to be able to face any possible external threat. I, personally, don’t want my nation to build nukes, the same way that I want yours to dismantle what you got. The only thing I didn’t like in the original message was the suggestion that we would be rogues or terrorists if we did it.

Originally posted by Greadius
Macro or micro. We don't pool our wealth. There are still a lot of individuals who'll get blanket screwed by such an action and Uncle Sam's bottomless pockets isn't going to do anything to help them.

I never brought it to an individual level. The same way that there are poor people in rich nations, there are rich people in poor nations. The two richest of all Brazilians, if I’m not mistaken, are the Safra brothers, with a personal fortune of about four billion dollars.

I meant the macro stance all the time.

Originally posted by Greadius
No, I don't agree. What other than the profit motive could prompt individuals to pool their money and lend away?
The lenders do still make their money (although not as much as they could if it worked out as planned).
Plus you're implying there is 'another' agenda here that I'm curious to hear though I'm fairly certain it'll involved a conspiracy to keep the poor down so the rich can stay rich (or some sort of zero-sum, absolute wealth, they hate the poor diatrabe).

And again your sensitivity shows. Please notice that I mentioned “agenda”, not “hidden agenda” or “evil agenda”. I don’t think that IMF bankers sit in the top of dark towers of fortresses of vice, drinking the blood of workers using skulls of little children as glasses and laughing at the misery of the third world (hehehe... now that’s an evil description :D)

I am talking about capitalism here. I am pretty sure that they would be quite happy if we got rich, but I am also sure that they won’t pass a profitable opportunity even at the price of generating some human cost.

As you said, the money is largely private;

That money is money of corporations, and primarily controlled by them;

Corporations conduct businesses that are related with resources all around the world;

So, keeping the nations that have possesses those resources in debt is largely more profitable than actually getting paid.


Originally posted by Greadius
Botswana.
Taiwan, for examlpe, has developed into a creditor nation.
But it isn't about being debt free, it is about managing the debt effectively

Two out of dozens. Exceptions that confirms the rule?

Now seriously, I really don’t think any way of dealing debt is really perfect except getting rid of it. But I would have to evaluate the situations on those nations before I could have an opinion.

From your post, you seen to be much more informed than me about the current information of markets, so I’ll just take your word about it.

Originally posted by Greadius
You didn't actually explain the 'agenda'
And your logic is completely superfluous and treats the entire U.S. governmental entity (factions, parties, and interests aside) and the entire U.S. financial entity (individuals and interests aside) as one huge glob of money that can be poked away at with impunity.

For example, it is entirely possible that I'll end up working for this type of agency within a year. Assuming 6 months later there is a massive rejection for debt repayment because we can afford it, it is also entirely possible that the giant debtor agency needs to 'restructure', which starts with layoffs (basically because there are no more debts, there isn't anything for me to do anymore). So here I am unemployed, but that is okay because the U.S. is a wealthy nation.
Are you sure that is fair?

I don’t think it threatens the USA entities. Mostly, because the money lend is only the surplus. Whatever is essential is kept inside. Maybe that surplus is not superfluous, but it’s something that can be used to speculation without bringing too much attention. And that is what I am talking about.

By the way, no, I don’t play a “fair/not fair” game here. I am not proposing that it’s ok that Americans citizens loose their jobs just because US is rich. Always remember that not once I brought it to an individual level… it’s you that did it.

I want, again, to make clear that I was just stating that the situation of being in debt, and the obedience to all conditions imposed by the loaners, does cripple a nation, both in it’s social needs and in it’s perspective of growth.

Originally posted by Greadius
I would like debt forgiveness if it were structured around 'illegimate' lendings such as that. However, its difficult to determine precisely where that debt starts. Plus, a dam built by a military junta is still a dam that (hopefully) the country would need anyway. You can argue something better could have been done with the money, but it doesn't mean there is no benefit being gained.

I could state that the military government built a road in the Rain forest called “Trans-Amazon”; it’s huge, crossing almost the entirety of the forest, consumed millions of dollars and the life of many workers, and it links nothing to nowhere.

Those guys were parasites that used the absence of press and opposition to institute corruption in unbearable degrees. Even the things they did that were useful were built at many times its real prices… and it created debts that we have to deal up until this day. So even theirs “dams” are not excusable.

But I won’t proceed here. We agree in the important part, and the discussion about how they got to power and why they were favored with loans even being illegitimate does not belong here.

Originally posted by Greadius
Fairly? About forty years. To some degree for a few hundread.

Just out of curiosity, what was unfair before?

