Why are you atheist?

If the chance is 50/50, as you claim, then on average the sky will be not blue about 50% of the time.

With the current laws of nature the chances of the sky being blue are 99,999...., but what if these laws change tomorrow?

The difference between induction and faith in God is that induction is necessary for our existence, while faith is not. But that's not an epistemological difference.

Though I guess if something is necessary for our existence, we have no choice but to believe in it!
 
With the current laws of nature the chances of the sky being blue are 99,999...., but what if these laws change tomorrow?

The difference between induction and faith in God is that induction is necessary for our existence, while faith is not. But that's not an epistemological difference.

Though I guess if something is necessary for our existence, we have no choice but to believe in it!

Lovett seems to say that it is 50%, not 99.9999%, which is what I disagree with. The 99.999999% makes it an "ordinary" claim.

If the laws of physics change tomorrow enough to make the sky green, then we're probably screwed ;)
 
It is a comforting thought that God exists, for many people.

Equally, it can be a comforting thought that no god exists. There's no-one out there judging you; there is no eternal torment for whatever action is arbitrarily deemed sinful; there is no divine law, only what law we make for ourselves - which, I believe, is more meaningful than any law that could be passed from heaven.
 
Equally, it can be a comforting thought that no god exists. There's no-one out there judging you; there is no eternal torment for whatever action is arbitrarily deemed sinful; there is no divine law, only what law we make for ourselves - which, I believe, is more meaningful than any law that could be passed from heaven.

Plus, without God you are able to consume beef AND pork and not have to worry about anything ;)
 
Plus, without God you are able to consume beef AND pork and not have to worry about anything ;)

I'll have mine with a side of shellfish.
 
Equally, it can be a comforting thought that no god exists. There's no-one out there judging you; there is no eternal torment for whatever action is arbitrarily deemed sinful; there is no divine law, only what law we make for ourselves - which, I believe, is more meaningful than any law that could be passed from heaven.
The thought of the Christian God existing is very depressing indeed, imo. He's not the only god around, though. In fact there are an infinite number of possible gods.

@warpus: I'll let you and lovett duke it out for a while, then chime in if you're running out of redundant statements. :D
 
The difference between induction and faith in God is that induction is necessary for our existence, while faith is not. But that's not an epistemological difference.

Though I guess if something is necessary for our existence, we have no choice but to believe in it!

THIS IS WHAT I'VE BEEN LOOKING FOR!

:woohoo::woohoo: :goodjob: :goodjob: :goodjob: :goodjob: :woohoo::woohoo:

Or at least, one of few plausible answers.

Well done, you've done in twelve pages what Wittgenstein took the last few years of his life to do!



We can easily test your hypothesis that the chances of the sky being blue are the same as it not being blue by checking what the colour of the sky is tomorrow, and the day after that, and the day after that.

If the chance is 50/50, as you claim, then on average the sky will be not blue about 50% of the time.

We can't peek forward in time; there's no way of telling what colour the sky will be tomorrow. The 50/50 chance refers to what colour the sky will be in the future. The past, what the sky has been on average, is immaterial.
 
@askthepizzaguy: Brilliant post(s), but a bit beside the point. Most debates here @ cfc are semantic & trivial in nature.

I find that most debate is semantic and trivial in nature. :lol:

Even the ones that do "matter" (abortion vs. non, etc), rarely result in people changing their pov. But imo it's fun to argue.

I've noticed. It's funny when people who are set in their ways and views attempt to win an argument against an opponent who will never concede, and are equally stubborn. Funny for a while anyway. Unfortunately like I said, it doesn't get anywhere, and it does become more about the verbal jousting contest and about rhetoric and technicality than winning on any major point.

It's kind of like a football game where every play is blown dead due to penalties from an oversensitive referee, and no points are ever scored. Oh, it's dramatic, but it can get pretty.... pointless?

(oh puns... my rhetorical friend)

It would be nice, sure, but the sun will continue to rise whether we justify our belief in that or not. :p

But of course our belief in it is beside the point... it will happen or not regardless. :cool:

Why is the future foreseeable?

I predicted you'd say something like this. :D

I agree that induction is useful from a human pov - indeed without it, no meaningful predictions could be made and science would become undoable. The reason I'm asking these questions (and lovett who started it, likely has the same reason - feel free to correct me if that's not the case), is to show that science & reason require some faith to work too, even if intuitively less than religion.
Well, now we're really talking about what should be different kinds of "faith". One is pattern recognition, the other is wholly without rational foundation.

If someone slaps you in the face with a fish 47 times in a row, and he doesn't show any sign of mercy or stopping, is it reasonable to assume he will slap you a 48th time?

If the sun "rises" every day for billions of years without exception, is it reasonable to assume it will happen again?

Now, is it reasonable to assume that instead of that, the earth will tear itself apart and there will be angels and demons battling it out on Pay-Per-View?

