Ask a Russian

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Protests are over. Putin and Xi called Lukashenko and congratulated him with the victory in elections.
Several EU countries called elections undemocratic and condemned crackdown of protests.
Lukashenko claimed last night protests were coordinated by phone calls from Poland, UK and Czechia.
By official results Lukashenko got ~80% of votes, unofficial claims are 70%-90% for Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, leading opposition candidate.

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I just wanted to ask what is a Russian perspective on the ongoing protests and discontent after Alexander Lukashenko reelection. Belarusians just want a "normal" country I think. Can't blame them for that but does Russia still holds them as a satellite country ? Are we are looking at another "Maidan" here (like in Ukraine - 2014) ? What are the chances of armed Russian intervention or a "proxy war" if this would escalate ?
 
I just wanted to ask what is a Russian perspective on the ongoing protests and discontent after Alexander Lukashenko reelection.
Russia supported Lukashenko verbally, but didn't do anything beyond that. Putin probably fed up with him too. From what I see, Tikhanovskaya is not hostile towards Russia and we can work with her pretty well should she came to power. Which is unlikely.

Can't blame them for that but does Russia still holds them as a satellite country ?
Belarus is very important strategic ally, of course Russia would like to keep good relations, continue close economic and military partnership.

What are the chances of armed Russian intervention or a "proxy war" if this would escalate ?
Very low. IMO the right strategy for Russia is to wait and see who prevails without intervention on either side. If Lukashenko stays in power, with his low popular support and EU/US condemnation, Russia will get additional influence on him. If opposition comes to power, Russia's neutrality will help to keep good relations.
 
Tikhanovskaya left the country, went to Lithuania.
She published a video where said she made this decision voluntarily and urged protesters to go home.

Reports about ~2000 people arrested last night, including Russian citizens.
Three large factories in Belarus are on strike.
 
Tikhanovskaya left the country, went to Lithuania.
She published a video where said she made this decision voluntarily and urged protesters to go home.

Reports about ~2000 people arrested last night, including Russian citizens.
Three large factories in Belarus are on strike.

She seems afraid for her life. That's probably the reason she exiled herself from her home. I pity her. Could You please translate what she says ? I don't think that auto-translator manages this well.
 
She seems afraid for her life. That's probably the reason she exiled herself from her home. I pity her. Could You please translate what she says ? I don't think that auto-translator manages this well.
Her husband is being held in prison, so may be it's his life she is afraid for, too.
Full translation is in BBC article: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-53733330
I think I need to create a separate thread for this - riots continue and the situation is getting ugly.
 
Her husband is being held in prison, so may be it's his life she is afraid for, too.
Full translation is in BBC article: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-53733330
I think I need to create a separate thread for this - riots continue and the situation is getting ugly.

You should definitely do so. The world (CFC at least ;) ) needs to know. I support the idea.
 
Thank you for that link all those weeks ago Red-Elk to little big.

The Xbox remembers and has added hypnodancer etc to some playlists so they kinda pop up now.
 
Gorky park, improvised dance

Video is old, though the place looks same now. Had a walk there today. Everything is almost back to normal.
 
insert Ivan sterotype.
There was zero change of that cargo mastm cranges and bridge making its way under that bridge.

 
For the longest time I wondered why Russia and China seem to have a monopoly on dashcams.

Then I realized it's to back up insurance claims.
 
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