Originally posted by Greadius
Yes, to Angola, Benin, Bolivia, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Congo, Côte d'Ivoire, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Honduras, Kenya, Lao PDR, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nicaragua, Niger, Rwanda, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, Vietnam, and Zambia.

Brazil is just getting more loans, which to financial experts and me is more delay of the inevitable collapse.

I am taking your word here again.

Anyway, most of those nations are microscopic if compared to Brazil. If the debts are proportional, you have to agree that the ways of dealing with them cannot be compared.

Originally posted by Greadius
I have no idea. I think, realistically, they believe if they can fend off the structural collapse they'll loose less money.
I don't know if their right or not, and the only way we will know is if the Brazilian economy collapses anyway.

And this reinforces my point about agendas.

Really, when an individual fails to honor a bank loan, the bank, that is merely interested in the profit of interest, will do most anything to get that money back, except give more money. Wasting more money in a black hole goes completely against any logic of capitalism... unless you have some other way to profit from it.

Regards :).
 
Originally posted by Akka
I've always been an optimistic with the human nature.
I can't help but hope that one day, some of the extremists here will just understand how they contradict themselves.

Hehehehe. Amazing. Except for the fact that I’m an atheist and you are agnostic, we seen to agree about everything.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
Greadius- I know you want me to compile massive projects in my defense but instead I recommend you of all people (and the rest of you) read David Korten's "When Corporations Rule the World", an excellent analysis of the World Bank/IMF/third world poverty cycle problem by an insider. I saw first hand all over east africa the many failed IMF projects. You can blame the leaders who mishandle the loans but that doesn't excoriate the loaners who expect repayment at the expense of whole peoples.

Agreed again. I am always amazed as how some people are able to express the same concept as I, while writing so much less.

I have to work on my concision.

I’ll try to check that book, by the way.

regards :).
 
I've heard (from a Brasilera) that Lula wants to kerb foreign companies basing manufacturing in Brasil. Is this true? The reasoning was that foreign employers don't pay workers a reasonable wage. This makes no sense to me, as it will just leave people unemployed.

Any informed opinions?

Also are there any changes to foreign employment laws on the cards? (I may well be moving to Brasil in the near future, no I'm not fleeing the law ;) )
 
Greadius,

I think you've pointed out the flaw in your arguement, but correct me if I'm wrong because I'm not flaming :) ;

Simplistically put, your stance is that nuclear weapons are okay belonging to the US, because you are a US citizen, but not for Brazil as they are a potential enemy or at least not your country.

This is the tragedy of your arguement, although well put, it is essentially egocentric, and therefore flawed as it cannot be used to apply a principle. You can't expect to win an argument with anyone who isn't from the US with this stance...

However it *is* a reflection of current (and for the forseeable future) international politics, unfortunately in the the real world the US does win the debate with your stance, because it's words really are backed by nuclear weapons (or economic power depending on your level of cynicism). You may well congratulate your President for putting your country first, but don't turn around and be suprised that nobody else at the party actually likes him for it.

If the debating table were even and we all sat down to negotiations these things wouldn't matter, and that's where we are in this forum. You can be as nationalistic as you like (which is not the thrust of your debate, but arguably a foundation of it), it won't win the day here...

The great thing about the Brazilians is that their politics are almost always aggrarious in nature, they really don't care about who has the biggest gun in the world - you'll notice FredLC hasn't lowered himself to the level of some posters in the forums when it comes to Nationalist agenda.

Of course, I could be wrong ;)
 
What I find strange with IMF and the theories they come and give to the countries that want to borrow money, is the advice, well demands are probably more accurate. Is that the government shall reduce it's budget, spend less(less money to social programs like healthcare, schools, basic support for the low and pore) and raise taxes so that they get a surplus in the budget. They shall deregulate the market, lover taxes, toll and remove subsidies on there national industries all so they can get foreign investments.

Now if this is the magical way of getting high growth, why aren't we the western world doing this? (Yes we are regarding trade in some degree but mostly to equal countries)
 
Originally posted by JoeM
I've heard (from a Brasilera) that Lula wants to kerb foreign companies basing manufacturing in Brasil. Is this true? The reasoning was that foreign employers don't pay workers a reasonable wage. This makes no sense to me, as it will just leave people unemployed.

Any informed opinions?

Also are there any changes to foreign employment laws on the cards? (I may well be moving to Brasil in the near future, no I'm not fleeing the law ;) )

All the candidates always have expressed that they want to stimulate local industry.

However, they want to do it with incentives to the locals, not through destroying the foreign. Also, it would be really incoherent if Lula had actually suggested that. In the last months, his biggest external worry was to promise to international capital that they can rest assured that they won’t be hurt in his government.