No. There is an actual leap of faith in order to believe such rubbish. Whereas the first two examples are simple pattern recognition. Without it, we couldn't assume enough about the world to eat cereal correctly. Gee, if I eat my cocoa puffs today, will it turn my stomach into a whale? I'd better not eat, because I just don't know.

:crazyeye:

"Faith" in this context isn't faith at all, but reasonableness. The difference is that one assumption has a leg to stand on, the other has none whatsoever.

As for the God(s) issue, well, to me the problem lies with the traditional narratives: all the holy books (that I've read at least) are rather violent and intolerant in nature, not to mention requiring absolute obedience down to the choice of toothpicks and the color of your Sunday sweater. Depending on the denomination, things may be milder or more harsh; but it is the books themselves that are the root cause of the problems.

Yes, commandments in the voice of God written by man can be problematic, especially since some of them make no sense. Don't eat pork, that animal is dirty and cursed! Of course, a cow is fine.

Why? "BECAUSE GOD SAYS SO", says man.

Most of the New Testament is an exception; it seems to be designed to reign in primitive human nature, while the OT seems to do the opposite. Note that I said most; there's plenty of bad stuff in the NT too. And it too tends to be authoritative, which is something that seems common to all religions: they almost always have rules, not guidelines.

Yes, the perfect way to get everyone to do exactly what you want all the time is to say two entirely contradictory things, and make both of them the law. Then, just enforce whichever law applies at the time. Everyone and everything can conveniently be your enemy or your friend, acceptable in situations or not. Marvelous duplicity, really. It's quite sinister.

Someone needs to update religion to the 21st century.

Scientology, part II? :(

Make a religion where it says, on trivial enough matters: "these tenets may change in the future, as the human race and its needs change". If I could get a hold of a decent batch of hallucinogens, I'd be willing to do it (for a decent fee ofc). :mischief:

Or, we could always try thinking of things before we do them, rather than consulting a book written by a guy obviously tripping on mushrooms. :goodjob:

How do we know he was tripping on mushrooms? Inductive reasoning. :rotfl:
 
He's not the only god around, though. In fact there are an infinite number of possible gods.

Indeed he is not, but I have yet to see a definition which is in any way pleasant. However that is really irrelevant: it doesn't matter how pleasant or depressing the god in question is, it only matters whether it exists. That is to say that an argument could be made that its nonexistence would be different from what we currently have.
 
Well, now we're really talking about what should be different kinds of "faith". One is pattern recognition, the other is wholly without rational foundation.

If someone slaps you in the face with a fish 47 times in a row, and he doesn't show any sign of mercy or stopping, is it reasonable to assume he will slap you a 48th time?

If the sun "rises" every day for billions of years without exception, is it reasonable to assume it will happen again?

Now, is it reasonable to assume that instead of that, the earth will tear itself apart and there will be angels and demons battling it out on Pay-Per-View?

No. There is an actual leap of faith in order to believe such rubbish. Whereas the first two examples are simple pattern recognition. Without it, we couldn't assume enough about the world to eat cereal correctly. Gee, if I eat my cocoa puffs today, will it turn my stomach into a whale? I'd better not eat, because I just don't know.

:crazyeye:

"Faith" in this context isn't faith at all, but reasonableness. The difference is that one assumption has a leg to stand on, the other has none whatsoever.

Welcome to the problem of induction. Please take a seat. 'Pattern recognition' is wholly without rational foundation.
 
Welcome to the problem of induction. Please take a seat. 'Pattern recognition' is wholly without rational foundation.

Then how do you know what I am saying? These words might be English, but they might also be gibberish disguised as English. See, you have to subscribe to induction to communicate with me. You're assuming my words mean what they say in a dictionary. But really, what I've been trying to say all along is that your dry cleaning is ready.

It's irrational not to use pattern recognition. Otherwise we cannot function at all. Stop breathing or eating, because there's no rational reason to believe these things will keep you alive, not without inductive reasoning.

And besides, if we can't use inductive reasoning, why argue about it? That premise renders your own argument inherently pointless.
 
Oooga booga. Snargle frak. Jibbity Dee.

:king: <---------Logic

Quin sai fraggle? Intuipop, jagnar queeezleteats. And without inductive reasoning, snazzlesnoo.
 
Then how do you know what I am saying? These words might be English, but they might also be gibberish disguised as English. See, you have to subscribe to induction to communicate with me. You're assuming my words mean what they say in a dictionary. But really, what I've been trying to say all along is that your dry cleaning is ready.

It's irrational not to use pattern recognition. Otherwise we cannot function at all. Stop breathing or eating, because there's no rational reason to believe these things will keep you alive, not without inductive reasoning.

And besides, if we can't use inductive reasoning, why argue about it? That premise renders your own argument inherently pointless.

Because I believe in induction. This not a justified belief. There is no contradiction inherent in believing something that is unjustified.

The contradiction comes when I ask for justification as per Gods existence, and say that I won't believe in Him if I don't get such justification.
 
There should be some justification for the supernatural before I believe in it.


flash-chess_2.jpg


I BELIEVE WE HAVE REACHED AN IMPASSE. WOULD YOU LIKE TO PLAY A NICE GAME OF CLUE?
 
