So I was all excited last night bc Toledo losing brought us down to twenty-five undefeated teams. Then nine of those teams lost today. But anyway, time to start ranking. This feels pretty pointless now that the playoffs have minimized the importance of being perfect, but it's tradition ! ! !
It's a first draft, so I'm just going to sort of vaguely sort them based on resume and odds to actually make the playoffs rather than specifically ranking them 1-16. Avoiding the eyeball test bc I haven't seen enough of all sixteen teams to judge fairly . . :
Ohio State: Best win is over Oklahoma, which is okay, but I'm putting them up here more for future expectations than past performance . . .
Alabama: The SEC champ is in, obviously, but I don't think Alabama has as good of a chance to win the SEC as Ohio State does to win the Big Ten, so I'll put us here . . .
Clemson: Best win today over Louisville, so we don't know how that will look in the future bc we don't know how Louisville will respond. Win over Auburn has a chance to appreciate as well. Probably the favorite to win the ACC at this point, virtually guaranteeing a spot given runner-up status last year and the apparent weakness of the Big XII and its eventual champ . . .
Washington: Pretty strong chance to win the Pac-12, pretty strong chance to make the playoffs if they do. Some teams from other conferences below would have a better chance at a playoff berth based on winning their conference, but have a lesser chance of actually doing so . . .
Tennessee: Can lose to Alabama in the regular season and still win the conference, so chances are better for Tennesee than Michigan, I think . . .
Michigan: Best win was today over Wisconsin, but also a bit of a warning in how playing a decent team brings those gaudy numbers from the first few games back down to earth. Also takes a knock bc I don't expect them to beat Ohio State and emerge from the Big Ten . . .
A&M: I'm just ranking odds of being conference champ at this point . . .
Nebraska: Best win so far is over Oregon, but if they do win out their playoff spot would be pretty secure. And I guess their chances of winning out are greater than zero, so . . .
Houston: Best win so far vs. Oklahoma doesn't look as good as it did at the time and losses today by future opponents Navy, Louisville and Memphis don't help much either. Still dependent on P5 teams underperforming to give them a chance at the playoffs . . .
WVU: Squeaking along, but I don't give them much of a chance to stay unbeaten and I'm not sure how much it would matter if they did . . .
Baylor: Best win is Okie State. One of only two undefeated teams left in the Big XII, nice that they didn't collapse from the weight of the offseason, but I'm not optimistic about their chances of actually winning the conference or making the playoffs if they do. Also, looked crappy vs. ISU today . . .
Miami: No real quality wins so far. Decent chance to win the division, but no real chance to win the conference. With FSU and UNC coming up, probably not long for the list . . .
Maryland: I didn't even realize they were undefeated until I looked. No quality opponents yet, and I imagine they will fall from the list once they start playing some . . .
Boise: Even though their ooc schedule isn't any more impressive than Air Force or Western Michigan, if they went undefeated they would have a marginally better shot at a playoff berth based on their reputation. Still no real chance this year though. Houston is the standard bearer for the G5 this time around . . .
Air Force: Doesn't matter what they do, no chance for a playoff berth . . .
Western Michigan: Beating Northwestern and Illinois in the same season is great for Western Michigan, but it's not going to get them into the playoffs no matter what they do in the MAC . . .