That reasoning that she gave you was false. Actually, the foreigns generally pay better. I should know, I used to work in our labor justice. She is not well informed in any of the cases.

Oh, and by the way, don’t worry. As long as you get work permits (what are surprisingly easy to get, specially if you come here already employed), you have the constitutionally granted right to be treated exactly the same way a Brazilian would be. Our legal system does not admit discriminatory legislation.

Originally posted by JoeM
This is the tragedy of your arguement, although well put, it is essentially egocentric, and therefore flawed as it cannot be used to apply a principle. You can't expect to win an argument with anyone who isn't from the US with this stance...

Nice summary, and very well put. I hope he gets it now.

Originally posted by JoeM
However it *is* a reflection of current (and for the forseeable future) international politics, unfortunately in the the real world the US does win the debate with your stance, because it's words really are backed by nuclear weapons (or economic power depending on your level of cynicism). You may well congratulate your President for putting your country first, but don't turn around and be suprised that nobody else at the party actually likes him for it.

And this is why I previously mentioned imperialism. Glad I’m not the only one seeing it.

Originally posted by JoeM
The great thing about the Brazilians is that their politics are almost always aggrarious in nature, they really don't care about who has the biggest gun in the world - you'll notice FredLC hasn't lowered himself to the level of some posters in the forums when it comes to Nationalist agenda.

First, I would like to ask exactly what is “aggrarious”. I never heard of that word, nor could find it in my dictionaries, or even online. Really, I’d like to know.

Now, contextually speaking, it sounds like “impartial”. We do not unreasonably defend Brazil just because it’s Brazil. I at least am that way, as you noticed. But we have our share of xenophobes too.

(hehehehe... here I am, being impartial again... :D)

Regards :).
 
Originally posted by FredLC

First, I would like to ask exactly what is “aggrarious”. I never heard of that word, nor could find it in my dictionaries, or even online. Really, I’d like to know.


Doh!

I've made some errors in English in my time but this is a howler; I meant 'gregarious' and in my use of the word i am using it to emphasise the social nature of Brazilian politics.

gre·gar·i·ous Pronunciation Key (gr-gâr-s)
adj.
Seeking and enjoying the company of others; sociable. See Synonyms at social.
Tending to move in or form a group with others of the same kind: gregarious bird species.

Gregarious is a great way to describe Brazilians per se, in my opinion, and maybe trying to define their politics that awy is stretching the words capabilities. They tend to be inclusive in their politics as opposed to the exclusive policies of more right-wing countries.

Hope I haven't tortured too many English Language experts out there ;)
 
Originally posted by vonork
What I find strange with IMF and the theories they come and give to the countries that want to borrow money, is the advice, well demands are probably more accurate. Is that the government shall reduce it's budget, spend less(less money to social programs like healthcare, schools, basic support for the low and pore) and raise taxes so that they get a surplus in the budget. They shall deregulate the market, lover taxes, toll and remove subsidies on there national industries all so they can get foreign investments.

Now if this is the magical way of getting high growth, why aren't we the western world doing this? (Yes we are regarding trade in some degree but mostly to equal countries)
:goodjob: :goodjob: :goodjob:

The IMF is "fighting" with Argentina (when things seems to go well we were the "example" for the whole world; when the country crashes because the same economic politics, the IMF says "we are innocents"), the last excuse to don't agree is they (IMF) are demanding an increase in the rates of the phone, electricty, gas and water :confused: . The IMF says they deffend the interests of the deservers (it's the good word?) of the external debt; why the IMF is reclaming a rate increase of the services? :mad:
 
Well this is going to take a while.

Originally posted by Sultan Bhargash
I know you want me to compile massive projects in my defense but instead I recommend you of all people (and the rest of you) read David Korten's "When Corporations Rule the World", an excellent analysis of the World Bank/IMF/third world poverty cycle problem by an insider.
:vomit:
My reading time is already stringently occupied.
There are dozens of books by people who are more than insiders on the opposite end of the arguement.
Have you read both sides?

Originally posted by FredLC
Seriously, Greadius, you are kind of sensitive to criticism of USA. I have lost count of how many times you saw people “seizing opportunities to blame the US”. I am not aggressive towards your nation, I mentioned this already.
'eh, its a dirty job but somebody has to do it.
I'm more concerned with explaining situations from our perspective than necessarily kneejerk defense of our actions in critisism. I don't mind it, I actually agree with much of it, but if it wasn't for me your explanation for American policy would be dependant on RMS & Nixon :crazyeye:

Originally posted by FredLC
Of course, equally you wouldn’t feel threatened by Brazil having nukes, would you? There is no historical reason for that. But it would be equally valid our desire to build as would be your desire that we don’t build. Prevention for prevention, we are as legitimate as you guys.
It has more to do with interests and protecting those interests. We needed the leverage for Europe against the Soviets, and for China still today.
Yet to what degree does Brazil have interests that are potentially contested by a nuclear neighbor? If those develop, the reasoning would be equivical. However, Brazil already dominates South America without nuclear weapons.
What would they domestically gain from it?