I find that most debate is semantic and trivial in nature. :lol:
I agree. Here at least there are fairly intelligent people to disagree with. :p And even some brilliant ones, which will make you doubt your stances and in the long term may result in subtle changes.

I've noticed. It's funny when people who are set in their ways and views attempt to win an argument against an opponent who will never concede, and are equally stubborn. Funny for a while anyway. Unfortunately like I said, it doesn't get anywhere, and it does become more about the verbal jousting contest and about rhetoric and technicality than winning on any major point.

It's kind of like a football game where every play is blown dead due to penalties from an oversensitive referee, and no points are ever scored. Oh, it's dramatic, but it can get pretty.... pointless?
Well, I haven't debated enough to get to that point yet. I agree that it does get tiresome but like I said, subtle changes are possible with time.

But of course our belief in it is beside the point... it will happen or not regardless. :cool:
Well, that is true too.

I predicted you'd say something like this. :D
I didn't predict you'd say that, oddly enough. Maybe I haven't seen you post enough to induce what answers you will give, as of yet. ;)

Well, now we're really talking about what should be different kinds of "faith". One is pattern recognition, the other is wholly without rational foundation.
There is no epistemological difference, as Lonewolf said. Both beliefs are just as unjustified.
(Ofc to us humans surviving tends to matter, but in this glorious debate that point is irrelevant.)

If someone slaps you in the face with a fish 47 times in a row, and he doesn't show any sign of mercy or stopping, is it reasonable to assume he will slap you a 48th time?

If the sun "rises" every day for billions of years without exception, is it reasonable to assume it will happen again?
No. It is convenient and intuitive, but not reasonable according to deductive logic (which is the only one we can use besides the inductive one, which is what we're judging here).

Now, is it reasonable to assume that instead of that, the earth will tear itself apart and there will be angels and demons battling it out on Pay-Per-View?
Yes, as strange as it may sound. It is indeed just as reasonable as the former position. Didn't you read lovett's large post, where he explained this with the ticket example?

No. There is an actual leap of faith in order to believe such rubbish. Whereas the first two examples are simple pattern recognition. Without it, we couldn't assume enough about the world to eat cereal correctly. Gee, if I eat my cocoa puffs today, will it turn my stomach into a whale? I'd better not eat, because I just don't know.
Bolded is why we believe in induction. The other, more compelling reason is that it seems so intuitive that to rail against it appears as madness to us. But that is because we have evolved to be intuitive creatures, and there's no way to step outside of that frame of mind.

"Faith" in this context isn't faith at all, but reasonableness. The difference is that one assumption has a leg to stand on, the other has none whatsoever.
It is reasonable to believe in induction, but only from a human pov. Without this belief we could not survive, much less do science. However, the Universe doesn't care about that. It could explode at any given moment, and give not a hoot to our opinions on the perceived likelyhood of that.

Yes, the perfect way to get everyone to do exactly what you want all the time is to say two entirely contradictory things, and make both of them the law. Then, just enforce whichever law applies at the time. Everyone and everything can conveniently be your enemy or your friend, acceptable in situations or not. Marvelous duplicity, really. It's quite sinister.
That is how the Bible has been used. If OT didn't exist, it would be much harder to use like that. The problem is that religions become entrentched at certain core tenets/texts at some point, and after that it's futile to try and change them.

Scientology, part II? :(
I believe that Hubbard has a fun time playing chess with Hitler in Hell - if it exists that is. Both were excellent manipulators of people personally and with organizational power. Scientology is a simple scam to make money for its founder; after his demise it continues to be the same. There's always holes for money and plenty of stupid people who have no use for it! :scan:


Or, we could always try thinking of things before we do them, rather than consulting a book written by a guy obviously tripping on mushrooms. :goodjob:
You should try mushrooms sometime if you haven't. Some say it makes more sense than anything - albeit only while you're on them. As for logic and thinking things through: they have their uses, but so does irrationality and "going with the flow". They need not be mutually exclusive (well, only in each given situation).

How do we know he was tripping on mushrooms? Inductive reasoning. :rotfl:
I think I've heard the word "inductive" enough times now to last me for a while. I'll go to sleep soon; you guys continue to have at it. I predict that the sun will rise tomorrow to a world where the debate is still where it was at its setting. ;)

Edit: x-post with lovett... Stop making my posts redundant! Also, I realize this 'slicing' looks horrible. I will now retreat to my quarters and leave you to it, however as a final note:

There should be some justification for the supernatural before I believe in it.
Why? There is none for induction and yet you believe in it! :crazyeye:
 
There should be some justification for the supernatural before I believe in it.


flash-chess_2.jpg


I BELIEVE WE HAVE REACHED AN IMPASSE. WOULD YOU LIKE TO PLAY A NICE GAME OF CLUE?

Why? You don't need justification for induction. What's the difference?

And you can checkmate from that position :p
 
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