Will Trump's Tariffs Trigger Another Recession?

[Hygro]

Inflation seems to cool. Interesting.

MSN

U.S. Inflation Eased More Than Expected in February

Economists are bracing for intensifying price pressures and slower growth, posing a challenge for the Federal Reserve.

www.nytimes.com

US inflation cooled last month, though trade war threatens to lift prices

U.S. inflation slowed last month for the first time since September even as additional tariffs on steel and aluminum kicked in Wednesday that could send prices higher.

apnews.com

Consumer spending, business investment, and government payments are falling faster and by more. Inflations a lagging indicator so things are moving hard and fast to cool price increases.

Edit: government payments actually up

 

[Lexicus]

Edit: government payments actually up

??

 

[Birdjaguar]

??

My SS payments went up $2 a month for 2025.....

 

[Hygro]

??

In February spending went up. Or at least the deficit widened. Could be anything, including less payroll taxes + automatic stabilizers to a completely different set of reasons. I have no idea.

 

[JollyRoger]

Trump is naming the deficit after Larry Craig

 

[Hygro]

I keep reading headlines of people boycotting our products. I don’t know how meaningful it is, but its potentiality is huge. We export for $3 trillion.

 

[Ajidica]

Trump is naming the deficit after Larry Craig

The deficit has a wide stance?

 

[Theov]

Gas prices are down in the US...

Gas prices are plummeting under Donald Trump

Gas prices fell for the fourth straight week on Monday and are likely to continue sliding below $3 per gallon, according to experts.

www.newsweek.com

 

[JollyRoger]

Still higher than in early December.

 

[Birdjaguar]

Gasoline prices are cyclical over a year and also change as oil prices go up and down. In summer they go up as more people drive.

 

[JollyRoger]

And they go down as the economy unravels

 

[Hygro]

As a causal agent lower gas prices is good for the economy. As a correlate, signals of the opposite.

 

[Lexicus]

As a causal agent lower gas prices is good for the economy. As a correlate, signals of the opposite.

Is it? At a lower P, a higher quantity demanded...and every gallon we burn buries us deeper.

 

[GenMarshall]

Gasoline prices are cyclical over a year and also change as oil prices go up and down. In summer they go up as more people drive.

I figured the supply in the storage tanks and the capacity of the refineries to keep up with the demand was also a factor .