Originally posted by FredLC
Just for curiosity, what are the many nuclear threats to USA? Iraq?
I think the greatest threat is nuclear armed terrorists and 'nuclear blackmail' preventing U.S. action (like a nuclear armed N.Korea). Not particularly concerned about massive exchanges of ICBMs.

Originally posted by FredLC
Pay attention to my remarks. I was not saying that USA should change its policy about nukes, at least not unilaterally. What I said is that it’s hypocritical to demand that no one builds nukes while possessing the biggest arsenal ever build.
The USA expends more political and financial capital to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons than any other combination of interests in the world.
And we continue to dismantle our arsenal. We don't want them; keeping them is an obligation and a lesser of the two evils.

Originally posted by FredLC
Want a consistent policy? Fine, here’s one: “Possess and let possess”.
But who gains from that policy?
It puts every nation on earth under pressure to get them or fall behind, and greatly increases the chance of their potential use in the future.

Originally posted by FredLC
When it’s based on trust, it’s naivety. When based on military or economical strength, it’s imperialism. I refer back to your own words: it’s an imposition of your subjective decision about who may have nukes, granted by your power to accomplish it.
If that were true, then the objective would have been accomplished. American military and economic might is strong enough to force compliants to any demand in an imperialistic manner. But the demands were not met, which means that it wasn't economic and military force behind the demand, but trust.

Originally posted by FredLC
Would you piss off anyone with the unilateral power of making unstoppable fire rain in your homeland?
Apparently everyone who disagrees with American policy takes that 'risk'

Originally posted by FredLC
Whatever is the difference between Brazil and N. Korea, we Brazilians are legitimated to desire the strength to be able to face any possible external threat.
Ironically, I think North Korea is more justified in their claims. They're surounded by a growing China and a Japan that has only recently abandoned imperialistic policies. And Russia is just around the corner.
Brazil, on the other hand, is the most powerful country in South America in any measurable way, has smaller nations on all its borders, and isn't involved in any potential territorial disputes.

Originally posted by FredLC
The only thing I didn’t like in the original message was the suggestion that we would be rogues or terrorists if we did it.
Not a suggestion I made, nor agree with.

Originally posted by FredLC
Please notice that I mentioned “agenda”, not “hidden agenda” or “evil agenda”. I don’t think that IMF bankers sit in the top of dark towers of fortresses of vice, drinking the blood of workers using skulls of little children as glasses and laughing at the misery of the third world (hehehe... now that’s an evil description :D)
That is evil? :satan:
Amateur...

Originally posted by FredLC
As you said, the money is largely private;
That money is money of corporations, and primarily controlled by them;
Corporations conduct businesses that are related with resources all around the world;
So, keeping the nations that have possesses those resources in debt is largely more profitable than actually getting paid.
:vomit: Zero-sum arguement. Whoever controls the resources controls all the wealth.

The fact of the matter is the amount of wealth we gain from our trading partners is directly proportional to their wealth as a nation. We make more wealth off Canada than off of China.
It is in our interests that all of our trading partners have rich, vibrant economies because it means they'll offer us better, competitively priced goods while purchasing our goods.

Plus it uses the 'all corporations are partners' arguement, and assumes that because corporations do ____, and they do ____, they must be colluding on it. They are more competitive than any nationalistic interest, and so numerous that identifying a motivation for a single entity known as 'corporations' is impossible.
It would be like...treating the U.S. as a singular object.


Originally posted by FredLC
Two out of dozens. Exceptions that confirms the rule?
You said give me ONE example, and I actually gave two :p
I doubled your quota.

Originally posted by FredLC
Now seriously, I really don’t think any way of dealing debt is really perfect except getting rid of it. But I would have to evaluate the situations on those nations before I could have an opinion.
Well, they can't magically wish debt away (despite what the people at Jubilee say), so effectively managing it is their only option.
Although personal relations and international relations bear virtually no resemblance, personal finances and international finances does. The key to managing debt is realistic goals and limiting consumption, or 'living within your means'. If Brazil or any other debtor nations refuses to accept they can't have exentsive social programs, an attractive business setting, quality public educationa and health care, all while managing a growing economy with reasonable taxes, that isn't the IMFs fault.

Originally posted by FredLC
I don’t think it threatens the USA entities. Mostly, because the money lend is only the surplus. Whatever is essential is kept inside. Maybe that surplus is not superfluous, but it’s something that can be used to speculation without bringing too much attention.
Not to much attention, unless it is your money being written off as a 'too bad'.

Originally posted by FredLC
Always remember that not once I brought it to an individual level… it’s you that did it.
Only to illustrate points; doesn't mean I'm taking it personally.

Originally posted by FredLC
I want, again, to make clear that I was just stating that the situation of being in debt, and the obedience to all conditions imposed by the loaners, does cripple a nation, both in it’s social needs and in it’s perspective of growth.
As it does for individuals. However, debt doesn't just happen. It takes careful planning and irresponsibility, and unrealistic prospects for the future to enter into such a debt of burden.
Its like me blaming the credit card company because I owe them lots of money. Its not the lender that asked for it, and its not the lender that squandered it.

Originally posted by FredLC
Just out of curiosity, what was unfair before?
Several issues. Most prominantly civil rights difficulties like poll tests and taxes, and the power of parties in selecting candidates. Locally (in Florida anyway), it was things like multi-member districts and non-proportional representation.

Originally posted by FredLC
Really, when an individual fails to honor a bank loan, the bank, that is merely interested in the profit of interest, will do most anything to get that money back, except give more money. Wasting more money in a black hole goes completely against any logic of capitalism... unless you have some other way to profit from it.
I think the analysis on a personal level here doesn't hold as true. You can't really micro this one, you really need to macro it. A bank can write off an individual, because they're essentially expendable, but Brazil is not. Brazil will always be there, and there is a lot more wealth caught up in Brazil (not loans, but real investments) that are at risk being lost.
On minor individuals, a bank will write it off. On huge investments, they'll usually try to at least get some return on it. The logic is they loose less money this way than from a total collapse.
Only time will tell if they're right.
 
Originally posted by JoeM
Simplistically put, your stance is that nuclear weapons are okay belonging to the US, because you are a US citizen, but not for Brazil as they are a potential enemy or at least not your country.
Actually, I don't even see Brazil as a potential enemy.
My fear is that nuclear weapons will take a prominant role in clouding relations between South American nations, without providing any real defensive benefit to Brazilians in exchange.

Originally posted by JoeM
This is the tragedy of your arguement, although well put, it is essentially egocentric, and therefore flawed as it cannot be used to apply a principle.
I'm not a man of principle, and am not attempting to win an arguement over the objective justification for developing nuclear weapons.
I was trying to explain the role of interests in policy positions and decision makings, and whose interests lie where, why.

Originally posted by JoeM
However it *is* a reflection of current (and for the forseeable future) international politics, unfortunately in the the real world the US does win the debate with your stance, because it's words really are backed by nuclear weapons (or economic power depending on your level of cynicism).
My idea of 'good' countries benefit in their and our interests in a positive way in my opinion, so I have no problem with people finding this policy offensive or inconsistant (although I disagree with them).

Originally posted by JoeM
You may well congratulate your President for putting your country first, but don't turn around and be suprised that nobody else at the party actually likes him for it.
He's not my president :p
People often forget I'm a member of the loyal opposition.
Anyway, I expect him to put my country first, that is his job, and described clearly and without question in the Constitutional job description.
If nobody else at the party likes him, that is their concern. Although I agree with their conclusions for the most part, I find it interesting that an internationally popular president like Clinton could have nearly identical international policy positions. The difference here is our diplomacy and your image.

Originally posted by JoeM
If the debating table were even and we all sat down to negotiations these things wouldn't matter, and that's where we are in this forum. You can be as nationalistic as you like (which is not the thrust of your debate, but arguably a foundation of it), it won't win the day here...
This isn't a negotiating table, we aren't debating (or I wasn't... I don't think), and we still have to work within the agenda of the real world.
Idealism annoys me, so I don't like toying around with the "Perfect worlds...", I've never made an arguement based on how things ought to be.

I'm interested in mutual understanding so we're never forced to wipe Brazil off of the map. Purely altruistic, of course :D

Originally posted by vonork
Now if this is the magical way of getting high growth, why aren't we the western world doing this?
In many (most even) places they do. Perhaps not Sweden, though.

But this is real world economics: there is no magical way of getting high growth, there are no free lunches, simple solutions don't exist, and the easy way never leads out.
 
"In many (most even) places they do. Perhaps not Sweden, though."

Tariffs and protections to the industries inside the countries are wildly used both in the USA and EU. Both have large farm subsidies as an example, which hurts a lot of third world countries. And for those that did not know Sweden had removed all (as I know) subsidies to the farms before we entered the EU, then we got them back :(

Frankly have nothing against, the lower the tariffs part about the demands from the IMF. If only we did it too, other vice it feels like we actually only doing it so our industries can get a hold of there market, but stop there’s to do so in ours.

However, lower the budget… well to cut the defence ok (if you have friendly neighbours), but the schools, health care, support for the pore and in need, police, court. That have to cost, to do the opposite I consider suicide if you want a country to develop and grow.
 
Originally posted by Greadius
He's not my president :p

Oh yes he is :D
That's democracy for you :rolleyes:

I have no problem with people finding this policy offensive or inconsistant

If people find your ideas inconsistent how are they going to agree with you?

This isn't a negotiating table, we aren't debating (or I wasn't... I don't think)

Again I'm afraid this *is* a forum for debate. If you don't want to debate why on earth are you posting? Indeed why are you debating Brazilian/IMF politics with us?? :confused:

To clarify again, I *understand* your position but there's simply no point in discussing the politics of a foreign country with your current stance. I might as well say "I think the US should give all it's wealth to my country". This is a perfectly defensible stance from my point of view, and supposedly, as I put my country's concerns above all others, a valid one.
Now, your point may be a little more refined than that, but it boils down to the same thing.

Try to be objective! :)

...Sweden had removed all (as I know) subsidies to the farms before we entered the EU, then we got them back

Could there be a connection there? ;)

At last Britain is trying to curb subsidies and the FR/D bed partners are blocking it preemptively :(
 
"Could there be a connection there?"

Don't think so, cuz we are trying to get rid of them again... but the farmers migth have seen that as a bonus ;) (Can however agree with the France the UK’s reduction on there check to the EU is something that should also go) At least we seam to have stopped dumping the products on the world market, instead we are paying the farmers not to produce, as they would cuz we pay them so mush to produce :), lovely is it not)
 
Originally posted by vonork
Tariffs and protections to the industries inside the countries are wildly used both in the USA and EU.
Average tariff rates are going down and have been going down consistantly for 30 years. In the U.S. right now they are as low as they've ever been in our history.
Agricultural subsidies is practically the last bastion holdout of protectionism, and quite a big one. Still, that isn't the crux of the point if you're attempting to analyze if wealthier nations are abiding by similar policies.

Originally posted by vonork
If only we did it too, other vice it feels like we actually only doing it so our industries can get a hold of there market, but stop there’s to do so in ours.
That would be inconsistant with our import/export ratio. Very inconsistant.
They still manage to undersell most agricultural products here, and any labor intensive industry is practically guaranteed to be foreign.

Originally posted by JoeM
If people find your ideas inconsistent how are they going to agree with you?
Wasn't my idea. Or policy.
But they can agree that it is the best alternative. Consistancy doesn't always equal better.

Originally posted by JoeM
Again I'm afraid this *is* a forum for debate. If you don't want to debate why on earth are you posting? Indeed why are you debating Brazilian/IMF politics with us??
Debates are more violent.
This is a civilized discussion :p

Originally posted by JoeM
To clarify again, I *understand* your position but there's simply no point in discussing the politics of a foreign country with your current stance. I might as well say "I think the US should give all it's wealth to my country". This is a perfectly defensible stance from my point of view, and supposedly, as I put my country's concerns above all others, a valid one.
Nope, because you'd miss the point about me trying convince you that what is best for my country happens to be what is best for your country too.

Originally posted by JoeM
Try to be objective! :)
:rolleyes: Try to be realistic.
 
"Average tariff rates are going down and have been going down consistantly for 30 years. In the U.S. right now they are as low as they've ever been in our history."

Yepp, true. It's getting better, but IMHO to slow. Only becouse today is better then yeasterday does not mean it's a good day.

I want FREE trade now. (does stincy politicas that fish votes in protectionism sould be somethingsomething...)

btw throw in some sort of protecion(basic human rights or something) so people don't get used only becouse they need food.
 
Originally posted by Greadius
It has more to do with interests and protecting those interests. We needed the leverage for Europe against the Soviets, and for China still today.
Yet to what degree does Brazil have interests that are potentially contested by a nuclear neighbor? If those develop, the reasoning would be equivical. However, Brazil already dominates South America without nuclear weapons.
What would they domestically gain from it?

I would make a point about it, but JoeM did it already, probably better than I could.

Anyway, despite Brazil is really the presently stronger nation in South America, we are not more dominant in it than US is about the world… probably we are even less. You will never hear of Argentina or Uruguay or Suriname doing things because we told them to do.

Originally posted by Greadius
I think the greatest threat is nuclear armed terrorists and 'nuclear blackmail' preventing U.S. action (like a nuclear armed N.Korea). Not particularly concerned about massive exchanges of ICBMs.

Hypothetical threat. The possibility exists, but no case ever took place so one can deal with it like real and present danger. Anyway, it is as I said… prevention for prevention, we are entitled to have nukes too. Who can guarantee that tomorrow a nuclear nation, or terrorist faction, won’t get pissed off at us, or pick us as target, for whatever reason?

Remember the terrorist strike in that dancing club in Bali? Who could have possibly have seen that coming?

Originally posted by Greadius
The USA expends more political and financial capital to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons than any other combination of interests in the world.
And we continue to dismantle our arsenal. We don't want them; keeping them is an obligation and a lesser of the two evils.

Same idea again. US don’t want nukes, they keep them as a necessary precaution. But this excuse is universal. Brazil don’t want nukes, but is entitled to build them as precaution.

Originally posted by Greadius
But who gains from that policy?
It puts every nation on earth under pressure to get them or fall behind, and greatly increases the chance of their potential use in the future.

The problem with this logic is that the falling behind process is even more inevitable if other nations don’t build them. And the certainty of impunity in the event of striking with nukes is also a factor of incentive that might stimulate irresponsible owners.

Only chance of making other nations do not feel restless about the nuclear powers of some countries, and do not want to equate that power, is to establish a perfect coherence and mutual trust. But if that ever comes to happen, than nukes looses its relevance anyway.

So there you have. Either no one has them, or everybody is entitled to seek them.

Originally posted by Greadius
If that were true, then the objective would have been accomplished. American military and economic might is strong enough to force compliants to any demand in an imperialistic manner. But the demands were not met, which means that it wasn't economic and military force behind the demand, but trust.

At the cost of creating internal and external unpopularity. This is too much of a cost to allow a lunatic policy of prohibition. So USA will tolerate those weapons in allied and even neutral nations.

However, USA actually WILL use its strength to neutralize the efforts of anyone that it considers a potential threat.

The imminent war on Iraq has much to do with it.

Originally posted by Greadius
Not a suggestion I made, nor agree with.

Nor that I have linked to you.

Originally posted by Greadius
That is evil? :satan:
Amateur...

Oh, shoot… I guess one simply can’t be evil enough until he tries to kill Austin Powers… Bwhahahahahahaha!!!

Originally posted by Greadius
:vomit: Zero-sum arguement. Whoever controls the resources controls all the wealth.

The fact of the matter is the amount of wealth we gain from our trading partners is directly proportional to their wealth as a nation. We make more wealth off Canada than off of China.
It is in our interests that all of our trading partners have rich, vibrant economies because it means they'll offer us better, competitively priced goods while purchasing our goods.

Plus it uses the 'all corporations are partners' arguement, and assumes that because corporations do ____, and they do ____, they must be colluding on it. They are more competitive than any nationalistic interest, and so numerous that identifying a motivation for a single entity known as 'corporations' is impossible.
It would be like...treating the U.S. as a singular object.

Untrue. Brazil is LOADED with resources, but it does not have what is REALLY economically valuable – the technology and the capital to process them.

That is why we sell TONS of pressed steel for a fraction of the price we pay to buy a car that does not require 10% of it to be manufactured.

I agree that the resources ARE, really, the only things with inherently value, but the CIV3 approach “whoever has the monopoly of the most advanced resources is the winner” is far too simplistic for real life. Economy has ways to circumvent those limitations.

Also, you are forgetting something here. Yes, you make more money from rich partners than from poor ones… but not only that balance could be altered if the level of competition in the world grew too much, but it also would mean more difficulties and higher prices in the value of imported resources, thus altering the balance of profit with the rich partners.

You also forget that corporations are greedy. Or do you think that they will decide one day to let Brazil be rich so they can start recovering the losses in 20 years, when we achieve prosperity? No, they want to profit as soon as possible, and if those who are presently poor will still be that way, so be it.

Last but not least, I didn’t suggest a conspiracy of megacorporations. In fact, I’m recognizing their competition. As they all wants to win, they all use as invasive techniques as possible. None of them can afford to have a heart. And if the poors of the world have to pay the price, so be it again.

Let’s cheer the joys of capitalism. :rolleyes:

Originally posted by Greadius
Well, they can't magically wish debt away (despite what the people at Jubilee say), so effectively managing it is their only option.
Although personal relations and international relations bear virtually no resemblance, personal finances and international finances does. The key to managing debt is realistic goals and limiting consumption, or 'living within your means'. If Brazil or any other debtor nations refuses to accept they can't have exentsive social programs, an attractive business setting, quality public educationa and health care, all while managing a growing economy with reasonable taxes, that isn't the IMFs fault.

Nor it’s Brazil’s fault that none of those things can be left aside to favor the others. Really, they are intrinsically connected. Should we focus on economy and forget the social, things will collapse. Should we focus on social and forget economy, things will collapse too. So we fight for balance.

Now, IMF really is not guilty if we really can’t achieve it today. But it’s a fact that it takes advantage of such fragility. So, they may lay their heads down and have the sleep of the fair... but so do the black vultures.

Originally posted by Greadius
Not to much attention, unless it is your money being written off as a 'too bad'.

It would be true if it were a “too bad” situation. But I really already made my case about the collateral profit.

Originally posted by Greadius
As it does for individuals. However, debt doesn't just happen. It takes careful planning and irresponsibility, and unrealistic prospects for the future to enter into such a debt of burden.
Its like me blaming the credit card company because I owe them lots of money. Its not the lender that asked for it, and its not the lender that squandered it.

Only a few things you are forgetting; your debts are yours alone. A country’s debt will hurt a lot of people that are not irresponsible or incompetent.

Also, you assume that all debits are generated by misuse or incapacity. To disprove that, I’ll give the example of the last loan Brazil took:

As a leftist candidate was leading all pools to the president chair, many investors felt scared and left the country. Also, the fear (unjustified, as our reserves are much bigger) of a repetition of the chaos in Argentina and, in a smaller scale, in Uruguay, made the investors suspicious. With so much USA currency leaving the country, we experienced an enormous growth in the relation dollar/real, that went from 2,15 : 1 to 3,95 : 1 in a matter of months, after 8 years of stability.

As many of the prices are factually indexed in dollars, it caused an enormous increase in prices of all imported products, halting the commerce and causing a series of bankrupts in small and medium stores, thus elevating unemployment.

Knowing very well that Brazil could not stand more corrosion in our currency, the government started to use the federal reserves to flood the market with dollars, to keep the values stable. But such reserves are limited, and when they begun to run low, we were at least four months away from the election. So, money was asked to avoid a more disastrous rate... what was granted at the price of taking anti-social measures that again hurt the social well being of our people.

So, as you see, it was speculation that forced us to again request assistance and further our debt. Where were irresponsibility and squandering here?

So, believe me... sometimes, people are simply run over by the circumstances.

Originally posted by Greadius
I think the analysis on a personal level here doesn't hold as true. You can't really micro this one, you really need to macro it. A bank can write off an individual, because they're essentially expendable, but Brazil is not. Brazil will always be there, and there is a lot more wealth caught up in Brazil (not loans, but real investments) that are at risk being lost.
On minor individuals, a bank will write it off. On huge investments, they'll usually try to at least get some return on it. The logic is they loose less money this way than from a total collapse.
Only time will tell if they're right.

Than NOW international capital can work in unisonous, huh? No, but seriously, money flows far easier than that. The minute that there is no more interest in Brazil, it will be a matter of weeks for the investors to cut the losses and go away. If they were committed to Brazil, it would be like you said above... they would invest to the growth of the nation to, later, have a far fatter profit... because, as you said, when dealing with rich nations, much more money shows up.

But that’s simply not what happens.

Originally posted by Greadius
Wasn't my idea. Or policy.
But they can agree that it is the best alternative. Consistancy doesn't always equal better.

Very debatable... to say the least.

Consistency always equals better when you are debating in impartial bases. Inconsistency can only be a good policy if you wish to favor one side over other... what is exactly what you are doing here.

See, not only you are assuming here that the current stalemate is sufficient to forever prevent any nuclear strikes – what would really validate the idea that new nations building nukes is pointless – but you are also forgetting that the only reason why you feel so comfortable with things the way they are is because US is currently the likely winner of any war it could possibly wage.

Truth is that if tomorrow Bush wakes up with a headache and decides that wiping Brazil off the map will make him feel better, we Brazilians are powerless to prevent that from happening. Now, I know that it’s not going to happen, but you guys have the power and potential to do that.

So, perhaps I prefer another alternative... a world that is dangerous to everyone, not just for me. Perhaps I feel safer with everyone having nukes than with just some... because everyone would really fear to use them, in a sense of survival, not only on ethics.

Now, you know that it’s not what I prefer... I would like to see those weapons destroyed... but since it’s naive and unrealistic of my part...

Well, regards :).
 
I agree with most of what you say, but one thing for sure:

I DO NOT WANT BRAZIL DEALING WITH NUKES!

They might try to do the "bottle dance" over them and hurt themselves!

They might fire them off to celebrate a Ronaldinho goal!

They might use them to quick clear the Amazon!

They might dismantle the uranium cores to use in acaraje!
 
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